To The Moon

When the market saw signs of easing in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, talks on a hostage-swap ceasefire between Israel and Hamas collapsed. Although this incident has only slightly reacted to gold and silver prices at present, the actual impact on the financial market does not stop there. At present, there is only the last base of Hamas-Rafah. If Israel forcibly penetrates, it will definitely hurt a large number of innocent people. At that time, it may arouse greater international opposition and corresponding actions. At present, Israel is unwilling to make concessions to attack Rafah, and it will have an impact on the financial market when it does it. We may see the market in March-April replicated in May-June, that is, the US stock index adjusts, precious metals are strong, and crude

With the update of the U.S. data again, the market has advanced the timing of the U.S. interest rate cut to a certain extent (for details, please refer to the content of last week's article), which also makes the U.S Treasury Yield out of the range-bound pattern as we expected. Although the price trend of bond yields has been determined, some investors are concerned about whether the 2-10-year spread convergence strategy is about to enter the tradable range.The general trend is clear, and high resistance plays a roleThe major premise of the yield expansion or convergence strategy itself lies in the change in the overall interest rate outlook: due to the relative certainty of the previous forward interest rate cut expectations, the inevitable result is that the rise in long-term bond yields

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Ongoing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and ECB Governing Councilor Nauert participated in a conference together and delivered a speech, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell: does not believe that the next move may be a rate hike, and is more likely to keep the policy rate at the current level. Investors can pay attention to!. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2.Today's important data will be released: the U.S. annual rate of April unquartered CPI, the U.S. monthly rate of April quarterly CPI and the U.S. monthly rate of April retail sales! It is expected that before the release of this important data, XAUUSD will be in the Asia

Outlook for this week: international gold / London gold opening early market participants are fewer, the trend of narrow fluctuations, the power of the many slowed down, in addition, the dollar index intraday short-term 1 hour walk disk has stopped falling back up tendency, is to limit the power of the gold price rebound, however; 　 $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ 　The dollar index daily chart is still running below the middle rail line, Bollinger band tends to move down, with chart indicators MACD also maintain the development of short signal, suggesting that the short term will still be biased towards the fall mainly, and will support gold prices, weekly chart rebound did

Hello everyone！Today i want to share some macro strategies with you!1. Gold news analysis: $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ Friday (May 10) in the U.S. market, with the intensification of geopolitical tensions in Gaza to consolidate the safe-haven appeal of the precious metal, as well as recent data to raise concerns about the U.S. labor market, sparking speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates earlier than previously expected, the price of gold rose, the plate was close to 2,380, the European Central Bank virtually guaranteed that it would cut interest rates in June, the Australian Reserve Bank also made a decision to keep rates steady at its last meeting with dovish comments. In addition, Israel strikes east of Rafah, the ceasef

Copper, as an important industrial metal, its price trend has been widely concerned by the global market. In recent years, copper prices have experienced a series of fluctuations. Especially last week, copper prices broke through the $10,000 mark for the first time in two years. This increase not only reflects the current heat in the copper market, but also reflects the global economy, supply chain and energy transformation. The intertwined influence of multiple factors has aroused heated discussions in the market. Will $10,000 be the end of copper prices? Starting from multiple fundamental factors, combined with the latest industrial data, this article will deeply analyze multiple factors affecting the trend of copper prices, and look forward to the future trend of copper prices.1. Distur

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some macro analysis with y!1.Since the NFP data, gold has nearly maintained a wide range of shock trend for 4 days, today will be published out of the unemployment data, is expected to break the shock trend, XAUUSD will succeed in breaking 2300, my advice still maintain the sell order trading, 2320 near resistance is still very difficult to break through, the current offer of 2312, rebound 2315-16 directly continue to enter the sell order, TP: 2300 ! (Due to the existence of different spreads for each broker, SL set according to personal habits!) $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Image2.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will not agree to a hostage deal with Hamas unless it allows Israel to continue opera

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some macro information with you!1. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ touches pressure near 2320 again, continues to maintain downward trend！Image2.Sell orders at 2315-18 managed to reach TP,and touched 2303 support, in line with my strategy for Asian markets! I task Gold to fall further today and will fall below 2300! $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!https://twitter.com/TradersXauusd

Last trading day Tuesday (May 7): international gold / London gold rebound power slowed down, encountered obstacles to the performance of the closing, did not further rise to break through the pressure of the middle rail line, suggesting that the short side is still dominant, the trend is still biased towards shock pressure to be expected to fall back prospect. 　　Specific trend, the gold price since the Asian market opened at 2324.21 U.S. dollars / ounce, in a brief continuation of the recovery force first strong, at 9 o'clock in the session recorded an intraday high of 2329.82 U.S. dollars, was blocked back down, continue to soften, has continued to the end of the European session touched the intraday low of 2309.88 U.S. dollars, and after that is bottoming out, after the U.S. disk open,

