To The Moon

Thank you for this attention. I greatly appreciate

Have been treating this tech pullback as a "scream buy" opportunity. Keep DCA with funds ran low.

Hi Tigers 🐯, Welcome to “What the Tigers say.” 👋 The past week was the absolute peak of geopolitical chaos, sending the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ skyrocketing past 25💥. The $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ shed over 1,000 points in a single session, triggering massive intraday swings. 🎢 We tracked the fallout across 3 key market movers defining this new reality 🌍: 🛢️ The Energy Catalyst: Crude Oil surging amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions. 📈 The Volatility & Safety Trade: The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ exploding and Gold smashing $5,400 as risk-off investors seek cover. 💻 The Tech Pullback: $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and the AI rally und

Does event driven volatility an excuse for correction?  No one has crystal ball on how long this war is going to last.  So, perhaps I will spread out my entry time during this volatility period and monitor the situation.  Reality is, the war impact on economy and businesses don't reflect overnight. It will take at least the next reporting season to know the influence.  Meanwhile,  the bull probably moving from tree to tree hiding from the missiles & drones...volatility. 😅 Good luck Tigers! 

I am more in line with Goldman's view that the market has to correct itself before it can rally again, it is very obvious that things get out of hand in 2025, which was what led to slides even with good earnings results in early 2026. This would serve to stretch the runway further away from the AI bubble burst, but the bubble is getting bigger [Grin]

The current spike in the VIX to its highest level since early 2025 (hitting an intraday high of 27.30 on March 3) is a classic example of "event-driven" volatility rather than a fundamental collapse of the bull market. Historically, a VIX above 25 signals elevated stress, but the context of this move suggests it is currently more of a geopolitical hedge than the start of a multi-year bear market. The Macro Context (March 2026) The primary driver is the escalating conflict in the Middle East, specifically involving U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. This has created a specific "Volatility Shock" characterized by: Oil & Energy Sensitivity: WTI Crude has surged above $75–$77/bbl. This raises "cost-push" inflation fears, which complicates the Federal Reserve’s path for rate cuts later this year

Crying wolf Fall Fall Fall Deeper target coming months

$ASTS 20260306 78.0 PUT$ did a quick dip to buy PUTS yesterday and locked in the profit today.

In a “negative gamma” environment, this deviation means market makers cannot provide liquidity support — instead, they become accelerants to the decline. They must continuously sell positions to hedge their exposure to put options. The put/call ratio has reached 1.95. This mechanism acts like an amplifier, intensifying downside moves. That’s why once the key level breaks, the VIX can quickly surge toward 30. Unless the index reclaims 6,800, this self-reinforcing downside pressure will continue to hang over the market.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell as much as 2.5% intraday, $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ once dropped nearly 1,300 points, small caps slid close to 1.8%, and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ led the declines among the three major indexes.

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Wall Street's fear gauge just exploded to 23.31, marking its biggest jump in months amid escalating geopolitical chaos from U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. Oil prices rocketed higher, bonds got hammered, and equities took a brutal hit – S&P 500 down sharply, Dow shedding over 1,000 points in a single session, Nasdaq leading the plunge as tech giants crumbled. 😱 But is this just a much-needed reset after the AI-fueled rally, or the opening act of a brutal downturn that could slash valuations across the board? Let's break it down step by step. First, the trigger: Weekend airstrikes lit a fire under global markets, sending crude oil up nearly 10% and flipping the switch to full risk-off mode. Gold smashed through $5,400

TQQQ

🌟🌟The Golden Dip or The Descent?  Is this the start of a longer slide?  History suggests the contrary.  Research has shown that following geopolitical shocks, the S&P500 typically sees an average drawdown of under 5%, often recovering within 6 weeks. The 6800 Fortress:  Despite the intraday drop to a low of 6710, the index recovered to stay above 6800. The Bull Case:  Major institutions like Goldman Sachs & UBS have projected year end targets of 6,800 & above. The Rule of The Best 10 days:  If you sell now, you lock in a permanent loss on a temporary decline. Missing out the 10 best days can halve your long term returns.  Recovery often happens after the steepest drops. My strategy is to DCA on my core portfolio of index ETFs like

Not hopeful if situation doesn't improve and Iran war drags on.

VIX surges, markets plunge sad for existing holdings but seems "golden dip" to buy and/or DCA for wait list.

This selloff looks more like a volatility reset than a structural bear market, but the bottom may not be in yet. Early March is historically weak for the S&P 500, with stronger performance usually appearing after mid-March. The spike in the CBOE Volatility Index suggests hedging and forced de-risking rather than full capitulation. Geopolitical tension, higher oil prices, and stretched AI-driven valuations are all contributing to the pullback. Key level to watch is S&P 500 around 6800. If that holds, this likely becomes a healthy correction inside a broader bull cycle. A break below could trigger a deeper reset toward the 6500 zone. My view: not yet the perfect “golden dip,” but a potential setup forming into the second half of March if volatility cools and macro risks stabilise.

