$VIX$The broader market is pulling back as expected, with new short positions continuously joining the sell-off. For instance, on Monday, the VIX February 2026 24 call $VIX 20260218 24.0 CALL$ saw 52,000 contracts traded, indicating a bullish directional bet.You can add this to your watchlist—once this position starts unwinding, it might be a good time to consider establishing long positions.$SPY$Monday’s options flow showed concentrated opening of out-of-the-money puts at the 630 strike, significantly raising the likelihood of a pullback toward 640.$SPY 20251219 632.0 PUT$ $SPY 20251120 635.0 PU
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA reports earnings this week. Analyst reports give favorable expectations, and the valuation looks attractive, but the options opening activity is extremely poor.Long-time followers of my articles should find this put opening activity familiar. It's the same pattern we saw during the sharp plunge in March and April this year, where cliff-like strike prices topped the opening rankings.Unlike Tesla, NVIDIA rarely sees extreme, lottery-ticket style shorting openings due to its stable valuation. When such openings do appear, it generally signals that risk appetite is likely increasing, and the overall market is tilting towards a risk-off stance, which could correspond with a sharp spike in the VIX.Put openings can roughly be divide
1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ announces earnings next week. Expected move is 7.5%, but that could change leading up to the day of earnings.We're gonna do a put-write ladder targeting volume support levels and the 200EMA. Writing the Nov 21 expiration.- $180 strike- $160 strike- $145 strikeImageImage2. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Executed a put-write trade on PLTR for next week. Writing at a solid volume support level.First image displays a detailed stock chart for Palantir Technologies Inc on Nasdaq with dark background, showing price candlesticks in green and red from July to November 2025, overlaid with yellow and blue moving average lines, volume bars at bottom in gray, and right-side price scale from 40 to
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ At the start of the week, many large bearish orders were observed targeting around 650, and newly opened large bearish orders yesterday also support this view. If it drops near 650, follow if large orders start buying the dip.The primary bearish spread opened is: Buy 660put $SPY 20251231 660.0 PUT$ , Sell 635put $SPY 20251231 635.0 PUT$ , targeting SPY falling below 660 but above 635 by year-end.There's disagreement around 640. Bearish orders include buying the 639put $SPY 20251219 639.0 PUT$ . Bullish orders inclu
By Lawrence G. McMillan For over a week now, strong selloffs have been followed fairly quickly by strong rallies. This is the type of action that occurs in a trading range environment, and we might well be in one of those for a while now. There is resistance at 6900 (the all-time highs). Furthermore, support emerged at 6630 (last Friday's lows) to go along with the stronger support level in the 6500-6550 area. Today's low (so far) was 6646, which would reinforce that general area 6630-6646 as support. There is a very mixed picture emanating from our various indicators another fact which might suggest a trading range market. The equity-only put-call ratios are still negative for stocks. That is, the ratios are rising. The standard ratio has made new relative highs on several days this week.
The Big Short Unwinds His Hedge Fund – Is There More to the Story?
