To The Moon

Media Report: U.S. and Russia Expected to Release Joint Statement at 4 PM Beijing Time.

According to CBS News, after the Saudi-hosted talks on a ceasefire agreement in the Black Sea region, it is anticipated that the United States and Russia will issue a joint statement. .

The announcement is scheduled for 4 AM Washington time, 11 AM Moscow time, and 4 PM Beijing time. While specific details of the statement remain unclear, reports from U.S. technical teams in Saudi Arabia shared with the Trump administration appear optimistic. Additionally, Ukrainian officials have been briefed on the developments.

Historically, factors driving gold price fluctuations have revolved around two key attributes: its role as a hedge against inflation and its value as a safe-haven asset. Since President Trump took office, fluctuations in gold prices have been closely tied to the progress of negotiations surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

When negotiations show progress, gold prices weaken; when talks falter, gold prices surge to new highs. As the situation regarding the negotiations becomes clearer, gold prices may experience significant volatility. Although there are no current signs of major price adjustments, traders should remain cautious about market movements, especially in crowded trading directions, to avoid potential losses.

Progress in Peace Talks: Will This Drive U.S. Stock Indexes into Sustained Rebounds or Even Reversals?

The previous decline in U.S. stock indexes was primarily driven by market concerns over the impact of Trump's tariff policies on the U.S. economy, rather than being directly linked to developments in Russia-Ukraine peace talks.

Despite the recent strong rebound in U.S. stock indexes, the underlying fundamentals remain largely unchanged. The effects of Trump's tariff policies are still unfolding, requiring more time for their full implications to surface.

Thus, the rebound in U.S. stock indexes is seen as temporary rather than a complete reversal.

From a technical standpoint, the U.S. stock index is facing significant resistance in the 5900–6000 range. For investors who have already taken positions, it is advisable to monitor index movements closely and secure profits if the resistance level cannot be breached.

For those who have not yet entered the market, it is recommended to adopt a more cautious approach, waiting for a potential second bottom before making decisions.

Post-Fed Meeting: U.S. Treasury Bonds Show No Signs of Recovery

The March Federal Reserve meeting unfolded as anticipated, with no changes to interest rates and little to analyze from the wording of its statements. Despite the Fed facing unprecedented historical losses, market expectations for rapid rate cuts were unmet. A key point of observation moving forward will be whether President Trump successfully applies pressure on the Fed to accelerate rate cuts.

In the current scenario, with the pace of rate cuts slowing, U.S. Treasury bond prices are unlikely to display significant upward momentum and will likely remain range-bound.

The outlook for Treasury bonds hinges on whether Trump can successfully pressure the Federal Reserve into speeding up rate cuts later this year. If such pressure succeeds, it could present new investment opportunities in the Treasury bond market.

$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmain)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $E-mini Dow Jones - main 2506(YMmain)$ $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2505(CLmain)$