To The Moon

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$   hopefully, yield won't go down too much, so can get higher [USD]  [USD]  [USD]  According to the betting site Polymarket, Trump currently has a 64% chance of winning the November election, while Harris trails with a 36% chance. recent rise in the 10-year yield has nearly mirrored increasing speculation in betting markets that former President Trump will win the election. @koolgal @Shyon

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$  Nov which Is characteristically a good stock month, along with the US elections, mean that the impact of this will be reduced. That said, if the US elections has dispute, then stock price will suffer.

[Miser]Hello, Tiger!It's great to see that you're keeping track of your investments. Based on the performance over the past year, it's clear that $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ , $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ , $Silver - main 2412(SImain)$ have shown significant growth:Bitcoin has delivered a remarkable return of +95.96%, as indicated by the pink line on the chart.Gold has also performed well with a return of +38.97%, represented by the blue line.Silver has shown a solid increase, with a return of +47.30%, marked by the green line.I'm curious to know which of these areas you've invested in and how they've been treating you. Are you satisfied with your current h

Recently, $US10Y(US10Y.BOND)$ yield has surged to 4.5%, rising 80 basis points from its low a month ago. This change has sparked widespread attention in the market, especially against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's unexpected 50 basis point rate cut on September 17. At this time, market expectations for rate cuts and economic recession were at their peak, and looking back at history, this moment coincidentally marks the bottom of interest rates. $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $The Upward TrendOverextended ExpectationsFirstly, market expectations for rate cuts have been overextended. Over the past year, any point in time when rates were projected to de

I bought and sold TMF multiple times. While my profits from these transactions may appear small compared to what others might achieve, I view them as a positive step in my investment journey. Every gain, no matter how small, contributes to my overall financial gains and learning experience. I believe that consistent, incremental profits are better than taking unnecessary risks for larger gains that could lead to losses. Ultimately, I am satisfied with my approch as it allows me to build my investment strategy gradually and sustainably.

As the US Fed begins its interest rate cut cycle, the market's expectations for a decline in US interest rates are growing. The US market has set off a wave of high-dividend investment, and more and more investors are choosing to invest in high-dividend products.High-dividend ETFs mainly determine the constituent stocks and holding ratios based on "cash dividends and dividends". Investing in high-dividend ETFs can regularly obtain considerable returns.Dividends can be a powerful source of income. Some investors harness them by investing in dividend stocks, but there's another option for those who want to save time on stock research: high-dividend ETFs.Takeaways$Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF(KBWY)$ and

On Wednesday, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield $Micro 10-Year Yield - main 2410(10Ymain)$, often referred to as the "global asset pricing anchor," hit 4.26%, its highest level since July.1. Election trades and inflation outlooks have reduced expectations for rate cuts.The recent rise in the 10-year yield has nearly mirrored increasing speculation in betting markets that former President Trump will win the election.His tax cut policies could potentially reignite inflation. According to the betting site Polymarket, Trump currently has a 64% chance of winning the November election, while Harris trails with a 36% chance. However, Harris’s policies could also stoke inflation. Affected by inflation concern, the interest rate swap market has

With macroeconomic forces in flux—persistent inflation risks, delayed rate cuts, and political uncertainty—Treasury traders are assessing how these dynamics could push yields higher in the short term, leading to further sell-offs in equity markets. This article examines the factors driving yields higher and presents two high-conviction Treasury trading ideas backed by probability assessments. Rising Yields: What's Driving the Sell-off? 1. Repricing of Fed Rate Cut Expectations The bond market has been quick to respond to signals that the Fed might keep rates elevated for longer. As the U.S. economy shows resilient growth and inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, traders now expect fewer rate cuts in 2024 and 2025 than previously forecast. This shift has exerted upward pressure on Tr

Preparing for a Pullback:Essential Tips to Safeguard Your Investments.  $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$   $Direxion Daily 20 Year Plus Treasury Bull 3x Shares(TMF)$   $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$   This article is written by Shernice, if you like my article please hit the like button.  The PE of US stock market  is currently approaching 29 times, nearly matching the levels seen in 2021. If it continues to rise, we could face a situation reminiscent of the 2000 dot-com bubble. According to estimates from CEO of Goldman Sach， David M. Solomon , a crash isn't necessarily imminent, but there’s a strong incentive t

When choosing among Treasury bond ETFs, I tailor my strategy based on my level of confidence in the market's direction and my appetite for risk. If I believe that bond prices are nearing a low point and am confident they will rise, I lean towards the faster-moving ETFs that offer greater upside potential. Conversely, when I am more cautious or uncertain, I prefer slower, more stable options that can provide some protection against volatility. Fastest Movers: TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3x Shares) is the most aggressive and dynamic option. With 3x leverage, it amplifies the daily price movements of long-term Treasury bonds, moving three times as fast as the underlying index. This makes TMF extremely sensitive to interest rate changes. When bond prices rise, TMF can deliver su

