šŸŽWhat the Tigers Say | Which Stock Is 2025ā€™s Dark Horse?

As AI continues to advance, analysts predict that SaaS companies will be among the biggest winners in 2025, benefiting from greater efficiency and performance gains. The fusion of AI with different industries is shaping up to be a major trend, with sectors like data/software, healthcare, community platforms, education, and voice technology poised for growth.

Which company do you think has the potential to be 2025ā€™s ultimate dark horse? Which stock would you bet on?

šŸŽSpecial Notes: Whoever showed up on theā€ What the Tigers Sayā€ column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.

Click titles to read the full analysis:

1. @hawshy: $Snowflake(SNOW)$

Key Points:

In my opinion is a significantly undervalued AI stock. While PLTR trades at exorbitant multiples, ā„ļø, with comparable growth and margins, is priced far lower. I believe the market overlooks ā„ļø's crucial role in AI: providing seamless data liquidity.

Its platform enables efficient data storage, processing, and sharingā€”essential for AI model training.

Projected 30% revenue growth and expanding margins further solidify ā„ļø's potential.

I expect its valuation to catch up as the market recognizes ā„ļø not just as a data warehouse, but as a core AI enabler. This presents a compelling investment opportunity.

2. @Shyon: Why Invest in AppLovin?

Key Points:

$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and strategic shift toward high-margin ad tech.

The company's dominance in mobile advertising, particularly with its AI-powered AXON platform, allows it to capture both gaming and non-gaming advertisers, unlocking new revenue streams. Its focus on automation and operational efficiency further enhances scalability, driving EBITDA growth and strong free cash flow generation.

With its proven ability to create incremental consumer demand and an expanding market reach, AppLovin is well-positioned for sustained long-term growth.

3. @orsiri: The Real Issue: Can Palantir Justify Its Valuation?

Key Points:

Palantirā€™s dependence on government contracts has provided a steady revenue stream, but it also poses risksā€”budget cuts, policy shifts, and geopolitical changes can impact future deals. The real battleground is the commercial sector, where $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ is expanding but faces stiff competition from established enterprise software giants such as $Snowflake(SNOW)$, $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$, and other cloud-based analytics providers.

The company has seen rapid commercial growth, with its customer base increasing by 15% quarter over quarter in 2024ā€”the fastest pace of acquisitions to date. This expansion has driven a 31% surge in Q4 commercial revenue. However, government contracts remain crucial, accounting for 55% of Palantirā€™s total revenue. In Q4, government revenue surged by 40% year over year, outpacing commercial growth and reaffirming its importance to Palantirā€™s business model.

Despite this impressive growth, Palantirā€™s valuation remains stretched. The stock trades at an eye-watering 100 times sales and 618 times trailing earningsā€”multiples that require near-perfect execution to justify over the long term. Even under an optimistic scenario where revenue grows at 40% annually for five years, profit margins expand from 16% to 30%, and share count increases by 3% per year, Palantirā€™s 2029 earnings per share (EPS) would be $1.58. At current prices, that still translates to a lofty 74 times forward earningsā€”a valuation that leaves little margin for error.

Potential Risks Beyond Government Contracts

While government contract dependency is a significant concern, other risks loom large. Palantir's reliance on key personnelā€”particularly visionary leadershipā€”could be a vulnerability if any major departures occur. Additionally, in an era of increasing regulatory scrutiny, data privacy and security concerns could pose challenges, especially as Palantir expands into more commercial and consumer-facing markets.

4. @Bobby Banana:

Key Points:

$Tempus AI(TEM)$ should have invested this earlier But never too late if you see a potential stock like $Tempus AI(TEM)$ ! I believe this will keep going up this year as AI is driving the tech world! 

5. @SmoothTW:

Key Points:

šŸš€ $Archer Aviation Inc.(ACHR)$ x Anduril: A Game-Changing Defense Partnership & a Rare Retail Opportunity!

Archer Aviation just announced a major strategic partnership with Anduril Industries to develop hybrid VTOL military aircraft. This is hugeā€”Anduril is a cutting-edge defense tech company backed by Peter Thiel, but itā€™s still private. This deal gives retail investors rare early exposure to Andurilā€™s growth before a potential IPO.

šŸ“ˆ Why this is BULLISH:

ā€¢ Defense $$$ Flowing In ā€“ U.S. DoD programs could be a massive revenue driver.

ā€¢ $430M Fresh Capital ā€“ Backed by Stellantis, United Airlines, and Abu Dhabiā€™s 2PointZero.

ā€¢ Archer Defense Launched ā€“ Led by a Lockheed/Sikorsky veteran to push military adoption.

ā€¢ Scalability & Cost Advantage ā€“ Anduril brings AI & mission systems, Archer provides VTOL expertise.

This is a catalyst momentā€”ACHR isnā€™t just an eVTOL play anymore. Itā€™s now a dual-use aerospace/defense tech company with a clear runway for both commercial and military expansion.

Retail missed early Anduril. This is the closest thing to a pre-IPO entry before defense contracts scale.

