To The Moon

[Happy]  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  

Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo

What is CFTC Data? Why Must We Watch It? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released weekly by the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission), serves as one of the key references for global futures market fund flows. Its greatest value lies in breaking down market participants, allowing us to see "who is buying and who is selling." CFTC categorizes market positions primarily into three groups: Non-Commercial Positions: Mainly speculative funds such as hedge funds and CTAs, representing the most sensitive and directional forces in the market. Commercial Positions: Industry clients using them for hedging, with weaker directionality. Non-Reportable Positions: Small funds, with minimal impact. Among these, non-commercial positions are the core focus. The reason is simple: these fun

Has been watching $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ & $Robinhood(HOOD)$   [Sly]  

Bitcoin is currently trading in the **$77,000–$78,000** range as of late April 2026, showing a clear rebound from lower levels earlier in the year (it had dipped toward the $60k–$74k zone amid a broader post-2025 peak correction). Yes, it's testing the **$80,000** psychological and technical resistance level again. Recent price action has seen it climb toward $78k–$79k, with some sessions pushing close but struggling to hold a clean breakout above $80k on sustained volume or weekly closes. ### Can Bitcoin Break $80k? **Short-term (days to weeks):** Possible, but not guaranteed.  - Technicals show $80k as a major overhead supply zone and psychological barrier that's capped multiple attempts since the earlier breakdown. A decisive weekly close above $80k would be a strong bullish signal

Teacher Cheng Jun, a senior professional trader and analyst in the field of futures and financial derivatives, has more than 15 years of real-money margin trading experience and has been deeply engaged in financial markets since 2007. He specializes in trading and research on high-leverage instruments such as foreign exchange, gold, and futures, and has a distinctive approach to technical analysis. With the new U.S.–Iran situation continuing to unfold, the market has remained in a stalemate. Last week, major assets such as stocks, crude oil, and gold saw limited volatility. The negotiation process has yet to reach a clear outcome, and whether the final direction is a comprehensive agreement, military action, or a combination of fighting and talking, the eventual path still remains unclear.

Where my cut truth all the way!

Interesting, i have some cypto too.

Yes Bitcoin will exceed $80,000 by the end of the month & will reach all time highs 

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$   Trump: No Ship Can Enter or Leave Hormuz Without US Approval. Iran's Moderates Are Gaining Respect. Trump: We Have Total Control Over Strait of Hormuz Trump: Iran Is Having Hard Time Figuring Out Who Leader Is Trump: Iran Infighting Is Between Hardliners And Moderates Trump: Hormuz Is Sealed Up Tight Until Iran Can Make A Deal

It's a matter of time before Bitcoin hits higher highs as part of its volatility cycle  @tigee  @Shiiiniiiing  @Mike Pek  @rachelloworld  @Maggie0  @gnustiy  @TigerPM  @Tiger Trade Feed  @pretiming  @Spid

Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps

$Strategy(MSTR)$   $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$   ATM Program update (for period 13-Apr-26 to 19-Apr-26), total net proceeds of $2.54B STRF ATM: Sold no shares; $1.62B remains available STRC ATM: Sold 21.8M shares for net proceeds of $2.18B; $19.46B remains available STRK ATM: Sold no shares; $2.10B remains available STRD ATM: Sold no shares; $4.01B remains available MSTR ATM: Sold 2.2M shares for net proceeds $366.0M; $26.73B remains available BTC update for period 13-Apr-26 to 13-Apr-26: BTC acquired 34,164 Aggregate purchase price $2.54B Average purchase price $74,395 As of 19-Apr-26: Aggregate BTC holdings 815,061 Aggregate purch

💯.                                                     

investors are reacting positively to the extension of the ceasefire in the Middle East, with Bitcoin (BTC) rising and trading above $77,000–$78,000 as of April 22, 2026. The market has experienced a "relief rally" following news that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire was extended, which reduced immediate fears of further escalation in the region and helped stabilize energy prices.  Key Factors Driving Positive Sentiment (April 2026): Ceasefire Extension: President Trump’s announcement of an extended, or in some reports, indefinite, ceasefire with Iran has significantly reduced geopolitical risk premium, bringing stability to risk assets like Bitcoin. Massive Institutional Buying: Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) $Strategy(MSTR)$ an

