To The Moon

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ thought: The relief rally looks to be stalling with price trading near 5100 yesterday, and starting to trade back below 5000 this morning. The best relief rallies convince participants the pullback is over. Staying ‘stuck’ in this 5000-5150 range for another week would help that cause. Decline targets remain 4800, and the 4500-4600 range under a stronger corrective move.Image2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ thoughts repeated: “the most effective corrections have a phase where the majority of participants are convinced it has reached its conclusion”— this seems very well underway Stalling in the 5000-5150 range is what I am looking for to validate this thought3.Last week the S&P 500 was do

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some trading strategies with you! Hope it can help you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ held 5000, if it gets through 5019 it can set up for 5038 next $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ reclaimed 800 and moved up to 824, strong bounce, needs to hold 814 to set up for 829 tomorrow $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ earnings coming up tonight, if positive raection we can see $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ back up to 424+.2.Trade plan for Friday ✅ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ strong recovery after backtesting 5000 today. If SPX can get through

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ - I sold META puts a couple days ago. Although I believe META can rebound in the future, the capital used to take on those put positions will likely be tied up for at least 3 months. As someone who tries to unite theory and practice, I didn't really feel like talking much tonight and wanted to remain quiet.Despite lacking energy, I still need to maintain daily observations. An interesting question arises - after an earnings release, will market makers start killing off option positions?Call options will undoubtedly get crushed. For META's put options this week, the 450, 470, 440, 400, 480 strikes have the highest open interest. Looking at the intraday movements, although market makers can't control everything, they sti

Market attention has shifted towards earnings season, with the U.S. stock market extending its rally. Spotify's stock surged 11.4% after exceeding Wall Street's first-quarter expectations and issuing an optimistic second-quarter guidance. Delivery giant UPS rose 2.4% after beating profit forecasts.Option market data shows that S&P 500 options continue to bet on far out-of-the-money put options, with call open interest shrinking, expecting a 5% decline over the next 2 months. QQQ options continue to bet on far out-of-the-money puts, expecting volatility over 3.7% before May 17th. Small-cap Russell 2000 options continue to add far out-of-the-money put positions, anticipating a potential 4.5% decline by June.Details: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$<

Market attention shifted to earnings season, with U.S. stocks extending their rally. Spotify's shares surged 11.4% after beating Wall Street's Q1 expectations and issuing an upbeat Q2 guidance. UPS rose 2.4% as the delivery giant's profits exceeded forecasts.Options market data showed continued accumulation of far-dated put options on the S&P 500, implying expectations of another 5% decline over the next two months. For QQQ, far-dated puts kept adding, suggesting an 8% drop is priced in over the same period. On small-caps, Russell 2000 options saw further build-up of far-dated put positions, indicating a potential 4.5% decline in May.Details:The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) options overall reflected a bullish trading sentiment, with sellers of put options dominating. Open call interest declin

In summary: Tesla's stock price is likely to settle around $160 this week, but there is a small probability of a gamma squeeze on call options, pushing the price up to $170.After its earnings report, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ rebounded 11%, essentially just recouping last week's losses. Apart from "killing" the shorts, there seems to be no other substantial impact - it was just noise.The short-sellers were hit hard, with the effect being significant. The top 9 out-of-the-money put options expiring this week were essentially all buried, expiring worthless. Listed from low to high strike prices, the put options with open interest above 10,000 contracts had strikes at: 150, 140, 130, 135, 75, 120, 100, 145, 125, 160, 115, 155, 110, and 90.The distribution

What to do after a big surge of $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ? Two indicators worth paying attention to. Short positions. Since this week, due to the financial report event, short positions have actively reduced their positions, and it was not until April 23 that they continued to increase some speculative chips. However, the rise after hours is enough to make them cover, because the short covering of Tesla is generally about 1.2 days, and the trading frequency is very fast. According to the short trading situation of the previous quarter, the days after the financial report are often the most active trading period for short positions. Considering the sharp drop after the financial report of the previous quarter, the short positions have more advantage. S

