To The Moon

Hi, tigers! Here is Part 3 of MA: MA & Candlesticks. Let’s start this week’s lessons!1. Dragon Rising from the Sea: Single Bullish Candle Piercing Multiple MAsThe Pattern: This rare and powerful formation occurs when a single, robust bullish candle (typically a large green Marubozu) rises from a low position and decisively cuts through multiple aligned Moving Averages (e.g., short, medium, and long-term lines) simultaneously.Market Implication: This serves as an explosive reversal signal. It indicates that a dormant or consolidating market has suddenly awakened with overwhelming demand, clearing multiple layers of technical resistance in a single session.Mechanism: By conquering the "average costs" of short-term, medium-term, and long-term traders all at once, this move unifies market

Combine MA and candlesticks for TA with such names really interesting. Golden phoenix returns to nest: trend continuation after healthy pullback appears familiar recently.

I treat these MA–candlestick patterns as context signals, not standalone trades. “Dragon Rising from the Sea” and “Guillotine Blade” matter because one candle cutting through multiple MAs reflects a sharp multi-timeframe shift in market consensus, often tied to major catalysts rather than pure technicals. Currently, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ fit the “Golden Phoenix Returns to Nest” idea, with orderly pullbacks into rising MAs on lighter volume, signaling healthy trend continuation. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ has shown “Dragonfly Skimming Water” behavior, where shallow dips are quickly bought, highlighting strong momentum. For breakout set

When I first started trading, I used too many indicators and ended up confusing myself. Over time, I realised the simplest thing works best for me: support and resistance. I usually start by zooming out and marking obvious levels where price reacted multiple times before. These are areas where buyers or sellers previously stepped in — and most of the time, they still matter. If price is approaching resistance, I don’t chase longs. I wait to see if it gets rejected or breaks cleanly. If price pulls back into support during an uptrend, that’s where I look for opportunities — but only if price action confirms. One thing I learned the hard way: 👉 support and resistance are zones, not exact lines. Price can poke through briefly and still respect the level overall. I don’t try to predict tops or

Technically I'am very bullish on the market 

Earnings Calendar (22Dec25) With Christmas approaching, there will be fewer earnings in the coming week. Without any personal earnings at stake, I will share how I quantify business. How to conduct fundamental analysis To qualify an investment business, I utilise a fundamental analysis approach that focuses on long-term performance and financial health. I typically review 10 years of data to evaluate how a company builds resilience and recovers during economic downturns. Here is the framework I use to group and analyse key metrics: 1. Income Statement & Growth I look for consistent upward trends in the following areas: Revenue & Net Profit: Steady growth in both. For startups, I look for a clear trend of reducing losses. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Evidence of gro

Okkk

Hmmmm

Sure one

 🌟🌟🌟In a market dominated by algorithms and rapid news cycles, technical indicators are our essential compass.  Today we break down 4 critical trading principles that help separate fleeting noise from genuine signals, and apply them to the current turbulent market landscape, including the recent action in NVIDIA. The 4 Principles of Price Action and Momentum  1.  Minor Breakdown : A Fleeting Pullback Opportunity  Principle: A stock in a strong established long term uptrend experiences a brief drop below a very short term moving average (like the 5 day or 10 day MA).  It finds buyers quickly and resumes its upward path. Example: $Micron Technology(MU)$  earlier this week dipped toward

no selloff won't accelerate

Nvidia broken below 5day to 60day moving average don't seems like buy opportunity or "breakdown sell" signal yet.

I don’t picture myself as a trader hunched over six monitors, drawing lines on charts like a cartographer mapping invisible oceans. My way of deciding whether to buy a stock is quieter, more human, and closer to a conversation than a calculation. It usually starts with a name. I hear about a company in passing: a product I use, a brand I notice everywhere, a business that keeps showing up in news headlines. I don’t rush to open a chart. Instead, I let my curiosity linger. Do I understand what this company does? Do I see it surviving a few bad years? If the answers feel right, that’s when I invite the numbers into the room. This is where my relationship with technical analysis politely ends. I don’t squint at candlesticks or chase moving averages. The market, to me, isn’t a puzzle that can

