Midterm - Which Party Will Win? How Will Market React?

"Don't fight Santa Claus after mid-term elections"? The US midterm elections will be held on Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. The Elections come at a time when the schism between Democrats and Republicans is widening even further. -------- [TOPIC] 1.Do you think the Santa rally will begin together with Midterm election? 2.Which company can you name that benefit from Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)? 3.Which party will win the midterm election? -------- [REWARDS] Every post above 50 characters will get at least 50 tiger coins~

If US Republican Party Wins, Stocks in 7 Industries to Play

Questions before you read the full text: What would the best result be for the US midterm elections? Which sectors or industries will see positive impact? The mid-term election results are approaching, you may have interets in what industries or corporates would benefit from.According to the current polls, the probability of Republicans regaining control of the House of Representatives has increased, and even regain control of the Senate. For the past two years, Democrats have pushed for higher taxes and tighter rules, democrats voted in the Senate to support raising the corporate tax rate to 25% and imposing the world's lowest profit tax. If Republicans take over the House
If US Republican Party Wins, Stocks in 7 Industries to Play
avatarOptionspuppy
2022-11-06
$VOO(VOO)$ They will pivot after 5% interest  Keeping inflation to 2 to 5%  Before that keep rising . Once pivot the market will fall abit more to wipe out those using margin and will be a v shape recovery 
avatarTiger_comments
2022-11-03

Midterm Election Coming - Will Fed Pivot and Santa Rally Begin?

This year's US stock trend confirms the Wall Street adage "Don't fight against the FED". But with the midterm elections approaching, another adage is coming into play - "Don't fight Santa Claus after mid-term elections".The midterm elections in the US will be held on November 8, which will in part influence the future direction of US policy. What is midterm election? Midterm elections are held near the midpoint of a president's four-year term of office. People can elect their representatives and other subnational officeholders. The party of the incumbent president tends to lose ground during midterm elections: Since World War II, the President's party has lost an average of 26 seats in the House, and an average of four seats in the Senate Photo from googleAnalyst
Midterm Election Coming - Will Fed Pivot and Santa Rally Begin?

Why UBER up and LYFT down on Q3?

$Lyft, Inc.(LYFT)$ released a mixed Q3 earning after close November 7th. As the revenue missed expectations and the Q4 guidance down, it plunged 14%.A few days ago,$Uber(UBER)$, its biggest rival, has showed strong Q3 financial report and rewarded by the market. UBER's Q3 revenue and EBITA both exceeded expectations, and Q4 guidance was stronger than market expectations.LYFT's Q3 revenue of US $1.054 billion, up 7.2% year-on-year, slightly less than the market expectation of US $1.055 billion, while EBITDA was US $66
Why UBER up and LYFT down on Q3?
avatarTiger_chat
2022-11-10

Midterm Election Updates & Lists of 2 Parties' Top Buying

Last night's midterm elections were not in line with the previous forecast of "red wave".The Democrats showed great resilience in the House, Senate and governor's races. Although the election is not over yet, the Democrats have shown a huge advantage in being able to get this result in a hyperinflationary environment.House of RepresentativesIt was originally predicted that the Republicans would easily get 40 more votes than the Democrats, but now it looks like the Republicans will only win narrowly in the House.Based on the results of the real-time voting, the The New York Times' prediction system believes that the Republicans will only win by 13 votes in the end. NBC predicts the Republicans will win by only 5 votes, almost stepping over
Midterm Election Updates & Lists of 2 Parties' Top Buying
avatarShenGuang
2022-11-08

US Economy vs US Midterms: Gridlock and Ticking Clocks

The US goes into midterm elections TODAY and the current administration is expected to lose ground to a "Red Wave", i.e. the conservative Republicans Party (or the "Red" party) is being widely touted to gain control of both houses of parliament. This creates a "gridlock" situation wherein the ruling administration controls the President's chair while both houses of parliament will be aligned against them, thus leaving any new policy-building potentially in tatters. As the electioneering for the midterms commenced earlier this year, the ruling administration leaned heavily into social issues such as abortion (which the U.S. Supreme Court effectively abrogated from being a national mandate to a matter that should be determined at the state level) and debate on transgender rights. In sur
US Economy vs US Midterms: Gridlock and Ticking Clocks
avatarJacksNiffler
2022-11-08

Activision(ATVI) Sees Better Arbitrage Opportunity?

Microsoft’s $69 billion Activision buyout is facing heightened scrutiny from regulators, the case has been pending for almost one year. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Activision Blizzard(ATVI)$Many investors may forget it. we shall see the impatience on ATVI stock price.Microsoft's bid price is $95 per share, and the last price is $71.1, with a discount of 25%.Microsoft — which has enjoyed a better relationship with regulators in recent years compared to rivals like Meta and Google — likely did not expect this level of scrutiny from authorities. 
Activision(ATVI) Sees Better Arbitrage Opportunity?
avatarmeurasian77
2022-11-05
They just might. Due to political reasons. The fed has been hawkish for many months now. They might just turn dovish before the midterms. 
avatarpekss
2022-11-05

Fed will pivot, but it’s not now

With inflation still far higher than the Fed’s long-term target of 2%, and a tight labour market that has shown little sign of easing amidst economy-cooling efforts, the Fed is unlikely to pivot around the US mid-term election. The Fed, though its board of governors are nominated by the US President and elected by the Senate, is run independently from the federal government, so that decisions over its monetary policies will not be swayed by political bias, but rather to ensure price stability and full employment in the country. Hence, it is unlikely that the Fed will take any action to assist either political party in the coming mid-term election, to the detriment of its political independence in its monetary policies decision-making. Far more important is the coming monthly inflation prin
Fed will pivot, but it’s not now