Reports today indicate that Michael Burry, "The Big Short," deregistered his hedge fund, Scion Asset Management, earlier this week. Before deregistration, the fund's assets under management reached $155 million.He also clarified what his short positions consisted of: 50,000 contracts of $PLTR 20270115 50.0 PUT$ and 10,000 contracts of $NVDA 20271217 110.0 PUT$ .In theory, after deregistering a hedge fund, capital is returned to investors, and short positions should be closed. The open interest data seems to confirm this.Looking at the PLTR open interest leaderboard, the $PLTR 20270115 50.0 PUT$&n
1.TRADE PLAN for Nov 13th 🔥 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ gapping lower after a gap up yesterday.. We're still in this wide range from 6800-=6900 for now. IF SPX can get through 6880 it will look more bullish, for now I'd be more careful trading this 100 pt range. SPX under 6800 can drop another 40-50 pts. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ gapping up with the market lower, MSFT above 512 can test 515-518 range. Calls can work above 512 for today $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ if it gives up 617 it can drop back to 613 again. Puts can work under 617 for this week. Good luck everyone!! 🫡2.Real trading lessons nobody teaches: 1. Your best days come after you close the laptop 2. Overtrading kills more a
【Options Insights】NVIDIA, AMD & Tesla: AI Rivalry, Options Trades, and Market Moves
Hey everyone! Curious about what trading strategies fellow investors are leveraging lately? The US tech stock market is abuzz with action, so let’s jump into the exciting options trades our Tiger Investors are spotlighting this week, centered on the drama around NVIDIA, AMD, and Tesla~[Happy]As AI computing demand surges, NVIDIA continues to grab attention with its dominant edge in AI chips. SoftBank recently sold $5.83B worth of its NVIDIA shares, and with NVIDIA set to release earnings next week, these developments have sparked many market speculations——could this be a signal of a post-earnings drop? Would you add NVIDIA ahead of earnings?@bigmoneybig played it smart with NVDA CALL, locking in a solid 20.48% profit ah
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The logic of upward resistance continues, with more institutions joining the ranks of those lowering expectations.It's not that AI is truly failing, but the current bearish sentiment suits Wall Street's intention to shake out weak hands – a flush-out for a healthier market.At this stage, it's unclear what December holds, but the November rally seems unlikely to materialize.Notable NVDA long call roll: The Nov 21st 205 call $NVDA 20251121 205.0 CALL$ was rolled to the Jan 16th 195 call $NVDA 20260116 195.0 CALL$ , opening 34k contracts.Why is this notable? Long calls are typically rolled once a
Bearish Block Trades Bet on Continued High Volatility Through Year-End
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ We're back in a macro pressure phase. Unsurprisingly, after the US government reopens, it will have to face a bunch of dismal employment and inflation data.Theoretically, NVIDIA should be the easiest stock to navigate in the current phase, but a bearish Sword of Damocles hangs over its head.Michael Burry plans to release more details about the overvaluation of AI-related companies on November 25th, timed after NVIDIA's earnings report, aiming to combine with weak macro data to deliver another blow to the market.However, the systemic willingness to short NVIDIA isn't very strong at the moment. The top ranked bearish opening trade is a halving/slash large short block $NVDA 20
A violent rebound on Friday, followed by a sharp short-squeeze surge on Monday – last week's series of coincidences led to a pullback.However, institutions aren't viewing this pullback very positively. Significant sell call block trades have emerged for some stocks, with expiration dates at year-end. The strike prices suggest high volatility is expected from now until year-end:$AAPL 20251219 305.0 CALL$ $SPY 20260116 700.0 CALL$ $C 20251219 115.0 CALL$ $GOOGL 20251219 335.0 CALL$
11/6 Hot Options Analysis: Trading NVDA Earnings, AMZN Black Friday, and META Regulatory Headwinds
This article covers options for the following underlying assets: NVDA, AMD, MU, TSLA, AAPL, AMZN, META, PLTR, CRCL$NVIDIA Corp.(NVDA)$Key News:Citigroup raised its price target on NVDA from $210 to $220. The FactSet analyst average price target is $233.59, maintaining a "Buy" rating.Options Analysis:The market anticipates significant price movement ahead of earnings (IV 56%). Overall sentiment is bullish, but caution is warranted against pullback risks.Short-term (until 11/14): Expected to fluctuate between $180 - $195.Medium-term (until 11/21): The trading range widens to $175 - $200.Key Support: $180. This is a strong support level, coinciding with the 50-day moving average and options defense.Key Resistance: $200. This is a psychological barrie
Investing Diary (Week 2): Witnessing a Short-Driven Selloff and Tightening Liquidity