How to manage (manipulate) market expectations? The easiest way is to fine-tune the results of the data, thereby "helping" the market to correct its judgment on the timing of interest rate cuts. In this regard, it has to be said that this term of the Federal Reserve and the US government are definitely the best of the best. Don't you see, after the release of the latest non-agricultural data in January, the time for interest rate cuts is expected to be brought forward from the end of the year to September. This time, which is neither too early nor too late Data show that the seasonally adjusted non-farm employment population in the United States recorded an increase of 175,000 in April, the lowest increase since October 2023, lower than the expected 243,000 and the previous value of 303,00

During the domestic May Day holiday, the practice of high volatility in the external market continues, but this time it is fulfilled in agricultural products. Let me talk about the macroeconomic situation first. Although the Fed's interest rate meeting will not adjust interest rates as scheduled, the slowdown in QT (shrinking balance sheet) is a real liquidity easing measure. It is very likely that we may not see the Fed cut interest rates this year, but shrinking balance sheet The process is likely to end this year, so it is not an exaggeration to think that the Fed is now at an inflection point for re-easing.The unexpected upset of the non-farm data provided a reason for the Fed to cut interest rates. When the unemployment rate is higher than 4%, it will be the time for the Fed to cut in

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with u!1. $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ Outlook for this week Monday (May 6): international gold opening first narrow pressure running, the dollar index by last Friday's more obvious bottoming out of the power to stop the performance of its gold prices to cause some pressure. Overall, the dollar index daily chart is still in the middle of the rail and short-term averages below, with chart indicators to maintain the short signal, short-term trend of the short side is still dominant, the weekly chart stops at the 10-week average, while the middle rail line is also the support position of the uptrend in recent months, so in the middle of the rail line is not broken, the dollar index is al

The foreign exchange market has been calm in the past few years. The large shock mode of the the US Dollar Index has caused most currencies to trade in a range mode. However, there are also outliers among them. The yen continues to fall and set a new historical low, but it is still not intervened by the central bank. What is the reason behind allowing the yen to fall?From the trend of the yen in CME group, it can be seen that the historic low has been moving down in the past few months, which also includes the macro environment where the Bank of Japan has begun to tighten. Looking forward, the Bank of Japan also briefly intervened in the foreign exchange market in 2022-2023, but the intensity was relatively limited, and the yen also rebounded slightly before sinking again.Obviously, from t

Last week, under the news that the conflict in the Middle East eased, gold and silver bulls showed signs of cashing in profits, which triggered a sharp correction in gold and silver prices. The 5-day moving average tracking is very effective. After the "squeeze" trend of gold prices, falling below the 5-day moving average will often trigger a relatively large correction, and the correction is started by a single-day sharp drop, so last week's decline is very close to the previous trend, and it will break through 2450 again It takes a longer time to accumulate energy and cooperate with the news. The current gold and silver prices have entered a turbulent mode. Of course, turmoil is not a bad thing, especially for silver prices. After the turmoil falls, it will be a good time to enter the ma

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro information with you!1.Gold continues to remain wide on Monday! Strong resistance exists near 2342, and the sell-single signal was successfully profitable!The trading day of April is coming to an end, and tomorrow is the last trading day of the month!Closing monthly market fluctuations will be great, this week will be a super data week! $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!https://twitter.com/TradersXauusd

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some macro analysis with you! Hope it can help you!1.Friday (April 26) gold prices rose significantly. However, the current market generally tends to be bearish on the outlook for gold, with the main concern being that inflation could trigger monetary tightening if it is not effectively controlled. The gold market is at risk of its first weekly decline in six weeks, a trend that reflects easing market sentiment and a shift in expectations for U.S. monetary policy. At the same time, recent economic data releases in the United States are showing mixed signals and increasing market volatility. $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ On the one hand, the data showed a sharp slowdown in economic growth, which usually suppor

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.2330 successfully reached, did you enter the buy order?Image2.Gold was blocked lower at 2344 and sell orders continue to take profits! $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$After the first half of the week's shock, the current gold out of the shock trend! 2342 pressure has been broken, fall back to adjust for a better rise! 2353 will continue to break through!Image3.$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Intraday will focus on the United States in March core PCE price index annual rate, the United States in March personal spending rate, the United States in April, the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index final value of the data, the market

