Do You Believe in January Effect?

In 2024, the US stock market started off poorly, causing unease among investors. Some hope for a turnaround in the market, as they believe that the performance in the first month of the year sets the tone for the rest of the year's market conditions. ---------------------------------- Do you believe in January Effect? Will market turn around in January? How's your portfolio going in the first trading week?

avatarKYHBKO
01-13

Preview of the week starting 15th Jan 2024 - can Goldman usher in more cheer?

Public Holidays There are no public holidays for Singapore, Hong Kong, and China in the coming week. 15 Jan 2024 (Monday). It is a public holiday in the USA as they celebrate Martin Luther King Jr Day. Economic Calendar (15 Jan 2024) Notable Highlights Retail Sales. This should capture the Christmas spending spree. Being seasonal, this may not truly reflect retail consumption as a monthly average. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index reveals the manufacturing activity in Philadelphia. Existing Home Sales. This report reflects the strength of the U.S. housing market and can be seen as a key indicator of overall economic strength. GDP. China’s GDP will be revealed. This can cast some light on global consumption as China remains one of the key manufacturers in the world. Initial Jobless Clai
Preview of the week starting 15th Jan 2024 - can Goldman usher in more cheer?

3 Key Factors & 2 Big Risks Behind the Recent Sell-Off: SPX, QQQ

The recent stock market sell-off in early January has made some investors nervous about whether the bull market can continue in 2024.The following content credit to LEL Investment LLCSummaryRecent stock market sell-off driven by short-term overbought conditions, Fed rate uncertainty, and year-end selling pressure. $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ fundamentals remain strong with improved financials and ROE above threshold, while $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ fundamentals slightly deteriorated but still above threshold.Red Sea crisis and systemic risks should be monitored, but overall, the US economy remains competitive and stable for long-term investment in broad market ETFs.It's clear to us that the recent
3 Key Factors & 2 Big Risks Behind the Recent Sell-Off: SPX, QQQ
avatarKYHBKO
01-06

Preview of the week starting 8th Jan 2024 - can Delta soar?

Public Holidays There are no public holidays for Singapore, Hong Kong, China and the USA in the coming week. Economic Calendar (08 Jan 2024) Notable Highlights CPI data should be hogging the headlines in the coming week as a key consideration for the Fed coming interest rate. CPI is a reflection of inflation in the economy. If the inflation proves to be stubborn, the plans for a Fed pivot can be delayed. Initial Jobless Claims - This reflects the impact of unemployment, a data point for the Fed’s interest rate decision. Crude Oil Inventories can be seen as forward indicators of market demand and consumption. If the trend of excess inventories continues, this is demand erosion that can lead to reduced production & weakening consumer spending. PPI can be seen as a prequel of inflation
Preview of the week starting 8th Jan 2024 - can Delta soar?

🎁What the Tigers Say | January Effect Uncertainty: Rebound or Downtrend Ahead?

As we step into the new year, concerns loom over the market's potential resistance to the traditional "January effect." The recent dip in tech stocks, with $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ witnessing a 1.63% drop, raises questions about the market's direction in the coming weeks. Amid this uncertainty, various indicators suggest caution.Will the January Effect Prevail?Below are some insights from Tiger @nerdbull1669, @KYHBKO and @JinHan. Which opinions do you agree with?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitat
🎁What the Tigers Say | January Effect Uncertainty: Rebound or Downtrend Ahead?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | What makes the success of Big-Techs in 2023?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceMarket’s in drawdown mode in the first week of 2024, starting with big-techs, which had benefited greatly in 2023. Crowded trading due to overlap of various factors may exacerbate the speed and extent especially in downturn. At the same time, risk aversion’s coming back, there has been a clear sector rotation in the stock market.As of the close on January 4th, big tech stocks experienced varying degrees of pullback over the past week. Among them, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ had the largest decline at -8.99%, followed by $Apple(AAPL)$ at -5.82%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ at -5.72%, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ at
BIG TECH WEEKLY | What makes the success of Big-Techs in 2023?

Weekly: Investors should focus on inflation and banks earnings

The Week AheadMacro Factors - Inflation Data and Bank Earnings on focusAfter a tough start of the year, the week highlight of the release of crucial inflation data, followed by the unofficial kickoff of earnings season on Friday.The December consumer price index (CPI) that’s set for release Thursday is expected to confirm the recent trend of easing inflation. Economists polled by FactSet expect headline CPI increase 3.2% year over year, and a 0.1% more than in November. But core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 3.8%, compared with a 4% gain previously.The CES technology event kicks off in Las Vegas, Nev. The trade show runs through Friday.One of the most highly anticipated in cryptocurrency history: the week the U.S. could finally green light a
Weekly: Investors should focus on inflation and banks earnings

Two Neglectable Advantages for Meta in 2024!