From my perspective, these MA principles are about reading market structure, not predicting direction. Minor breakdowns and breakouts test conviction rather than signal immediate trend changes. What matters most is the slope of the moving average, as it reflects average holding cost and who controls price. For $NVDA, the move below the 5-day to 60-day MAs doesn’t yet suggest an oversold rebound. While price has broken under multiple averages, the distance from the falling MAs isn’t large enough to count as excessive negative divergence. This looks more like a minor breakdown within a weakening trend than a stretched mean-reversion setup. So I see this as neither a panic “breakdown sell” nor a buy-the-dip opportunity. NVDA needs either a deeper extension to trigger oversold dynamics or a d

Hi, tigers! Here is Part 2 of MA: another 4 trading principles. Let’s start this week’s lessons!1. Minor Breakdown: Fleeting Pullback OpportunityThe Pattern: This occurs when the price momentarily dips below a rising Moving Average but quickly recovers and closes back above it. Crucially, the Moving Average line itself maintains its upward slope throughout the event.Market Implication: This signals a classic "shakeout" or "bear trap" rather than a genuine reversal. It suggests that the dip was an emotional overreaction that cleared out weak hands, leaving the primary uptrend intact and poised to resume.Mechanism: The brief drop triggers stop-loss orders situated just below the MA, creating a pool of liquidity. Institutional traders use this opportunity to accumulate positions at a "discoun

🌟🌟🌟If a company reports stellar earnings (fundamentals) but the stock creates a massive "Bearish Engulfing " candle (Technicals) what  do you do? A classic recent example is $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  in November this year.  This case highlights how short term technical signals can drive price action even when long term fundamentals remain exceptionally strong. Stellar Fundamentals  AI Dominance : $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  continues its reign as the undisputed leader in AI hardware with massive demand for its GPUs. Strong Growth: NVIDIA consistently reported blockbuster earnings , with revenue growth exceeding analyst expectations. Bullish

1. Breakout or failed rally? A breakout is confirmed only if price holds above prior resistance with follow-through. Multiple closes, stable structure, and volume support matter more than a single high. If price quickly slips back into the old range, it is a failed rally driven by momentum chasing rather than conviction. 2. Adding at a key moving average I prefer to wait for confirmation. A moving average is a zone, not a signal. Higher-probability adds come when price shows acceptance, such as a higher low or a strong close back above the average. Buying the first touch works in strong trends, but confirmation reduces false entries and drawdowns. 3. Technicals vs fundamentals or news It depends on timeframe. Short to medium term, I trust price and technicals because they reflect real po

🌟🌟🌟When price hits a key moving average, is it better to add with the trend or wait for confirmation? The 1st approach is more aggressive approach & involves buying or selling immediately the moment the price touches the moving average & assuming the long term trend will continue. The advantage is you get the best possible entry price if the trend is strong & immediate.  However you risk catching a falling knife.  This may lead to significant losses if the trend reverses. The 2nd approach of waiting for confirmation is a more prudent approach.  This strategy involves waiting for a signal.  This could be a specific candlestick pattern or bounce in momentum indicators, before entering the trade. This approach reduces the risk & filters out the fakeouts or

🌟🌟🌟Confirmed Breakout or Failed Rally?   Based on recent price action and technical analysis on $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ the current situation suggests a failed rally that qualifies as a Bull trap, rather than a confirmed breakout. This is due to : Failed Momentum: Even though price action recently pushed above resistance levels, this upside move was not confirmed by supporting momentum indicators like RSI or MACD which signals a lack of conviction behind the move. Low Volume on Breakout :  Failed breakouts often occur on weak volume and a significant spike in volume on the reversal suggests a fakeout which can trap traders. In summary the recent price action of SPY lacks the necessary confirmation such as volume and momen

price action do tell to a certain extend

Usually check price action and volume and wait a while before each trade. Tends to trust fundamentals more than news if technical signals conflict.