Bitcoin Rebound - Why I Invest in IBLC ETF 🌟🌟🌟Bitcoin surged pass USD 78,000 on April 22 2026, reaching its highest level since late January.  Crypto related shares jumped in tandem as this rally signaled a breakout from weeks of rangebound trading. Why the Rally ? Geopolitical Relief:  Markets responded to President Trump's announcement extending the US Iran ceasefire.  This has boosted global risk appetite and pushed investors toward risk on assets like crypto. Supply Scarcity:  Data indicates that Bitcoin exchange reserves have dropped to 7 year lows of 2.7 million BTC, creating a supply demand imbalance as institutional buyers scoop up more than miners produce. Momentum Signal :  Breaking the USD 78,000 resistance level acted as a technical Buy signal for

please take your time to read this ... 

But rebound over 80k will requires alot of other factors

Bitcoin will hit all time highs sooner than you think 

Confirmed can break.😊

What is CFTC Data? Why Must We Watch It? The Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released weekly by the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission), serves as one of the key references for global futures market fund flows. Its greatest value lies in breaking down market participants, allowing us to see "who is buying and who is selling." CFTC categorizes market positions primarily into three groups: Non-Commercial Positions: Mainly speculative funds such as hedge funds and CTAs, representing the most sensitive and directional forces in the market. Commercial Positions: Industry clients using them for hedging, with weaker directionality. Non-Reportable Positions: Small funds, with minimal impact. Among these, non-commercial positions are the core focus. The reason is simple: these fun

Macro Theme: De-escalation and “Unstable Peace” as the Core Pricing Driver Although last weekend’s White House dinner shooting incident attracted significant attention, it did not create any material impact, and markets were not disrupted at the start of the week. Meanwhile, the ongoing “Middle East saga” continues steadily, and the U.S. decision not to arrange “in-person” negotiators suggests that the intermediary model has shifted toward “remote” communication. If no surprise attacks occur within the next one to two weeks, it can largely be concluded that this tug-of-war style “peace” will persist until around the midterm elections, when potential changes or turning points may emerge. The three potential models and scenarios of U.S.-Iran negotiations have already been discussed in previo

Teacher Cheng Jun, a senior professional trader and analyst in the field of futures and financial derivatives, has more than 15 years of real-money margin trading experience and has been deeply engaged in financial markets since 2007. He specializes in trading and research on high-leverage instruments such as foreign exchange, gold, and futures, and has a distinctive approach to technical analysis. With the new U.S.–Iran situation continuing to unfold, the market has remained in a stalemate. Last week, major assets such as stocks, crude oil, and gold saw limited volatility. The negotiation process has yet to reach a clear outcome, and whether the final direction is a comprehensive agreement, military action, or a combination of fighting and talking, the eventual path still remains unclear.

Bitcoin is currently trading in the **$77,000–$78,000** range as of late April 2026, showing a clear rebound from lower levels earlier in the year (it had dipped toward the $60k–$74k zone amid a broader post-2025 peak correction). Yes, it's testing the **$80,000** psychological and technical resistance level again. Recent price action has seen it climb toward $78k–$79k, with some sessions pushing close but struggling to hold a clean breakout above $80k on sustained volume or weekly closes. ### Can Bitcoin Break $80k? **Short-term (days to weeks):** Possible, but not guaranteed.  - Technicals show $80k as a major overhead supply zone and psychological barrier that's capped multiple attempts since the earlier breakdown. A decisive weekly close above $80k would be a strong bullish signal

