To The Moon

$CIVMEC LIMITED(P9D.SI)$ Is it time to sell? EV demand heats up, but with lithium spot price stabilizing in July I don't see it spiking up to 2022 highs. Can Civmec continue to grow? Or is its recent major contract for the Rio Tinto Western Range Project in the Pilbara region the peak? The market looks undecided now. While it seems like mining companies are ramping up production, there are still signs of a slowing economy. If a economic downturn hits, expect the mining companies to be greatly affected.

Last week, there was a certain degree of discrepancy in the two employment data released by the United States. Thursday, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data greatly exceeded expectations. After seasonal adjustment, private sector employment increased by 497,000 in June, more than twice the market's expectation of 225,000 and far surpassing the previous value of 278,000. It marked the largest monthly increase since July 2022 and significantly heightened market anticipation for the non-farm employment report to be released on Friday. However, the non-farm data did not turn out as strong as anticipated. The newly added non-farm employment in the report released on Friday unexpectedly declined to 209,000, reaching a two-year low. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate slightly decreased as ex

Another chance at more coins...

Hi Tigers,Welcome to Quantitative Picker column, a Fundamental stock picking strategies column based on the function of “Screener“ of Tiger Trade.Identifying high-quality businesses can be complex.Fundamental stock picking refers to the process of selecting and analyzing various stocks in the market involves analyzing a company’s financial data, management capabilities, and market outlook to determine its investment value and etc.As in the Early stage of H2 2023. You may become more confidence and have tried to spend more time on potential stocks to ride the biggest H1 bull for 40 years of $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ .Here are 25 high-quality stocks ranked by marketcap, selection based on key indicators: ROIC >15% ；FCF growth 5Y >10% ；Revenue growth ne

How to trade in second half of 2023  The following information provides a general view of the bull and bear perspectives for the second half of 2023 in the US stock market, but it does not guarantee future market performance. Please do your own due diligence.  Bull View: Economic Growth: The bull case for the US stock market in the second half of 2023 revolves around continued economic growth. If the economy remains robust, with positive GDP growth, low unemployment rates, and rising consumer confidence, it can drive corporate earnings and support stock prices. Fiscal and Monetary Policies: Accommodative fiscal and monetary policies can be favorable for the stock market. If the Federal Reserve maintains a dovish stance by keeping interest rates low and continuing its asset p

In the last week of the first half of the year, the US stock market reached a new high, with $Apple(AAPL)$ surpassing a market capitalization of 3 trillion dollars, becoming the main driving force behind the market's rise. However, excellent macroeconomic data may be the primary reason for investors' sustained optimism.Two revised financial indicators have further improved the situation: Q1 US GDP, with a quarterly annualized growth rate revised from the previous 1.3% to a final value of 2%, far exceeding the market's expectation of 1.4%; and Q1 US Core PCE Price Index, with a slight downward revision in the quarterly annualized growth rate to 4.9% from the previous 5.0%, and a slight downward revision in the quarterly annualized growth rate to 4.

1. MAJOR INDEXES RETURNSThe major U.S. stock indexes regained the ground they had lost the previous week and then some, as generally positive economic data lifted the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ , and the $Dow Chemical(DOW)$ more than 2% each. For the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ , it was the ninth positive week out of the past ten.  The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ both gained nearly 7% to record their fourth positive month in a row. The Dow climbed nearly 5% and posted its best month since November 2022. U.S. st

S&P500 Weekly Chart Analysis - Bear Flag Full Retrace to 4812!! Background - 3 Jan 2022 was the high for S&P500! = 4815 - Bear Flag from then to the bottom on 10 Oct 2022 would give rise to Fibonacci Retracement to 2 key Fibonacci levels Fibonacci 38.2 - This is often a level where if the price action do not get back above, bear flag will play out with a collapse  Fibonacci 61.8 - This is often referred to the golden level at which if climbed above, there is a good likelihood there will be a full retrace to the start of the bear flag ==> Back to S&P500 4815! Point of no return - The dead set line which is broken above will almost always full retrace and that is Fib 78.6 at 4550! So, take your pick. As long as we stay above 4300 and 4160! Clear as mud! Good luck, a

Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for QQQ last week. Secured 16% gain from the Tech ETF on the final trading day of the first half. Join me for the ride into the remaining half of the year with amazing gain! 😎 In a stunning day for the U.S. stock market characterized by Apple Inc‘s (NASDAQ:AAPL) surge back to a $3 trillion market cap, the Nasdaq 100 Index marks a triumphant journey, putting it on track to finish the quarter with a remarkable 39% gain. This half-year performance is the second-best in the index’s history, dating back to its inception in 1985. Investors and tech enthusiasts are taking note of an astounding rally, with the Nasdaq fully recouping the losses caused by the 500 basis-point rate hikes that the Federal Reserv

Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for SPY once again. 63% profit from taking SPY calls on the last day of June as anticipated. Looking forward to greater gains in the second half of 2023 starting next week! 🤑 The S&P 500 has risen 15.9% this year to 4,450.38, but we're actually in a bull market, with a 24% gain from the 2022
closing low of 3,577.03 on Oct. 12. (One definition of a bull market is a 20% price increase for a stock index.) Although a pullback is likely to come over the short-term, especially heading into the Federal Reserve’s next decision on interest rates scheduled for July 25 and July 26, a continuation of the bullish cycle could continue into the end of the year. Take the stairs next? The S&P 500 gapped up 0.59% to start the trading day on F

Title: Bear vs. Bull: Analyzing Investor Expectations in H2 2023 Introduction As we enter the second half of 2023, investors are contemplating the future direction of the market, seeking insights into whether the bear or bull sentiment will dominate the investor landscape. With a range of factors impacting market dynamics, it's important to examine key indicators and trends to gauge investor expectations for the remainder of the year. Bearish Sentiment Factors Several factors contribute to the bearish sentiment prevalent among some investors. Rising inflation concerns have been a recurring theme, fueled by global supply chain disruptions and accommodative monetary policies. The fear is that persistent inflation could erode purchasing power, impacting consumer spending and corporate profita

Investing in the banking industry in America can be both good and bad, depending on various factors and individual investment objectives. Here’s a brief analysis: Valuations of the banking sector: The valuation of the banking sector is influenced by several factors, including interest rates, economic conditions, regulatory environment, and profitability. Historically, banking stocks have been valued based on metrics such as price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, price-to-book (P/B) ratios, and return on equity (ROE). It’s important to evaluate these indicators to assess the attractiveness of the sector. Rising debt in America: The rising debt in America can have implications for the banking industry. On one hand, banks can benefit from increased lending activities as individuals and businesses se

All 23 US banks that participated in a new Federal Reserve stress test (Full PDF )would be able to withstand a severe global recession, demonstrating the strength of the biggest financial institutions at a time when the banking industry still is on uncertain ground.1. One of the toughest tests ever.According to the news previously revealed by the Federal Reserve, this year's stress test scenarios include unemployment rising to a peak of 10%, commercial real estate prices plummeting 40%, house prices falling 38%, and short-term interest rates falling to almost zero. Therefore, this test is considered One of the toughest tests ever.Source: federalreserve.govSpecial notes, the test

Richard Koo has been one of my favorite macro thinkers. I have always believed that his thoery on balance sheet recession will prove to be extremely relevant for China one day. Yesterday he gave an extraordinary speech on China's Japanification risk. Let's see some takeaways.1. China is likely to enter a painful balance sheet recession that may take many years to recover.2. China should not waste time on monetary policy and structural reforms. Instead, it should concentrate its efforts on fiscal stimulus to keep the economy running.3. What's particularly unveiling is that the Chinese corporate sector has already stopped borrowing since 2016, even before the bubble burst (nonfinancial corporate debt as % of GDP has stopped growing).4. Koo is confused and intrigued by the phenomenon in No.3.

As investors navigate the ever-changing landscape of the financial markets, the question of whether the second half of 2023 will favor the bears or the bulls becomes a focal point of discussion. While no one can accurately predict market movements with certainty, this essay aims to analyze key factors and provide an assessment of the potential outlook for the second half of 2023. It is important to note that this analysis is based on current information and market trends, but unforeseen events can significantly impact market dynamics. 1. Economic Growth and Recovery: One crucial factor influencing market sentiment in the second half of 2023 will be the pace of global economic recovery. As economies rebound from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the degree of economic growth and the eff

Slowly ending it with a good ending like a happy ending if you know what I mean press like for a happy ending

