The CNN Fear & Greed Index is a market sentiment tool that measures how much fear or greed is currently driving investment decisions in the U.S. Stock Market, more specifically in $S&P 500(.SPX)$.The index is often used as a contrarian indicator. The logic is that extreme fear can drive stock prices below their intrinsic value, creating buying opportunities. Conversely, extreme greed can inflate prices beyond their value, signaling that a market correction may be due.The index is a composite, equally-weighted average of seven different market indicators. Each indicator is measured on a scale from 0 to 100 relative to its own average, and then the seven are averaged together to get the final score. The definitions and how to interpret each
$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ : The breakout is bullish and set a signal that as studied last Wednesday is good for the next months, and as also studied, sometimes the price triggers bullish signals before a healthy pullback occurs.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Extreme Greed is Back:The chart highlights previous occurrences when the index was at extreme levels of greed during a bull market, and the red arrows indicate the pullbacks in the SPX.A breather after such rally is likely and healthy. "To be a big success in the stock market, you must have definite rules and a profit-and-loss plan." - William J. O'NeilImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Tel
$Apple(AAPL)$ - Fourth Attempt to Breach $214The challenge is that the Stochastic is overbought, a condition that was present during the previous two rejections from this level. However, this breakout attempt comes after a period of consolidation on the $200 volume shelf, an area that should now provide strong support if revisited.If $214 is finally conquered, the next major resistance area to watch will be the 200DMA.Make or break? I vote for the first with potential turbulence considering the overall market conditions.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on
Some of the best ratios for screening for asset light businesses
Asset LIGHT businesses generally outperform capital INTENSIVE businesses.Some of the best ratios for screening for asset light businesses are:- high return on tangible assets- low physical assets as a percentage of total assets- low CAPEX / OCF- margin expansionWhat would you add to this list?For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash
Daily Charts - Nasdaq absolutely destroying European Stocks by 18% over the last 3 months
1.Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ absolutely destroying European Stocks by 18% over the last 3 months 🚨🚨 American Exceptionalism is back 🇺🇸🇺🇸Image2.U.S. National Debt projected to soar to $55 Trillion by 2034 now that the Big Beautiful Bill has passed 🚨🚨🚨Image3.Companies are expected to pass on 70% of the direct cost of tariffs to consumers through higher prices, warns Goldman Sachs 🚨🚨Image4.Serious Delinquencies (90+ day unpaid balances) are rising across the board, including Mortgages, Home Equity Credit Lines, Auto Loans, Credit Cards, and Student Loans 🚨🚨ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0
How to Achieve Higher Returns with Lower Trade Frequency
got some excellent queries on the requirement to maintain the performance for much lower trade frequency; the lower the frequency, the higher the expectancy value is required of your trading.Yesterday's 35 trades average per month example will equate a trade 'Expectancy' of 0.65R per tradeExpectancy per R = (win rate x Avg R Gain) + ( (1 - win rate) x Avg R Loss).To churn a 6% avg monthly return to compound beyond 100% annualized return at lower trade frequency will require higher trade expectancy more than 0.65R per trade. I will further reduce 35 to 20, this is 40% reduction in trade frequency.eg. Reduce '35' trades avg per month to '20'since per R is 0.3% risk in my example. 6% monthly compounded return will require 20R. 20 R / 20 trade = trade expectancy of 1R per trade (up from 0.65R
For traders based outside the US but active in US markets, consider parking any idle USD-denominated cash in your brokerage account into $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$ as a hedge against USD depreciation relative to your base currency. UDN is more of a bet against the dollar than a bet on any particular currency. It shorts USDX contracts, which means that it's shorting the US dollar and long six G10 currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Swedish krona, Canadian dollar and Swiss franc. The USDX uses a fixed weighting scheme based on exchange rates in 1973 that heavily weights the euro. As a result, expect to see big moves in the fund in response to euro movements. Structured as a commodities pool, UDN distributes K-1s and
Two things can be true. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ business can be on an absolute heater.AND Robinhood stock can be incredibly expensive.I don’t want to be held back by valuation, but valuation is something we need to consider as investors. When we buy stocks, we want valuation multiples to be a tailwind, not a headwind.Today, I want to balance Robinhood the business with Robinhood the stock, and how I feel today.Robinhood’s HeaterIt’s hard to argue with Robinhood’s results. The company is growing revenue over 50% year over year, and operating leverage on the business has been astounding, even after pulling out $424 million in one-time benefits in Q4 2024. It’s hard to over-value that kind of growth rate, even when you know it won’t last forever.New produc
CRCL - VCP for 20% ADR name, only 2.8% capital required at 0.3% risk
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ - VCP for 20% ADR name, only 2.8% capital required at 0.3% risk.Just hovering around 10-MA with daily range for the past 4 session below 30% to its ATR. +6% move yesterday from an extremely contracted price action due to current high ADR of 20% (less than 30% of avg range). Since i've written several post about High ADR% equating to lower capital requirement at execution, I will use this as an example. If a trade is able to be designed and executed at range breakout of $194 entry and $175 stop, this trade only requires 2.8% of your equity for execution at 0.3% risk of your equity. Execution of this trade definitely requires high RVOL as reflected in the recent run.Image For whom haven't open CBA can know more from bel
Market Cycle Guidebook - The US faces heightened risk of recession
The monthly Market Cycle Guidebook is a key resource for investors — providing insight into the stage of the business cycle, monetary policy trends, leading indicators, earnings momentum, valuations across multiple different assets and markets, long-term return expectations, and tactical asset allocation views.Key Findings from the Latest Monthly pack:Global monetary policy settings are shifting from headwind to increasing tailwind as inflation remains contained and economic cycle data soft.The big edge risks are recession (+deflation) on one edge vs reacceleration (+inflation resurgence) on the other edge.The US faces heightened risk of recession given policy uncertainty and confidence shocks from the chaotic start to the year, albeit with some offsetting factors e.g. fiscal stimulus.Mean
The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ was in a bear market for a minute intraday back in April, not even 3 months ago.Today it’s up a clean +7% ytd.The $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ has done even better at +9% ytd.Annualize this and we are looking at another +14% and +18% ytd, respectively.Simply an amazing comeback. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : Who knows, someday a pullback will come, is this the indecisive candle announcing a well deserved breather?Worth noting the overbought and divergent RSI.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unl
Marvell’s AI Breakthrough: A Stock to Watch in the Data Center Boom
$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ is a leading fabless semiconductor firm that excels in developing complex System-on-a-Chip (SoC) solutions. Harnessing a broad portfolio of intellectual property that spans computing, networking, optics, storage, and security, Marvell integrates advanced analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing. This expertise allows the company to deliver high-performance standard and semi-custom products that power critical infrastructure across the cloud, enterprise, automotive, telecom, and industrial markets.Marvell Technology: Engineering AI Dominance Through Strategic FocusMarvell Technology is executing a masterful transformation into a data center powerhouse, strengthening bullish conviction in the company's trajector
$KWEB 20250703 35.0 CALL$ This is part of the wheel strategy - covered call. I have 100 shares of KWEB at price $35. I have opened this trade to collect some premium for about 1% per week.