Are you paying attention? šŸš€

6. @Sherniceč»’å¬£ 2000: HIMS- The AI-Powered Healthcare Stock Redefining the Industry

Key Points:

$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ is not just another name in the telehealth space; it's a beacon of innovation and growth, boasting the fastest revenue growth in its sector. With a revenue surge to $401.6 million in Q3, up 77% year-over-year, Hims is on a trajectory that could see its value triple, if not more. This growth is underpinned by a unique business model:

Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Focus targeting Millennials & Gen Z.

Specialized Services in telemedicine, weight loss, hair loss, skincare, sexual health, and mental health.

One-Stop Healthcare solution with its online pharmacy, handling consultation to prescription fulfillment.

Personalized Treatment using AI to tailor prescriptions, enhancing patient adherence and outcomes.

Financial Strength and AI-Driven Efficiency

Hims showcases an impressive financial profile:

Gross Margin of 81.1%, outstripping competitors.

Adjusted EBITDA soared to $51.1 million, with a profit margin of 13%.

Free Cash Flow of $149M in the last 12 months, against capital expenditures of $85.86M.

Debt-Free Balance Sheet with $5.254B in cash.

Return on Equity (ROE) at 26.35%, well above industry norms.

The AI Advantage and Market Expansion

Hims leverages AI not just for personalized treatments but also for operational efficiency, which has led to a 175% YoY growth in personalized healthcare subscription users. This focus on personalization creates a strong competitive moat, offering treatments that are tailored to individual needs, thus fostering higher user retention and satisfaction.

Growth Potential and Risks

The telehealth sector in the United States is projected to expand dramatically, with market research indicating a growth to a $460 billion industry by 2033, excluding weight loss services. If Hims & Hers captures just 10% of this burgeoning market, it would translate to $46 billion in annual revenues.

Using a conservative sales multiple of 2x, which is considered low in the tech and health sectors for high-growth companies, this would value Hims & Hers at a staggering $92 billion market cap which translates to price target $448. Compare this to its current market capitalization of approximately $12.9 billion, current share price $59.18 and the potential for exponential growth becomes clear.

However, challenges include:

Potential GLP-1 Supply Recovery.

Regulatory Shifts if the current leniency changes.

Market Volatility due to reliance on drug supply and policy.

Conclusion

Hims & Hers Health Inc. stands at a pivotal moment, with the potential to redefine healthcare delivery through AI and personalized medicine. Under a supportive regulatory environment, and with its financial robustness and innovative approach, Hims could indeed see exponential growth, navigating through competition and market challenges to emerge as a dominant player in the telehealth landscape.

7. @Sherniceč»’å¬£ 2000: Upstart - AI-Powered Lending on the Rise!

Key Points:

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ is an AI-driven lending marketplace that has served over 3 million customers and partnered with more than 100 banks. By leveraging AI models and cloud-based applications, Upstart helps banks offer more competitive loan products while improving approval efficiency.

Q4 2024 Earnings Highlights:

  • Revenue: $219M (+56% YoY)

  • Contribution Profit:*l $122M (61% margin)

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $38.8M (a huge turnaround from a $0.6M loss last year)

  • Net Loss:$2.8M (a significant improvement from a $42.4M loss last year)

In Q4 2024, Upstart demonstrated strong growth, with revenue and loan origination volume increasing by 56% and 68%YoY, respectively. The contribution margin remained steady at 61%, and the average loan size rose from $8,400 to $8,580. Net interest income turned positive at $20M, while default rates declined.

AI Innovation: Model 19

Upstart recently launched Model 19, which incorporates Payment Transaction Model (PTM) technology to significantly improve loan approval accuracy. This allows more qualified borrowers to access credit while keeping default risks in check.

Diversification & Strong Financial Backing

The companyā€™s Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC) and small loan businesses have made significant progress, showcasing the success of its diversification strategy. Upstart has also secured $1.3B in capital commitments and a $150M personal loan funding facility, signaling increased confidence from its partners.

Looking Ahead to 2025

Upstartā€™s management has set ambitious financial targets for 2025:

  • Total revenue:$1B (with $920M from fees)

  • Adjusted EBITDA margin: 18%

  • GAAP profitability by H2 2025

This outlook suggests that Upstart is not only focusing on rapid growth but also improving profitability and financial stabilityā€”justifying its recent stock surge.

As AI continues to reshape the financial industry, Upstartā€™s continuous innovation in credit assessment models strengthens its leadership in fintech. With ongoing investments in AI-driven lending and the accelerating digital transformation of financial services, Upstart is building a solid competitive moat for future growth.

Questions for you:

Which company do you think has the potential to be 2025ā€™s ultimate dark horse?

Which stock would you bet on?

šŸŽPrizes

šŸÆ All valid comments on the following post will receive 5 Tiger Coins.

We strongly recommend selecting the "Also repost" button when posting a comment to receive more rewards.