Hi, tigers! Here is Part 3 of MA: MA & Candlesticks. Let’s start this week’s lessons!1. Dragon Rising from the Sea: Single Bullish Candle Piercing Multiple MAsThe Pattern: This rare and powerful formation occurs when a single, robust bullish candle (typically a large green Marubozu) rises from a low position and decisively cuts through multiple aligned Moving Averages (e.g., short, medium, and long-term lines) simultaneously.Market Implication: This serves as an explosive reversal signal. It indicates that a dormant or consolidating market has suddenly awakened with overwhelming demand, clearing multiple layers of technical resistance in a single session.Mechanism: By conquering the "average costs" of short-term, medium-term, and long-term traders all at once, this move unifies market

Combine MA and candlesticks for TA with such names really interesting. Golden phoenix returns to nest: trend continuation after healthy pullback appears familiar recently.

I treat these MA–candlestick patterns as context signals, not standalone trades. “Dragon Rising from the Sea” and “Guillotine Blade” matter because one candle cutting through multiple MAs reflects a sharp multi-timeframe shift in market consensus, often tied to major catalysts rather than pure technicals. Currently, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ fit the “Golden Phoenix Returns to Nest” idea, with orderly pullbacks into rising MAs on lighter volume, signaling healthy trend continuation. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ has shown “Dragonfly Skimming Water” behavior, where shallow dips are quickly bought, highlighting strong momentum. For breakout set

Earnings Calendar (22Dec25) With Christmas approaching, there will be fewer earnings in the coming week. Without any personal earnings at stake, I will share how I quantify business. How to conduct fundamental analysis To qualify an investment business, I utilise a fundamental analysis approach that focuses on long-term performance and financial health. I typically review 10 years of data to evaluate how a company builds resilience and recovers during economic downturns. Here is the framework I use to group and analyse key metrics: 1. Income Statement & Growth I look for consistent upward trends in the following areas: Revenue & Net Profit: Steady growth in both. For startups, I look for a clear trend of reducing losses. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Evidence of gro

When I first started trading, I used too many indicators and ended up confusing myself. Over time, I realised the simplest thing works best for me: support and resistance. I usually start by zooming out and marking obvious levels where price reacted multiple times before. These are areas where buyers or sellers previously stepped in — and most of the time, they still matter. If price is approaching resistance, I don’t chase longs. I wait to see if it gets rejected or breaks cleanly. If price pulls back into support during an uptrend, that’s where I look for opportunities — but only if price action confirms. One thing I learned the hard way: 👉 support and resistance are zones, not exact lines. Price can poke through briefly and still respect the level overall. I don’t try to predict tops or

 🌟🌟🌟In a market dominated by algorithms and rapid news cycles, technical indicators are our essential compass.  Today we break down 4 critical trading principles that help separate fleeting noise from genuine signals, and apply them to the current turbulent market landscape, including the recent action in NVIDIA. The 4 Principles of Price Action and Momentum  1.  Minor Breakdown : A Fleeting Pullback Opportunity  Principle: A stock in a strong established long term uptrend experiences a brief drop below a very short term moving average (like the 5 day or 10 day MA).  It finds buyers quickly and resumes its upward path. Example: $Micron Technology(MU)$  earlier this week dipped toward

Technically I'am very bullish on the market 

Hi, tigers! Here is Part 2 of MA: another 4 trading principles. Let’s start this week’s lessons!1. Minor Breakdown: Fleeting Pullback OpportunityThe Pattern: This occurs when the price momentarily dips below a rising Moving Average but quickly recovers and closes back above it. Crucially, the Moving Average line itself maintains its upward slope throughout the event.Market Implication: This signals a classic "shakeout" or "bear trap" rather than a genuine reversal. It suggests that the dip was an emotional overreaction that cleared out weak hands, leaving the primary uptrend intact and poised to resume.Mechanism: The brief drop triggers stop-loss orders situated just below the MA, creating a pool of liquidity. Institutional traders use this opportunity to accumulate positions at a "discoun

Okkk

I don’t picture myself as a trader hunched over six monitors, drawing lines on charts like a cartographer mapping invisible oceans. My way of deciding whether to buy a stock is quieter, more human, and closer to a conversation than a calculation. It usually starts with a name. I hear about a company in passing: a product I use, a brand I notice everywhere, a business that keeps showing up in news headlines. I don’t rush to open a chart. Instead, I let my curiosity linger. Do I understand what this company does? Do I see it surviving a few bad years? If the answers feel right, that’s when I invite the numbers into the room. This is where my relationship with technical analysis politely ends. I don’t squint at candlesticks or chase moving averages. The market, to me, isn’t a puzzle that can

