ES Extends C-Wave, But Bearish Continuation Remains Intact
$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ | Yesterday's first downside trigger didn't fire. Instead, price expanded the C-Wave into resistance: Equality (A=C), 61.8% retrace, & Daily FVG. 5 waves down. 3 waves up. STILL corrective. → Next: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ forms a bullish Daily FVG on this push. Inversion of that gap = sell signal for the next wave down. → Catalyst: CPI Friday. Leaning sell-the-news ~ pending confirmation. New levels. Same outcome. The current $SPY bounce is the largest % rally since the 696 peak. That means price is correcting at a higher degree, which means the next wave down will also be higher degree. Whether this labels as a 2 or B wave, what follows is a 3rd o
When 161.8% Isn’t Corrective: SPX Confirms Impulsive Structure
EW 2.0 | (-) WXY Model $S&P 500(.SPX)$ traced out a (3-3-3) pattern — but the 2nd leg down extended 161.8%+ of the 1st, making it likely a 3rd wave, not a Y-wave. That distinction MATTERS. A 3rd wave extending 161.8% inside a (3-3-3) favors an IMPULSIVE move — not a corrective sequence. Which meant the 50% retracement of that 3rd/Y-wave became the line in the sand. Why the 50% retrace? Break above it → 4th wave INVALIDATED and structure relabels as a bullish WXY ~ meaning the decline was corrective, not impulsive Hold below it → bearish CONTINUATION, 5th wave coming. Price held below. M15 FVG + bearish SMT stacked as confluence for the 4th wave. Minutes later — price resolved sharply lower. 5th wave hit the 5=1 ratio EXACTLY before reversing.
$SPX / $SPY at 200-DMA Resistance, Next Leg Down Approaching
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ bearish 5-down, 3-up — into the 200-DMA + Daily FVG resistance. Textbook corrective rally. Today's peak likely terminated the B-Wave bounce — or is about to. Daily close below 6512 = first confirmation the next higher-degree wave down has begun. CPI Friday pre-market — price may set up into the print before the real move accelerates. This rally gets SOLD. The current $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ bounce is the largest % rally since the 696 peak. That means price is correcting at a higher degree, which means the next wave down will also be higher degree. Whether this labels as a 2 or B wave, what follows is a 3rd or C — neither is friendly. The bigger the bounce, the BIGGER the drop.
$NDX Tests 200DMA Rejection Zone as W5 Downside Targets 22,400
$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ W5 is LOADING. W4 bounce is coiling into the Daily FVG at 24,267–24,721. 200-DMA sitting right there too. That's the rejection zone. Above 24,510 and I reassess. Below it — W5 decline is on NEXT. Downside target: Monthly FVG at 22,400 Bearish SMT w/ $DJI still active at the March 23 high. That divergence holds — this bounce gets sold HARD. You've been warned. This will change how you use Elliott Wave. EW 2.0 is now MECHANICAL: ↳ Detects 3rd waves ↳ Locks in the W4 high-probability zone ↳ Projects W5 targets automatically No reinterpretation. No moving the goalposts. No manual counting. The cornerstone of Elliott Wave 2.0 — and the best Elliott Wave indicator ever built. It's not close. Just a repeatable framework you can actually
NFP Fades, $SPX Still Faces 200-DMA Rejection Risk Ahead of CPI
NFP was a dud. Monday still could give us the 200-DMA rejection — that door isn't closed. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ But a quiet day on Monday puts CPI Friday on deck as the catalyst for the next wave down. Corrections don't always fall clean. The largest ones make you wait — building energy for the next move. My projection reflects that. As I wrote yesterday: SPX pulled back to the bullish Daily FVG at 6554–6427 and bounced sharply — as warned. Price is set for a push into the 200-DMA near 6650 to complete the correction. Then the next wave down begins. NFP drops tomorrow with markets closed. Monday re-open could be the catalyst if we pop. If $ES closes below its Dai
Relief Rally or Bull Trap? $SPX Eyes 200-DMA as $ESmain Breakdown Looms
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ pulled back to the bullish Daily FVG at 6554–6427 and bounced sharply — as warned. Price is set for a push into the 200-DMA near 6650 to complete the correction. Then the next wave down begins. NFP drops tomorrow with markets closed. Monday re-open could be the catalyst if we pop. If $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ closes below its Daily FVG (6481), the wave down triggers early. Either way — this rally gets SOLD. 6178 is still the destination. Projection provided. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ delivered. Members caught the move in real time. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a tradin
$SPY 5 Wave Decline Signals Another Leg Lower Ahead
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ produced a bearish 5-wave decline from the highs. That structure DEMANDS another leg lower. We've now retraced ~30% of the overall decline and are inside Daily FVG resistance at 6454–6568. Expect price to cross the 2/4 trendline near 6550 — then the next wave down toward 6178 sets up. This rally will get sold HARD. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ should not close above 6568. Warnings were sent. We were leaning for a rally back to the PDH. 5-wave down with bullish SMT (YM). $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ delivered. $ES +230 handles since. Bull trap. As warned. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a t
This is the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ official roadmap for the next 5 years. Read this carefully. Stage 1: 20% Correction. (2026) Stage 2: Blow-off top to 10,000. (2026–2030) Stage 3: Worst crash in stock market history. (2030+) This correction is the last great buying opportunity of the DECADE. The blow-off top hasn't happened yet. AI mania will fuel the last leg to 10,000. Then the bubble POPS. Here's what you do: Stack cash on this correction. Ride the blow-off top. Get out before 2030. When I call the bottom — YOU BUY. When I call the top — YOU SELL. By the time people realize I was right all along, it will be too late. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG
$SPX Rally Trap Incoming? 6454–6568 Is the Ceiling
W5 targets have been met ✅ While the 5-waves down calls for an upside retracement, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has formed Daily FVG resistance at 6454–6568. That FVG is expected to CAP any rally. Mondays have been bullish — but I expect any bounce to stay shallow and get rejected at 6454–6568 to produce another leg down. ALT: If we see more downside Monday/fail to rally, this would be favored as a W3 — not a W5 — meaning price continues declining directly to the Monthly FVG at 6178. There is also no longer a bullish SMT divergence with $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ , which would have warned of a larger bounce. We don't have that now. Sometimes I amaze myself. Last night's plan called for the
$SPX $META Bearish Divergence Points to W5 Downside
I'm most known for my $S&P 500(.SPX)$ analysis. But you have NO IDEA what I can do when I branch out. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ — I warned members this was heading to 550–530 when it was still above 600. Now it's at 547 and the targets are being delivered. Imagine what you're missing on the other tickers. SPX, META, it doesn't matter. The EW 2.0 framework works on everything. Despite today's rally, the bear case actually got STRONGER. Bearish SMT divergence with $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ at today's high. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has resolved its sideways chop into a potential W4 triangle — complete A-B-C-D-E structure. Lean: W