A sharp rise in the CBOE Volatility Index typically signals stress rather than an immediate bottom. Whether it becomes a “buy-the-dip” opportunity or the start of a deeper correction depends on what is driving the volatility. --- 1. Interpreting the VIX spike The VIX measures expected volatility for the S&P 500 over the next 30 days through options pricing. Historically: VIX Level Market Interpretation 15–20 Normal market conditions 20–30 Rising uncertainty 30–40 Panic / sharp correction >40 Capitulation territory A surge often occurs during the middle of sell-offs, not always at the final bottom. True bottoms usually form when volatility spikes and then quickly reverses lower. --- 2. Why the market is nervous now The sell-off appears to be driven by a combination of macro and valua

I say we go up tonight. up for a few days  hit resistanc, then depending on news decide whether to go down to 200ma or further up.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell as much as 2.5% intraday, $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ once dropped nearly 1,300 points, small caps slid close to 1.8%, and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ led the declines among the three major indexes. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ spiked sharply, hitting its highest level since April 2025 during the session, signaling a clear rise in risk-off sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index has entered the “Fear” zone. 1. “Negative Gamma” trap could accelerate the selloff? $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed at 6816, the critical point. From both technical and options-chain perspectives, 6,800 is m

Recently, the trend of the U.S. stock technology sector has weakened significantly, and the Nasdaq 100 Index and its tracking ETF$Nasdaq 100ETF (QQQ) $There is a periodic correction after a continuous rise. Declining market risk appetite became the main driving factor, among which the rapid escalation of geopolitical situation in the Middle East had a significant impact on global financial market sentiment. As the conflict over Iran escalates, investors begin to reassess the outlook for global energy supply and inflation, and funds flow out of high-valuation growth sectors in stages, putting overall pressure on technology stocks. The focus of the market is on the potential risks in the Strait of Hormuz. The strait is one of the most important energy t

Hi Tigers 🐯, Welcome to “What the Tigers say.” 👋 The past week was the absolute peak of geopolitical chaos, sending the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ skyrocketing past 25💥. The $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ shed over 1,000 points in a single session, triggering massive intraday swings. 🎢 We tracked the fallout across 3 key market movers defining this new reality 🌍: 🛢️ The Energy Catalyst: Crude Oil surging amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions. 📈 The Volatility & Safety Trade: The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ exploding and Gold smashing $5,400 as risk-off investors seek cover. 💻 The Tech Pullback: $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and the AI rally und

The current spike in the VIX to its highest level since early 2025 (hitting an intraday high of 27.30 on March 3) is a classic example of "event-driven" volatility rather than a fundamental collapse of the bull market. Historically, a VIX above 25 signals elevated stress, but the context of this move suggests it is currently more of a geopolitical hedge than the start of a multi-year bear market. The Macro Context (March 2026) The primary driver is the escalating conflict in the Middle East, specifically involving U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. This has created a specific "Volatility Shock" characterized by: Oil & Energy Sensitivity: WTI Crude has surged above $75–$77/bbl. This raises "cost-push" inflation fears, which complicates the Federal Reserve’s path for rate cuts later this year

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Wall Street's fear gauge just exploded to 23.31, marking its biggest jump in months amid escalating geopolitical chaos from U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. Oil prices rocketed higher, bonds got hammered, and equities took a brutal hit – S&P 500 down sharply, Dow shedding over 1,000 points in a single session, Nasdaq leading the plunge as tech giants crumbled. 😱 But is this just a much-needed reset after the AI-fueled rally, or the opening act of a brutal downturn that could slash valuations across the board? Let's break it down step by step. First, the trigger: Weekend airstrikes lit a fire under global markets, sending crude oil up nearly 10% and flipping the switch to full risk-off mode. Gold smashed through $5,400

Does event driven volatility an excuse for correction?  No one has crystal ball on how long this war is going to last.  So, perhaps I will spread out my entry time during this volatility period and monitor the situation.  Reality is, the war impact on economy and businesses don't reflect overnight. It will take at least the next reporting season to know the influence.  Meanwhile,  the bull probably moving from tree to tree hiding from the missiles & drones...volatility. 😅 Good luck Tigers! 

Thank you for this attention. I greatly appreciate

Have been treating this tech pullback as a "scream buy" opportunity. Keep DCA with funds ran low.

