Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 27Jul2026) Consumption and Consumer Sentiment June’s Durable Goods orders are forecast to rise by 1.6%, a notable improvement from the previous reading of -4.5%. This rebound is a positive indicator for consumption and suggests stronger demand momentum. The CB Consumer Confidence reading for July is forecast at 92.1. This points to weaker consumer confidence and lower market optimism, which may influence future consumption patterns. Energy Demand Indicator Crude oil inventories remain an important reference point for assessing producer expectations and future consumption. If inventories come in above expectations, it may suggest stronger supply conditions; if they fall below expectations, it could point to firmer demand. Federal Reserve Interest

News and my thoughts from the past week (03Aug2026) To prevent Japan from selling even more US assets, he joined Japan in a massive coordinated intervention. But instead of selling USD, the US sold EUR. To keep this war going, the US has to bail out major holders of US assets to prevent them from selling... especially Treasuries. - X user Lukas Ekwueme More than 1.2 million leveraged retail trading accounts in South Korea triggered margin calls as ​of July 13th, with an estimated 320,000–360,000 accounts fully liquidated, per Goldman Sachs. This means around 3.4% of the adult ⁠population in South Korea has received margin calls. The KOSPI is currently down another ~18% since July 13th. We believe that the total number of fully liquidated accounts is now above 500,000. - X user The Kobeissi

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 06Jul2026) Services Sector Indicators S&P Global Services PMI: The June forecast is 51.3, suggesting continued growth compared with the previous reading. ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices: The June release is expected in the coming week. The previous reading of 71.3 pointed to elevated inflationary pressures across the non-manufacturing sector, with higher costs likely filtering through to consumers. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: The June forecast is 54.2, indicating expansion in the non-manufacturing sector. Energy Market Signals Crude oil inventories previously recorded a drawdown of more than 3.7 million barrels, suggesting producers may be responding to stronger expected consumer demand. This is a bullish indicator, and the upcoming release shou

After last week's CPI print, inflation expectations eased slightly, while the U.S.–Iran conflict flared up again and the previously-open strait was once more suspended. That said, this kind of escalation seems to occur almost every weekend, and by the time financial markets open it is quickly shrugged off—so I would not advise anyone to be overly anxious; wait until the market opens and it will speak for itself. Faced with this kind of murky, hard-to-read news flow, the best trading approach is to consider the technical indicators alone, and then set the corresponding strategy based on those indicators. Chart: CCTV News — “U.S.–Iran clashes hit civilian facilities across several countries; Iran warns of an all-out offensive” (reported July 19, 2026) I. U.S. equity indices have flipped shor

My Investing Muse (27Jul2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies (by Gemini & Grok) Key corporate and market stress signals (week of ~July 20, 2026): Major Layoffs British American Tobacco: ~9,000 roles (~20% of non-US workforce). Microsoft: ~4,800 global positions. Telefónica Germany: up to 1,100 roles (~16%). Verizon: ~3,000 affected (mostly store transfers + corporate cuts). Samsung: 800+ U.S. roles affected (many relocation offers). Entain: 500 positions. Closures/Restructuring Metro (Singapore): exiting Paragon and Causeway Point stores. Volkswagen: cutting model lines by up to 50% and reviewing European plants. Bankruptcies U.S. larger corporates: S&P reports 372 filings YTD—a 16-year high, led by industrial, consumer, and healthcare. Small businesses: Subchapter V filings u

A recent string of mismatches between macro data and capital flows has revealed a new direction for the rotation across global asset classes. After deeply reviewing the latest non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, the U.S. Dollar Index, the yen's trajectory, and U.S. equity fund flows, I want to discuss a new trading thesis that may differ from what many people think: the pressure that a rising Dollar Index puts on global equities is not over. Bottom-fishing is not currently suitable for U.S. stocks, but it may be relatively suitable for U.S. Treasuries. Why do I say this? To sum up my current logic chain: although over the past week the Dollar Index staged a pullback at its major resistance around 101.3, judging from the performance of the yen — the dollar's second-largest counterpart — and the t

