$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ 🐂📈 Bulls Are Regrouping in Google $GOOGL as AI Capital Rotates, Structure Signals Reload, Not Distribution 📈🐂

Bulls are regrouping in Google $GOOGL, not chasing highs, not panicking on consolidation. This is what constructive digestion looks like after a powerful impulse. TD Cowen lifting its price target to $350 from $335 reinforces that view, grounded in rising Gemini usage, improving AI-driven Search engagement, and early monetisation traction from AI Overviews and AI Mode. This is fundamentals catching up to price, not the other way around.

Alphabet is +63% YTD and +113% from the April lows, but the more important signal is structural. Price has cooled back inside the rising channel, which is why I tactically lowered my EOY target. That adjustment is about location, not conviction. The current setup is a near clone of the prior bull flag that resolved higher, with volatility compressing rather than expanding. That is not how tops form.

The weekly structure remains intact. Trend integrity is preserved, higher lows are respected, and momentum has been reset without breaking character. Liquidity behaviour remains orderly, consistent with institutional digestion rather than distribution.

The broader AI data centre trade, however, is under pressure. Goldman Sachs’ AI basket is down more than 6%, marking its worst session since April’s tariff shock. Hardware, networking, and infrastructure names have been hit across the board, including $SNDK, $WDC, $STX, $MU, $ANET, and $VRT. Softer prints from $ORCL and $AVGO have reignited concerns around AI capex intensity, balance sheet leverage, and near-term cash flow digestion.

That divergence matters. Alphabet is not a levered hardware buildout story. It sits upstream in distribution, data, and monetisation. When capital cycles wobble, the market rotates toward platforms that can absorb volatility rather than amplify it. That separation is showing up clearly in relative structure.

Execution remains straightforward. I buy Google on dips into the 100-week SMA zone. That level has repeatedly acted as institutional reload territory across cycles, where longer-duration capital steps in and risk compresses asymmetrically.

My long-term view remains unchanged. Into 2026 to 2027, I see a credible path toward $500, driven by AI-led Search re-acceleration, Gemini monetisation scaling, cloud operating leverage, and Alphabet’s ability to convert global distribution into durable, high-quality cash flow.

Price is never random. It is always reacting to incentives, liquidity and time!

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# JP Morgan Raises Alphabet Price Target and Maintains Overweight Rating

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  • Tui Jude
    ·2025-12-14
    TOP
    Your read on Google’s consolidation is clean for this leg of the move. Structure matters more than noise when momentum resets without breaking support. The macro rotation away from capex-heavy AI into cash-flow platforms fits this tape. I’m seeing similar flow behaviour in $Microsoft(MSFT)$ as this cycle matures.
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    • Barcode
      TJ, that rotation lens matters here. When $Alphabet(GOOGL)$. and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ hold structure while capex trades wobble, it usually reflects longer-duration positioning, not short-term flow.
      2025-12-14
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    • Barcode
      🙏🏼 Thanks TJ, your time here makes the market chat richer.
      2025-12-14
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  • PetS
    ·2025-12-14
    TOP
    Strong post BC. I like the emphasis on time and incentives rather than price alone at this stage. When structure stays intact during macro drawdowns, that usually says a lot about positioning. Seeing similar behaviour in $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ where support holds despite cross asset pressure.
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    • Barcode
      Incentives and time always lead price. When $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ and $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ respect support together, it reinforces that this phase is digestion, not distribution.
      2025-12-14
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    • Barcode
      🙏 I’m grateful you took time to go through my post PetS. The more we can exchange thoughtful ideas, the better we can navigate both the opportunities and the risks in markets like these.
      2025-12-14
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  • Cool Cat Winston
    ·2025-12-14
    TOP
    我喜欢你的帖子框架$谷歌A(GOOGL)$在周期的这个阶段,结构主导而不是标题驱动。上升通道内的波动性压缩通常标志着流动性袋的形成,而不是耗尽。在平台保持势头的同时,跨资产流动却放弃了人工智能硬件,这感觉就像是一个政权的说法。观看$英伟达(NVDA)$这里是伽马敏感度对下一个收益的对比。
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    • Barcode
      CCW,谢谢。The$英伟达(NVDA)$对比正是这个阶段的重点。何时$谷歌A(GOOGL)$保持结构虽然$NVDA保持伽马敏感,但它会告诉您波动性在哪里被吸收或放大。
      2025-12-14
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    • Barcode
      🙏很高兴你读了我的文章CCW,总是很好的交易想法在一起。
      2025-12-14
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  • Hen Solo
    ·2025-12-14
    TOP
    This stood out to me because it separates AI monetisation from AI spend at this point in the cycle. Liquidity pockets forming near higher lows often precede continuation. The divergence versus the data centre trade is the key insight. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ shows comparable structure with volatility cooling, not expanding.
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    • Barcode
      HS, you nailed it. Monetisation versus spend is the separation in this cycle. Seeing $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ maintain structure through macro stress reinforces confidence in the cash flow engine.
      2025-12-14
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    • Barcode
      🙏🏼 I appreciate it HS, solid to share ideas that matter.
      2025-12-14
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  • Kiwi Tigress
    ·2025-12-14
    this makes sense, kinda wild how everyone’s panicking on AI capex right now but Google just chills and resets, lowkey love that 100 week SMA zone, feels like smart money territory tbh, fr your post made the structure way clearer, reminds me why platforms like $Alphabet(GOOGL)$
    trade different fr
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  • 1PC
    ·2025-12-14
    Great Insight & Sharing 😁 350 [Miser] 📈, let's Go 🚀😜 @JC888 @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa @DiAngel @Shyon @koolgal
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  • mcml
    ·2025-12-15
    Great article, would you like to share it?
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  • Kiwi Tigress
    ·2025-12-14

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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  • Hen Solo
    ·2025-12-14

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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  • PetS
    ·2025-12-14

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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  • Tui Jude
    ·2025-12-14

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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