Monday: I open a PLTR short put. Next thing you know, Burry calls PLTR/NVDA overpriced and—boom—both tumble ~8% while the market sheds 2%. The percentages look tame, but my buying power swan-dives from ~50% to flashing red. Welcome to this week’s thrill ride: Options Boot Camp. What struck me most is how demanding options are on liquidity compared with stocks. With equities, running out of cash simply means pausing; even in the rough April 2025 tariff episode, I could choose inaction. Stocks are like buses—you miss one, just wait, another comes. Options are like a Swiss-Army knife—with a surprise boomerang. Run out of cash in stocks? Meh. In options: (1) go negative BP and the broker brings the broom; (2) assignment hogs your cash; (3) financing interest says hi, everyday! Because ris
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Gotta say, Michael Burry's timing for this short is actually somewhat impressive. He specifically filed two weeks early to hit this exact window – he's got both timing and conditions on his side. This was also discussed in previous articles.Barring any surprises, the current pullback is expected to reach the previous low around 650, with a smaller probability of hitting 640. This drop would be enough for him to break even, but turning a profit might still be tough.On Thursday, someone opened 17,000 contracts of the 650 put expiring on the 12th $SPY 20251112 650.0 PUT$ . Half of this position was closed around 9:43 AM ET today (Friday), already full
11/6 Hot Options Analysis: Divergence at Highs for NVDA, PLTR; HOOD, CRCL See Wild Swings Post-Earni
Tickers Involved: NVDA, AMD, TSLA, AAPL, AMZN, META, PLTR, HOOD, CRCL$NVDA$Key News:NVIDIA partners with RedCloud on a $280 million Saudi trade project, using NVIDIA tech to optimize the AI platform.Jensen Huang revises previous statement that "China will dominate the AI race," emphasizing the US-China tech gap is merely "nanoseconds."Collaboration with Deutsche Telekom on a €1 billion data center project involving 10,000 GPUs.Options Analysis:Market Sentiment: Elevated Implied Volatility (IV 54.5%)预示着 significant price swings. Overall bias leans bullish, but large funds are actively hedging downside risk.Short-term (til 11/14): Expected range-bound action between $180 - $195.Near-term (til 11/21): Range likely expands to $175 - $205.Key Support: $180. A historical bounce level and dense P
$UVXY$ By Lawrence G. McMillan After having gapped to new all-time highs a little more than a week ago, the broad stock market has gone into a modest (so far) corrective mode. $SPX has now closed both of the gaps that were in place from late October, and has closed below the first support level of 6750. This is not a major breakdown of the chart at this point. $SPX has merely pulled back to its rising 20-day moving average. The next support level is the 6500-6550 level that has been tested and held several times. If that were to be broken, then a much more bearish outlook would be in store. Equity-only put-call ratios continue to rise, so their sell signals (for the stock market) of a couple of weeks ago remain in place. As long as the ratio
11/5 Hot Options Analysis: From IREN's Ten-Billion Dollar Deal to TSLA's Massive Compensation Vote,
Internet Consumer & Cloud ComputingIREN, AAPL, META, GOOG, PLTR $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ Key News:Signed a 5-year, $9.7 billion AI cloud computing agreement with Microsoft, making Microsoft its largest customer.Analysts believe its AI infrastructure potential is not fully priced in; institutional price targets reach $200.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is high at 135.67%, indicating the options market expects significant price swings. The Call/Put Ratio of 2.45 reflects dominant bullish sentiment, but beware of overbought pullback risks.1-Day (11/7): $69 - $82. High IV and substantial out-of-the-money call buying drive upside, but after-hours selling pressure could cause volatility.1-Week (11/14): $65 - $85. A longer timeframe widens
【Options Insights】Palantir Earnings Valuation and Amazon OpenAI Deal Rally
Hey everyone[Happy]! Wondering what trading moves fellow investors are making lately? Well, the US tech stock market has been quite eventful recently, and let’s dive into the exciting options trades our Tiger Investors are sharing this week, focusing on the buzz around Palantir and Amazon[Smart]~With the tech sector maintaining its growth and companies increasing their digital needs, Palantir has garnered significant investor attention due to its technological edge in big data and AI. It reported a remarkable 63% year-over-year revenue surge to $1.18 billion in Q3, beating Wall Street expectations for the 21st consecutive quarter, and raised its full-year revenue guidance to $4.4 billion for the third time this year. Thanks to this, investors have managed to “strike gold” in their investme
$VIX$The broader market is pulling back as expected, with new short positions continuously joining the sell-off. For instance, on Monday, the VIX February 2026 24 call $VIX 20260218 24.0 CALL$ saw 52,000 contracts traded, indicating a bullish directional bet.You can add this to your watchlist—once this position starts unwinding, it might be a good time to consider establishing long positions.$SPY$Monday’s options flow showed concentrated opening of out-of-the-money puts at the 630 strike, significantly raising the likelihood of a pullback toward 640.$SPY 20251219 632.0 PUT$ $SPY 20251120 635.0 PU