Impacted by last week's plunge, tech earnings this week, even with robust numbers, may not see significant rallies and could potentially decline further. As a result, large options orders for tech stocks appear to have turned quite conservative, with institutions starting to employ in-the-money option combinations to reduce costs and control risks. This reflects the market's skepticism about the sustainability of the current market rebound. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ I believe META will remain the strongest performer this earnings season due to its monopolistic advantages. However, expectations should not be set too high, as the previous sell-off has made $525 a minor resistance level, making a repeat of last quarter's 20% surge unrealistic. No

With Middle East tensions easing, investors await tech giants' earnings reports and key U.S. inflation data as the S&P 500 reclaims the 5,000 level, ending a six-day plunge. Tech stocks led the broader market rebound, as investors pinned hopes on whether the "super earnings week" can live up to lofty AI expectations.Options market data shows narrowing expected gains for the S&P 500 options, with gains under 2.2% by May 10th. QQQ's expected trading range widens, with continued buying of straddle combinations. Small-cap Russell 2000 options see increased bets on longer-dated put options, suggesting a potential 5.6% decline before June.Details:For the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ options, the overall traded sentiment is bullish, with sell

[Miser]Unleash the power of options trading and enjoy Ultra-low US options fees: USD 0.65 per contract for everyone!Ready to elevate your trading experience? Download Tiger Trade today and start your journey to becoming a trading pro: https://tigr.link/7n06ZjT&Cs apply. Please refer to https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/commissions/fees for other applicable fees. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.This advertiseme

Why Exercise In-The-Money Options Early?Beginner options buyers often firmly believe that for profitable options, they should either close the position or wait until expiration to exercise. Early exercise is seen as wasting time value.However, in some situations, early exercise may actually be the wiser choice.The first scenario is when the underlying asset has a massive upward move, making the call deep in-the-money (or a massive downward move making the put deep in-the-money). While this is certainly a welcome development, deep in-the-money options often suffer from poor liquidity. At this point, if you decide to lock in profits, you may find that the bid-ask spread due to low liquidity can eat into a significant portion of your gains.By exercising early, since stocks generally have much

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading stratgies with you! Hope it can help you!1.Premarket plan $S&P 500(.SPX)$ can test 5000 at the open, if it closes above 5k we can see a pop to 5038 by Wednesday. Calls can work above 5000 $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ oversold in the short term, above 770 can test 800 this week. Calls can work above 770 $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ if this can defend 700 over the next 2 days it can pop up 70 pts this week. Calls can work above 700 $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ held 770 now at 785+.. possible we see 800 by tomorrow. Calls working so far above 770 if you bought

After examining Friday's new options positions, I feel there's no need to wait until Monday's market close. I can assert that this week, the battle for NVIDIA's stock price will revolve around the $800 level.Specifically, I'm optimistic that NVIDIA will be able to maintain a price above $800 this week, although upside may be capped around the $840 level.Let me first share the overall picture of NVIDIA's options. Although some might regret missing last week's plunge, there's no need to worry, as the next major options expiration event is on May 17th, when the monthly options for May expire, with a significant number of open interest contracts. However, the specific dynamics will depend on the price movement preferences in May, for which I'll conduct a thorough analysis as we approach that d

Fading rate cut hopes and geopolitical uncertainties fueled a sell-off in large tech stocks, leading to a Black Friday for US stocks. The S&P 500 broke below the 4,000 level. The Nasdaq saw its sixth consecutive day of declines, the longest losing streak in over a year. American Express lifted the Dow Jones to close higher.Options market data showed expectations for a narrowing decline in the S&P 500, with a drop of less than 4.4% expected by May 17th. For QQQ, the expected decline narrowed, with a 2.1% drop projected by May 17th. For small-caps, Russell 2000 options implied a tightening range, with a 1.5% decline and 6.7% upside cap expected for May.Details:The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ options overall showed a slightly bullish tra

