$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Getting Ready for SeptemberThe S&P 500 has shown positive returns 44% of the time, with an average return of -1.20%.Presidential election years typically exhibit lackluster average returns in September and October, with figures of -0.46% and -0.34%, respectively. However, this trend often precedes a post-election rally through the end of the year.Drop a 💚 or repost for more seasonality charts. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2409(ESmain)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$E-min
At a very simple level, we can break every company down a company’s operating profit (or loss) into its components. The equation looks like this:Operating Profit = Revenue - Variable Costs - Fixed Fixed Costs = Sales - COGS - Operating ExpensesIt’s a simple equation, but its impact on investing is profound.Here are a few more definitions that will help as we work through the concept of operating leverage.Gross Margin = Sales - Cost of Goods SoldThis can be expressed as a dollar figure or a %Operating Expenses = R&D and Sales, General & Administrative expensesThis is all of the overhead costs to operate the business like paying executives, accountants, the marketing team, R&D efforts, etc.Depending on factors like gross margin rate and the level of operating expenses, companies
$SPX - The day was better than the futures anticipated
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - The day was better than the futures anticipated, but it closed weak anyway.Despite initial bounce, the market reversed course, with the afternoon session resulting in a bearish candle below the 10DMA.The $5575 support level is critical for tomorrow. A breakdown could accelerate the decline, and a bearish MACD crossover could further confirm a bearish trend.As mentioned earlier, I'm interested in hearing your suggestions for a stock to analyze in depth, similar to the recent $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ summary. Let me know your suggestions.Imagehttps://x.com/SmartReversals/status/1829252445513625726
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ - Daily Chart - Two indicators to watch:1) 20DMA, currently holding price2) MACD, ready for a bearish crossoverIf the first one breaks, the $100 zone would be tested, considering also the bearish cross in the MACD.Good fundamentals, but the stock is being punished for missing gross margin (75% vs 78%, not bad anyway).ImageInteresting correlation analyzed by $Bank of America(BAC)$ between the reaction to Nvidia's earnings report and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ .Sounds like a consolidation is in play...Unless that 20DMA previously charted holds for NVDA, or unless 6 datapoints are a very small sample.Imagehttps://x.com/SmartReversals/status/1829260283488
Oil Prices Eye Surge Amid Supply Disruptions: Is a Rally on the Horizon?
Overview Oil prices have surged by over a dollar per barrel, fueled by significant supply disruptions in Libya and upcoming production cuts in Iraq. These developments have reignited fears of tighter global supplies, pushing Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures to new heights. As geopolitical tensions and production strategies weigh heavily on the market, traders are left to question: Will oil prices continue their upward trajectory, or will other factors temper the surge? Supply Disruptions in Libya: A Ticking Time Bomb Libya, a nation often plagued by political instability, is once again at the center of global oil market concerns. On Thursday, more than half of Libya's oil production was shut down due to a standoff between rival political factions, leading to the closur
Option Movers | Intel Shows the Highest Bullish Sentiment; Affirm's Volume Soars 8 Times as Stock Surges 32%
The Dow notched a record high close on Thursday (Aug 29) in mixed trading following robust U.S. economic data, while artificial intelligence chipmaker Nvidia dropped after its largely in-line forecast failed to impress investors.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 43,242,038 contracts was traded on Thursday.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: $NVDA(NVDA)$; $TSLA(TSLA)$; $AAPL(AAPL)$; $INTC(INTC)$; $SOFI(SOFI)$; $AMD(AMD)$; $PDD(PDD)$; $AFRM(AFRM)$;
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$This company has been known to be too aggressive to the point of possible fraud for some time. Yet, they got a slap in the wrist, and what they are doing now was probably similar. This company is in what will probably be the largest revolution in the history of man . . . probably much larger than the industrial revolution. One can't afford to fall behind in the AI race, and the stakes are innumerable. This market is going to grow so fast, these mistakes by smci won't matter. Shorting this right now will be a classic bad move looking back in history, I believe. And my AI can argues with me; they are progressing at an astonishing rate. Those in the know know this. Look at what Elon Musk is d
🟩 Dive into the world of S-REITs with Iggy from The Investing Iguana! In this eye-opening video, we unpack the potential comeback of Singapore REITs in 2024. Discover why S-REITs might be the dark horse in your investment portfolio this year. $Mapletree Industrial Trust(MAPIF)$$Mapletree Log Tr(M44U.SI)$$Frasers L&C Tr(BUOU.SI)$ 🔍 Inside this video: The challenges S-REITs have faced Signs of recovery in the market Top-performing REITs to watch Expert analysis on interest rates and yields Potential risks and opportunities Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting out, this video provides valuable insights into the S-REIT market. Learn how re
After the U.S. market closed yesterday, $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ released its Q2 earnings report for FY2025, which beat expectations and sent the stock soaring 7.36% in after-hours trading.Marvell is a leading global semiconductor company providing comprehensive broadband communication and storage solutions. They focus on high-speed, high-density digital data storage and broadband digital data network markets, specializing in mixed-signal and digital signal processing integrated circuits.The company offers a range of products in the optical module industry, including clock data recovery chips (CDRs), optical receivers (ROSAs), and transimpedance amplifiers (TIAs).Optical modules are critical components in optical communication, widely used in da
Selling covered call options (sell covered call) is a strategy adopted by many large funds. It can also be used by retail investors in the US stock market.You can get income while holding it. This strategy is very suitable for stocks that have long-term positions, but they have not moved but they are not in a bearish position recently or are in a bearish position recently. It can be a good strategy for mature investors to roll over when holding some targets for a long time. Income comparison Assume that investors hold 200 shares of Amazon from January 1 to December 17, 2021 If there is no operation during the holding period, the final total assets will be USD 675,484 If the covered call strategy is carried out, it will be operated once a week; if 100 shares are sold after the exercise, ano