Recently, the trend of the U.S. stock technology sector has weakened significantly, and the Nasdaq 100 Index and its tracking ETF$Nasdaq 100ETF (QQQ) $There is a periodic correction after a continuous rise. Declining market risk appetite became the main driving factor, among which the rapid escalation of geopolitical situation in the Middle East had a significant impact on global financial market sentiment. As the conflict over Iran escalates, investors begin to reassess the outlook for global energy supply and inflation, and funds flow out of high-valuation growth sectors in stages, putting overall pressure on technology stocks. The focus of the market is on the potential risks in the Strait of Hormuz. The strait is one of the most important energy t

I am more in line with Goldman's view that the market has to correct itself before it can rally again, it is very obvious that things get out of hand in 2025, which was what led to slides even with good earnings results in early 2026. This would serve to stretch the runway further away from the AI bubble burst, but the bubble is getting bigger [Grin]

🌟🌟The Golden Dip or The Descent?  Is this the start of a longer slide?  History suggests the contrary.  Research has shown that following geopolitical shocks, the S&P500 typically sees an average drawdown of under 5%, often recovering within 6 weeks. The 6800 Fortress:  Despite the intraday drop to a low of 6710, the index recovered to stay above 6800. The Bull Case:  Major institutions like Goldman Sachs & UBS have projected year end targets of 6,800 & above. The Rule of The Best 10 days:  If you sell now, you lock in a permanent loss on a temporary decline. Missing out the 10 best days can halve your long term returns.  Recovery often happens after the steepest drops. My strategy is to DCA on my core portfolio of index ETFs like

A sharp rise in the CBOE Volatility Index typically signals stress rather than an immediate bottom. Whether it becomes a “buy-the-dip” opportunity or the start of a deeper correction depends on what is driving the volatility. --- 1. Interpreting the VIX spike The VIX measures expected volatility for the S&P 500 over the next 30 days through options pricing. Historically: VIX Level Market Interpretation 15–20 Normal market conditions 20–30 Rising uncertainty 30–40 Panic / sharp correction >40 Capitulation territory A surge often occurs during the middle of sell-offs, not always at the final bottom. True bottoms usually form when volatility spikes and then quickly reverses lower. --- 2. Why the market is nervous now The sell-off appears to be driven by a combination of macro and valua

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell as much as 2.5% intraday, $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ once dropped nearly 1,300 points, small caps slid close to 1.8%, and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ led the declines among the three major indexes. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ spiked sharply, hitting its highest level since April 2025 during the session, signaling a clear rise in risk-off sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index has entered the “Fear” zone. 1. “Negative Gamma” trap could accelerate the selloff? $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed at 6816, the critical point. From both technical and options-chain perspectives, 6,800 is m

U.S. equities mostly declined on Tuesday (3 March) as the U.S.–Israel–Iran conflict entered its fourth day; the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.9% but staged an intraday reversal from an early decline of 2.5% after the U.S. pledged to escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. The $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ similarly declined about 1.1% after falling as much as 2.7% earlier in the day. Amplifying the move, the S&P 7x Short DLC rose 6.3% with the S&P 7x Long DLC falling a similar magnitude, while the Nasdaq 7x Short DLC finished up about 7.7% with the Nasdaq 7x Long DLC falling approximately the same amount. Asian equities mirrored the overnight sell‑off on Wall Street, with regional markets opening sharply

In a “negative gamma” environment, this deviation means market makers cannot provide liquidity support — instead, they become accelerants to the decline. They must continuously sell positions to hedge their exposure to put options. The put/call ratio has reached 1.95. This mechanism acts like an amplifier, intensifying downside moves. That’s why once the key level breaks, the VIX can quickly surge toward 30. Unless the index reclaims 6,800, this self-reinforcing downside pressure will continue to hang over the market.

Crying wolf Fall Fall Fall Deeper target coming months

$ASTS 20260306 78.0 PUT$ did a quick dip to buy PUTS yesterday and locked in the profit today.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell as much as 2.5% intraday, $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ once dropped nearly 1,300 points, small caps slid close to 1.8%, and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ led the declines among the three major indexes.

TQQQ

VIX surges, markets plunge sad for existing holdings but seems "golden dip" to buy and/or DCA for wait list.

Not hopeful if situation doesn't improve and Iran war drags on.

February's Recap 1. The US Market -Energy, Materials, and Consumer Staples Lead No clear direction: the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ finished down 1.31% for the week, the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ declined 0.95%, and the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ slipped 0.44%. February setback: January’s modestly positive momentum didn’t extend, as major 3 indexes finished in negative territory, with the former down 0.87% and the latter 3.38% lower. In contrast, the Dow eked out a 0.17% gain, extending its string of positive months to 10 in a row. Sector reversal: through February, energy, materials, and consumer staples were the top 3 sectors on a year-to-date basis. Meanwhile, last year’s leaders, comm