To The Moon

EventOn March 9th, EST, Silicon Valley Bank $SVB Financial Group(SIVB)$ announced that it had sold all available-for-sale (AFS) assets for US $21 billion, with a loss of US $1.8 billion, and prepared to raise US $2.25 billion by offfering common shares and convertible preferred stocks.After the news,$SVB Financial Group(SIVB)$ plunged 60% in the trading day, the biggest since 1998, and continued down 22% in after hours. At the same time, the whole banking sector plummet, with the $KBW Regional Banking Index(KRX)$ plunging 7.7%.ReasonsThe collapse of Silicon

Dear Mr Powell, Its almost the first anniversary since The Fed opened the first salvo, leveraging on the Monetary Policy it has access to in an attempt to mop up the excess liquidity generated during 2020 and 2021. It seemed to have taken effect in the course of H2 2022 as both CPI and PCE have continued to rise at a decelerating momentum and downwards trend (refer to below chart). Upwards trends of CPI & PCE in Jan 2023 Despite the good intentions of “soft landing” in the course of delivering the 8 interest hikes (including Jan 2023); US market remained defiant and relatively tight. This is evident by the tight labour market (Non Farm payroll report) and strong Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q4 2022. (refer to below two diagrams) US Non Farm P

With such expectations and signs, Powell's parliamentary statement not only mentioned the need to raise the upper limit of interest rate hikes, but also talked about the frequency and magnitude. More importantly, Powell said that (although) the recent economic data has been stronger than expected, and the (but) revision of the previous quarters shows that inflation may be higher than expected; so far, there has been little sign of inflation falling in core services except real estate. Show several layers of views:  1.  Some previous data, such as the non-agricultural employment rate released in February, are indeed stronger than market expectations, but they are not significant and cannot constitute the support of economic recovery.  2. After revising the previous data, infl

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell appears before Congress today as part of semiannual testimony on monetary policy.His last appearane in Congress was six months ago, in July 2022. Since then, there has been a significant shift in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), with the driving factors moving from food and energy to higher-sticky service industries such as rent.While lawmakers in Congress are not necessarily financial experts, they are more concerned with serving political goals. In July 2022, the focus was on how to control the rampant inflation, but this time it's different. The market mood, heightened by media hype, has shifted from reducing inflation to avoiding harm to the real economy in order to prevent a recession.Therefore, Powell's main task is to pers

Usless rate hike

We have mentioned that without further data guidances, the Fed may not give a accurate policy guidance, and market should volatile as "mean-revert" on the Fed's previous path. Therefore, we can see that after the US bond yields panicly broke through the 4% high point last week, they have fallen back somewhat.Of course, the attitudes of some Fed officials are also essential. Last week, three important Fed officials (with voting rights) spoke.Atlanta Fed President Bostic comment, "The Fed will conditionally pause rate hikes in the mid-to-late summer of 2023, but if economic data continues to be stronger than expected, it will need to adjust its expectations for future rate trends." Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said in his inauguration speech, "The

Good way to invest.. always invest wisely

I have given up hope on the FED to start cutting rate. Seems like 2023 will still be year of slow but consistent interest hike. That's something which is totally out of our control. For all home owners who have house mortgage, stay strong. Paying more and more for the same product is really depressing at times but what we can do is to play to the FED's tune and invest slowly but steadily throughout the year so that our portfolio can improve when the tide finally turns. 

All the best for all investors 

Dear Chairman Powell, I am writing to you on the one-year anniversary of the Federal Reserve's rate hike. As you may recall, the decision to raise interest rates at that time was met with both anticipation and concern among investors and the public. Looking back over the past year, it is clear that the decision to raise rates was a necessary one, given the strength of the economy and the need to keep inflation in check. While there were some initial concerns about the impact of higher rates on consumer and business spending, it seems that the economy has weathered the rate hike well overall. As we move forward, there are undoubtedly new challenges and uncertainties that will arise, and the role of the Federal Reserve in navigating these challenges will be as important as ever. I am gratefu

After 10 years of ultra low interest rate environment to be able to raise rates is extremely challenging. global economic environment going forward will certainly be affected by higher for longer but nevertheless important and necessary in order to change inflation. 

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates several times over the past few years to prevent inflation from spiraling out of control. The rate hikes were intended to help keep the economy stable and prevent the economy from overheating. The one-year anniversary of the rate hike shows that the Federal Reserve was successful in controlling inflation, as inflation rates have remained relatively stable over the past year. As for the March rate hike, I believe it will be 50bps or 75bps maybe? Because with the rate hike show on the data that inflation will not ease so soon. Fed should have be more determined and go for a higher rate! I hope Mr Jerome Powell can make a right decision and hopefully no economic recession! @TigerStars  

Just give me back my investment $$

Dear Mr Powell, pls create a better market for investors and home owners. We will all be so grateful! 😆

Hope to hear good news from him🤗😂

Great to hear the good news!

Dear Chairman Powell, I am writing to you on the occasion of the one-year anniversary of the Federal Reserve's rate hike to combat inflation. As you know, this was a bold move that aimed to prevent runaway inflation, and I commend you and your team for taking this necessary step. As we move forward, I urge the Federal Reserve to adopt a more slow and steady approach to monetary policy. Specifically, I recommend that the Fed implement a 25 basis point increase in March and continue to gradually increase rates through 2024 for a soft landing. There are several successful examples of rate increases resulting in a soft landing and avoiding economic recession. For instance, in the mid-1990s and early 2000s, the Federal Reserve gradually increased interest rates in response to concerns about inf

Dear Mr. Powell, I am writing to you on the one-year anniversary of the Federal Reserve's launch of its rate hike to combat inflation. As a concerned earthling, I am deeply worried about the current state of our earth economy and the potential for long-term inflationary pressures. I urge you to adopt a more hawkish policy stance to address this issue. Inflation is a serious threat to the economic well-being of our planet, and it is essential that we take decisive action to address it. Past examples have shown that a hawkish policy can be effective in controlling inflation. In the 1980s, then-Fed Chairman Paul Volcker raised interest rates to double digits to bring down inflation, and this policy was successful in reducing inflation from 13.5% to 3.2% within a few years. Similarly, in

$RenovoRx Inc(RNXT)$   Congratulations to trader who had bought on January for swing .. Friday is a sell of day for most trader so plan your strategy well 🤠 Why does volatility = make more money? 🤔📈 As we are now experiencing some volatility in the stock market, you might be wondering if it's a good time to make money. The conventional trader using traditional stock trading methods will tell you that volatility = very difficult to profit from the market. It's true... but only to a certain extent. Volatility means there are lots of ups and downs in shorter time periods, so if you are looking at finding long-lasting trends to profit from, then yes that's difficult. However, most people are completely not aware that we can actually take advantag

Dear Powell, On this 1st year of anniversary of rate hikes, I would like to tell you this: 🫠 I expect you to raise interest rates by 50bps in March because you’re a 🦅 & you’ve repeatedly said that you need to bring inflation down to the 2%🎯 🫠 I also expect you to take the terminal rate above 5%, & as inflation is still not under control in Feb, you’ll probably need to take it to the 5.25-5.5% range😔😞 🫠 I don’t see you cutting rates in 2023 based on your 2%🎯 which means my tech stocks will have difficulty recovering… ⁉️ I actually don’t understand why there isn’t a better way to control inflation rather than rate hikes…you’re actually making the bank rich till they can give fat dividends in 2023 & making poor people lose their jobs & not have💵 to pay their 🏡mortgage😢 Busine