Sell Cash Secured Put: On April 15, 2024, I executed a trade involving the sale of Palantir put options. The put option was sold for USD50, representing an expectation that the stock would either hold its value or rise above the strike price during the term of the option. This strategic choice indicated a bullish view on Palantir's future performance. The decision to sell put options can be advantageous in a rising market, as it allows the seller to profit from the option premium and potentially acquire the stock at a discounted price if assigned. The premium collected upon sale (USD50) provided an immediate cash inflow, effectively creating a buffer against potential future losses. Closing Position: On May 8, 2024, I closed the position at USD5, which means the put option had significant
9 may : Pltr 7 trades in 1 hour earning 1% each trade
**Revving Up for Profit:** In the fast-paced world of options trading, every cent counts, just like every cheer counts from fans, egging me on. 🐱💨$PLTR 20240920 24.0 CALL$ **Understanding the Game Plan:** To scrap those tantalizing 0.02 premiums, you've got to know the rules of the road. Each contract represents 100 shares, and we're all about covered calls and cash secured puts. 📜💰 **Nailing the Put Sales:** First, I revved up by selling a put at 1.46, then hit the brakes to buy it back at 1.44, snatching a quick profit. Next pit stop? Another put sold at 1.39, burning rubber to close it at 1.33, leaving a smoky trail of a 0.06 paper win. 🛑📉💥 **Accelerating with Call Options:** But wait, there's more! I didn't just s
$Walt Disney(DIS)$ in FY24 Q2 The jump and plunge of nearly 10% after earnings shows a loosening of the long side, related to the quality of its chips.DIS's actively traded chips are a mix of less risk-averse investors who think of it as a "blue chip" and more risk-averse investors who think of it as a "growth stock," which has led to a lot of volatility in the post-earnings market in recent times.Stop treating Disney like a growth stock. Since Bob Iger's return, cost-cutting and efficiency, especially for the streaming division, has been very determined. So Disney's overall revenue has been in the low single digits for three straight quarters, withThe trend of decline in the limited network, which has the highest share, is unchanged;Park revenues
While some investors might view $Walt Disney(DIS)$ ’s recent earnings report as a sign of a resurgent company, I remain unconvinced. Beneath the surface of "streaming profitability" lies a narrative of a company struggling to adapt to a changing entertainment industry. Let's face it, Disney+ isn't for everyone. The content library, heavily tilted towards Marvel and Star Wars franchises, caters to a specific audience. Subscriber growth of a mere 6% reflects this limitation. This is particularly concerning when you consider that many Disney+ subscribers likely also subscribe to Netflix, further diminishing their long-term growth potential. To truly thrive in the competitive streaming wars, Disney needs a broader
Bitcoin Still Resilient Despite Divergence Appear With Ethereum
$CME Bitcoin - main 2405(BTCmain)$ have been on the downward trend, and Bitcoin is just trading above the 60K level at time of writing. There have been growing divergence in performance between Bitcoin and Ethereum during the 2023-24 cycle thus far. We are seeing this divergence manifest as weaker price performance for Ethereum, this is due to the weaker market capital rotation trend, as we can see in the below charts, BTC and ETH are having a lower relative to past cycles and ATH breaks. Initial Sell-Off From Fourth Bitcoin Halving We saw the fourth bitcoin halving leading to a sell-off initially with BTC prices falling to $57k before recovering swiftly. This recorded the lowest pullback since the FTX saga lows. Ethereum saw similar price
The market action these past few days has been frustrating, right?
tldr: Watch the Tesla bears perform the Dunkirk retreat. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ To analyze Nvidia's trend, we must first look at $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ . ARM will report earnings after the close on Wednesday. As is well known, one chipmaker's earnings can impact the entire semiconductor sector and even the broader market. If ARM surges, Nvidia will surge. And if Nvidia rises, the market will rise.Based on current large option positions, the market is extremely bullish on ARM's earnings, with far-dated 155 calls ($ARM 20240621 155.0 CALL$ ) even seeing activity.If ARM is expected to rally, then Nvidia and the market should rally too, right?T
$Micron Technology(MU)$ A long time skeptic analyst at Baird turned positive on MU. Also news from Asia that DRAM pricing strengthens another 10-15%. Strong tail wind on a sector about to go paradigm shift. We are going higher… this is the quiet before the storm!
$Micron Technology(MU)$ SA MuU gains as Baird upgrades on HBM strength; adds to top semi idea......DRAM pricing is stronger than previously expected with increasing mix of premium-priced DDR5, while HBM3E has the potential to generate 60%+ gross margin for Micron next year," Gerra added. He raised his rating on Micron to Outperform and bumped his price target to $150 from $115.There is the belief that as high-bandwidth memory use turns into a "super cycle," it could result in 20% of Micron's total dynamic random access memory revenue by 2025, with 150% growth expected next year, Gerra added.Micron is also seeing an "improving mix" of its double data rate product, DDR5, which now accounts for more than 50% of the company's
$ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ SoftBank is looking to buy UK AI company Graphcore. Seems like SON is heavily investing in AI. One bloomberg analyst said that investors are over estimating AI in short term, but under estimating long term! Make it what you will!
$ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ I'll take a crack at it. ARM closed higher in each of the last 5 trading sessions since May 1 (up 13% over that span) leading up to the ER. The stock is also up AH tonight so it could be higher again tomorrow. My guess is that they're going to meet or slightly beat the .305 estimate for the quarter and the stock is going to drop after earnings due to profit taking. I don't like saying that because I'm long and I also want the stock to move higher but that's how I see it. In the meantime, seeing that the stock has moved higher for the last 5 straight trading sessions and also noticing that the option premiums for this Friday are very rich, I took the occasion to sell a lot of way out of the money $3
Large Caps Seen Topping Out, Pullback Expected to be Shallower than Anticipated
Traders are looking for more clues on whether the Fed could start cutting rates. After a pullback in April, stocks have rebounded recently on renewed hopes for Fed rate cuts this year, with corporate earnings for the first quarter also providing some optimism so far.Options market data suggested the S&P 500 ETF may have topped out around 520, with any pullback limited to less than 4.8%. For QQQ, downside expectations continued to be tempered, with a decline of less than 2.2% priced in by June 21 expiration. Small-cap Russell 2000 looked to have topped as well, with expectations for the index to trade below 208 by mid-May.Details:The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ options overall reflected a bearish trading sentiment, with sellers of put opti
$Walt Disney(DIS)$ So Disney has three divisions. Theme parks are doing great. But as I posted a week or two ago they really are squeezing as much money per visitor as they can. To the point it really isn't enjoyable. Long lines, etc... But credit to Disney they really do bring in the people. Their international operations have expanded and that is where the real growth is. I think they are making the right decision to poor money into their theme parks. If they grow them so will the revenue. Parks are basically at capacity.The rest of the company though is a hot mess. Streaming is literally cannibalizing what used to be monies from cable, monies from licensing, and monies from movies. If you look at their pipeline in this
$Walt Disney(DIS)$ It’s a trailing metric. You don’t know the future PE, can only speculate. Speculation drives stock prices. If (god willing) they can get back to 15% profit, the stock will be way higher and then pe lowerPE is still a crazy high 65 after today's big downturn? Wow, waaaay overpriced. This will settle to 2023 levels where it belongs. Only, ONLY reason this went up from the 80s was because Peltz might get on the board...well, in true backwards thinking, the stock went to 123 when Peltz did not get on the board---of course that was the perfect shorting opportunity as literally nothing has changed with the dumpster fire known as Disney.
$Apple(AAPL)$ Dividend increase…Additionally, Apple will be raising its dividend by 4% to $0.25 per share (quarterly) and is planning for more annual payout increases going forward. Apple's annual earnings are now expected to be up 6% in fiscal 2024 and are projected to rise another 8% in FY25 to $7.10 per share.
$Apple(AAPL)$ Nvidia $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ it was nice knowing you!Today at its "Let Loose" event, Apple detailed its new M4 chip featuring a major focus on improved AI and machine learning capabilities.Built on a new second-gen 3nm process, Apple's M4 chip features four performance and six efficiency cores along with a 10-core GPU. In terms of power, Apple claims the M4's CPU is 50 percent faster compared to the M2 with a GPU that's four times quicker. Memory bandwidth has also been improved with speeds of up to 120GB/s and for the first time for the iPad line, Apple is adding support for dynamic caching, hardware-accelerated ray tracing and hardware-accelerated mesh shading. On
$Apple(AAPL)$ apple’s China iPhone shipments soar 12% in March, indicating Tim Cook was absolutely correct about the enthusiastic sales sentiment in China, and the negative “independent research” was questionable if not criminal. Go AAPL!
$TENCENT(00700)$ This year, Tencent's gaming revenue from overseas markets is expected to exceed 35%. Supercell's growth is likely to surpass 50%, with annual revenue exceeding 20 billion. Additionally, Tencent is launching some new games globally this year, like Delta Force and Tarys, and seeing a strong comeback of its older overseas games. With all these factors combined, Tencent's overseas gaming revenue is projected to reach around 650 to 700 billion this year.
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$Coinbase's Smart wallet release is almost here! No more seed phrases, passwords, third party apps. Integrated into your browser. No wallet addresses to copy/paste. Direct access to Coinbase balances without complex transfers to a self custodial wallet. Coinbases is brining crypto to crypto muggles. They are widening their on-ramp every day. The masses are going to come through the most trusted name in crypto.
$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ Looking at these earnings objectively, they are clearly not bad and the fact that they are guiding to a return to sequential growth in H2 along with positive adjusted ebitda by year end, means that the business is likely through the worst of it. Q2s outlook isnt amazing, but when Q2 report comes in, they will likely be guiding for sequential growth in Q3 and the market will love that. The next couple of months will likely provide the final dips to be bought here before it begins to rise again as rate cuts come slowly into effect.