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11-13 16:14

Trump 2.0 is here, what now?

The much-anticipated U.S. election finally revealed its outcome last week: although Trump seems to be very close to Harris in traditional polls, it actually ended with Trump's big victory. With the second entry of this old acquaintance, the capital market also began to give some feedback. So what assets and changes are worth watching for us?About the crypto marketThere is no doubt that this is the strongest variety after the news that Trump is about to take office. Mainstream coins represented by Bitcoin and a number of altcoins have experienced huge gains in just one week. On the one hand, Trump showed the characteristics of a pro-crypto market during the election campaign; on the other hand, his main election assistant, Musk, is also very keen to "shout" on social media.Although we were
Trump 2.0 is here, what now?

What does Trump’s 2024 election win mean for global markets?

In last week's US election, Trump finally won, and the market entered the honeymoon period of Trump's trading. Although Trump will not officially take office until January next year, his remarks and preparatory actions have made the market full of expectations. The recent market fluctuations are all related to his words and deeds, so everyone should pay attention to tracking them. The following is a slight list of the relevant trading opportunities after Trump won the election for your reference.The U.S. stock index differentiates, keeping a close eye on the Dow RussellBefore the election, I analyzed with you that Trump's relevant policies will be relatively beneficial to small and medium-sized enterprises and traditional industries, so the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Russell 2000
What does Trump’s 2024 election win mean for global markets?

The Gold Turns to Upward Momentum Right Now!

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some macro analysis with you!1.After the release of today's CPI data, gold rose in the short term, but it still could not break through the key resistance of 2620! XAUUSD sell orders continue to make profits! Gold will continue to fall in the short term! Waiting for the arrival of 2547! Have you entered the sell market? $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ 2.XAUUSD continues its strong downtrend as sell orders continue to take significant profits! Bears are coming! Sell orders continue to be traded today! If 2547 breaks down along the way, gold will reach the next support near 2525-20!Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
The Gold Turns to Upward Momentum Right Now!

Two key assets to keep an eye on during election week

U.S. bond yields rose further last week, putting gold under pressure, but the long-term narrative has not changed. As far as copper is concerned, the performance of copper prices in the past two weeks has been extremely calm and in a state of volatility convergence, just as all kinds of assets have amplified fluctuations due to Trump's coming to power, thus pricing in advance the possibility after he took office. CORE POINTS1. Copper prices continued to fluctuate last week, and gold fell back after hitting a new highIn terms of precious metals, COMEX gold fell 0.55% and silver fell 5.22% last week; The Shanghai Gold 2410 contract fell 0.46%, and the Shanghai Silver 2410 contract fell 5.12%. Among the prices of major industrial metals, COMEX copper and Shanghai copper changed by-7.53% and-3
Two key assets to keep an eye on during election week

What is the most important asset to watch as the election results come in

The U.S. election is about to give its final answer this week. The ups and downs of swing state data have caused some sensitive assets to take a roller coaster trend around last weekend. However, there are still some varieties fluctuating within a narrow range. Obviously, their breakthrough direction is likely to determine the market tendency in the next stage.Today we are going to talk about copper, which we haven't talked about for a long time. As a wide variety similar to crude oil, copper prices have gone out of a complete bull market and bear market in the first 11 months of this year, and are now just at the central axis level. What's more interesting is that in the past half month, the price has been running within a narrow range of 4.3-4.4 X.Copper has always been said by Dr. Coppe
What is the most important asset to watch as the election results come in

The Final Day of Voting in the US Is Here,What to Watch in Markets?

The U.S. election has entered the final stage. Although the last voting day is November 6th, there are already a lot of voting data for reference due to mail-in ballots and early voting. Generally speaking, no candidate can win shoo-in at present. Let's wait for the results on Tuesday to observe the final changes in the market and whether supporters of both parties are satisfied with the process of the results after the final results are released. If they are dissatisfied, there may be riots similar to those in 2020, which may bring further turmoil to the market, and this turmoil may be global.The impact of U.S. stock indexesAfter the presidential election in the United States, the motivation to maintain the stability of the American stock market will gradually disappear. The continuation
The Final Day of Voting in the US Is Here,What to Watch in Markets?

The Impact of Earthquakes on the Japanese Stock Market

Since Japan launched its rate hike, the Japanese stock market has entered a high sideways consolidation stage, with the Nikkei 225 index rising by less than 3% in October. Recently, in the 50th House of Representatives election in Japan, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party lost its ruling position for the first time since 2009, and the Japanese stock market and exchange rate fluctuated greatly in the short term, which brought great uncertainty to Japan's monetary and fiscal policies in the future.There are downside risks to the economyAccording to published data, the Japanese government's second-quarter GDP growth rate was lowered from 0.8% to 0.7%, and the annualized quarter-on-quarter growth rate was lowered from 3.1% to 2.9%. Among them, the month-on-month growth rate of private final c
The Impact of Earthquakes on the Japanese Stock Market

How a war between Israel and Iran could impact oil prices and the whole market?