ā°Duration

  • 26 Feb (24pm EDT)

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • jjkc
    Ā·02-19
    TOP
    a dark horse would be one of those unknown and hasn't run up yet. I took a position in $CNS Pharmaceuticals, Inc.(CNSP)$ They have a FDA fast tracked cancer drug that can breach the brain blood barrier. If this kind of tiny pharmas get approval, the stocks will shoot up. it's currently around 15 cents with an analyst target of $2
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  • Shyon
    Ā·02-19
    If I had to pick a dark horse for 2025, Iā€™d go with $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ . While a lot of attention is on AI-powered SaaS and data companies, HIMS is redefining healthcare by merging AI with personalized medicine.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @TigerGPT

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    • TigerGPT

      šŸ“Š Stock Analysis: Hims & Hers Health Inc. (HIMS)

      Here is a comprehensive analysis of Hims & Hers Health Inc. (HIMS) as a potential dark horse stock for 2025:

      Business Overview:Hims & Hers Health Inc. is redefining healthcare by merging AI with personalized medicine. The company provides accessible and affordable telehealth services, prescription medications, and over-the-counter health products. With their innovative approach, HIMS aims to improve customer engagement and healthcare outcomes.

        

      Earnings Forecast:

        

      The company is projected to achieve significant growth in the coming years.  

      For the full year 2025 (FY), the forecasted earnings per share (EPS) is $0.51, with a forecasted gross income of $2.06 billion and a forecasted EBIT of $138.96 million.  

      In 2026, the forecasted EPS is expected to increase to $0.69, with a forecasted gross income of $2.39 billion and a forecasted EBIT of $179.56 million.  

        Analyst Recommendations:There are 16 analysts covering HIMS. The analyst sentiment is generally positive, with 1 recommendation, 6 buy ratings, 7 hold ratings, 1 underperform rating, and 1 sell rating.

          

        Analyst Target Price:The mean target price estimate among analysts is $32.48, with a low estimate of $18.00 and a high estimate of $85.00.

          

        Capital Flow Data:

          

        Over the past 5 days, capital flow data shows a mixed trend, with varying levels of inflow and outflow.  

        On February 10, there was a significant inflow of 5943.08 thousand units.  

        On February 11, there was a substantial outflow of -8262.58 thousand units.  

        On February 12, there was a significant inflow of 15149.92 thousand units.  

        On February 13, there was a substantial inflow of 21654.4 thousand units.  

        On February 14, there was a slight inflow of 22236.87 thousand units.  

          Recent Performance:  

          The stock's support price on February 18 was $20.25, while the resistance price was $58.65.  

          The stock's average cost on February 18 was $33.48.  

          The stock price on February 19 is $58.50.  

            Recent Earnings:In the latest reported quarter (Q3 2024), HIMS demonstrated strong financial performance:  

            Earnings per share (EPS): $0.35  

            Return on equity (ROE): 75.40%  

            Gross profit margin: 79.16%  

            Quick ratio: 1.69  

            Current ratio: 2.14  

            Total asset turnover: 2.97  

            Inventory turnover: 7.46  

            Return on investment: 13.56%  

            Operating cash flow to current liabilities ratio: 2.23  

            Fixed asset turnover: 25.99  

            Accounts receivable turnover ratio: 317.28  

            Net assets per share: $2.02  

            Total liabilities to total assets ratio: 2.52%  

            Return on total assets: 14.88%  

            Net profit margin: 18.82%  

              Bullish News:  

              Unfortunately, the provided data does not include specific recent bullish news for HIMS.  

                Bearish News:  

                Unfortunately, the provided data does not include specific recent bearish news for HIMS.  

                šŸ“ Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. It's essential to research and consider multiple factors before making any investment decisions.

                šŸ’” Keep in mind the inherent risks and normal fluctuations in the stock market. Independent thinking and thorough analysis are crucial for making informed investment decisions.

                Source: TigerGPT Stock Analysis, Tiger Brokers

      02-19
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  • 1PC
    Ā·02-19
    [Thinking] Based on the 6 Stocks "APP, SNOW, PLTR, TEM  ACHR, HIMS", I will choose SNOW as the potential Dark Horse šŸŽ Base on Chart šŸ“ˆ. [Chuckle]. Using MA LINES as Trend šŸ“ˆ indicator to compare All the 6, I find that SNOW has a nicer chart while to he rest might already running up [Facepalm]. Can't share charts from my phone šŸ˜” though. @Gis @Barcode @ꖰē¾Žč‚”ē„ž @koolgal @jace0777 @MouInvestment
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  • Added HIMS and ACHR to my watchlist! Definitely watching closely, using them as comparison to CVS and LMT in my watchlist. Thank you for the great article!
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  • hawshy
    Ā·02-19
    thanks @TigerClub for mentioning me. šŸ™šŸ™šŸ‘
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  • kimC
    Ā·02-19
    Super Micro will prove all the bears wrong.
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  • ADguynight
    Ā·02-19
    My pick: Crowdstrike and Palo Alto @VivianLau
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  • PaulSam
    Ā·02-19
    I PREFER $Take-Two(TTWO)$!!!
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  • ELI_59
    Ā·02-21
    Thanks for sharing
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  • Good read! 

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  • CynthiaVogt
    Ā·02-19
    BROS
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