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some trading strategies with you! Hope it can help you!1. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Trade Idea: Apr 26 730P Trigger: Under 770 Target: 730 Stop: 778 Big sell-off last week. Puts can work under 770 as a day trade this week for a move towards 730.Image2.Trade Idea: Apr 26 140P 💡 Trigger: Under 147 📉 Target: 140 🎯 Stop: 151 🛑 AMD under 147 can test 140, 133 next. Possible bottom can form around 130-133. Puts under 147 can work this weekImage3. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is down 5.8%+ since the beginning of April. SPX failed to defend 5000 this past week. We can see one more dip towards 4900 before a short term bottom forms this week. If SPX dips near 4941 and holds we can see 5000 by

if we continue to be bearish on Nvidia or the entire market, then we can choose to sell short

[得意] [得意]

Nice 💚 💚 💚

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ failed to withstand the squeeze pressure and plunged towards $800. The overall market had a significant number of options expiring on April 19th, with a heavy tilt towards puts, creating a resonance effect. As my friend said, it seems like we have an "option expiration day" every month now.Despite our thorough analysis this week, our optimism was a bit excessive. However, the silver lining is that after experiencing this minor squeeze, we'll be more cautious when we encounter similar option expiration setups in the future.Although NVIDIA's stock price took a substantial hit, there's some good news. After this Friday, the massive number of put options expiring on April 19th will be cleared, leading to a cliff-like decrease in NV

Impacted by hawkish Fed rhetoric, strong economic data, and rising Treasury yields, the S&P 500 saw its first five-day losing streak since October 2022 this week. Semiconductor stocks sold off heavily, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunging, hurt by TSMC's downbeat outlook weighing on overall chip growth expectations.Options market data showed diverging investor expectations for the future. S&P 500 options reflected slightly bullish sentiment, but upside was expected to be limited near-term. Nasdaq options had a slightly bearish tilt, with investors positioning for relatively contained downside risks. For small-caps, Russell 2000 options trading indicated bullish sentiment, with investors mainly taking defensive stances by selling puts.Details:The

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some trading strategies with you! Hope it can help you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ held 5000, if it gets through 5019 it can set up for 5038 next $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ reclaimed 800 and moved up to 824, strong bounce, needs to hold 814 to set up for 829 tomorrow $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ earnings coming up tonight, if positive raection we can see $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ back up to 424+.2.Trade plan for Friday ✅ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ strong recovery after backtesting 5000 today. If SPX can get through

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ thought: The relief rally looks to be stalling with price trading near 5100 yesterday, and starting to trade back below 5000 this morning. The best relief rallies convince participants the pullback is over. Staying ‘stuck’ in this 5000-5150 range for another week would help that cause. Decline targets remain 4800, and the 4500-4600 range under a stronger corrective move.Image2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ thoughts repeated: “the most effective corrections have a phase where the majority of participants are convinced it has reached its conclusion”— this seems very well underway Stalling in the 5000-5150 range is what I am looking for to validate this thought3.Last week the S&P 500 was do

Market attention has shifted towards earnings season, with the U.S. stock market extending its rally. Spotify's stock surged 11.4% after exceeding Wall Street's first-quarter expectations and issuing an optimistic second-quarter guidance. Delivery giant UPS rose 2.4% after beating profit forecasts.Option market data shows that S&P 500 options continue to bet on far out-of-the-money put options, with call open interest shrinking, expecting a 5% decline over the next 2 months. QQQ options continue to bet on far out-of-the-money puts, expecting volatility over 3.7% before May 17th. Small-cap Russell 2000 options continue to add far out-of-the-money put positions, anticipating a potential 4.5% decline by June.Details: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$<

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ - I sold META puts a couple days ago. Although I believe META can rebound in the future, the capital used to take on those put positions will likely be tied up for at least 3 months. As someone who tries to unite theory and practice, I didn't really feel like talking much tonight and wanted to remain quiet.Despite lacking energy, I still need to maintain daily observations. An interesting question arises - after an earnings release, will market makers start killing off option positions?Call options will undoubtedly get crushed. For META's put options this week, the 450, 470, 440, 400, 480 strikes have the highest open interest. Looking at the intraday movements, although market makers can't control everything, they sti