🌟🌟🌟If a company reports stellar earnings (fundamentals) but the stock creates a massive "Bearish Engulfing " candle (Technicals) what  do you do? A classic recent example is $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  in November this year.  This case highlights how short term technical signals can drive price action even when long term fundamentals remain exceptionally strong. Stellar Fundamentals  AI Dominance : $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  continues its reign as the undisputed leader in AI hardware with massive demand for its GPUs. Strong Growth: NVIDIA consistently reported blockbuster earnings , with revenue growth exceeding analyst expectations. Bullish

From my perspective, these MA principles are about reading market structure, not predicting direction. Minor breakdowns and breakouts test conviction rather than signal immediate trend changes. What matters most is the slope of the moving average, as it reflects average holding cost and who controls price. For $NVDA, the move below the 5-day to 60-day MAs doesn’t yet suggest an oversold rebound. While price has broken under multiple averages, the distance from the falling MAs isn’t large enough to count as excessive negative divergence. This looks more like a minor breakdown within a weakening trend than a stretched mean-reversion setup. So I see this as neither a panic “breakdown sell” nor a buy-the-dip opportunity. NVDA needs either a deeper extension to trigger oversold dynamics or a d

Hmmmm

Sure one

no selloff won't accelerate

Nvidia broken below 5day to 60day moving average don't seems like buy opportunity or "breakdown sell" signal yet.

🌟🌟🌟When price hits a key moving average, is it better to add with the trend or wait for confirmation? The 1st approach is more aggressive approach & involves buying or selling immediately the moment the price touches the moving average & assuming the long term trend will continue. The advantage is you get the best possible entry price if the trend is strong & immediate.  However you risk catching a falling knife.  This may lead to significant losses if the trend reverses. The 2nd approach of waiting for confirmation is a more prudent approach.  This strategy involves waiting for a signal.  This could be a specific candlestick pattern or bounce in momentum indicators, before entering the trade. This approach reduces the risk & filters out the fakeouts or

🌟🌟🌟Confirmed Breakout or Failed Rally?   Based on recent price action and technical analysis on $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ the current situation suggests a failed rally that qualifies as a Bull trap, rather than a confirmed breakout. This is due to : Failed Momentum: Even though price action recently pushed above resistance levels, this upside move was not confirmed by supporting momentum indicators like RSI or MACD which signals a lack of conviction behind the move. Low Volume on Breakout :  Failed breakouts often occur on weak volume and a significant spike in volume on the reversal suggests a fakeout which can trap traders. In summary the recent price action of SPY lacks the necessary confirmation such as volume and momen

1. Breakout or failed rally? A breakout is confirmed only if price holds above prior resistance with follow-through. Multiple closes, stable structure, and volume support matter more than a single high. If price quickly slips back into the old range, it is a failed rally driven by momentum chasing rather than conviction. 2. Adding at a key moving average I prefer to wait for confirmation. A moving average is a zone, not a signal. Higher-probability adds come when price shows acceptance, such as a higher low or a strong close back above the average. Buying the first touch works in strong trends, but confirmation reduces false entries and drawdowns. 3. Technicals vs fundamentals or news It depends on timeframe. Short to medium term, I trust price and technicals because they reflect real po

Hi, here is Part 2 of MA, focusing on the specific actionable principles (Granville) and the high-probability setups that occur when you combine Moving Averages with Candlestick analysis.The upcoming TA content will be published on this account.Part 2: The 8 Golden Rules & Candlestick FusionWhile Part 1 establishes the logic of the Moving Average (MA), Part 2 focuses on execution. This section details the classic Granville’s 8 Rules for identifying buy/sell signals and explains how to sharpen those signals using specific Candlestick Patterns.Eight MA Trading Principles1. Breakout Buy: Confirmed Uptrend SignalThe Pattern: This signals a trend reversal. It occurs when the price decisively breaks upward through a Moving Average that has stopped declining, flattened, and begun a slight upw