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA reports earnings this week. Analyst reports give favorable expectations, and the valuation looks attractive, but the options opening activity is extremely poor.Long-time followers of my articles should find this put opening activity familiar. It's the same pattern we saw during the sharp plunge in March and April this year, where cliff-like strike prices topped the opening rankings.Unlike Tesla, NVIDIA rarely sees extreme, lottery-ticket style shorting openings due to its stable valuation. When such openings do appear, it generally signals that risk appetite is likely increasing, and the overall market is tilting towards a risk-off stance, which could correspond with a sharp spike in the VIX.Put openings can roughly be divide
1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ announces earnings next week. Expected move is 7.5%, but that could change leading up to the day of earnings.We're gonna do a put-write ladder targeting volume support levels and the 200EMA. Writing the Nov 21 expiration.- $180 strike- $160 strike- $145 strikeImageImage2. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Executed a put-write trade on PLTR for next week. Writing at a solid volume support level.First image displays a detailed stock chart for Palantir Technologies Inc on Nasdaq with dark background, showing price candlesticks in green and red from July to November 2025, overlaid with yellow and blue moving average lines, volume bars at bottom in gray, and right-side price scale from 40 to
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ At the start of the week, many large bearish orders were observed targeting around 650, and newly opened large bearish orders yesterday also support this view. If it drops near 650, follow if large orders start buying the dip.The primary bearish spread opened is: Buy 660put $SPY 20251231 660.0 PUT$ , Sell 635put $SPY 20251231 635.0 PUT$ , targeting SPY falling below 660 but above 635 by year-end.There's disagreement around 640. Bearish orders include buying the 639put $SPY 20251219 639.0 PUT$ . Bullish orders inclu
The Big Short Unwinds His Hedge Fund – Is There More to the Story?
Reports today indicate that Michael Burry, "The Big Short," deregistered his hedge fund, Scion Asset Management, earlier this week. Before deregistration, the fund's assets under management reached $155 million.He also clarified what his short positions consisted of: 50,000 contracts of $PLTR 20270115 50.0 PUT$ and 10,000 contracts of $NVDA 20271217 110.0 PUT$ .In theory, after deregistering a hedge fund, capital is returned to investors, and short positions should be closed. The open interest data seems to confirm this.Looking at the PLTR open interest leaderboard, the $PLTR 20270115 50.0 PUT$&n
【Options Insights】NVIDIA, AMD & Tesla: AI Rivalry, Options Trades, and Market Moves
Hey everyone! Curious about what trading strategies fellow investors are leveraging lately? The US tech stock market is abuzz with action, so let’s jump into the exciting options trades our Tiger Investors are spotlighting this week, centered on the drama around NVIDIA, AMD, and Tesla~[Happy]As AI computing demand surges, NVIDIA continues to grab attention with its dominant edge in AI chips. SoftBank recently sold $5.83B worth of its NVIDIA shares, and with NVIDIA set to release earnings next week, these developments have sparked many market speculations——could this be a signal of a post-earnings drop? Would you add NVIDIA ahead of earnings?@bigmoneybig played it smart with NVDA CALL, locking in a solid 20.48% profit ah
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The logic of upward resistance continues, with more institutions joining the ranks of those lowering expectations.It's not that AI is truly failing, but the current bearish sentiment suits Wall Street's intention to shake out weak hands – a flush-out for a healthier market.At this stage, it's unclear what December holds, but the November rally seems unlikely to materialize.Notable NVDA long call roll: The Nov 21st 205 call $NVDA 20251121 205.0 CALL$ was rolled to the Jan 16th 195 call $NVDA 20260116 195.0 CALL$ , opening 34k contracts.Why is this notable? Long calls are typically rolled once a
By Lawrence G. McMillan For over a week now, strong selloffs have been followed fairly quickly by strong rallies. This is the type of action that occurs in a trading range environment, and we might well be in one of those for a while now. There is resistance at 6900 (the all-time highs). Furthermore, support emerged at 6630 (last Friday's lows) to go along with the stronger support level in the 6500-6550 area. Today's low (so far) was 6646, which would reinforce that general area 6630-6646 as support. There is a very mixed picture emanating from our various indicators another fact which might suggest a trading range market. The equity-only put-call ratios are still negative for stocks. That is, the ratios are rising. The standard ratio has made new relative highs on several days this week.