【Money Market Fund】 US$ MMF Net 7-day Yield: +3.62%* The recent re-escalation of geopolitical tensions has led to rising yields, predominantly led by the front-end. Looking ahead, investors will focus on upcoming US CPI data and Fed Chair Warsh’s Congress testimony for further clues on the interest rate outlook. While lower oil prices compared with March-May levels is expected to lead to a negative June headline CPI print, HSBC believes front-end rates should remain supported as policymakers continue to focus on inflation risks and avoid providing clear forward guidance, keeping upcoming FOMC meetings "live" for potential policy action. *Bloomberg, as of 2026/07/10. 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal. 【REITs】 S$ SRT YTD total return: ‑2.24% As of 10

Last time I talked with you about this week's options strategy: besides continuing to run the index options straddle into rallies, one could also consider going long U.S. Treasuries on dips — especially the price of the long-bond TLT. But on Treasuries, as of today, after the escalation of the U.S.–Iran war, everyone needs to be more careful: rising crude oil drives inflation expectations higher, which could push Treasury yields up further, and Treasury prices would then face downward pressure. So we can lift the stop-loss on the buy-the-dip Treasury view a bit higher — up to near the prior-low support around $83.5. Review：Strong Dollar Returns: After Booking the Straddle Win,Why Treasuries Deserv

News and my thoughts from the past week (06Jul2026) The ability to innovate does not always translate to the ability to lead or manage. It can be a lapse or a flaw. Knowing the difference is important. Meta employees consumed 73.7 trillion AI tokens in a single month. That costs roughly $221 million a month, or $2.65 billion a year. The median Meta employee makes $388,200. At that rate, the token spend alone could pay for about 6,800 engineers for a full year. - X user Hedgie Half of investors have reduced their portfolio risk, while 62% expect a recession and 71% worry market volatility will hurt their finances. Gen Z is the most concerned, citing job security and weaker savings, per Allianz. - X user Unusual Whales Google reportedly doesn't have enough AI capacity to meet demand - Z user

🚀 FTSE China A50 Futures – My 16-Point Morning Trade! 📈💰 $FTSE China A50 Index - Sep 2026(CN2609)$   Sometimes the best trades are not the biggest trades—they are the ones where I simply follow my trading plan. On 7 July 2026, I spotted a high-probability setup on the FTSE China A50 September 2026 Futures (CN2609). Instead of chasing the market or hoping for a miracle rally,I patiently waited for technical confirmation before entering my position. I went long at 14,808 and, just a few minutes later, I closed my position at 14,824, locking in a 16-point profit. Since every index point is worth US$1 per contract, this trade earned US$16 before commissions and fees. Some people may laugh and say, “Only US$16?”

【Money Market Fund】 US$ MMF Net 7-day Yield: +3.56%* During the week, softer payroll data reduced expectations of an imminent Fed hike. Looking ahead, markets will focus on the release of the FOMC minutes for further insight into the Fed's assessment of inflation and growth risks. HSBC continues to see a hawkish bias at the front end as policymakers remain focused on inflation risks and keep all upcoming meetings "live" for potential policy action. *Bloomberg, as of 2026/07/02. 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal. 【REITs】 S$ SRT YTD total return: ‑3.02% As of 03 Jul 2026 (Fri), $CSOP iEdge SREIT ETF S$(SRT.SI)$ declined 0.27% WTD in SGD, bringing YTD return to ‑3.02%. WTD losses were led by industrial, reta

Everything you need to know in one place.[Happy] The second half of 2026 marks an important turning point for investors. While artificial intelligence remained the main market theme, the key drivers of stock performance shifted. During the first half of the year, markets faced major economic and geopolitical uncertainty, yet many companies continued to report strong earnings. Many investors felt they had missed out as several AI hardware and storage companies delivered massive gains after rapid breakouts. At the same time, heavy investment in AI infrastructure left many enterprise software companies trading at more attractive valuations, creating potential opportunities for the rest of the year. Macroeconomic & Geopolitical Vectors of H1 2026 The first half of 2026 was shaped by geopol

$Micron Technology(MU)$   Summary Micron Technology, Inc. delivered a record-breaking quarter with Q3 FY26 revenue of $41.5B, up 346% YoY, and non-GAAP gross margin surging to 84.9%. MU's growth is powered by AI data center demand and transformative long-term take-or-pay contracts, securing ~50% of revenue and reducing cyclicality. Management guides for $50B revenue next quarter and $30B in free cash flow for Q4 FY26, fully funding aggressive CapEx from operational cash generation. I estimate MU's EPS at $114 in 12 months, supporting a $1,725/share price target by July 2027 at 15x P/E, with upside potential if growth outperforms. Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) reported the most important quarterly earnings last wee