To The Moon

$Apple(AAPL)$ reports fiscal Q4 earnings tomorrow, with Wall Street expecting $113.3 billion in revenue and $1.98 EPS. With Goldman raising its price target to $390, expectations are high. However, I think investors should look beyond the headline earnings beat. The bigger question is whether Apple’s growth can support its increasingly ambitious valuation. 1. iPhone demand is the immediate catalyst The latest iPhone launch is central to this earnings report. Strong demand would reinforce Apple’s ability to maintain customer loyalty and generate revenue from its large installed base. However, supply constraints could limit how much of that demand translates into actual sales. I will be watching shipment volumes and management’s comments on pro

$Apple(AAPL)$  heads into its fiscal Q4 earnings report with expectations running high. Wall Street is looking for approximately $113.3 billion in revenue and $1.98 in earnings per share. With the share price already performing strongly, the question is whether Apple can deliver enough to justify another move towards an all-time high. I think the bigger story is not simply whether Apple beats earnings estimates. It is whether the company can demonstrate that its next phase of growth is sustainable. 1. iPhone demand remains the biggest catalyst The latest iPhone launch provides an important opportunity for Apple to demonstrate the strength of its customer base. Investors will want evidence that consumers are still willing to upgrade, part

When the three-month realized correlation between Apple and the Nasdaq-100 flips negative for the first time in decades, it's a flashing neon sign that the underlying plumbing of the market has fractured. it's a victory born of peer weakness rather than explosive top-line reinvention. When the broader index gets dragged down by growth disappointments elsewhere, Apple acts as a shock absorber. It absorbs the defensive bids simply because the alternatives—overleveraged AI plays or cyclical tech names—look structurally riskier at that exact moment. ​It's less about Apple rewriting the playbook and more about the rest of the index giving it the room to stand out by default

I’m cautiously bullish, but Apple probably needs more than a simple earnings beat to reach a new ATH. The ~$113.4B revenue and ~$1.99 EPS expectations already imply solid growth, while the stock is trading near record levels. More importantly, the iPhone Duo only launched in October, so its sales are not actually included in fiscal Q4. Investors will instead be looking closely at management’s comments on Duo demand, supply constraints and the holiday-quarter outlook. For me, the key is guidance. Strong iPhone demand plus improving supply and resilient margins could provide the catalyst for another leg higher. But rising component costs and a demanding valuation mean even good numbers may not be enough if forward guidance disappoints. Options are already pricing roughly a ±4.25% earnings mo

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Apple is entering a category it has avoided for years: foldables. At $1,999, the iPhone Duo does not need to become Apple's highest-volume iPhone to succeed. It needs to do three things: Raise ASP → pull premium users into another upgrade cycle → deepen the Apple ecosystem. That is why I think investors watching only preorder numbers may miss the bigger story. 🔵 WHAT I AM WATCHING FIRST: DUO ORDERS Apple closed around $342 after initially responding positively to the launch. For the next few weeks, the first question is simple: Does a $1,999 iPhone sell without heavy discounting? A strong launch would demonstrate something increasingly valuable in a mature smartphone market: Apple can still manufacture an upgrade cycle through form factor, not merely faster processors and better cameras. B

I would focus first on iPhone Duo orders, then Apple Intelligence adoption and services growth. Pre-orders are the clearest near-term test of whether Apple can turn the foldable format into a genuine upgrade cycle rather than just a premium niche. Strong demand without excessive promotions would also support higher ASPs and margins. Apple Intelligence matters more over the medium term. The key question is whether AI gives existing users a compelling reason to upgrade more frequently, rather than simply adding features to devices they would have bought anyway. Services remains the most dependable long-term earnings engine, but it is less useful for judging whether the Duo itself is succeeding. My order: Duo demand → AI-driven upgrades → services growth. If all three strengthen together, the

Apple duo new and creative phone gogogo

Apple’s Biggest Test Isn’t Selling a Foldable — It’s Changing User Habits Apple has launched a new form factor, but the real opportunity is bigger than a redesigned phone. The iPhone Duo opens into a larger display designed for multitasking, gaming and viewing content. Pre-orders begin October 16, with availability starting October 23 in the US.  The question for $AAPL investors is whether this changes customer behaviour — not just what their phones look like. 📱 1. Can a phone replace some tablet use? A foldable screen could make reading, video calls and working across apps more convenient. If customers regularly use these features, the Duo may offer a compelling reason to upgrade. If they mostly use it like a conventional phone, the premium design may be less transformative. 🔄 2. Will de