1.TRADE PLAN for Nov 13th 🔥 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ gapping lower after a gap up yesterday.. We're still in this wide range from 6800-=6900 for now. IF SPX can get through 6880 it will look more bullish, for now I'd be more careful trading this 100 pt range. SPX under 6800 can drop another 40-50 pts. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ gapping up with the market lower, MSFT above 512 can test 515-518 range. Calls can work above 512 for today $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ if it gives up 617 it can drop back to 613 again. Puts can work under 617 for this week. Good luck everyone!! 🫡2.Real trading lessons nobody teaches: 1. Your best days come after you close the laptop 2. Overtrading kills more a
11/6 Hot Options Analysis: Trading NVDA Earnings, AMZN Black Friday, and META Regulatory Headwinds
This article covers options for the following underlying assets: NVDA, AMD, MU, TSLA, AAPL, AMZN, META, PLTR, CRCL$NVIDIA Corp.(NVDA)$Key News:Citigroup raised its price target on NVDA from $210 to $220. The FactSet analyst average price target is $233.59, maintaining a "Buy" rating.Options Analysis:The market anticipates significant price movement ahead of earnings (IV 56%). Overall sentiment is bullish, but caution is warranted against pullback risks.Short-term (until 11/14): Expected to fluctuate between $180 - $195.Medium-term (until 11/21): The trading range widens to $175 - $200.Key Support: $180. This is a strong support level, coinciding with the 50-day moving average and options defense.Key Resistance: $200. This is a psychological barrie
11/5 Hot Options Analysis: From IREN's Ten-Billion Dollar Deal to TSLA's Massive Compensation Vote,
Internet Consumer & Cloud ComputingIREN, AAPL, META, GOOG, PLTR $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ Key News:Signed a 5-year, $9.7 billion AI cloud computing agreement with Microsoft, making Microsoft its largest customer.Analysts believe its AI infrastructure potential is not fully priced in; institutional price targets reach $200.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is high at 135.67%, indicating the options market expects significant price swings. The Call/Put Ratio of 2.45 reflects dominant bullish sentiment, but beware of overbought pullback risks.1-Day (11/7): $69 - $82. High IV and substantial out-of-the-money call buying drive upside, but after-hours selling pressure could cause volatility.1-Week (11/14): $65 - $85. A longer timeframe widens
Bearish Block Trades Bet on Continued High Volatility Through Year-End
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ We're back in a macro pressure phase. Unsurprisingly, after the US government reopens, it will have to face a bunch of dismal employment and inflation data.Theoretically, NVIDIA should be the easiest stock to navigate in the current phase, but a bearish Sword of Damocles hangs over its head.Michael Burry plans to release more details about the overvaluation of AI-related companies on November 25th, timed after NVIDIA's earnings report, aiming to combine with weak macro data to deliver another blow to the market.However, the systemic willingness to short NVIDIA isn't very strong at the moment. The top ranked bearish opening trade is a halving/slash large short block $NVDA 20
11/4 Hot Options Analysis: Chip Stocks Faced with Burry Shorts and Policy Pressure, But Present Best
Semiconductors & ChipsNVDA, AMD, INTC, MU $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ # Key News Summary #Significant Price Target Hike: On November 4, Loop Capital raised its price target on NVDA from $250 to $350 (the highest on the street), believing AI chip demand is entering a "golden wave" with strong data center growth.Policy and Short-Selling Impact: US restrictions on chip exports to China drove the stock price below $200; well-known investor Michael Burry shorted NVDA, erasing over $120 billion in market cap in a single day.Divergent Market Sentiment: Despite negative catalysts, retail investor sentiment remains "extremely bullish," with the average analyst price target implying over 11% upside.# Options Analysis #Bull/Bear Signals: Call/Put Ratio reached 1.76,