Yesterday, 5 stocks - $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$, $Eagle Materials(EXP)$, $W.W. Grainger(GWW)$, $Snap-on(SNA)$, and $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ - hit all-time-high.1. $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ reached $253.51Palo Alto Networks, Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions worldwide.Like we have mentioned in the new high concept of SaaS, this sector are well-positioned to shape the evolution of the tech industry by integrating Generative AI into their product roadmaps. Their access to large amounts of data gives them a competitive advantage and strengthens t

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Technical Points ForecastsRecommend to read: H2 2023 Outlooks | Reasons on Slow Bull vs. Bear of S&P 500As of post, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ retreated from its approaching August 2022 peak. Because of the previous excessive pull-up, the retracement recently is considered healthy. And $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is still in its weekly and monthly upward trend.However, see from the daily chart, According to Axel Rudolph, senior analyst at IG, he pointed out: "In fact, we can see a small rising wedge structure on the daily chart, which may indicate that at least a short-term top

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$  more ups

On June 27th, the aviation industry experienced a general surge, with the $U.S. Global Jets ETF(JETS)$ soaring by a remarkable 4.41%, approaching the high point seen in February. Among the three major airlines, $Delta Air Lines(DAL)$ led the rally, reaching a new high for the year and returning to its March 2020 level. $United Continental(UAL)$ and $American Airlines(AAL)$ had relatively smaller declines previously, so their rebound on the same day was slightly less impressive. UAL has shown the strongest rebound since the beginning of the year. Overall, the aviation industry has benefited from low oil prices and a slowdown

At the June FOMC meeting, Fed unsurprisingly paused the rate hikes. However, Fed Chairman Powell stated during the subsequent press conference, “This pause does not imply that the benchmark interest rate has reached its peak.” The dot plot released at the same time indicated that FOMC members anticipate two additional rate hikes totaling 50 bps by the end of this year.Strangely, the market seemed unfazed by such hawkish remarks, and US stocks only experienced a slight decline on that day. Looking at the Fed Fund Futures traded in the market, the expected benchmark interest rate for December not only failed to surpass previous highs but also remained significantly lower than the median of 5.625% indicated in the Fed's dot plot.Source: BloombergSo, is the benchmark interest rate indicated by

— Or just picking you up in reverse? After reaching its peak with an opening stock price of $351 on June 16th, the stock price of the tech giant $Microsoft(MSFT)$ started to decline and by the close on June 26th, it had fallen back to the levels of late May. Other tech giants have also experienced varying degrees of retracement recently, and $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ , the strongest chip stock due to increased demand for AI, has experienced its largest drop in a month. Is AI cooling down?As for ChatGPT, according to SimilarWeb data, the growth in ChatGPT's traffic has noticeably slowed down recently, with a continuous decline in month-on-month comparison due to a larger base. Unless there are unexpected develop

Last week, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed up cumulatively. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index rose for the fifth consecutive week. The index has risen by more than 26% since the low point of the bear market. In addition, both the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ and the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ hit their highest levels since April 2022.image.pngFrom the data point:Earlier this month, discretionary investor positions, which include fund managers and retail investors, rose above neutral for the first time since February, Deutsche Bank data showed.U.S. equity funds attracted $18.85 billion in net inflows in the week ended June 14, the largest weekly net buying since mid-February 2

 📈🐂🏦💵😁Maximising Investments: Strategies for High and Low Market Conditions Introduction: Navigating the stock market requires strategic decision-making, particularly when faced with different market conditions. In this article, we will explore the advantages of investing in lesser IV ETFs like JEPI and QYLD when the market is higher, around the resistance price of 4300. Additionally, we will discuss the benefits of investing in established ETFs such as VOO, SPY, or QQQ when the market is lower, approximately 3800. Part I: High Market Conditions When the market is higher, around the resistance price of 4300, it is crucial to employ appropriate investment strategies that can maximize gains and manage risks effectively. Investing in lesser IV ETFs like JEPI and QYLD can be advantageous

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Technical Points ForecastsRecommend to read: H2 2023 Outlooks | Reasons on Slow Bull vs. Bear of S&P 500As of post, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ retreated from its approaching August 2022 peak. Because of the previous excessive pull-up, the retracement recently is considered healthy. And $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is still in its weekly and monthly upward trend.However, see from the daily chart, According to Axel Rudolph, senior analyst at IG, he pointed out: "In fact, we can see a small rising wedge structure on the daily chart, which may indicate that at least a short-term top