After the iOS privacy policy change in 2022, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ was temporarily abandoned by investors, but its strong user technology helped it to recover quickly. With ongoing improvements in monetization, as well as continued efforts in Reels and WhatsApp, Meta's stock price has reached new highs.The current consensus price target for the market is $385, with companies that have recently updated their price targets all raising them to over $400, and some as high as $470.Investment Highlights- Stable user base, strengthening monetization of Reels, and potential market share growth for the Facebook shop.- Two major opportunities in 2024: the demand for Chinese businesses (e-commerce, gaming) to go global, and advertising spending in the
Two Neglectable Advantages for Meta in 2024!

Big-Techs' Dip: Why Google Still Cheap?

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ in my opinion, is a company with low risk, stable performance, excellent asset quality, and the ability to benefit from both inflation and interest rate cuts among major tech companies. In 2024, although Google's revenue growth may be slow, the expected profit growth will be higher, and it is also poised to gain a higher market position in the field of AI. $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Investment Highlights- Google's advertising business has been growing steadily for a long time. In the potential structural adjustments in 2024, it is expected to achieve higher operational efficiency, thereby improving its profitability.- Its dominant position in the advertising field enables it to benefit from the
Big-Techs' Dip: Why Google Still Cheap?

Profit from etf kweb the thor Darcy way

Kweb etf HST tech is like Thor hammer **1. "Darcy's Wisdom: Thor-Style Investing"** In the realm of financial endeavors, Darcy's wisdom is like Thor's sarcasm – both legendary and capable of weathering any storm. As I embarked on my investment journey, I couldn't help but channel the whimsical energy of Thor and his witty sidekick. **2. "Mjolnir-Inspired Support at $25.88"** Support in the stock market is akin to Thor's mighty hammer, Mjolnir. At $25.88, I found my financial stability, much like Thor wielding Mjolnir to maintain balance in Asgard. This support became the cornerstone of my strategy, ensuring a solid foundation for future gains. **3. "Financial Thunder at $35"** As the stock soared to $35, it was akin to summoning thunderous profits with the might of Mjolnir. The echoes
Profit from etf kweb the thor Darcy way
avatarBonta
01-09

Yet another doom and gloom for China in 2024?

$Alibaba(BABA)$ $TENCENT(00700)$ $Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$  Shall start off with yet another doom and gloom article: https://www.msn.com/en-sg/news/other/2024-could-become-a-horrible-year-for-china-s-economy/ss-AA1fYye3?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=LCTS&cvid=bd367103d0094b3490ad463216f856c1&ei=20#image=16 Oh dear, the sky is falling yet again. The pericular issue with these articles is that somehow the more they post, the more the reverse happens.  Recall 2023? When economists were predicting bear markets? Is it a bull wearing a bear mask?  The odd issue with predic
Yet another doom and gloom for China in 2024?

Fed slows tapering to avoid 'disturbances'

The Federal Reserve is considering slowing down its balance sheet reduction, a move that could impact financial markets. The focus is on slowing rather than ending the quantitative tightening policy.🏦 The Federal Reserve officials are set to discuss the slowdown of quantitative tightening at this month's policy meeting.💰 Despite halting interest rate hikes last summer, the Fed continues to tighten monetary policy by reducing its holdings of bonds and assets by about $800 billion per month.📈 Concerns arise as the rapid pace of balance sheet reduction may deplete reserve funds quickly, leading to potential market disruptions.💸 Signs indicate a rapid decrease in cash surplus in the money markets, with overnight reverse repo balances declining faster than expected.🏦 The current pace of balance
Fed slows tapering to avoid 'disturbances'

USD is the key to 2024H1

US, Japan, and the European Central Bank meetingsThe US dollar index continued to decline in December 2023, dropping over 2% on top of the nearly 3% fall in November. $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$ The unexpected shift in the December Fed meeting was a significant factor in the dollar's weakness. Fed Chair Powell, in the press conference following the meeting, abandoned the previous "higher for longer" rhetoric and hinted that rate cuts could begin before inflation returns to 2%. These changes caused the market to reevaluate the timing and extent of Fed rate cuts. In December, US bond yields further significantly declined, driving up risk assets. The do
USD is the key to 2024H1

Do You Believe in January Effect or Not?