🚨 Apple’s $1,999 iPhone Duo: A New Growth Engine or an Expensive Experiment? $Apple(AAPL)$ is about to face an important test. Pre-orders for the new iPhone Duo open on 16 October, ahead of its 23 October release. Starting at US$1,999, Apple’s first foldable iPhone is making a bold bet: customers will pay a premium for a completely different smartphone experience. But the real question isn’t whether people think the device looks impressive. Can Apple turn a premium product into a meaningful new growth engine? 📱 1. The bull case: Apple could unlock a new upgrade cycle The iPhone Duo opens into a larger display designed for multitasking, gaming and viewing content, while retaining a compact outer screen. For existing iPhone users, this creates

When I need a new Gen phone each year to watch Tiktok as the contents are also new gen [Happy]  

gogogogogogogo

[微笑]

Scenario iPhone 18 outcome AAPL reaction 🟢 Bull Strong upgrades + higher ASP + AI features drive demand +10–20% 🟡 Base Solid upgrade cycle, but mostly expected +3–10% 🔴 Bear Good launch but weak unit growth / margins pressured -10–15%

All three indexes closed lower on Friday, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ down 0.38 per cent at 7,718.60, $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ down 0.51 per cent and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Composite down 0.29 per cent. On the same day $Micron Technology(MU)$ closed 6.10 per cent higher at US$1,016.59, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ 11.90 per cent higher at US$1,740.00, $SK hynix(SKHY)$ 8.14 per cent higher at US$177.00, and $Direxion D

I would wait for the event rather than buy the expectations. Apple has confirmed 10 September, 1am SGT, but the foldable, pricing and product mix remain expectations rather than confirmed details. The foldable could be strategically important, but the first-generation economics matter more than the novelty. KeyBanc expects roughly US$2,199 pricing and only ~80m total iPhone 18 builds across fiscal Q4 2026/Q1 2027 versus ~91m a year earlier. Reports also point to tight initial foldable production. That makes pricing, preorder demand and inventory availability more useful signals than keynote excitement. If Apple proves consumers will accept premium pricing without sacrificing volumes or margins, I would rather buy that confirmation than gamble on the reveal. A spectacular device does not au

$Apple(AAPL)$  Apple's warning matters because it comes from demand exceeding available components rather than weakening consumer demand. If memory constraints are temporary, investors may look through one or two quarters, especially given Apple's balance sheet and ability to secure supply ahead of rivals. However, if shortages persist, they can delay product shipments, pressure margins through higher procurement costs, and slow services growth by limiting new device sales. A 5% to 6% after-hours move suggests the market has already repriced much of the near-term risk. The next key question is whether suppliers such as SK Hynix, Micron and Samsung can expand advanced memory output quickly enough. If supply normalises, this is likely to be vie

$Apple(AAPL)$ beat on revenue for its fiscal third quarter and fell 5.74 per cent after hours. Once the same call had wrapped up, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ rose 4.61 per cent in extended hours and $SK hynix(SKHY)$ 3.76 per cent. Between the two sits a single remark from Tim Cook: memory supply is tight, it will hit next quarter, and the company is stockpiling hard to get ahead of significant supply constraints. On Apple's books that sentence is a cost. On a memory maker's books it is revenue. One fact, two income statements, opposite signs. Before we put the whole 5.74 per cent on that one line: the same results missed

Tech Selloff Deepens On Tue, 28 Jul 2026, selloff in US technology stocks gathered pace. It took the sector’s market value loss to about $1.6 trillion in just over 5 trading sessions. It comes at a time when investors continued to question (a) heavy AI spending, (b) disappointing earnings and (c) rising capex commitments by the industry's largest companies. This latest wave of selling pushed the Nasdaq-100 into correction territory during the session, marking a decline of more than -10% from its most recent record high. The tech index, which tracks the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange, finished the day -1.0% lower. As pointed out in my previous post (click here ! to savour),

Anatomy of a Record Multiple $Apple(AAPL)$ has reached a critical valuation crossroads. On 17 Jul 2026, it hit an intraday high of $334.99, and that rally briefly pushed its market capitalization to about $4.88 trillion, nudging past $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $4.86 trillion. For a fleeting moment, AAPL reclaimed the pole position as the world’s most valuable publicly traded company. Hitting this scale puts enormous pressure on every future quarter to justify the price. Trading at nearly 11x sales, AAPL sits at its highest valuation multiple in company history. (see above) What makes this moment unusual is AAPL’s mix of leadership change, valuation expansion, and product-cycle optimism - hitting home all at once. Mar

