To The Moon

short call

Intel Plunges 16%. Why Nvidia, AMD and Micron Didn't Care? After  $Intel(INTC)$  reported Q4 earnings and its shares plunged 16%, the semiconductor sector did not come under broad pressure. Instead, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  , and $Micron Technology(MU)$   moved higher. The market response suggests investors saw Intel's results as a company-specific issue rather than a sign of weakening industry demand, while reinforcing the divergence in

[Cool]  [Cool]  [Cool]  

Buy when is dip, will load more if dip further next week. Target between 0.40 to 0.43

$Intel(INTC)$ 🧠 Intel (INTC) — Inflection Analysis Intel’s existential risk is gone — but the stock is now running ahead of the fundamentals. Backed by government funding and strategic equity from NVIDIA & SoftBank, Intel has established a hard strategic floor. The market is now pricing in execution perfection. 📈 Inflection status: CONFIRMED POSITIVE (structural) Balance sheet stabilized, narrative reset to IDM 2.0. Atomic evidence: • ~$7B NVIDIA/SoftBank investment at ~$23 (Q3’25) • Gross margin trough passed: 34.8% vs 32.7% in 2024 • Impairments down to $950M from $3.3B • Inventory reserves +$878M tied to early 18A ramp • Share count +16% YoY → dilution drag ⚠️ Bottleneck: Intel 18A HVM yield and external foundry customer ramp

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Intel(INTC)$  I’m tracking $AMD approaching its longest consecutive daily win streak in nearly 20 years, pressing into territory last seen in 2005. This is not short-term momentum noise. This reflects relative-strength leadership driven by execution credibility, competitive displacement, institutional accumulation, and sustained capital migration inside semiconductors. Over the past decade, capital allocation outcomes have been decisive. $NVDA +27,378%, $AMD +11,320%, $INTC +58%. That performance gap reflects execution discipline, roadmap delivery

Good time to buy on the dip 😅

intel is just in a sandwich position right now. you just got to double down on those dips and wait for its rise when trump announce subsidies and funding for local american manufacturers 

Mostly conservative guidance, but it is “conservative for a reason”. The -11% reaction is the market punishing visibility risk (GM, yields, ramp costs) more than questioning the long-term 18A narrative. 1) What’s driving the sell-off: execution or guidance? ~60% guidance / ~40% execution. Guidance shock: weak Q1 revenue, EPS and gross margin tells investors the trough is not done, and that the ramp is still expensive. Markets hate “air pockets” in the next quarter. Execution overhang: the key fear is not demand, it’s manufacturing discipline (yield learning curve, mix, cost per wafer, and how quickly GM can stabilise). So this is less “Intel is broken” and more “the timeline is messy”. 2) If supply and yields improve after Q1, can 18A/14A re-anchor the story? Yes, but only if Intel proves

[Miser]Thank you for @Value_investing's insightful sharing. He highlighted Korea's market position in memory chips and four ETFs worth watching. Fellow investors are welcome to read the content in depth, and if interested in these targets, you can add the ETFs to your watchlist.1. $iShares MSCI South Korea ETF(EWY)$2. $Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF(FLKR)$3. $PLUS Korea Defense Industry Index ETF(KDEF)$4. $Direxion Daily MSCI South Korea Bull 3x Shares(KORU)$Core Investment Thesis: Memory Chip Super-CycleMarket Structure: The memory chip market is a highly concentrated

Based on Intel's Q4 results and forward guidance, the current selloff appears driven primarily by near-term execution risks and supply constraints, though structural turnaround catalysts (18A/14A nodes) remain pivotal for long-term recovery. Key factors: 1. Q1 Guidance Weakness: Near-Term Execution Headwinds. Revenue Guidance (11.7B–12.7B) missed consensus ($12.6B), citing supply constraints limiting Data Center/AI chip shipments. Gross Margin Guidance (34.5%) fell sharply from Q4's 37.9%, reflecting yield issues and higher startup costs for 18A production. EPS Guidance ($0.00) implies profitability pressure despite cost-cutting efforts. 2. Long-Term Catalysts: 18A Momentum vs. 14A Uncertainty  18A Progress: Mass production underway (first U.S.-