Market attention shifted to earnings season, with U.S. stocks extending their rally. Spotify's shares surged 11.4% after beating Wall Street's Q1 expectations and issuing an upbeat Q2 guidance. UPS rose 2.4% as the delivery giant's profits exceeded forecasts.Options market data showed continued accumulation of far-dated put options on the S&P 500, implying expectations of another 5% decline over the next two months. For QQQ, far-dated puts kept adding, suggesting an 8% drop is priced in over the same period. On small-caps, Russell 2000 options saw further build-up of far-dated put positions, indicating a potential 4.5% decline in May.Details:The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) options overall reflected a bullish trading sentiment, with sellers of put options dominating. Open call interest declin

In summary: Tesla's stock price is likely to settle around $160 this week, but there is a small probability of a gamma squeeze on call options, pushing the price up to $170.After its earnings report, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ rebounded 11%, essentially just recouping last week's losses. Apart from "killing" the shorts, there seems to be no other substantial impact - it was just noise.The short-sellers were hit hard, with the effect being significant. The top 9 out-of-the-money put options expiring this week were essentially all buried, expiring worthless. Listed from low to high strike prices, the put options with open interest above 10,000 contracts had strikes at: 150, 140, 130, 135, 75, 120, 100, 145, 125, 160, 115, 155, 110, and 90.The distribution

Impacted by last week's plunge, tech earnings this week, even with robust numbers, may not see significant rallies and could potentially decline further. As a result, large options orders for tech stocks appear to have turned quite conservative, with institutions starting to employ in-the-money option combinations to reduce costs and control risks. This reflects the market's skepticism about the sustainability of the current market rebound. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ I believe META will remain the strongest performer this earnings season due to its monopolistic advantages. However, expectations should not be set too high, as the previous sell-off has made $525 a minor resistance level, making a repeat of last quarter's 20% surge unrealistic. No

With Middle East tensions easing, investors await tech giants' earnings reports and key U.S. inflation data as the S&P 500 reclaims the 5,000 level, ending a six-day plunge. Tech stocks led the broader market rebound, as investors pinned hopes on whether the "super earnings week" can live up to lofty AI expectations.Options market data shows narrowing expected gains for the S&P 500 options, with gains under 2.2% by May 10th. QQQ's expected trading range widens, with continued buying of straddle combinations. Small-cap Russell 2000 options see increased bets on longer-dated put options, suggesting a potential 5.6% decline before June.Details:For the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ options, the overall traded sentiment is bullish, with sell

After examining Friday's new options positions, I feel there's no need to wait until Monday's market close. I can assert that this week, the battle for NVIDIA's stock price will revolve around the $800 level.Specifically, I'm optimistic that NVIDIA will be able to maintain a price above $800 this week, although upside may be capped around the $840 level.Let me first share the overall picture of NVIDIA's options. Although some might regret missing last week's plunge, there's no need to worry, as the next major options expiration event is on May 17th, when the monthly options for May expire, with a significant number of open interest contracts. However, the specific dynamics will depend on the price movement preferences in May, for which I'll conduct a thorough analysis as we approach that d

Fading rate cut hopes and geopolitical uncertainties fueled a sell-off in large tech stocks, leading to a Black Friday for US stocks. The S&P 500 broke below the 4,000 level. The Nasdaq saw its sixth consecutive day of declines, the longest losing streak in over a year. American Express lifted the Dow Jones to close higher.Options market data showed expectations for a narrowing decline in the S&P 500, with a drop of less than 4.4% expected by May 17th. For QQQ, the expected decline narrowed, with a 2.1% drop projected by May 17th. For small-caps, Russell 2000 options implied a tightening range, with a 1.5% decline and 6.7% upside cap expected for May.Details:The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ options overall showed a slightly bullish tra