After the U.S. stock market closed over the weekend, it was suddenly reported that Israel's retaliation plan for the Iranian attack had been implemented. Judging from the time when it occurred, it was obvious that Israel chose to close the financial market because it did not want things to expand. This is related to the approaching time of the U.S. election. Not unrelated. At the same time, the focus of Israel's retaliation is to attack Iran's related military facilities, avoiding crude oil and nuclear facilities, which is lower than market expectations. Therefore, if Iran does not take further actions after Israel's retaliation, the market will return to calm. But the question is, will Iran suck it up?Profound impact on the crude oil marketIf this "retaliation cycle" does not have a stron
How a war between Israel and Iran could impact oil prices and the whole market?

How The U.S. Election Will Impact The Markets

The final chapter of the annual drama American election will come soon. As a hot spot that was regarded as more important than the Fed's interest rate cut at the beginning of the year, how will the election results affect the short-term, medium-and long-term development of the market?In terms of short-term fluctuations, we believe that the main difference between Harris and Trump will be the option of controlling the market. Although the risky assets represented by U.S. stocks have maintained a slow bull pattern recently, the continued weakness of oil prices still indicates that the market is currently expensive.If Trump takes office, it is very likely that he will start smashing the market after officially entering the White House. Or on the day of the general election, it is expected tha
How The U.S. Election Will Impact The Markets

Short squeeze is in progress, six charts reveal that the silver may outperform the gold.

Today, we are specially writing an article for Baiyin. In fact, our domestic stocks are the popular varieties, gold belongs to the niche, and silver belongs to the niche within the niche, so you have been watching me write articles, talking more about gold than silver.But the protagonist of today's article is silver.PicturesLet's look at the first picture first, this is an overlay chart of the trend of gold and silver over the past two decades. The red line is the price of gold and the yellow line is the price of silver.Judging from the historical limit values in the past few periods, the limit value and volatility of silver should be greater than those of gold, especially in the final peak acceleration stage.Therefore, when the price of gold broke through $2,700/oz, hitting a record high
Short squeeze is in progress, six charts reveal that the silver may outperform the gold.

Gold soars but be careful when you consider buying gold now

The time node when silver compensated for the increase and the RMB exchange rate triggered the rise of precious metals in the internal market + various news and fundamentals gathered. These top features that have been talked about before are emerging one after another. As an old bull who has been bullish on gold for many years, now I am more cautious and waiting for a signal to exit. Always remember that pulling the market is the best way to sell goods. Don't go up or chase high is the only way to avoid deep traps and losing money.Silver showed a significant upward trend last week, breaking through the high in mid-May, and opening further higher this Monday. Obviously, the recent comparison of gold and silver trends has completely matched the compensatory effect of silver's late-coming fir
Gold soars but be careful when you consider buying gold now

Will gold prices hit another all-time high in 2024?

Last week, overseas interest rate cut expectations were further revised, and the CPI in September was higher than expected. At the same time, several Fed officials stated that interest rate cuts may be lower than previous market expectations. The market's interest rate cut expectations have also improved. The momentum of short-term economic growth has also improved, and copper prices have stabilized and rebounded accordingly. However, we do not think that the data in the United States will continue to strengthen, and we need to consider the possibility that the interest rate cut expectations will rise again.CORE POINTS1. Expectations for interest rate cuts continue to be revised, and copper prices stabilize and reboundLast week, overseas interest rate cut expectations were further revised,
Will gold prices hit another all-time high in 2024?

Why you should consider investing in gold before November

There are only more than two weeks left before the US general election on November 5th. There are various opinions on American polls, and the results of different polls are that which candidate is ahead by a large proportion, which makes the poll results have little reference significance. It seems that we will have to wait until the last polling day to know the results. Therefore, any current "Trump" or "Harris" transactions may be revised at any time. Everyone should pay attention to the market swing, and the general direction has not changed much.The "Israel-Iraq conflict" boosts gold to a record high?Current news points out that Israel plans to strike back against Iran, and it is rumored that the specific implementation time will take place before the US election, that is, further mili
Why you should consider investing in gold before November

The National Day holiday is coming,What should we pay attention to?