Affected by factors such as geopolitical conflicts and fluctuations in the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, the contradiction in risk appetite in the capital market has become increasingly prominent, and commodity prices have also entered a stage of high volatility.Taking gold as an example, the price of gold has experienced a correction after experiencing the "crazy growth" . On April 22 local time, COMEX gold futures for June delivery fell 3.01%, the largest one-day drop since June 2022.Two factors "suppress" precious metalsFor a long time, geopolitics has been the first factor affecting the prices of gold and silver. With the gradual escalation of tensions in the Middle East, the market's demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and silver has also increased simultaneously. Howeve

As speculated, news of the conflict between Israel and Iran has subsided, which has prompted a pullback in gold, and you may have to wait for a while to chase higher. For gold trading this year, the importance of finding a good time and a low position is relatively high, and it is not easy to chase ups and downs.The correction of gold With a long green line on Monday to determine a larger pullback/retracement time span, coupled with the more violent fall of silver (it has also been recommended to short silver and long gold to deal with this round of market), we expect gold to be short in the short term will not Reverse quickly.But how to judge the low point of the callback that everyone is more concerned about? First of all, it is certain that it is likely that it will be difficult for sho

On Friday, Israel appeared to be about to "retaliate" against Iran, causing crude oil and gold prices to soar and US stocks to plummet. Although both Israel and Iran soon came out to clarify, the Iranian side said that it intercepted the drone that attacked and did not cause too much loss, which caused a sharp retreat in the follow-up market.This phenomenon shows that the two sides of the conflict do not want to make things too big, but the financial market does not seem to buy the result, and the price fluctuation suddenly becomes very manic.The impact of the conflict on the US stock indexThe widening situation in the Middle East has weakened the market's sensitivity to news of the Fed's interest rate cut and increased concerns about war fears. Although there was a sharp rebound on Friday

As of the close on April 17, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed down. The Nasdaq and S&P fell for the fourth consecutive day, the longest record since January this year.U.S. stocks have outperformed expectations in 2023, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones rising 24.2%, 43.4%, and 13.7%, respectively. The market has also given high expectations for the performance of U.S. stocks in 2024. However, since April, the U.S. stock market has encountered a series of complex factors, causing the market to continue to be under adjustment pressure.So does this mean that the long bull market in US stocks is coming to an end? Will the new round of earnings season bring turmoil to US stocks?As the global banking leader JPMorgan Chase released a mixed quarterly report last

With the update of the U.S. data again, the market has advanced the timing of the U.S. interest rate cut to a certain extent (for details, please refer to the content of last week's article), which also makes the U.S Treasury Yield out of the range-bound pattern as we expected. Although the price trend of bond yields has been determined, some investors are concerned about whether the 2-10-year spread convergence strategy is about to enter the tradable range.The general trend is clear, and high resistance plays a roleThe major premise of the yield expansion or convergence strategy itself lies in the change in the overall interest rate outlook: due to the relative certainty of the previous forward interest rate cut expectations, the inevitable result is that the rise in long-term bond yields

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Ongoing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and ECB Governing Councilor Nauert participated in a conference together and delivered a speech, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell: does not believe that the next move may be a rate hike, and is more likely to keep the policy rate at the current level. Investors can pay attention to!. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2.Today's important data will be released: the U.S. annual rate of April unquartered CPI, the U.S. monthly rate of April quarterly CPI and the U.S. monthly rate of April retail sales! It is expected that before the release of this important data, XAUUSD will be in the Asia

When the market saw signs of easing in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, talks on a hostage-swap ceasefire between Israel and Hamas collapsed. Although this incident has only slightly reacted to gold and silver prices at present, the actual impact on the financial market does not stop there. At present, there is only the last base of Hamas-Rafah. If Israel forcibly penetrates, it will definitely hurt a large number of innocent people. At that time, it may arouse greater international opposition and corresponding actions. At present, Israel is unwilling to make concessions to attack Rafah, and it will have an impact on the financial market when it does it. We may see the market in March-April replicated in May-June, that is, the US stock index adjusts, precious metals are strong, and crude

Outlook for this week: international gold / London gold opening early market participants are fewer, the trend of narrow fluctuations, the power of the many slowed down, in addition, the dollar index intraday short-term 1 hour walk disk has stopped falling back up tendency, is to limit the power of the gold price rebound, however; 　 $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ 　The dollar index daily chart is still running below the middle rail line, Bollinger band tends to move down, with chart indicators MACD also maintain the development of short signal, suggesting that the short term will still be biased towards the fall mainly, and will support gold prices, weekly chart rebound did