Over the past week, the Middle East situation has been marked by a ceasefire that remains temporarily in place, stalled negotiations, and no meaningful improvement in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. On April 21, Iran declined to attend the second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22. The United States then extended the ceasefire period and said it would maintain maritime pressure and military deterrence until Iran submits a unified proposal. This suggests that developments are not moving toward smooth diplomatic progress.As for the Strait of Hormuz, market attention has shifted from whether it is nominally open to whether actual shipping has truly resumed. The latest reports still point to disrupted transit, indicating that although the ceasefire framework has not collaps

investors are reacting positively to the extension of the ceasefire in the Middle East, with Bitcoin (BTC) rising and trading above $77,000–$78,000 as of April 22, 2026. The market has experienced a "relief rally" following news that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire was extended, which reduced immediate fears of further escalation in the region and helped stabilize energy prices.  Key Factors Driving Positive Sentiment (April 2026): Ceasefire Extension: President Trump’s announcement of an extended, or in some reports, indefinite, ceasefire with Iran has significantly reduced geopolitical risk premium, bringing stability to risk assets like Bitcoin. Massive Institutional Buying: Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) $Strategy(MSTR)$ an

Issued: April 20, 2026 Period Covered: April 13, 2026 → April 20, 2026 I. Information Breakdown & Pricing Failure: The Geopolitical Meat Grinder Over the past week, markets did not experience a fundamental shock—yet price behavior became structurally distorted. This is not volatility; it is a temporary breakdown in the pricing mechanism. Two variables dominate: 1. Policy Whiplash Ceasefire announcements were rapidly denied. The Strait of Hormuz flipped repeatedly between “open” and “restricted.” Military threats escalated in high frequency. Conclusion:All linear models built on stable expectations have failed. 2. Information Asymmetry Confirmed Regulatory investigations revealed: $950M of short positioning ahead of ceasefire headlines $760M positioned ahead of shipping-related announce

Recently, the core variable in crude oil trading has still been the evolving situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Based on the information currently available, a second round of negotiations between the United States and Iran has already been put on the agenda. That, in itself, is a very important development. It suggests that the Strait of Hormuz crisis is moving away from a war-based resolution path and gradually shifting toward a negotiation-based one. In other words, the situation is easing rather than escalating. This shift matters because it directly changes the pricing logic of crude oil. If the market was previously trading on the assumption of escalating conflict, supply disruption, and uncontrolled risk, it is now beginning to price in easing tensions, advancing dialogue, and a dec

Bitcoin Rebound - Why I Invest in IBLC ETF 🌟🌟🌟Bitcoin surged pass USD 78,000 on April 22 2026, reaching its highest level since late January.  Crypto related shares jumped in tandem as this rally signaled a breakout from weeks of rangebound trading. Why the Rally ? Geopolitical Relief:  Markets responded to President Trump's announcement extending the US Iran ceasefire.  This has boosted global risk appetite and pushed investors toward risk on assets like crypto. Supply Scarcity:  Data indicates that Bitcoin exchange reserves have dropped to 7 year lows of 2.7 million BTC, creating a supply demand imbalance as institutional buyers scoop up more than miners produce. Momentum Signal :  Breaking the USD 78,000 resistance level acted as a technical Buy signal for

$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ Circle Internet just delivered a scorching 12.09% surge, smashing through the $100 barrier in after-hours trading as the long-standing dispute over stablecoin yield payments under the CLARITY Act was officially resolved. 😤 Patrick Witt, Executive Director of the White House's Presidential Council of Advisers on Digital Assets, confirmed to CoinDesk that remaining obstacles are being progressively cleared, unlocking a clearer regulatory runway for yield-bearing stablecoins like USDC. This breakthrough positions Circle as a new focal point in crypto infrastructure, with USDC circulation already at $50 billion and growing fast on the back of DeFi integrations and institutional adoption. Meanwhile, Bitcoin reclaimed $74,0

Issued: April 13, 2026Period Covered: April 6, 2026 → April 13, 2026 1. Core Macro Dislocation: Historic Divergence Between Oil Collapse and Gold Surge Over the past week, global markets have exhibited a structural anomaly that cannot be reconciled under any traditional macro framework: $WTI原油主连 2605(CLmain)$ WTI Crude declined to 95.63 $黄金主连 2606(GCmain)$ Gold surged to 4727.45 $比特币(BTC.USD.CC)$ Bitcoin broke above 70875.66 Under conventional models, this configuration should not exist. Classical transmission: Oil ↓ → Inflation expectations ↓ → Real yields ↑ → Gold ↓ Observed reality: Oil ↓ + Gold ↑ + BTC ↑ This divergence signals a fundamental reg

