26 Aug Broader Downturn For Chip Stocks Bear Down S&P 500 and NASDAQ
Market has a mixed reaction on Monday (26 Aug) first day of highly anticipated earnings. S&P 500 and NASDAQ was down by -0.32% and -0.85% respectively. Russell 2000 also settled with losses by -0.04%. Only DJIA managed to close at a new record high at +0.16%. S&P 500 and NASDAQ poor showing on Monday was led by a decline for chip stocks ahead of $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ 's eagerly awaited earnings later in the week. Major indexes were coming off big gains on Friday, when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated during a highly anticipated speech that the central bank is poised to lower its benchmark interest rate soon. Stocks have recovered from an early-month swoon as fears of a possible recession have subsided and expectations that the
$Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ has been a perplexing stock, trading below its 52-week high despite a solid financial performance. While the company offers value, its potential for a significant breakout remains uncertain. Dell boasts a strong balance sheet with $5 billion in free cash flow, a declining debt load, and a history of beating earnings estimates. However, its valuation metrics, such as the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 22, suggest that the market is not fully valuing the company's potential. Dell's decision to sell VMware to Broadcom, a notorious cost-cutting company, has raised concerns among investors. This move could have long-term implications for Dell's competitive position and future growth prospects. Additionally, Dell's recen
I calculated the 10-year averages of a range of quality growth metrics for the sectors in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ .The highest and most predictable share price growth is found in tech and healthcare, while utilities and materials have the lowest.The highest and most predictable FCF growth is found in tech and communication.The highest returns on capital are found in tech and consumer discretionary.Real estate, utilities and materials have high payout ratios (not good for long term compounding). Tech is typically low.The lowest CAPEX is found in tech and financials, the highest are found in utilities.The lowest SBC is found in utilities and materials, the highest is tech.The highest buybacks are found in industrials. Energy and real estate are quit
Mixed Signals as Global Markets Navigate Economic Uncertainty
Overview: Global markets ended the day with mixed performances, as investors digested the latest economic data and geopolitical developments. The impact of recent remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and anticipation of upcoming earnings and inflation data drove volatility across key indices. US Markets: Fed Uncertainty and Earnings Anticipation US markets closed on a mixed note. The Dow Jones Industrial Average $DJIA(.DJI)$ managed a slight gain of 0.1% to 41,240.52, while the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ slipped by 0.3% to 5,616.84, and the Nasdaq Composite$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$
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Pinduoduo’s Sharp Decline: Is PDD Still Worth the Investment?
Overview Global Markets Face Mixed Signals The global markets are witnessing mixed signals as inflation fears persist and economic uncertainties loom. Major tech stocks in the U.S. have shown resilience, but recent earnings reports have highlighted vulnerabilities, particularly in sectors sensitive to interest rate changes. Amidst this backdrop, Pinduoduo $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ , a Chinese e-commerce giant, saw a dramatic plunge in its stock price, raising questions about its future as an investment. Pinduoduo’s Q2 Earnings Disappointment Pinduoduo Holdings (PDD) experienced a staggering 30% drop in its stock price on Monday, wiping out nearly $50 billion in market value. This significant decline followed the r
Reddit and Meta: Diverging Paths in Digital Advertising
Overview: The advertising landscape is witnessing a significant shift as Reddit Inc. $Reddit(RDDT)$ , six months into its life as a publicly traded company, starts to attract advertisers by offering a unique approach to targeted ads. While Meta Platforms Inc. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and other tech giants like Alphabet’s Google $Alphabet(GOOG)$ and Amazon $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ rely heavily on user identities and personal data for ad targeting, Reddit takes a different path, focusing on users' interests through its extensive
Something to take note of as $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ announces earnings. In the past 5 earnings reports, PDD beat expectations and the stock had an intraday gain as high as the following amounts:1Q23: 19.1%2Q23: 19.4%3Q23: 18.9%4Q23: 16.1%1Q24: 7.6% (oddly sold off despite huge rev & EPS beats)That's an average intraday gain of 16.2% when they beat expectations.The action in PDD post 2Q24 results is having a spillover effect on the rest of the China tech sector. $Alibaba(BABA)$$Alibaba(09988)$$JD.com(JD)$$JD-SW(09618)$$Bilibili Inc.(
Global renewable energy stocks are approaching a major breakout
Everywhere I see triangles…Across some of the major macro markets (e.g. oil, USD, treasuries) we’ve seen some key triangle patterns playing out (compression trades — moments of indecision where the market is notching up lower highs and higher lows; often resolving with explosive breakouts).Most of those have been shorter-term, still important, but still on the small side. And to be fair, if you get a relatively small and short-term technical pattern playing out at a key moment it can still mark a major turning point.But technicians can agree on one thing (and they usually don’t!) — the bigger and longer-term the pattern, the more meaningful it is …and the more significant the subsequent moves are likely to be in terms of duration and magnitude.This brings us to the chart below…Global renew
Salesforce (CRM) Customer Behavior Shift Going To Hurt Earnings
$Salesforce.com(CRM)$ is scheduled to report their quarterly results for the period ending 31 July 2024 on 28 August 2024 after the market close. It is expected to show a rise in quarterly revenue. But challenges from economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions have companies reduce their IT spending, this would have an impact on Salesforce sales. Salesforce is expected to report a 7.3% increase in revenue to $9.234 billion from $8.6 billion a year ago. Based on the guidance given by Salesforce on 06 August 2024 for the period ending 31 July, it is expecting for revenue to come in between $9.20 billion and $9.25 billion. (SAL is based on Total Revenue). The consensus EPS forecast is expected to be at $2.35 per share. This is within the EPS gui
