The recent pullbacks across tech indices like $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ QQQ highlight a shifting paradigm on Wall Street. Investors are no longer merely asking how fast Big Tech can grow; they are rigorously questioning how efficiently hundreds of billions in AI capital expenditures (CapEx) will translate into near-term free cash flow. 1. Expect More Volatility Around Valuations Yes, elevated short-term volatility is likely to continue. The CapEx vs. Free Cash Flow Tug-of-War: The top four hyperscalers (Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta) are on track for approximately $725 billion in combined CapEx in 2026. When Alphabet raised its 2026 CapEx target to $195–$205 billion—resulting in a temporary quarterly free cash flow deficit—its stock slid despite b

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. To all the zealous bulls out there, be careful. The stock market is like a rubber band, if you stretch it too much, it bound to break at some point. And now I do think its really overstretched, however bearish momentum seems to come only in flashes. So lets see how is it next week. @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]  

Welcome to the live broadcast room to watch my live broadcast tonight. The live broadcast starts on time at 8 o'clock tonight. I will mainly talk with you about the market judgment of US stock index, gold and crude oil, and related strategies>>Is the rebound after the plunge in U.S. stocks an opportunity to short? How to grasp the rebound of crude oil and gold? $A50指数主连 2607(CNmain)$ $恒生指数主连 2607(HSImain)$ $恒生科技指数主连 2607(HTImain)$ $SP500指数主连 2609(ESmain)$</

Market sentiment shifting to non AI stocks.

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 29Jun2026) China and Global Manufacturing Signals China’s manufacturing PMI for June is expected at 50.2, indicating a modest expansion. Beyond China’s domestic manufacturing outlook, this release will also be watched as a signal for broader global demand and market sentiment. US Manufacturing and Inflation Indicators · Chicago PMI for June is forecast at 60.0, pointing to strong expansion. · S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for June is expected at 55.7, also suggesting continued growth. · ISM Manufacturing PMI for June is forecast at 53.7, reinforcing the growth outlook for the sector. · ISM Manufacturing Prices for June are expected at 79.0, highlighting persistent inflationary pressure that could be passed on to consumers through product pric

What was supposed to be an anticipated Mon, 22 Jun 2026 rally, has been completely derailed after: Peace talks in Switzerland collapsed on Friday without an official deal. Re-closure of the Strait of Hormuz as Israel continues its unilateral military campaign in Lebanon. With US market short-term sentiments interrupted by above events, will investors have to defer to last week’s US economic reports to justify any investment exercise ? Pertinent US reports out the week before: Mon, 15 Jun 2026 - Industrial production report. Tue, 16 Jun 2026 - Import price index. Wed, 17 Jun 2026 - US retail sales. Thu, 18 Jun 2026 - US jobless claims. US Industrial Production. YoY Report. US industrial output grew by +1.67% YoY for May 2026, missing market consensus of 1.9% but higher than April 2026’s upw

Over the past week, renewed military clashes between the United States and Iran have shaken global equity markets, while gold has retreated sharply from recent highs and overall risk appetite has come under pressure. The situation on the ground remains highly uncertain, with persistent geopolitical tensions interacting with shifting macro expectations; most investors are adopting a cautious stance, waiting for subsequent key U.S. economic data releases in order to better gauge the Federal Reserve’s policy path and the trajectory of asset prices. As of around 4:00 p.m. on 12 June 2026, the weekly performance of major assets is as follows: In an environment where macro expectations are oscillating, looking at price moves alone is no longer sufficient to capture the main drivers of asset perf

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 22Jun2026) Business Activity · S&P Global Services PMI: The June Services PMI is forecast at 51.0, suggesting modest growth in the services sector. · S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: The June Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 54.8, indicating continued expansion in the manufacturing sector. Housing and Energy Markets · New Home Sales: May new home sales are expected to come in at 637,000 units, up from the previous 622,000 units. This will be an important reference point for assessing momentum in the real estate market. · Crude Oil Inventories: Crude oil inventory data remains a key near-term indicator. A drawdown in inventories may signal stronger demand expectations and provide insight into how oil majors view market consumption. Inflation

