Softer PCE numbers, jobs market stay strong heading to 4th quarter of the year. Commodities to recover?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. So PCE and job numbers are more optimistic than market estimates, sending bullish shockwaves to majority of hyperscalers and sectors. However, this does not discount the elevated yields and various macro factors that are still in play. I anticipate a rotation in funds into defensive sectors such as $Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLC)$$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$$Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLV)$ from high valuations sectors $Technology Select Sec
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. New trades: $Intuit(INTU)$ 16 October 287.5/290 Buy Call spread @ $1.15db. $Workday(WDAY)$ 23 October 190/192.5 Buy Call spread @ $1.25db. $Deere(DE)$ 16 October 657.5/655 Buy Put spread @ $1.12db. $AXT Inc(AXTI)$ 23 October 80/81 Buy Call spread @ $0.47db. TSLA 16 October 357.5/360 Buy Call spread @ $1.22db. ORCL 23 October 135/136 Buy Call spread @ $0.49db. Closed trades: $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 02 October 109/108 Buy Put spread for $0.17cr
Comsumer spending did not slow down despite hotter inflation numbers and rate hikes. When
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. So consumer spending was better than market estimate today, resulting in a continue bullish sentiment in equities. However, it might be a short term catalyst as macro issues such as oil price war, inflated treasury yield prices and countries being inflection inside of collaboration d/t Trump strategy to cause tension and divison. Coupled with the traditional “bearish” period coming up as fund managers rebalance their portfolios, let’s see if indices can continue breaking new high, or fall like a knife.[Spurting] @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
Housing stocks continue to tank, interest rates not slowing down, yields remain elevated.
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF(IYR)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ With treasury yields showing no signs of slowing down or retracement, its worth monitoring MOVE as well to have a more holistic analysis instead of just relying on VIX index to determine the degree of greed/fear in the market. With home loan interest rates showing no sign of retracement, housing being already expensive and affordability being an issue, wise to trim your allocation in REITs related to housing, unless you have at lest 10 yea
The whole world is paying for America gains, but when the odds is going to flip?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $iShares MSCI Italy ETF(EWI)$$iShares MSCI Germany ETF(EWG)$$iShares MSCI France ETF(EWQ)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$ With key inflation data going to be announced this week, and Trump rejecting Iran latest proposal to end the conflict, indices and US equities started slightly in the red during pre-market trading today. Is the yield getting too lucrative for whales to ignore? Or is it just a short term knee jerk reaction on pessimism that US and Iran war is not progressing towards a r
Prediction markets indicating a rate hike again in October. Is this going to be the trend moving towards 2027?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$$Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ So various prediction markets have concluded that the fed will likely raise interest rate again on October 28, 2026. Is Warsh really playing catch up d/t the resilence to not increase rate by previous fed chairman, Jerome Powell? Or is the macro picture finally pressuring the fed to match up with it? A lot of questions, but no clear answers to th
Yields continue to climb, Bond prices continue to drop, whats happening next?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. With yields continue to climb, no ease in political tensions between US and the rest of world, the consistant high prices of oil and diesel, the market seem to be resilent and still holding strong. Let’s see how long this bottleneck can hold before it breaks. We are heading into the “traditional” bear market period of the year. And with two more Fed announcements coming up, who knows which direction this market is going to swing? @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
AI overextended again? Or it has more runway to run?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. No matter you like it or not, every single company in this world is jumping on the AI bandwagon, whether it makes sense or not. However, is the valuation overstretching again after a retracement in August and September? Heading to 4th quarter of the year, I am taking a defensive stance, not overexposing myself to any particular sector.[Tongue] @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]