Hi Tigers, welcome to ”What the Tigers Say” [Cool]This is a weekly column planned to share the great opinion from Tigers on ‘Bull vs. Bear: Is the Tech Sector's Rebound Sustainable?’The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose for the fifth consecutive week, both the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ and the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ hit their highest levels since April 2022. The performance of the tech sector plays a significant role in shaping market sentiments and investor strategies. Is the tech sector primed for a bull run, or will a bear market prevail?Below are some insights from Tiger @Capital_Insights,

📈🏦🐂🫡💰✅ Benefit from volatility and uptrend QYLD 1% dividend every month  Hey, guess what? We're diving into June, and the markets have been bouncing back like crazy in 2023, just like Lisa's killer dance moves! The S&P 500 has risen by 9.63%, while the Nasdaq is up a whopping 11.15%. Investing can be a wild ride, and sometimes you need nerves of steel to handle the ups and downs, especially when the market goes all bearish. Now, let's talk about the Global X Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF (NASDAQ:QYLD). Some folks hate it, but others see it as a naughty and playful way to make some income. Over the past year, QYLD's shares hit a low of $15 when the Nasdaq took a nosedive. But since then, they've bounced back by a sizzling 17.13%, and in 2023 alone, they've seen a delightful 10.78% ap

In the last week of the first half of the year, the US stock market reached a new high, with $Apple(AAPL)$ surpassing a market capitalization of 3 trillion dollars, becoming the main driving force behind the market's rise. However, excellent macroeconomic data may be the primary reason for investors' sustained optimism.Two revised financial indicators have further improved the situation: Q1 US GDP, with a quarterly annualized growth rate revised from the previous 1.3% to a final value of 2%, far exceeding the market's expectation of 1.4%; and Q1 US Core PCE Price Index, with a slight downward revision in the quarterly annualized growth rate to 4.9% from the previous 5.0%, and a slight downward revision in the quarterly annualized growth rate to 4.

Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for SPY once again. 63% profit from taking SPY calls on the last day of June as anticipated. Looking forward to greater gains in the second half of 2023 starting next week! 🤑 The S&P 500 has risen 15.9% this year to 4,450.38, but we're actually in a bull market, with a 24% gain from the 2022
closing low of 3,577.03 on Oct. 12. (One definition of a bull market is a 20% price increase for a stock index.) Although a pullback is likely to come over the short-term, especially heading into the Federal Reserve’s next decision on interest rates scheduled for July 25 and July 26, a continuation of the bullish cycle could continue into the end of the year. Take the stairs next? The S&P 500 gapped up 0.59% to start the trading day on F

Keypoints：Have You Miss An AI-Driven Driven H1 2023?Excessive Optimism? Bear vs. Slow Bull Forecast Reasons DebateBull vs Bear Market: What Investors Need to Know | The Motley FoolRecommend to read: H2 2023 Outlook | S&P 500 Sectors be Focused on & Points Forecast1. Have You Miss An AI-Driven Driven H1 2023From the YTD chart below, we can see The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ rose over 32% by mid-June, and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 's 2023 rise reached almost 16% in mid-June before the latest pullback of the past week.Data as of June 23rd 2023Looking back, we all witnessed the mega-cap stocks lead the rise of

All 23 US banks that participated in a new Federal Reserve stress test (Full PDF )would be able to withstand a severe global recession, demonstrating the strength of the biggest financial institutions at a time when the banking industry still is on uncertain ground.1. One of the toughest tests ever.According to the news previously revealed by the Federal Reserve, this year's stress test scenarios include unemployment rising to a peak of 10%, commercial real estate prices plummeting 40%, house prices falling 38%, and short-term interest rates falling to almost zero. Therefore, this test is considered One of the toughest tests ever.Source: federalreserve.govSpecial notes, the test

$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$ the space tourism company founded by British billionaire Richard Branson, has announced that it will conduct its first commercial manned space flight mission as early as June 27. $Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$ jumped 16.5% on the news. $Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$ will start its first commercial flightThis flight, named "Galactic 01," will carry researchers from the Italian Air Force and the Italy National Research Council into space. With this milestone, Virgin Galactic will enter the commercial operational phase. Several hundred space tourists have already purchased tickets for the entire 90-minute journey, which costs approximately $450,000.Virgin

