U.S. Debt Tops $40 Trillion — Can Markets Digest Jackson Hole and Earnings Together?
U.S. Treasury debt passed $40 trillion in August, and the long end still sets equity prices. Jackson Hole runs August 27–29, Warsh's first as Chair, and his tone decides where long yields go; Bessent lifting single-operation buybacks to at least $4bn treats liquidity, not the deficit behind it. Nvidia reports Wednesday after the close, Marvell Thursday. If the rhetoric turns hawkish and long rates rise, the steepest discounts land on the longest-duration AI hardware. Cut before the symposium and wait for both, or rotate into rate-sensitive assets now?