🎂🎁Warren Buffett Turns 94! Pick Your Favorite Investment Quotes
Happy Birthday to Warren Buffett!Warren Buffett’s $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ reached a $1 trillion market capitalization on Wednesday, the first nontechnology company in the U.S. to score the coveted milestone. $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$It’s Warren Buffett’s Birthday. https://finimize.com/50 years ago the best Investors were the ones with informational edge. Today the best Investors are the ones with behavioral edge.His wisdom has been a guiding light for investors around the world.Please express your birthday greetings to Buffet and select your favorite quote from the below investing quotes edited by Compounding Quality.To gain a deeper understanding of Warren Buffett’s investment strategy and philos
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ GROWTH! Growth is still growth in this limited growth economy. As the gamblers leave the center stage to bet on small caps and big caps, JP Morgan studies have shown that growth stocks still have better returns 12 months after the first rate cut. Given the current outlook of a soft landing, Nvidia would have even more cash-flow for debt financing once rate is lowered which deepens their competitive edge and product offerings even more. The market is demanding too much growth that is not sensible at all. Which other growth companies have this much growth during high rate period as NVDA? A better metrics for investment would be to measure its long term growth consistency in the industr
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ I actually sold $Apple(AAPL)$ recently and brought nvidia, why? Apple has been a great stock for me, i own everything apple, but i just don't see the potential for apple to reinvent the wheel in the near term. In contrast, nvidia is providing the parts so that other companies can reinvent the wheel. Why bet on all the horses in a race. Just bet on the company that supplies them with the fuel to do it. Investing to me is thinking outside the square, many companies are jumping on the AI bandwagon. Some will win others will loose. But there's a common theme... nvidia will be the predominant supplier To them all. @Tiger_chat
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ is a perfect example of what happens when you become greedy. Super Micro is one of the most volatile large cal stocks in the exchange. With that, it's option premium is super high. Some investors sell risky put options to make the premium. On many occasions, this has worked. However, recently following its 20% plunge, the value of the put options soared by 10-20x. Investors who sold out option are facing huge losses and option excersise, meaning they have to buy and own the shares, which for a $450 per share stock, can be quite expensive to own. You can simply search up Super Micro computer stock and go into the posts. You will se traders posting 10x losses. For example, some people sold put options at $4 and now i
$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$$Block(SQ)$$PayPal(PYPL)$$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ Fintech stocks are catching a bid currently. The prospect of rate cuts and lower interest rates coupled with a strong US consumer confidence and spending (but with higher levels of personal debt) seem to be propelling sentiment for these fintech companies that depend on people spending and borrowing. Even the traditional payment processors of Visa Mastercard Amex are seeing positive price action in the market. Personally, i would trade fintech based on momentum, but only invest long term in the Visa and Mastercard.&nbs
Dell Rides AI Wave to Revenue Surge: Is It Time to Invest?
Overview of the Markets: The global markets are currently navigating a landscape of mixed signals, with technology and AI-driven sectors showing strong performance while traditional sectors face headwinds. Inflation concerns and interest rate sensitivities continue to influence investor sentiment, particularly in the technology sector, which has seen significant gains despite these challenges. Dell Technologies $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ has emerged as a noteworthy player, particularly with its AI-optimized servers contributing to a robust earnings report. Dell's AI-Driven Growth: A Strong Quarter Dell Technologies reported better-than-expected revenue for its second fiscal quarter, driven by a surge in sales of its servers d
After the U.S. market closed yesterday, $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ announced its Q2 earnings for FY2025, which exceeded expectations. The stock surged over 8% in after-hours trading.Dell’s Q2 revenue reached $25 billion, up 9.1% year-over-year, beating analysts’ expectations of $24.1 billion.Looking at the segments:- Servers and Networking: Revenue was $7.67 billion, a massive 79.5% increase year-over-year, far surpassing the $5.96 billion forecast.- Storage: Revenue was $3.97 billion, down 5.1% year-over-year, falling short of the $4.09 billion estimate.- Client Solutions Group: Revenue was $12.4 billion, down 4.1% year-over-year, missing the $12.5 billion target.Two Main AreasDell’s core businesses are divided into two main areas: traditiona
I opened $Canadian Solar(CSIQ)$ ,Early assignment of shares by counter party, likely have to hold onto it for another quarter or 2 for things to look up for the industry. Still bullish in the long run
Why Nvidia is a "Disaster" *Despite* Beating Expectations
Leading AI-relevant chipmaker Nvidia Inc's (ticker: $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$) earnings for its second quarter (Q2) beat analysts' consensus estimates by delivering $30.04 billion versus an expectation of $28.7 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.68 versus an expectation of $0.64. Despite projecting $32.5 billion in revenue over the current quarter versus expectations of $31.7 billion and Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress expressing confidence in the company being able to several billion dollars in value of its next-generation Blackwell products (currently being tested as samples) in its fourth quarter, the company's stock dropped by 8% in extended trading. When markets opened, the stock fell another 6.38%.
Best Buy stock soars 14% after earnings smash expectations
$Best Buy(BBY)$ has been struggling to turn things around after two years of sluggish sales.The retailer's shares reached a new 52-week high after posting strong earnings.The Minnesota-based company reported adjusted earnings of $1.34 per share on revenue of $9.29 billion for the latest quarter, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $1.16 per share on sales of $9.23 billion. Looking ahead, Best Buy BBY+14.1% has raised its full-year adjusted earnings forecast to a range of $6.10 to $6.35 per share, up from its previous estimate of $5.75 to $6.20.In the recent earnings season, the performance of various retailers painted a picture of American consumers who prioritize necessities but are increasingly buying new and fashionable products at the right pr