Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$ Gold prices surged in Asian trading on Monday (January 5), breaking through the $4,400/ounce mark. US President Donald Trump issued a new warning that Venezuela's post-Maduro leadership must abide by certain conditions or face "very heavy costs."The US launched a military strike against Venezuela early Saturday morning (January 3), detaining President Nicolás Maduro and announcing a complete US takeover of Venezuela's oil industry.Gold reached a high of $4,421.53/ounce in Asian trading on Monday, a surge of $89 on the day. Silver prices also jumped nearly 4%. 2.The first full trading week of 2026 is about to begin, and the market will quickly switc

As the year-end approaches, the market continues last week's trend, with relatively light trading volume. During such quiet periods, a short-term piece of news can often trigger significant market volatility, so everyone needs to pay slight attention (especially those chasing rallies). Over the weekend, the CME Group issued a major margin adjustment notice on December 26th, stating that it will comprehensively increase the performance margins for metal futures such as gold, silver, platinum, and palladium after the close on Monday, December 29th.Normally, this is just a routine exchange operation for high-volatility products. However, when a product experiences abnormally rapid one-sided movement in a short period, such news often leads to substantial volatility (though not necessarily a t

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold Trading Alert: Year-End Consolidation at High Levels? Aiming for a New Peak of $5,000 by 2026? Gold opened strongly again today, hitting a new all-time high of $4,530.96. This aligns with yesterday's projected trajectory.This week's gold movements follow discernible patterns: Asian session opens with gains, European session sees consolidation, and U.S. session dips before rebounding! Today's trading may also adhere to this pattern. Maintain a Buy-focused approach for short-term trades!For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of

Key point：Whether gold can post a meaningful new high is a key yardstick for judging whether silver is due for a sharp pullback.Driven by silver’s relentless march to new highs, gold finally showed some movement last week. However, on the one hand, even as futures made new highs, spot prices have not yet kept pace; on the other hand, the futures “new high” itself looked more symbolic than decisive. This reluctance to follow silver is concerning. Although silver has effectively been the true leader since April this year, gold’s historical status means its value still cannot be ignored.​To break its prior historical high, gold futures took two months—far behind silver—and even after the breakout, the contrast between the two is stark. When silver broke out in November, that week produced a s

As the year-end approaches, the market gradually enters a clearing period and trading activity becomes lighter. Overseas markets are about to enter the Christmas and New Year holidays, which makes this a suitable time to review the past and think about how to position trading ideas for the year ahead. Next year, like this year, is also expected to be a high-volatility year, with risks and opportunities coexisting. In January, there will be an introduction to the major trading opportunities for the coming year—stay tuned. In the meantime, even if the remaining time this year is relatively quiet, there are strategies designed for quiet markets, and this period is particularly suitable for using them.The Nasdaq rebounded from support as expected​Last week’s post stated very clearly that the N

Year-end is usually a quiet period, when markets thin out and traders take time off—but hold on and get through this week first. For FX traders in particular, after several years of dull price action, the key that could set a major move in motion for 2026 may well be this week.​More specifically, beyond the Bank of Japan’s impending rate hike, close attention also needs to be paid to possible shifts in monetary policy at the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. If the major G7 central banks all choose to bring their easing cycles to an end, while the United States—under a new Fed chair in the future—moves against that trend, then the trend driven by rate differentials/spread differentials could be enormous.​The U.S. Dollar Index has already shown signs of weakening across 2025; s

Technical Analysis: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ A sustained break above $4,250 is required, along with holding this key level, to regain upward momentum! Gold consolidated sideways after breaking out of the symmetrical triangle pattern, lacking follow-through buying support!On the H4 chart, gold oscillates around the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), indicating neutral short-term momentum. However, the overall uptrend remains intact, with pullbacks likely attracting dip-buying interest.Initial support lies at the lower boundary of the recent consolidation range around $4160-$4170, with further support near the 100-period SMA at $4141.Momentum indicators show a neutral-to-bullish bias: MACD histogram bars are narrowing toward the zero line while main

Last week, silver surged to a new high even as gold’s performance lagged significantly, far exceeding my earlier expectations. In hindsight, this trading and manipulation pattern bears resemblance to that of Ethereum/Bitcoin this year: the larger-cap asset first posts consecutive new highs, followed by a rapid rally in the smaller-cap one to hit an all-time peak. While such fundamentals-defying gains have proven short-lived in the crypto market, one should not go against the prevailing trend.Silver recorded a weekly gain of over 10% last week, and the emergence of a new high means there are no technical reference points to rely on. As long as it trades above the 54.4 level, the market is clearly dominated by bulls. Since its 2022 low around 17.4, silver has seen a rally of more than 300% i