Hello everyone！Today i want to share some macro strategies with you!1. Gold news analysis: $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ Friday (May 10) in the U.S. market, with the intensification of geopolitical tensions in Gaza to consolidate the safe-haven appeal of the precious metal, as well as recent data to raise concerns about the U.S. labor market, sparking speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates earlier than previously expected, the price of gold rose, the plate was close to 2,380, the European Central Bank virtually guaranteed that it would cut interest rates in June, the Australian Reserve Bank also made a decision to keep rates steady at its last meeting with dovish comments. In addition, Israel strikes east of Rafah, the ceasef

Copper, as an important industrial metal, its price trend has been widely concerned by the global market. In recent years, copper prices have experienced a series of fluctuations. Especially last week, copper prices broke through the $10,000 mark for the first time in two years. This increase not only reflects the current heat in the copper market, but also reflects the global economy, supply chain and energy transformation. The intertwined influence of multiple factors has aroused heated discussions in the market. Will $10,000 be the end of copper prices? Starting from multiple fundamental factors, combined with the latest industrial data, this article will deeply analyze multiple factors affecting the trend of copper prices, and look forward to the future trend of copper prices.1. Distur

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some macro analysis with y!1.Since the NFP data, gold has nearly maintained a wide range of shock trend for 4 days, today will be published out of the unemployment data, is expected to break the shock trend, XAUUSD will succeed in breaking 2300, my advice still maintain the sell order trading, 2320 near resistance is still very difficult to break through, the current offer of 2312, rebound 2315-16 directly continue to enter the sell order, TP: 2300 ! (Due to the existence of different spreads for each broker, SL set according to personal habits!) $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Image2.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will not agree to a hostage deal with Hamas unless it allows Israel to continue opera

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some macro information with you!1. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ touches pressure near 2320 again, continues to maintain downward trend！Image2.Sell orders at 2315-18 managed to reach TP,and touched 2303 support, in line with my strategy for Asian markets! I task Gold to fall further today and will fall below 2300! $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!https://twitter.com/TradersXauusd

Last trading day Tuesday (May 7): international gold / London gold rebound power slowed down, encountered obstacles to the performance of the closing, did not further rise to break through the pressure of the middle rail line, suggesting that the short side is still dominant, the trend is still biased towards shock pressure to be expected to fall back prospect. 　　Specific trend, the gold price since the Asian market opened at 2324.21 U.S. dollars / ounce, in a brief continuation of the recovery force first strong, at 9 o'clock in the session recorded an intraday high of 2329.82 U.S. dollars, was blocked back down, continue to soften, has continued to the end of the European session touched the intraday low of 2309.88 U.S. dollars, and after that is bottoming out, after the U.S. disk open,

How to manage (manipulate) market expectations? The easiest way is to fine-tune the results of the data, thereby "helping" the market to correct its judgment on the timing of interest rate cuts. In this regard, it has to be said that this term of the Federal Reserve and the US government are definitely the best of the best. Don't you see, after the release of the latest non-agricultural data in January, the time for interest rate cuts is expected to be brought forward from the end of the year to September. This time, which is neither too early nor too late Data show that the seasonally adjusted non-farm employment population in the United States recorded an increase of 175,000 in April, the lowest increase since October 2023, lower than the expected 243,000 and the previous value of 303,00

During the domestic May Day holiday, the practice of high volatility in the external market continues, but this time it is fulfilled in agricultural products. Let me talk about the macroeconomic situation first. Although the Fed's interest rate meeting will not adjust interest rates as scheduled, the slowdown in QT (shrinking balance sheet) is a real liquidity easing measure. It is very likely that we may not see the Fed cut interest rates this year, but shrinking balance sheet The process is likely to end this year, so it is not an exaggeration to think that the Fed is now at an inflection point for re-easing.The unexpected upset of the non-farm data provided a reason for the Fed to cut interest rates. When the unemployment rate is higher than 4%, it will be the time for the Fed to cut in

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with u!1. $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ Outlook for this week Monday (May 6): international gold opening first narrow pressure running, the dollar index by last Friday's more obvious bottoming out of the power to stop the performance of its gold prices to cause some pressure. Overall, the dollar index daily chart is still in the middle of the rail and short-term averages below, with chart indicators to maintain the short signal, short-term trend of the short side is still dominant, the weekly chart stops at the 10-week average, while the middle rail line is also the support position of the uptrend in recent months, so in the middle of the rail line is not broken, the dollar index is al