Why Exercise In-The-Money Options Early?Beginner options buyers often firmly believe that for profitable options, they should either close the position or wait until expiration to exercise. Early exercise is seen as wasting time value.However, in some situations, early exercise may actually be the wiser choice.The first scenario is when the underlying asset has a massive upward move, making the call deep in-the-money (or a massive downward move making the put deep in-the-money). While this is certainly a welcome development, deep in-the-money options often suffer from poor liquidity. At this point, if you decide to lock in profits, you may find that the bid-ask spread due to low liquidity can eat into a significant portion of your gains.By exercising early, since stocks generally have much

What to do after a big surge of $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ? Two indicators worth paying attention to. Short positions. Since this week, due to the financial report event, short positions have actively reduced their positions, and it was not until April 23 that they continued to increase some speculative chips. However, the rise after hours is enough to make them cover, because the short covering of Tesla is generally about 1.2 days, and the trading frequency is very fast. According to the short trading situation of the previous quarter, the days after the financial report are often the most active trading period for short positions. Considering the sharp drop after the financial report of the previous quarter, the short positions have more advantage. S

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading stratgies with you! Hope it can help you!1.Premarket plan $S&P 500(.SPX)$ can test 5000 at the open, if it closes above 5k we can see a pop to 5038 by Wednesday. Calls can work above 5000 $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ oversold in the short term, above 770 can test 800 this week. Calls can work above 770 $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ if this can defend 700 over the next 2 days it can pop up 70 pts this week. Calls can work above 700 $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ held 770 now at 785+.. possible we see 800 by tomorrow. Calls working so far above 770 if you bought

[Miser]Unleash the power of options trading and enjoy Ultra-low US options fees: USD 0.65 per contract for everyone!Ready to elevate your trading experience? Download Tiger Trade today and start your journey to becoming a trading pro: https://tigr.link/7n06ZjT&Cs apply. Please refer to https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/commissions/fees for other applicable fees. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.This advertiseme

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some trading strategies with you! Hope it can help you!1. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Trade Idea: Apr 26 730P Trigger: Under 770 Target: 730 Stop: 778 Big sell-off last week. Puts can work under 770 as a day trade this week for a move towards 730.Image2.Trade Idea: Apr 26 140P 💡 Trigger: Under 147 📉 Target: 140 🎯 Stop: 151 🛑 AMD under 147 can test 140, 133 next. Possible bottom can form around 130-133. Puts under 147 can work this weekImage3. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is down 5.8%+ since the beginning of April. SPX failed to defend 5000 this past week. We can see one more dip towards 4900 before a short term bottom forms this week. If SPX dips near 4941 and holds we can see 5000 by

Impacted by hawkish Fed rhetoric, strong economic data, and rising Treasury yields, the S&P 500 saw its first five-day losing streak since October 2022 this week. Semiconductor stocks sold off heavily, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunging, hurt by TSMC's downbeat outlook weighing on overall chip growth expectations.Options market data showed diverging investor expectations for the future. S&P 500 options reflected slightly bullish sentiment, but upside was expected to be limited near-term. Nasdaq options had a slightly bearish tilt, with investors positioning for relatively contained downside risks. For small-caps, Russell 2000 options trading indicated bullish sentiment, with investors mainly taking defensive stances by selling puts.Details:The

if we continue to be bearish on Nvidia or the entire market, then we can choose to sell short

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ failed to withstand the squeeze pressure and plunged towards $800. The overall market had a significant number of options expiring on April 19th, with a heavy tilt towards puts, creating a resonance effect. As my friend said, it seems like we have an "option expiration day" every month now.Despite our thorough analysis this week, our optimism was a bit excessive. However, the silver lining is that after experiencing this minor squeeze, we'll be more cautious when we encounter similar option expiration setups in the future.Although NVIDIA's stock price took a substantial hit, there's some good news. After this Friday, the massive number of put options expiring on April 19th will be cleared, leading to a cliff-like decrease in NV

[得意] [得意]

Nice 💚 💚 💚