UBS Expected Fed Will Stop Rate Hikes Next Year

Since the Federal Reserve began a historic storm of rate hikes, "recession" has been the keyword in Wall Street's description of the U.S. economy next year.In a report released Monday, UBS repeated its warning that the U.S. economy could suffer a hard landing next year: UBS expects real US GDP to contract by about 1% next year, while unemployment will reach 5.5% in 2024. With inflation still high in the short term, UBS expects the Fed to raise interest rates by 50 basis points in each of the next two meetings before pausing. Interest rates will be cut in the third quarter of next year. GDP will grow negatively and unemployment will rise by 2% next yearUBS said the current US growth momentum would gradually weaken in the coming months, and the pressure from high interest rates would c
UBS Expected Fed Will Stop Rate Hikes Next Year

When both Roblox and Unity are sinking...

Two gaming companies$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ and $Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ plunged sharply after the Q3 financial earnings, with downward estimate by the market even days before it released.Unity's performance is somewhat acceptable, but still not match the expectation of investors.Revenue was 323 million US dollars, and the year-on-year growth rate rose from 8.5% in the previous quarter to double-digit 12.8%, which was the same as market expectations; The adjusted operating loss was $37
When both Roblox and Unity are sinking...
avatarkoolgal
2022-11-13
The Santa Rally has begun in earnest in the aftermath of the US Mid term elections and a milder than expected inflation of 7.7% in October. At the moment, it looks like the Republicans have won 211 seats versus 201 seats for the Democrats in the House of Representatives.  However it is neck to neck with 49 seats win by the Republicans and another 49 seats in favour of the Democrats in the Senate. So the general consensus by the political analysts is that the Republicans will gain control of the House while it is a tie breaker for the Senate. This Mid Term Elections was supposed to be a "Red Wave" for the Republicans but in reality it was not.  It was also supposed to be  an endorsement  for Donald Trump to stage his triumphant return to retake back t
avatarDelvin
2022-11-05
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Well, as seen from ytd, it rise then it drops. Bearish short term as said in my previous post. Be patient. The data shows alot. And because of the midterm election, stocks might rise but it is a fake and will likely drop after the midterms. Mid termsis on the 8th of November by the way. It is soon so prepare for it. What do you guys think about this? Share your thoughts. Like share and comment!! Would love to know more
avatarValue_investing
2022-11-03

Energy companies CVX,MPC,OXY, XOM posted stellar Q3, but I'm bearish on them

Energy giants  $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ , $Chevron(CVX)$ and $Marathon(MPC)$ recently delivered Q3 reports that exceeded expectations. From a comparison of revenue and market expectations, they beat the weak tech companies.Strong results and historically high stock prices make energy stocks shine in 2022.In the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ components, for example, energy stocks occupy the top 10 gainers. Warren Buffett's position - $Occidental(OXY)$ is the best performer with a 145% jump during the
Energy companies CVX,MPC,OXY, XOM posted stellar Q3, but I'm bearish on them
avatarDalang
2022-11-10
Strong 
avatarJC888
2022-11-08

Midterm Election - will US citizens be better off after today 08 Nov ?

Midterm Election time - will US citizen win ? A lot have been written and posted about the Midterm election, which party will run the Senate and House of Representative ?  Will the stock market rally continue its upstream run - will Christmas be early this year ? Here's my take. Would much prefer to have a single party (in this case Democrats) governs and run the Land of opportunity for the next 2 years, before the next General Election.  This eliminates a lot of expected impasse if a mixed government is formed. It has always been a noble concept to have a structure of different party for the Senate and House of Rep to counter balance each other blah, blah, blah.  I am certain all the advantages and disadvantages have been written to death about this.  In the modern con
Midterm Election - will US citizens be better off after today 08 Nov ?
avatarVideoLounge
2022-11-08

Jim Cramer explains how the stock market may interpret Tuesday's midterm elections

On Monday's episode of "Mad Money," host Jim Cramer discussed the midterm elections and how Wall Street may interpret a scenario in which the Republican Party wins control in at least one chamber of Congress.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$
Jim Cramer explains how the stock market may interpret Tuesday's midterm elections
avatarHLPA
2022-11-08
Today is D-day for the US. The present Biden administration has lost touch largely with the American people and many predict there would be chanhes. For now, the Republicans will return in strength with former President, Donald Trump's impending annoucement of his candidature for the next Presidential elections. As in past Mid-Term elections, stock markets are likely to be bullish and many of the stocks affilkated to the Republican camp would prevail. Donald Trump's Digital World Acquistion Corp, DWAC has already trended upwards and likely to move up strongly. Also Phunware, PHUN will also trend strongly upwards.
avatarpekss
2022-11-10

No Red Wave

The red wave that the Republicans have expected before the midterm election has not materialised, and both parties (Republicans and Democrats) are still locked in a tight tug-of-war. A divided government will be welcomed by the market, not least because major legislations imposing restrictive regulations for the US economy and selective sectors may encounter challenges and delays in being passed. In fact, historical market data has revealed that the best outcome for the stock market is a Democratic President and a Republican-controlled Congress, when S&P 500 index witnessed on average an annual return of 16.2%, compared with 13.6% with a split Congress and 10.1% with a Democrat-controlled Congress. I expect this midterm election to produce a split Congress with the Republicans eventual
No Red Wave
avatarKBA
2022-11-10
Republican