Over the past week, the situation in the Middle East has presented a state of "extreme stalemate, neither war nor peace." Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the United States briefly initiated "Operation Liberty" in an attempt to escort trapped vessels out. However, following a strong response from Iran, US President Donald Trump officially announced the suspension of the plan on May 5, citing the "acceptance of Pakistani mediation." During this period, Iranian officials reiterated that the strait would not reopen unless dictated by national will, leaving energy supply chain risks elevated. On May 7, local time, a new round of military conflict erupted between the US and Iran near the Strait of Hormuz. Despite the sudden outbreak of hostilities, US President Donald Trump insisted that the US-

This feels like a late-cycle melt-up, but broad conclusions need nuance. Simply holding quality names has worked because liquidity, AI capex and falling macro fear have lifted nearly everything, especially mega-cap tech like NVIDIA, Advanced Micro Devices and Arm Holdings. That is not the same as “easy money forever”. My read: • Near term: momentum likely stays strong unless inflation re-accelerates or earnings disappoint. • Pullback risk: valuations are stretched, so sharp 5 to 10% corrections can happen fast. • Goldman vs hedge funds: both can be right. Goldman models upside targets, hedge funds manage downside risk. • AI semis: upside remains, but returns may broaden beyond chips into power, cooling, storage, networking, industrial automation and software monetisation. • If Iran risk fa

Markets look euphoric, but upside is becoming more selective. Simply “buy and hold anything” worked in the liquidity wave. From here, quality and entry price matter more. NVIDIA at $5T, Advanced Micro Devices at $680B, and Arm Holdings surging on AI CPU repricing suggest plenty of optimism is already priced in. My take: • Chase now? Not aggressively. Better to scale in on pullbacks than buy vertical spikes. • Goldman vs hedge funds? Follow both. Goldman's targets reflect macro upside, hedge fund selling reflects positioning risk. • AI upside left? Still positive, but gains may rotate from GPUs into memory, networking, power infrastructure, industrial automation, and software monetisation. • If Iran cools + Fed cuts: biggest beneficiaries may be small caps, REITs, banks, cyclicals, emerging

$Strategy(MSTR)$   $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$   $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$   Latest U.S. - Iran War News An official statement from Centcom detailed that Iran's offensive against three U.S. warships utilized "multiple missiles, drones, and small boats," but confirmed that "no U.S. assets were struck." The statement further explained that U.S. forces "neutralized incoming threats and struck Iranian military facilities responsible for the attacks, including missile and drone launch sites, command and control locations, and intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaiss

Dow 50K, $5T Nvidia, and the Ultimate Melt-Up: Too Late to Chase or Just Getting Started? The melt-up is absolutely relentless. Yesterday, the SPX shattered resistance to hit an intraday high of 7369.22, the IXIC (Nasdaq) soared to 25,850.19, and the Dow confidently reclaimed the historic 50,000 mark. Driven by a violent repricing in AI hardware, a finalized Iran deal, and the sudden return of Fed rate-cut expectations, the bulls are running completely unchecked. But beneath the surface of these staggering index numbers, a massive divergence is brewing: Wall Street banks are raising price targets, while hedge funds are quietly heading for the exits. So, is simply holding stocks enough to make money in 2026, or are we buying the absolute top? Let’s break down the mechanics of this historic

🌟🌟It is a strange feeling when the most "boring" part of the computer - the memory- becomes the star of the show. For years, we obsessed over GPUs and CPUs while memory was just the reliable background player. However in 2026, the narrative has flipped. $Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$ is the newest ETF that was only launched in April 2026.  DRAM is a pure play ETF designed to capture the memory cycle of the AI revolution. Since its April launch DRAM has surged 67%.  In contrast $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ has only risen 44%. Only 3 companies : $Micron Technology(MU)$ SK Hynix and Samsung control the global supply of memory chips.  DRAM provides a