Yesterday, 5 stocks - $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$, $Eagle Materials(EXP)$, $W.W. Grainger(GWW)$, $Snap-on(SNA)$, and $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ - hit all-time-high.1. $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ reached $253.51Palo Alto Networks, Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions worldwide.Like we have mentioned in the new high concept of SaaS, this sector are well-positioned to shape the evolution of the tech industry by integrating Generative AI into their product roadmaps. Their access to large amounts of data gives them a competitive advantage and strengthens t

Last week, Federal Reserve officials, including Powell, began delivering speeches in a hawkish tone. They not only reiterated that "almost all" Fed officials support raising interest rates later this year at the June meeting, but also mentioned the possibility of two more rate hikes this year. The decision to pause rate hikes in June was aimed at slowing down the pace to a more cautious level. This outlook contrasts with the market's previous consensus, which anticipated only one rate hike and potential rate cuts later this year. According to CME's Fed Tool observation, the probability of a rate hike in July stands at 71%, and the probability of no rate cuts this year has risen to 47%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut this year has decreased to 35%.Furthermore, other cent

Like to thank Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for both SPY and QQQ over the weekend. Let’s rock the market this week again! 😎 Investors started the year wondering if the global economy was in for a hard landing that would force central banks to pivot and start cutting rates, or if a ‘soft landing’ was still achievable.  Well, so far, there has been no pivot, so how’s that soft landing looking? This week we’re checking in on what’s happened over the last six months, where things stand, and what the second half might bring. The Economy In June last year, many economies were expected to slip into a recession by the end of 2022 or early in 2023. By the beginning of this year, those forecasts had been pushed out to later in the year. The US economy has proved to be resili

Last week, there was a certain degree of discrepancy in the two employment data released by the United States. Thursday, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data greatly exceeded expectations. After seasonal adjustment, private sector employment increased by 497,000 in June, more than twice the market's expectation of 225,000 and far surpassing the previous value of 278,000. It marked the largest monthly increase since July 2022 and significantly heightened market anticipation for the non-farm employment report to be released on Friday. However, the non-farm data did not turn out as strong as anticipated. The newly added non-farm employment in the report released on Friday unexpectedly declined to 209,000, reaching a two-year low. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate slightly decreased as ex

Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for QQQ last week. Secured 16% gain from the Tech ETF on the final trading day of the first half. Join me for the ride into the remaining half of the year with amazing gain! 😎 In a stunning day for the U.S. stock market characterized by Apple Inc‘s (NASDAQ:AAPL) surge back to a $3 trillion market cap, the Nasdaq 100 Index marks a triumphant journey, putting it on track to finish the quarter with a remarkable 39% gain. This half-year performance is the second-best in the index’s history, dating back to its inception in 1985. Investors and tech enthusiasts are taking note of an astounding rally, with the Nasdaq fully recouping the losses caused by the 500 basis-point rate hikes that the Federal Reserv

On June 26, the pharmaceutical sector of the US stock market experienced a general decline. The pharmaceutical giant $Pfizer(PFE)$ , led the decline with a decrease of 3.6% due to its announcement of discontinuing the development of its experimental weight loss and diabetes drug, lotiglipron. This highly anticipated drug showed elevated liver enzymes in experimental patients during mid-term clinical trials, indicating potential liver cell damage, although no liver-related symptoms or side effects were observed in the patients. Pfizer stated that it will now focus on another oral obesity drug called danuglipron, which is undergoing a fully recruited Phase II clinical trial. According to the results published last month, type 2 diabetes patients expe

1. MAJOR INDEXES RETURNSThe major U.S. stock indexes regained the ground they had lost the previous week and then some, as generally positive economic data lifted the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ , and the $Dow Chemical(DOW)$ more than 2% each. For the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ , it was the ninth positive week out of the past ten.  The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ both gained nearly 7% to record their fourth positive month in a row. The Dow climbed nearly 5% and posted its best month since November 2022. U.S. st

10% gain from taking AMZN calls within 7 mins and started the weekend early. Price action is usually slow on Fridays so not wanting to give any profit back to the market. Fight another day! 😎 Quick scalp within 7 mins Trade #1 A potential market reversal is looming in the U.S. as index futures indicate a lower open and closed at lower low on Friday. Global markets are experiencing negative cues, with Asian markets slumping due to growth concerns and European markets extending losses for a fifth consecutive session. Energy prices are also on the decline. In the absence of significant corporate news, traders are likely to focus on Main Street data, including business activity reports, and scheduled speeches from the Federal Reserve Chair next Wednesday and Thursday. Continuation to slide tow