I also hold the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3x Shares ETF (TMF), which is a more aggressive play compared to TLT, as it offers triple leverage on long-term U.S. Treasuries. This leverage amplifies both gains and losses, making TMF a high-risk, high-reward investment. Although the price I initially bought TMF at is higher than the current level, leaving me temporarily in the red, I'm still optimistic about its future potential. I believe that if interest rates begin to decline, particularly in the case of an economic downturn or the Fed shifting to a more dovish stance, long-term bonds will likely rally. TMF, with its 3x leverage, could see a significant upside in that scenario. Of course, it comes with higher volatility, but I see it as a tactical addition to my portfolio for cap

My largest holding is the TLT ETF, and I recently added more to my position. While the price hasn't been performing well recently, I remain optimistic about its long-term potential. I take a long-term view with my investments, and I believe that patience will pay off. The prospect of future interest rate cuts and the possibility of a recession could work in favor of long-duration bonds like TLT. Although many analysts and investors are speculating about a "soft landing," where the economy avoids a recession, I think it is still worth being prepared for the opposite outcome. Either way, I believe TLT could benefit if rates eventually come down, as bond prices typically rise when interest rates fall. So despite the current volatility, I'm sticking with my strategy and staying confident in th

 In today's world, people commonly invest in various forms of insurance—health insurance, medical insurance, and even pet insurance—to protect themselves against unexpected risks. However, I have taken a unique approach by purchasing what I refer to as "market crash insurance." Specifically, I invested in TMF (the Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares). While many individuals remain optimistic about the market and believe that it will continue to rise indefinitely, I view the current economic landscape with caution. The reality is that market downturns are a part of the economic cycle, and I see TMF as a strategic hedge against a potential recession. I have also diversified my portfolio by holding other stocks, which provides additional layers of protection. Just as one would

With U.S. Treasury yields continuing to rise, calls for the Federal Reserve to slow or pause interest rate cuts are growing louder. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, has joined this conversation recently.In a report released last weekend, Slok noted that strong economic growth in the U.S. is increasing the likelihood that Fed officials will keep rates unchanged in November. He points to several reasons for this robust outlook: the Fed's dovish stance, high stock and housing prices, narrowing credit spreads, and the abundant availability of corporate financing in both public and private markets.Slok emphasizes that the economy is still expanding. He believes the U.S. is on a "no-landing" trajectory—continuous growth with inflation reigniting. He also referenced the

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$   hopefully, yield won't go down too much, so can get higher [USD]  [USD]  [USD]  According to the betting site Polymarket, Trump currently has a 64% chance of winning the November election, while Harris trails with a 36% chance. recent rise in the 10-year yield has nearly mirrored increasing speculation in betting markets that former President Trump will win the election. @koolgal @Shyon

As the US Fed begins its interest rate cut cycle, the market's expectations for a decline in US interest rates are growing. The US market has set off a wave of high-dividend investment, and more and more investors are choosing to invest in high-dividend products.High-dividend ETFs mainly determine the constituent stocks and holding ratios based on "cash dividends and dividends". Investing in high-dividend ETFs can regularly obtain considerable returns.Dividends can be a powerful source of income. Some investors harness them by investing in dividend stocks, but there's another option for those who want to save time on stock research: high-dividend ETFs.Takeaways$Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF(KBWY)$ and

Recently, $US10Y(US10Y.BOND)$ yield has surged to 4.5%, rising 80 basis points from its low a month ago. This change has sparked widespread attention in the market, especially against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's unexpected 50 basis point rate cut on September 17. At this time, market expectations for rate cuts and economic recession were at their peak, and looking back at history, this moment coincidentally marks the bottom of interest rates. $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $The Upward TrendOverextended ExpectationsFirstly, market expectations for rate cuts have been overextended. Over the past year, any point in time when rates were projected to de

With macroeconomic forces in flux—persistent inflation risks, delayed rate cuts, and political uncertainty—Treasury traders are assessing how these dynamics could push yields higher in the short term, leading to further sell-offs in equity markets. This article examines the factors driving yields higher and presents two high-conviction Treasury trading ideas backed by probability assessments. Rising Yields: What's Driving the Sell-off? 1. Repricing of Fed Rate Cut Expectations The bond market has been quick to respond to signals that the Fed might keep rates elevated for longer. As the U.S. economy shows resilient growth and inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, traders now expect fewer rate cuts in 2024 and 2025 than previously forecast. This shift has exerted upward pressure on Tr

Preparing for a Pullback:Essential Tips to Safeguard Your Investments.  $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$   $Direxion Daily 20 Year Plus Treasury Bull 3x Shares(TMF)$   $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$   This article is written by Shernice, if you like my article please hit the like button.  The PE of US stock market  is currently approaching 29 times, nearly matching the levels seen in 2021. If it continues to rise, we could face a situation reminiscent of the 2000 dot-com bubble. According to estimates from CEO of Goldman Sach， David M. Solomon , a crash isn't necessarily imminent, but there’s a strong incentive t