Better to wait out and see how this turns out 

1. The value of institutional holdings of shares relative to retail is decreasing over time which means that views on market movements is more important than $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ holdings by institutions 2. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ are both stable companies with long term earnings which have potential for future growth over time 3. The longer the us Iran war continues then the longer alternative supply routes have to develop and increase in volume over time, this reduces the impact of ending the war on the economy. Hot money will continue to be invested in $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

To me, the recent highs in SPX, IXIC & $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ reclaiming a $5T market cap show that the AI cycle is still the main driver. At this point, holding quality AI-linked stocks has largely been enough, as earnings from names like AMD & ARM keep expanding the same infrastructure narrative across CPUs, orchestration & memory. At the same time, I’m aware the market is becoming more divided underneath the surface. Even with geopolitical risks easing, hedge funds have been net sellers & leverage in tech is coming down, which suggests institutions are becoming more cautious even as indices grind higher. So I’m staying invested but more selective. I still focus on AI infrastructure like AMD and ARM, and memory names like $SNDK$ and $M

The U.S. and Iran are reportedly close to signing a memorandum to end the war, with Trump saying the chances of a deal are “very high.” Brent crude fell -7.83% in a single day to $101, while WTI dropped -7.03% to $95. The inflation narrative is starting to loosen, the U.S. dollar index fell -0.43%, and risk assets benefited.

Goldman Sachs raised S&P EPS forecasts to 2025: $268 (+11%) vs. 2026: $288 (+7%) and also lifted its year-end SPX target. At the same time, Goldman’s own data shows: Hedge funds have been net sellers of U.S. equities for 3 consecutive weeks Tech sector deleveraging is the largest in 10 years

$SPX$ hit an intraday high of 7369.22 yesterday, $IXIC$ reached 25,850.19, the Dow climbed back above 50,000, and $NVDA$ surged +5.77%, reclaiming a $5 trillion market cap.

buy the dip on those stocks that drop. bull rally just started

Nothing  Nothing Nothing 

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🔥 The Pulse Warren Buffett doesn't ring bells at market tops—he stacks cash. With $SPY riding a 36% rocket from April lows and the Oracle of Omaha hoarding a $400 billion war chest after 12 consecutive quarters of net selling, the market is flashing warning signs that even the most bullish traders can't ignore. The Buffett Indicator just hit an all-time high at $72 trillion—more than 2x U.S. GDP—a level historically reserved for market euphoria before painful corrections. Yet tech bulls keep buying. The question isn't if we see a shakeout, but when the music stops. 📊 Key News Buffett Indicator Record: Total U.S. market cap at ~$72 trillion, 200%+ of GDP—a threshold that preceded every major correction in the last t

Macro Risks Meet Geopolitical Tension: Can Tech Bulls Hold the Line?  Consider Microsoft & Berkshire as a Barbell Strategy  🌟🌟🌟 The market is currently facing a dual threat environment testing the resolve of even the most optimistic investors.  Warren Buffett has recently issued a sober warning regarding macro risk, preferring a massive cash reserve over overvalued equities. With $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$  cash pile reaching a record USD 397 billion as of May 2026, the message is clear: the safety net for high growth tech maybe thinner than it appears. Adding to the complexity is a sharp escalation in geopolitical risk.  Recent reports of an Iranian attack on UAE ports have rattled glo

Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on a record cash hoard approaching $400 billion recently reported at $397.4 billion at the end of Q1 2026 under new CEO Greg Abel. This follows years of net stock selling and restrained deployment, even as markets hit highs before recent volatility. Does this mean the market is dangerously overvalued, with few worthwhile investments left? Or is Berkshire simply being too cautious in an environment where others see abundant opportunities, particularly in AI and growth sectors? To answer this, we must explore Warren Buffett’s long-standing investment philosophy, his recent (and ongoing) commentary, and historical parallels. The Scale of the Cash MountainBerkshire’s cash and short-term investments, primarily in U.S. Treasuries, have ballooned from around $100-130