The current US financial market has flashed a very strong red warning signal: a strong dollar may return, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to experience a short-to-medium-term impulsive upward rally in the near future. From a technical perspective in the futures market, the DXY has broken through crucial resistance levels. Following the typical price action rules of a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern, the dollar's rise could mirror the previous decline in crude oil, triggering an impulsive upward trend of significant magnitude: $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund(UDN)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$</

Was it right to say that nobody saw the Friday crash coming ? The debate is still out there. One thing for certain, it was a bloodbath last Fri, 05 Jun 2026. (see below) On Friday itself, the 3 major indexes all fell ‘big’ time: (see above) DJIA : -1.35% (-695.15 to 50,866.78). S&P 500: -2.64% (-200.57 to 7,383.78). Nasdaq: -4.18% (-1,121.526 to 25,709.432) For the first week of June 2026, the 3 major indexes fared as such: DJIA: -0.58% (-294.32 to 50,866.78). S&P 500: -2.62% (-198.55 to 7,383.74). Nasdaq: -4.61% (-1,243.15 to 25,709.43) The press has partially & indirectly attributed the US economic reports for the week on market’s fall. Is this a fair statement, I wonder? Last week’s US economic reports : 01 Jun 2026 - ISM Manufacturing PMI for May 2026. 02 Jun 2026 - Jobs op

If there is one word to describe US market for week ending Fri, 12 Jun 2026, it would be “resilient”. US equities rebounded from the prior week’s selloff, with small caps leading gains as investors digested (a) inflation data, (b) improving geopolitical developments, and (c) generally supportive economic releases. Risk appetite improved throughout the week after concerns surrounding the Middle East eased and oil prices retreated. By the time US market closed for the week: (see above) DJIA : +0.66% (+335.48 to 51,202.26). S&P 500: +0.65% (+47.72 to 7,431.46). Posted 35 new 52-week highs and 10 new 52-week lows. Nasdaq: +0.70% (+179.41 to 25,888.84). Posted 200 ⁠new 52-week highs ​and 112 new 52-week lows. Interestingly, trading volume on US exchanges was marginally lower at 19.73 billio

Our two prior key calls now appear to have largely played out: First, the pullback in U.S. equities from elevated levels would likely remain within an 8% range; second, crude oil had most likely topped, with WTI futures expected to retest the $65 level in the near term. Review：Oil Plunges, Undercurrents Thrive? June 19 Deal Could Flip — Option Strategy to Capture Time Value Red Alert! The Dollar Just Broke Out—How to Bulletproof Your Stock Portfolio Now！ Many market participants have attributed last night’s strong rebound in U.S. equities to Micron’s better-than-expected earnings. However, it is important to recognize that Micron’s results merely act

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Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 15Jun2026) Consumer and Demand Indicators May retail sales are expected to rise by 0.5%. Together with core retail sales, this release should provide a clearer view of consumer demand and spending momentum. Energy Market Indicator Crude oil inventory data will also be closely watched, as it offers insight into how producers are positioning for expected market demand. Federal Reserve and Labour Market The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be the week’s most closely watched event. Rates are expected to remain unchanged at 3.75%, but the accompanying statement and updated economic projections are likely to have the greatest market impact by shaping expectations for the months ahead. We expect this announcement to introduce volatility ac

With rising expectations that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement will be signed, the market appears to have temporarily escaped the shadow of inflation, and U.S. equities have finally welcomed a long-overdue rebound. Many investors may feel this is the time to buy the dip. However, I want to caution: do not yet let your guard down. The market's volatile phase has not passed. The current gains in U.S. stocks remain unstable, and the first leg of the crude oil bearish rally may already be complete. We need to patiently wait for the November 19 ceasefire agreement signing results and specific details to materialize before the market can potentially launch a new bearish phase. More importantly, for both the fragile rebound in U.S. equities and U.S. Treasuries, adopting a selling-options strateg