$MSTR$   Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MicroStrategy Incorporated stock MicroStrategy Incorporated finds support from accumulated volume at $166.52 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested. This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $10.43 between high and low, or 6.49%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.50%. The MicroStrategy Incorporated stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this ma

$MSTR$   Corporate bitcoin accumulation drives treasury exposure and funding shifts Strategy has intensified its corporate Bitcoin treasury approach by purchasing 34,164 BTC for approximately $2.54 billion in April 2026, bringing its total holdings to over 815,000 BTC. The acquisition was financed through at-the-market sales of both MSTR common shares and STRC perpetual preferred stock. Additionally, the company proposed shifting its STRC preferred dividend from monthly to semi-monthly payments at a fixed 11.5% annualized yield, with shareholder approval pending. Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees the current MSTR rally as technically fragile. He notes overbought oscillat

The current landscape for crypto stocks is navigating a "recovery in confidence" as Bitcoin (BTC) pushes back toward and above the $74,000 mark as of April 14, 2026. While BTC recently hit a 40-day high near $74,500, the "run" for associated stocks is facing a tug-of-war between institutional buying and macroeconomic/geopolitical headwinds. Current Market Sentiment (April 2026) The rally to $74,000 has been largely driven by institutional capital flows—specifically spot BTC ETFs and massive corporate treasury buys—rather than the retail-driven "moon" cycles of the past. BTC Price Action: After falling as low as $69,000 earlier this month, BTC reclaimed $74,000 on March 16 and has been consolidating above $70,000 through mid-April. Crypto Stocks Performance: Equities like 

This is not just an isolated exploit. It exposes a structural fragility in restaking + cross-chain composability, where one failure propagates across the entire DeFi stack. --- What actually broke The vulnerability sits in LayerZero, a core messaging layer Assets affected: rsETH (restaked ETH derivative from Kelp DAO) Contagion vector: Stolen collateral → deposited into Aave V3 and Compound Borrowed ETH → liquidity drain → protocol freezes This is classic “collateral poisoning”. --- Why this is systemically serious 1. Restaking multiplies trust assumptions You are stacking: Ethereum security Restaking layer Cross-chain bridge Lending protocol risk One failure breaks all layers simultaneously. 2. Bridges remain the weakest link Cross-chain messaging introduces off-chain verification trust,

The move in Circle Internet Financial is not just crypto beta. It is a policy-driven re-rating. The signal from Presidential Council of Advisers on Digital Assets matters because it reduces one of the biggest overhangs: regulatory uncertainty around stablecoin yield mechanics. That shifts Circle from a “grey-zone fintech” to a potential regulated infrastructure layer. --- Can Circle become a new focal point? Bull case (structural) Regulatory clarity → institutional adoption of USDC-like stablecoins Positioned as a compliant on-ramp between TradFi and crypto Beneficiary of tokenised finance (payments, settlements, treasuries) But there are constraints Revenue still tied heavily to interest income on reserves Competition from banks and Big Tech if regulation opens the door Valuation may fron

$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ The revised U.S. Clarity Act targeting stablecoin reserve interest is a very serious development for Circle. It strikes directly at the core of their business model. Why the market reacted so strongly Circle’s profits largely come from: Holding USDC reserves in U.S. Treasuries Earning interest on those reserves Keeping part of that yield as revenue If regulation prohibits stablecoin issuers from earning yield on reserves, then Circle effectively becomes: > A payments and infrastructure company with very thin margins That is a completely different valuation model. So the stock drop is not just sentiment. It is a fundamental repricing risk. --- Will this end Circle’s valuation premium? Possibly yes, unless they succ

$MSTR$   The MicroStrategy Incorporated stock price gained 2.58% on the last trading day (Monday, 20th Apr 2026), rising from $166.52 to $170.81. It has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.49% from a day low at $160.64 to a day high of $171.06. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 33.77% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -30 million shares and in total, 22 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.74 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher pri

[Happy]  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  

Has been watching $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ & $Robinhood(HOOD)$   [Sly]