Why I bought pdd at around $100 it’s oversold I feel and the key take aways
Key Takeaways 1. PDD Holdings' Q2 2024 revenue reached RMB 971 billion, 86% year-over-year increase, but slightly below expected figures. This revenue growth was driven by significant increases in online marketing services and transaction services.$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ 2. PDD's adjusted operating profit was RMB 35 billion, up 139% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates. The company's non-GAAP operating profit margin was 36%, compared to 28% in Q2 2023. 3. PDD's net income attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB 32 billion, up from RMB 13.1 billion in Q2 2023. However, management expects future earnings to trend lower due to increased investments and competitive pressures. 4. The company plans
🌟🌟🌟It is good practice to track CEO transactions as a form of due diligence as it adds more information in addition to traditional analysis and helps me to make more informed decisions on buying, holding or selling a particular stock. While tracking a CEO's buying and selling of a stock can provide me with valuable insights it is not the most important metric to assess a stock. There are also various factors as to why a CEO choose to buy or sell the company's stock. It could be personal financial needs, tax planning, portfolio diversification or planned asset allocation. From my standpoint, it is more important to look the company's financial statements and other important metrics. These would be questions on how the company is
I opened $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ ,I opened $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ ,Bought more to keep this good company As I realised it's oversold why it dropped so much ? **PDD Holdings Takes a Hit: E-commerce Blues** Alright, folks, buckle up because PDD Holdings just got served a big ol' slice of humble pie. Picture this: you're Pinduoduo, the e-commerce darling with prices so low you could swear they’re giving stuff away. You’re on top of the world, slinging groceries and gadgets to everyone from the budget-conscious shopper to your grandma who just figured out how to use a smartphone. But then, bam! Reality check. The company’s quarterly revenue didn’t just miss the mark—it missed it like I miss
🌟🌟🌟On Monday, $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ share price plummeted by nearly 30% to USD 100.00 a share in afternoon trading. This is its worst single day drop for PDD on record. What happened? PDD has just reported its Q2 24 earnings that fell short of Wall Street Analysts' expectations amidst intensifying competition. PDD's revenue increased by 86% year over year to RMB 97.06 billion (USD 13.36 billion) from RMB 52.28 billion versus expectations of RMB 99.98 billion. Adjusted net income increased by 125% year over year to RMB 34.43 billion (USD 4.74 billion) from RMB 15.27 billion versus expectations of RMB 30.10 billion. Adjusted EPS increased to RMB 23.24 (USD 3.20) from RMB 10.47 v
PDD is facing bearish expectations, with option flows skewed heavily towards puts.
$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ To get straight to the point, traders need to consider whether they can stomach PDD below $90.Current PDD options trading can be broadly categorized into three strategies: outright bearish bets, shorting volatility, and delta-hedging.There is virtually no bullish positioning - one modest put overwrite at the 100 strike, but no notable call buying interest.Single-leg strategies are dominantly put biased, with the August 30th 95 and 90 strikes emerging as focal points for outright bearish exposure:$PDD 20240830 95.0 PUT$ $PDD 20240830 90.0 PUT$ Multi-leg flows are primarily volatility shorts and
I opened $SMCI 20240906 475.0 PUT$ ,SMCI: collect 0.95% premium for this cash secured put with strike at $475 around 0.1 delta. SMCI is down close to 8% today and the strike is another 16% away and near the most recent swing low pivot from current market rate, hopefully this provide some level of support. All semi counters especially SMCI should be impacted by Nvdia earnings this Wed 28th Aug after market so I’ll see how to adjust the trade if necessary.
Star Of The Week. Like it or not, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ shares will be in focused this week. This comes about as the artificial intelligence (AI) favorite prepares to release its highly anticipated earnings report for fiscal Q2 2025 on Wed, 28 Aug 2024. Investors will be looking out for: Sustained growth in the chipmaker’s data center segment. Updates about its next-generation Blackwell chips following reported delays. Confirmation and details about delays to Nvidia's next-generation Blackwell processors. The AI darling’s shares, which have surged around +43% from their August 2024 low, have been bolstered in recent weeks by bullish Wall Street coverage and growing earnings forecasts. Nvidia had in the past, blown expectations for both revenue &
Continue to Buy in 4 Years! Should We Take CEO Buying/Selling Seriously?
Gelsinger paid $252,000 on Aug. 5 for 12,500 $Intel(INTC)$ shares, an average price of $20.16. You may think that $25k is no big money.But his persistence can't be ignored. Intel CEO continues to buy the stock in the past 4 years.Some investors view this a bullish signal. One WSB user said that,There are two reasons to explain people's buying and selling.Reasons to sell: 1) they want to not lose money 2) they want to shift resources elsewhereReasons to buy: 1) they want to make moneyAnother US investor said that,Intel's potential failure poses a national security risk due to reliance on foreign fabs, making it a long-term buy.However, others believe Intel CEO's stock purchase is just like we buy peanuts in the store.Intel's CEO buying minimal sha
I opened $Newmont Mining(NEM)$ ,NEM: bought in some Newmont Mining shares in the pre market as gold is in play and above $2500 an oz. The mining company breakeven for gold is much lower and its mines are efficient and in less conflict countries. Will DCA into this as proxy for gold.
I opened $Daqo New(DQ)$ ,Short sold 300 shares expecting a bigger plunge when markets open later. Very poor results and low expectations for the rest of this year. Will look to closing out the position probably by today as well