The foreign exchange market has been calm in the past few years. The large shock mode of the the US Dollar Index has caused most currencies to trade in a range mode. However, there are also outliers among them. The yen continues to fall and set a new historical low, but it is still not intervened by the central bank. What is the reason behind allowing the yen to fall?From the trend of the yen in CME group, it can be seen that the historic low has been moving down in the past few months, which also includes the macro environment where the Bank of Japan has begun to tighten. Looking forward, the Bank of Japan also briefly intervened in the foreign exchange market in 2022-2023, but the intensity was relatively limited, and the yen also rebounded slightly before sinking again.Obviously, from t

Last week, under the news that the conflict in the Middle East eased, gold and silver bulls showed signs of cashing in profits, which triggered a sharp correction in gold and silver prices. The 5-day moving average tracking is very effective. After the "squeeze" trend of gold prices, falling below the 5-day moving average will often trigger a relatively large correction, and the correction is started by a single-day sharp drop, so last week's decline is very close to the previous trend, and it will break through 2450 again It takes a longer time to accumulate energy and cooperate with the news. The current gold and silver prices have entered a turbulent mode. Of course, turmoil is not a bad thing, especially for silver prices. After the turmoil falls, it will be a good time to enter the ma

Affected by factors such as geopolitical conflicts and fluctuations in the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, the contradiction in risk appetite in the capital market has become increasingly prominent, and commodity prices have also entered a stage of high volatility.Taking gold as an example, the price of gold has experienced a correction after experiencing the "crazy growth" . On April 22 local time, COMEX gold futures for June delivery fell 3.01%, the largest one-day drop since June 2022.Two factors "suppress" precious metalsFor a long time, geopolitics has been the first factor affecting the prices of gold and silver. With the gradual escalation of tensions in the Middle East, the market's demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and silver has also increased simultaneously. Howeve

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.2330 successfully reached, did you enter the buy order?Image2.Gold was blocked lower at 2344 and sell orders continue to take profits! $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$After the first half of the week's shock, the current gold out of the shock trend! 2342 pressure has been broken, fall back to adjust for a better rise! 2353 will continue to break through!Image3.$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Intraday will focus on the United States in March core PCE price index annual rate, the United States in March personal spending rate, the United States in April, the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index final value of the data, the market

As speculated, news of the conflict between Israel and Iran has subsided, which has prompted a pullback in gold, and you may have to wait for a while to chase higher. For gold trading this year, the importance of finding a good time and a low position is relatively high, and it is not easy to chase ups and downs.The correction of gold With a long green line on Monday to determine a larger pullback/retracement time span, coupled with the more violent fall of silver (it has also been recommended to short silver and long gold to deal with this round of market), we expect gold to be short in the short term will not Reverse quickly.But how to judge the low point of the callback that everyone is more concerned about? First of all, it is certain that it is likely that it will be difficult for sho

On Friday, Israel appeared to be about to "retaliate" against Iran, causing crude oil and gold prices to soar and US stocks to plummet. Although both Israel and Iran soon came out to clarify, the Iranian side said that it intercepted the drone that attacked and did not cause too much loss, which caused a sharp retreat in the follow-up market.This phenomenon shows that the two sides of the conflict do not want to make things too big, but the financial market does not seem to buy the result, and the price fluctuation suddenly becomes very manic.The impact of the conflict on the US stock indexThe widening situation in the Middle East has weakened the market's sensitivity to news of the Fed's interest rate cut and increased concerns about war fears. Although there was a sharp rebound on Friday

As of the close on April 17, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed down. The Nasdaq and S&P fell for the fourth consecutive day, the longest record since January this year.U.S. stocks have outperformed expectations in 2023, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones rising 24.2%, 43.4%, and 13.7%, respectively. The market has also given high expectations for the performance of U.S. stocks in 2024. However, since April, the U.S. stock market has encountered a series of complex factors, causing the market to continue to be under adjustment pressure.So does this mean that the long bull market in US stocks is coming to an end? Will the new round of earnings season bring turmoil to US stocks?As the global banking leader JPMorgan Chase released a mixed quarterly report last

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some macro analysis with you! Hope it can help you!1.Friday (April 26) gold prices rose significantly. However, the current market generally tends to be bearish on the outlook for gold, with the main concern being that inflation could trigger monetary tightening if it is not effectively controlled. The gold market is at risk of its first weekly decline in six weeks, a trend that reflects easing market sentiment and a shift in expectations for U.S. monetary policy. At the same time, recent economic data releases in the United States are showing mixed signals and increasing market volatility. $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ On the one hand, the data showed a sharp slowdown in economic growth, which usually suppor