$Apple(AAPL)$  heads into its fiscal Q4 earnings report with expectations running high. Wall Street is looking for approximately $113.3 billion in revenue and $1.98 in earnings per share. With the share price already performing strongly, the question is whether Apple can deliver enough to justify another move towards an all-time high. I think the bigger story is not simply whether Apple beats earnings estimates. It is whether the company can demonstrate that its next phase of growth is sustainable. 1. iPhone demand remains the biggest catalyst The latest iPhone launch provides an important opportunity for Apple to demonstrate the strength of its customer base. Investors will want evidence that consumers are still willing to upgrade, part

$Apple(AAPL)$ reports fiscal Q4 earnings tomorrow, with Wall Street expecting $113.3 billion in revenue and $1.98 EPS. With Goldman raising its price target to $390, expectations are high. However, I think investors should look beyond the headline earnings beat. The bigger question is whether Apple’s growth can support its increasingly ambitious valuation. 1. iPhone demand is the immediate catalyst The latest iPhone launch is central to this earnings report. Strong demand would reinforce Apple’s ability to maintain customer loyalty and generate revenue from its large installed base. However, supply constraints could limit how much of that demand translates into actual sales. I will be watching shipment volumes and management’s comments on pro

I’m cautiously bullish, but Apple probably needs more than a simple earnings beat to reach a new ATH. The ~$113.4B revenue and ~$1.99 EPS expectations already imply solid growth, while the stock is trading near record levels. More importantly, the iPhone Duo only launched in October, so its sales are not actually included in fiscal Q4. Investors will instead be looking closely at management’s comments on Duo demand, supply constraints and the holiday-quarter outlook. For me, the key is guidance. Strong iPhone demand plus improving supply and resilient margins could provide the catalyst for another leg higher. But rising component costs and a demanding valuation mean even good numbers may not be enough if forward guidance disappoints. Options are already pricing roughly a ±4.25% earnings mo

When the three-month realized correlation between Apple and the Nasdaq-100 flips negative for the first time in decades, it's a flashing neon sign that the underlying plumbing of the market has fractured. it's a victory born of peer weakness rather than explosive top-line reinvention. When the broader index gets dragged down by growth disappointments elsewhere, Apple acts as a shock absorber. It absorbs the defensive bids simply because the alternatives—overleveraged AI plays or cyclical tech names—look structurally riskier at that exact moment. ​It's less about Apple rewriting the playbook and more about the rest of the index giving it the room to stand out by default

Apple is entering a category it has avoided for years: foldables. At $1,999, the iPhone Duo does not need to become Apple's highest-volume iPhone to succeed. It needs to do three things: Raise ASP → pull premium users into another upgrade cycle → deepen the Apple ecosystem. That is why I think investors watching only preorder numbers may miss the bigger story. 🔵 WHAT I AM WATCHING FIRST: DUO ORDERS Apple closed around $342 after initially responding positively to the launch. For the next few weeks, the first question is simple: Does a $1,999 iPhone sell without heavy discounting? A strong launch would demonstrate something increasingly valuable in a mature smartphone market: Apple can still manufacture an upgrade cycle through form factor, not merely faster processors and better cameras. B

🚨 Apple’s $1,999 iPhone Duo: A New Growth Engine or an Expensive Experiment? $Apple(AAPL)$ is about to face an important test. Pre-orders for the new iPhone Duo open on 16 October, ahead of its 23 October release. Starting at US$1,999, Apple’s first foldable iPhone is making a bold bet: customers will pay a premium for a completely different smartphone experience. But the real question isn’t whether people think the device looks impressive. Can Apple turn a premium product into a meaningful new growth engine? 📱 1. The bull case: Apple could unlock a new upgrade cycle The iPhone Duo opens into a larger display designed for multitasking, gaming and viewing content, while retaining a compact outer screen. For existing iPhone users, this creates

Apple’s Biggest Test Isn’t Selling a Foldable — It’s Changing User Habits Apple has launched a new form factor, but the real opportunity is bigger than a redesigned phone. The iPhone Duo opens into a larger display designed for multitasking, gaming and viewing content. Pre-orders begin October 16, with availability starting October 23 in the US.  The question for $AAPL investors is whether this changes customer behaviour — not just what their phones look like. 📱 1. Can a phone replace some tablet use? A foldable screen could make reading, video calls and working across apps more convenient. If customers regularly use these features, the Duo may offer a compelling reason to upgrade. If they mostly use it like a conventional phone, the premium design may be less transformative. 🔄 2. Will de