After sweet November and December, US stock market started off poorly in the first trading week of 2024, causing unease among investors.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ and major tech stocks have been falling for 5 consecutive trading days.We may see the pullback continues as today's employment report came in stronger than expected.Some hope for a turnaround in the market, as they believe that the performance in the first month of the year sets the tone for the rest of the year's market conditions.Fidelity analyst, however, states that after bad January, the stock market has a long term propensity to rise.Do you believe in January Effect?Will market turn around in January?How's your portfolio going in the first trading week?Leave your comments and also post to
Do You Believe in January Effect or Not?
$Lion-Nomura ETF(JJJ.SI)$ Talk about January effect. This Lion-Nomura ETF (Power by AI) IPO soon on 31st January 2024. So let take a look about Lion Global Investors and what is AI finance RTF.  Lion Global Investors (LGI) is an asset management company based in Singapore. It's a subsidiary of Great Eastern Holdings, one of the largest insurance and financial services groups in Southeast Asia. LGI manages a variety of investment funds, including equity funds, fixed income funds, and multi-asset funds. AI finance, or artificial intelligence in finance, encompasses the application of AI technologies to various aspects of the financial services industry. It's revolutionizing how businesses and individuals manage money, invest, and navigate the

Decoding the January Effect: Analyzing the Controversial Seasonal Phenomenon in Financial Markets

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$   The January effect is a phenomenon in financial markets that suggests stocks tend to experience higher-than-average returns in the month of January. This observed pattern has been a subject of debate among researchers, investors, and financial analysts. While some believe in its predictive power, others argue that it may be more of a historical anomaly than a reliable indicator of future market movements. Proponents of the January effect often point to various reasons to explain this seasonal pattern. One commonly cited factor is tax-loss harvesting, where investors sell losing positions at the end of the year for tax purposes. This selling pressure in December can lead to lower stock prices, creating potential buying
Decoding the January Effect: Analyzing the Controversial Seasonal Phenomenon in Financial Markets
Yes I believe in the January effect! Statistics is always right! Looking forward to a bullish 2024! Thank you <a href="https://ttm.financial/U/3501196737273098"> @Tiger_comments </a>for the coins!

January effect again?

In my opinions, the “January Effect” is a seasonal increase in stock prices that occurs in the month of January. Analysts generally attribute this rally to an increase in buying, which follows the drop in price that typically happens in December when investors, engaging in tax-loss harvesting to offset realized capital gains, prompt a sell-off. Another possible explanation is that investors use year-end cash bonuses to purchase investments the following month. However, it is important to note that the January Effect is a perceived seasonal tendency and not a scientifically accurate measurement. The January Effect is theorized to occur when investors sell losers in December for tax-loss harvesting, only to re-buy new positions in January. The effect seems to affect small caps more than mid-
January effect again?
Bad Omen? $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$  It was a day of snapped streaks. The S&P 500 gained ground Friday, though barely, to end its four-day losing streak. The Nasdaq Composite rose slightly to end its five-day slide. The day's gains weren't enough to put the indexes in positive territory for the week, though, thus bringing an end to the impressive nine-week winning streak for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones Industrial Average. Over those nine weeks, the indexes were up an average of 17%. This week, they gave back between 0.6% (for the Dow) and 3.2% (for the Nasdaq).  The week's losses came as investors seemed to reassess their portfolios and the massive gains they got from growth stocks in 202
avatarDiAngel
01-07
As a long term investor, i dont believe in January effect. My main concern is how much dividends i m generating from my SG counters end of the year. When i felt the time is right, i will DCA my current counters. In dec, i just DCA one of my Reits counter. The last time i was active in my SG counters were in Aug 2020. Then in nov 2021, i was trying my luck in US counters with Tigers. On Friday, i just DCA $Bank of America(BAC)$ as i have some cash with Tigers. My holding in Tiger is a tiny fraction of my Poems account. This year i m back to being active in SG counters as i have set a goal for myself. [Grin]. Hope my dream will come true. [Bless]🙏🙏🙏. I m building up my passive income.
PCT: January Effects Or Not V10.0 . PCT = Pandas Coffee Talk. What goes up in Christmas Rally. Tendency people profits-taking in January Effects. But this time in Jan2024. It becomes a opportunities. Why? CNN Fear Index shows extreme greeds. The market stock breath have turned from 7Stocks of Magnificant7 into 3000Stocks. Fed in 2024 even she dont lower rates but she confirm will hold rates. All this points to a Jan2024 tiny firesales due to Japan Earthquake into a min small bullruns in 2024.