The National Day holiday begins, and because the holiday time is too long, there will often be gaps in the domestic market. In order to make the domestic market gap sharply, it is necessary for the external market to fluctuate greatly during the National Day holiday. Therefore, the external market rarely spends it calmly during the National Day holiday. Everyone needs to look at the external market after the holiday. Trends, pay attention to sudden large fluctuations.The main economic event in the external market next week is the release of non-agricultural data. Since the Federal Reserve has opened the channel to cut interest rates, the focus of the market's attention has become the change in the speed of interest rate cuts. According to market expectations, they always like to go to extr
The National Day holiday is coming,What should we pay attention to?

US Dollar Technical Analysis – Attempting to Sneak Higher?

Although domestic investors are focusing on chinese stock market, which opened today, as external observers and traders, we are always paying attention to the changes in the futures market. During the National Day holiday, the performance of crude oil was remarkable, but it was expected. Relatively speaking, the rise of the U.S. dollar index, which had been falling before, after the interest rate cut is also worthy of attention.We have talked about the logic of the rebound of the US dollar before the interest rate decision. A very important point is that in the latest round of interest rate hike-interest rate cut cycle, the foreign exchange market reflects the trend of expected rise/fall and reverse operation after landing. The fact that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates ahead of t
US Dollar Technical Analysis – Attempting to Sneak Higher?

Is Now a Good Time to Buy Bitcoin?

The last time we talked about cryptocurrency was 2-3 months ago, when Bitcoin had just completed a mid-level zigzag adjustment, and it looked like it was about to restart its rally. However, the advancement of the market is another result. The larger A-B-C correction has not broken through the downward channel by mid-October. Considering the approaching time of the U.S. election and the high levels of gold and the other two carriages of the U.S. stock index, the time to keep a long position seems to be increasingly limited at present.From the perspective of the weekly level, Bitcoin once fell below the 50,000 mark in the previous round of deep exploration, which made its height drop significantly even if the subsequent upward market was launched. At present, according to the form, it may b
Is Now a Good Time to Buy Bitcoin?

GOLD Fluctuates with Macro Economy Conditions

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with u!1. $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ Thursday (31 October) Asian morning trading, spot gold high narrow oscillation, currently trading at 2787.36 !Gold prices on Wednesday again refreshed record highs to $2,789.89 per ounce, as uncertainty over the U.S. presidential election boosted safe-haven demand, and traders are also waiting for economic data to provide clues to the Federal Reserve's policy path.However, the U.S. economy grew solidly in the third quarter, with consumer spending growing at its fastest pace in a year and a half and inflation slowing sharply, continuing to break recessionary forecasts; this gave support to U.S. bond yields, making gold bulls wary.
GOLD Fluctuates with Macro Economy Conditions

Here's how Iran's missile strikes could impact markets

During the National Day, the biggest thing in the external market was that Iran launched a large number of missile attacks on Israel on October 1 in response to a series of previous deaths of Iran's close leaders, which plunged the entire situation in the Middle East into a "cycle of revenge" and once again changed market expectations. The focus is reversed. As everyone in China is still immersed in the joy of the skyrocketing A-shares, there is little attention to the news of the external market. Therefore, it is estimated that except for a few commodities closely related to the external market, other commodities are expected to continue to run after the holiday.·1. U.S. stocks fluctuate at high levelsAlthough the escalation of the conflict between Iran and Israel has no direct impact on
Here's how Iran's missile strikes could impact markets

How Presidential Elections Affect the Stock Market

The U.S. general election will enter the voting stage on November 5th, and it is less than a month before the polling day. Looking at the current U.S. general election situation, there is still no candidate who can win.It is conceivable that there may still be many unexpected events affecting the election situation in the follow-up. Therefore, I suggest you wait and see what happens, and there is no need to speculate too much. However, because the platforms of the two candidates in this general election are quite different, whoever is elected will at least affect the policy changes in the next four years. Impact on U.S. stock indexes during the election periodFor the U.S. stock index, the general trend depends on the Federal Reserve. After all, it has entered a cycle of interest rate cuts,
How Presidential Elections Affect the Stock Market

GOLD: The Expected Trend for Gold Prices is Bullish!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold price has managed to touch our first awaited target at $2745.00. Today's trading started with a slight bearish bias in the gold price, influenced by negative stochastic signals. It is expected that the gold price will continue its overall bullish bias in the coming period, with the next target located at $2770. It is important to take into account that once the gold price falls below $2,716.00, this will put additional bearish pressure on the gold price, in which case the gold price targets a test of the major bullish channel support line around 2659 before resuming its attempts to move higher.Gold prices will trade today between su
GOLD: The Expected Trend for Gold Prices is Bullish!