I would focus first on iPhone Duo orders, then Apple Intelligence adoption and services growth. Pre-orders are the clearest near-term test of whether Apple can turn the foldable format into a genuine upgrade cycle rather than just a premium niche. Strong demand without excessive promotions would also support higher ASPs and margins. Apple Intelligence matters more over the medium term. The key question is whether AI gives existing users a compelling reason to upgrade more frequently, rather than simply adding features to devices they would have bought anyway. Services remains the most dependable long-term earnings engine, but it is less useful for judging whether the Duo itself is succeeding. My order: Duo demand → AI-driven upgrades → services growth. If all three strengthen together, the

djdjbrbdvrdbejeb djdbr r

All three indexes closed lower on Friday, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ down 0.38 per cent at 7,718.60, $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ down 0.51 per cent and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Composite down 0.29 per cent. On the same day $Micron Technology(MU)$ closed 6.10 per cent higher at US$1,016.59, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ 11.90 per cent higher at US$1,740.00, $SK hynix(SKHY)$ 8.14 per cent higher at US$177.00, and $Direxion D

When I need a new Gen phone each year to watch Tiktok as the contents are also new gen [Happy]  

Apple duo new and creative phone gogogo

gogogogogogogo

[微笑]

Anatomy of a Record Multiple $Apple(AAPL)$ has reached a critical valuation crossroads. On 17 Jul 2026, it hit an intraday high of $334.99, and that rally briefly pushed its market capitalization to about $4.88 trillion, nudging past $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $4.86 trillion. For a fleeting moment, AAPL reclaimed the pole position as the world’s most valuable publicly traded company. Hitting this scale puts enormous pressure on every future quarter to justify the price. Trading at nearly 11x sales, AAPL sits at its highest valuation multiple in company history. (see above) What makes this moment unusual is AAPL’s mix of leadership change, valuation expansion, and product-cycle optimism - hitting home all at once. Mar

Tech Selloff Deepens On Tue, 28 Jul 2026, selloff in US technology stocks gathered pace. It took the sector’s market value loss to about $1.6 trillion in just over 5 trading sessions. It comes at a time when investors continued to question (a) heavy AI spending, (b) disappointing earnings and (c) rising capex commitments by the industry's largest companies. This latest wave of selling pushed the Nasdaq-100 into correction territory during the session, marking a decline of more than -10% from its most recent record high. The tech index, which tracks the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange, finished the day -1.0% lower. As pointed out in my previous post (click here ! to savour),

$Apple(AAPL)$ beat on revenue for its fiscal third quarter and fell 5.74 per cent after hours. Once the same call had wrapped up, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ rose 4.61 per cent in extended hours and $SK hynix(SKHY)$ 3.76 per cent. Between the two sits a single remark from Tim Cook: memory supply is tight, it will hit next quarter, and the company is stockpiling hard to get ahead of significant supply constraints. On Apple's books that sentence is a cost. On a memory maker's books it is revenue. One fact, two income statements, opposite signs. Before we put the whole 5.74 per cent on that one line: the same results missed

I would wait for the event rather than buy the expectations. Apple has confirmed 10 September, 1am SGT, but the foldable, pricing and product mix remain expectations rather than confirmed details. The foldable could be strategically important, but the first-generation economics matter more than the novelty. KeyBanc expects roughly US$2,199 pricing and only ~80m total iPhone 18 builds across fiscal Q4 2026/Q1 2027 versus ~91m a year earlier. Reports also point to tight initial foldable production. That makes pricing, preorder demand and inventory availability more useful signals than keynote excitement. If Apple proves consumers will accept premium pricing without sacrificing volumes or margins, I would rather buy that confirmation than gamble on the reveal. A spectacular device does not au

🍎 Apple at Record Highs: Breakout or Expectations Getting Too High? Apple has surged to a fresh record high, with the stock gaining around 4% in one session and approaching a $5 trillion valuation. The move appears to reflect renewed confidence that Apple may finally be turning its enormous installed user base into a meaningful AI growth story. The question is no longer whether Apple is a great company. The question is whether the share price is now expecting too much, too quickly. 🟢 The Bull Case 1. Apple may finally have a clearer AI pathway Apple has reportedly received regulatory approval relating to its generative-AI technology in China, potentially allowing Apple Intelligence and future Siri upgrades to reach one of its most important markets. That could strengthen demand for newer d

Scenario iPhone 18 outcome AAPL reaction 🟢 Bull Strong upgrades + higher ASP + AI features drive demand +10–20% 🟡 Base Solid upgrade cycle, but mostly expected +3–10% 🔴 Bear Good launch but weak unit growth / margins pressured -10–15%