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Gotta say, Michael Burry's timing for this short is actually somewhat impressive. He specifically filed two weeks early to hit this exact window – he's got both timing and conditions on his side. This was also discussed in previous articles.Barring any surprises, the current pullback is expected to reach the previous low around 650, with a smaller probability of hitting 640. This drop would be enough for him to break even, but turning a profit might still be tough.On Thursday, someone opened 17,000 contracts of the 650 put expiring on the 12th $SPY 20251112 650.0 PUT$ . Half of this position was closed around 9:43 AM ET today (Friday), already full
A violent rebound on Friday, followed by a sharp short-squeeze surge on Monday – last week's series of coincidences led to a pullback.However, institutions aren't viewing this pullback very positively. Significant sell call block trades have emerged for some stocks, with expiration dates at year-end. The strike prices suggest high volatility is expected from now until year-end:$AAPL 20251219 305.0 CALL$ $SPY 20260116 700.0 CALL$ $C 20251219 115.0 CALL$ $GOOGL 20251219 335.0 CALL$
Trump's Youngest Son Shorts QQQ, Big Short Bet Against NVDA and PLTR – What's Going On?
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ This afternoon, there was news that Trump's youngest son, Barron, bought over 20,000 contracts of QQQ 570 puts on November 3rd $QQQ 20251231 570.0 PUT$ , worth approximately $10.9 million.This trade is clearly recorded on the volume chart. Given the low demand for such deep out-of-the-money options, it's almost certain that specific volume spike was Barron's doing.What does a drop to 570 imply? Roughly a 10% market-wide correction.There's much speculation about Barron's motive. Previously, rumors suggested Barron runs a stock trading group with a $1 million entry threshold. This group has had some successful trades, often coinciding with Trump's policy announceme
Institutions Roll Long Calls to Higher Strike Prices, Slapping Short Sellers in the Face
$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Another large bullish order appeared for VIX. On Dec 17, the 34 call $VIX 20251217 34.0 CALL$ traded 15,000 contracts for a total value of $1.47 million. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The "200 Million Brother" rolled his long call position from the Nov 21st 165 call $NVDA 20251121 165.0 CALL$ to the Jan 200 call $NVDA 20260116 200.0 CALL$ .The higher strike price indicates continued bullish expectations for NVIDIA's financial performance, showing no respect for the major short sellers.H
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ A combination of pre-positioning for macro tailwinds on Friday and Jensen Huang's speech on Tuesday has created a strong rebound momentum.The institutional spread range for Friday was 190~197.5: sell $NVDA 20251031 190.0 CALL$ , buy $NVDA 20251031 197.5 CALL$ . However, a continued rebound to 195 or even higher towards 200 cannot be ruled out, as there's a 200-210 spread set up for next week. It depends on what Jensen Huang says in his speech tomorrow.The lower bound is viewed around 185: $NVDA 20251031 185.0 PUT$
Which Will Break the Round Number First: AMD or Tesla?
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ It has recently stabilized within the range of 190-220. Very stable, just harvest the premium. The blue sections indicate institutional spread strategy option openings. Both call and put spreads have escalated a level compared to strategies from the week before last.For sell calls, reference strike 215 $NVDA 20251107 215.0 CALL$ . For sell puts, reference strike 195 $NVDA 20251107 195.0 PUT$ . $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Earnings this week are expected to beat expectations. The institutional strategy's expected strike price range is very wide, 260