When choosing among Treasury bond ETFs, I tailor my strategy based on my level of confidence in the market's direction and my appetite for risk. If I believe that bond prices are nearing a low point and am confident they will rise, I lean towards the faster-moving ETFs that offer greater upside potential. Conversely, when I am more cautious or uncertain, I prefer slower, more stable options that can provide some protection against volatility. Fastest Movers: TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3x Shares) is the most aggressive and dynamic option. With 3x leverage, it amplifies the daily price movements of long-term Treasury bonds, moving three times as fast as the underlying index. This makes TMF extremely sensitive to interest rate changes. When bond prices rise, TMF can deliver su

[Miser]Hello, Tiger!It's great to see that you're keeping track of your investments. Based on the performance over the past year, it's clear that $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ , $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ , $Silver - main 2412(SImain)$ have shown significant growth:Bitcoin has delivered a remarkable return of +95.96%, as indicated by the pink line on the chart.Gold has also performed well with a return of +38.97%, represented by the blue line.Silver has shown a solid increase, with a return of +47.30%, marked by the green line.I'm curious to know which of these areas you've invested in and how they've been treating you. Are you satisfied with your current h

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$  Nov which Is characteristically a good stock month, along with the US elections, mean that the impact of this will be reduced. That said, if the US elections has dispute, then stock price will suffer.

On Wednesday, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield $Micro 10-Year Yield - main 2410(10Ymain)$, often referred to as the "global asset pricing anchor," hit 4.26%, its highest level since July.1. Election trades and inflation outlooks have reduced expectations for rate cuts.The recent rise in the 10-year yield has nearly mirrored increasing speculation in betting markets that former President Trump will win the election.His tax cut policies could potentially reignite inflation. According to the betting site Polymarket, Trump currently has a 64% chance of winning the November election, while Harris trails with a 36% chance. However, Harris’s policies could also stoke inflation. Affected by inflation concern, the interest rate swap market has

I bought and sold TMF multiple times. While my profits from these transactions may appear small compared to what others might achieve, I view them as a positive step in my investment journey. Every gain, no matter how small, contributes to my overall financial gains and learning experience. I believe that consistent, incremental profits are better than taking unnecessary risks for larger gains that could lead to losses. Ultimately, I am satisfied with my approch as it allows me to build my investment strategy gradually and sustainably.

 In today's world, people commonly invest in various forms of insurance—health insurance, medical insurance, and even pet insurance—to protect themselves against unexpected risks. However, I have taken a unique approach by purchasing what I refer to as "market crash insurance." Specifically, I invested in TMF (the Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares). While many individuals remain optimistic about the market and believe that it will continue to rise indefinitely, I view the current economic landscape with caution. The reality is that market downturns are a part of the economic cycle, and I see TMF as a strategic hedge against a potential recession. I have also diversified my portfolio by holding other stocks, which provides additional layers of protection. Just as one would

I also hold the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3x Shares ETF (TMF), which is a more aggressive play compared to TLT, as it offers triple leverage on long-term U.S. Treasuries. This leverage amplifies both gains and losses, making TMF a high-risk, high-reward investment. Although the price I initially bought TMF at is higher than the current level, leaving me temporarily in the red, I'm still optimistic about its future potential. I believe that if interest rates begin to decline, particularly in the case of an economic downturn or the Fed shifting to a more dovish stance, long-term bonds will likely rally. TMF, with its 3x leverage, could see a significant upside in that scenario. Of course, it comes with higher volatility, but I see it as a tactical addition to my portfolio for cap

With U.S. Treasury yields continuing to rise, calls for the Federal Reserve to slow or pause interest rate cuts are growing louder. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, has joined this conversation recently.In a report released last weekend, Slok noted that strong economic growth in the U.S. is increasing the likelihood that Fed officials will keep rates unchanged in November. He points to several reasons for this robust outlook: the Fed's dovish stance, high stock and housing prices, narrowing credit spreads, and the abundant availability of corporate financing in both public and private markets.Slok emphasizes that the economy is still expanding. He believes the U.S. is on a "no-landing" trajectory—continuous growth with inflation reigniting. He also referenced the

My largest holding is the TLT ETF, and I recently added more to my position. While the price hasn't been performing well recently, I remain optimistic about its long-term potential. I take a long-term view with my investments, and I believe that patience will pay off. The prospect of future interest rate cuts and the possibility of a recession could work in favor of long-duration bonds like TLT. Although many analysts and investors are speculating about a "soft landing," where the economy avoids a recession, I think it is still worth being prepared for the opposite outcome. Either way, I believe TLT could benefit if rates eventually come down, as bond prices typically rise when interest rates fall. So despite the current volatility, I'm sticking with my strategy and staying confident in th