Intel's 47% YTD surge is legit fire, pushing the stock to a 4‑year high at $54.25 and making it the third‑best performer in the S&P 500. The rally's driven by stronger‑than‑expected CPU demand and early signs of a manufacturing turnaround, which is sparking a sharp re‑rating. 1. Can Intel justify further upside with earnings execution? The key will be delivering solid earnings that validate the manufacturing recovery and show sustainable margin improvement. If the upcoming results beat expectations and guide aggressively on foundry progress, the stock could keep climbing; otherwise, a post‑earnings dip is possible. 2. Is CPU strength enough, or does Intel need clear foundry progress? CPU momentum is a good start, but long‑term upside hinges on tangible foundry advancements—new process

1. Can Intel justify further upside with earnings execution? Yes — but only if results materially beat and guidance is constructive. The market appears to be pricing in a scenario where: CPU revenue comp outperforms consensus Gross margins expand meaningfully Free cash flow improves And capital allocation is disciplined If Intel delivers just in line with consensus, the stock — already up sharply — could struggle to extend gains. At this elevated valuation relative to history, the bar for positive surprise is higher. What the market wants to see: Better client and data-centre CPU demand than feared ASP stability or mild growth Inventory digestion nearing an end Clear signs that spending discipline and execution are real If earnings arrive with visible beat and raise characteristics, there

$Intel(INTC)$ Intel's shares are on fire, blasting up 47% year-to-date, claiming the bronze medal among S&P 500 stars! 📈 Just yesterday, the stock leaped 11.7% to seal at $54.25, its peak since early 2022. This wild rally screams excitement, powered by blockbuster CPU demand that's got investors buzzing like bees around honey. 🐝 But with earnings dropping today, the big question hangs: Can this chip giant keep the momentum, or is it time for a reality check? Let's dive into the juice fueling this surge. Stronger-than-expected hunger for CPUs is the star of the show, with server capacity nearly sold out through the year ahead. 😲 Analysts are cheering, pointing to agentic AI workloads exploding demand—think autonomous systems that plan and execu

 Add and the reasons below:  • I believe Intel can deliver better than expected results, particularly in data-center and AI segments, therefore, the momentum sentiment is that Intel could run further. • Also, there is a possible turnaround in manufacturing and server dominance, hence, at the current prices, it's an opportunity to add more. 

$Intel (INTC) $The fourth quarter "report card" will be handed over after the market closes on Thursday. The current expectations given by Wall Street are not amazing: Q4 EPS is only US $0.08, and revenue is about US $13.39 billion, down 6% year-on-year. But what the market is really staring at is not these cold figures, but a bigger question-whether Intel's "turnaround" is real. Look at the stock price first, the answer has been written in the K-line. Intel almost emerged from the "disliked" corner: the stock price will soar by more than 80% in 2024, leaving the S&P 500 far behind; At the beginning of 2026, it has risen by about 35%, and the cumulative increase in the past 12 months is as high as 149%. The day before the financial report, the st

Intel's impressive 47% year-to-date surge has been fueled by optimism surrounding stronger-than-expected CPU demand and early signs of a manufacturing recovery. To sustain this rally and justify further upside, several factors beyond CPU strength alone would likely need to materialize, particularly clear progress in its foundry business. Here's a breakdown of factors that could justify further upside for Intel, and why CPU strength alone might not be sufficient: Factors Justifying Further Upside for Intel: Strong Execution in Core CPU Business: Continued Market Share Gains: Demonstrating consistent market share gains in both client computing (PC) and data center CPU segments against competitors like AMD. This would indicate successful product launches and competitive pricing. Robust Demand

$60 pls , To cover I'm lose in Metal 🤘 

Based on the provided data and market context, the upcoming Q4 2025 earnings report for Intel Corporation (INTC.US) presents a critical test of its recent stock momentum against underlying financial performance and long-term strategic narrative. Conclusion Summary The SHIELD defense contract is a significant positive development, but it is unlikely to single-handedly overhaul Intel's long-term revenue narrative in the near term. The immediate stock price action around the $50 level will be primarily driven by the Q4 2025 results and, more importantly, the company's guidance for 2026 regarding demand, margins, and execution of its foundry and product roadmaps.  Detailed Analysis 1. Q4 2025 Earnings Context and Market Expectations The market consensus anticipates a challe

$Intel(INTC)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Thursday, January 22, 2026, after the market close. Following a volatile but transformative 2025, Intel is at a pivot point. The stock has seen a massive "turnaround" rally over the last 12 months, fueled by federal funding and strategic shifts under new leadership. However, the Q4 report will be the "proof of concept" for its ambitious foundry roadmap. Financial Estimates Intel’s fiscal Q3 2025 earnings, reported in October 2025, were widely viewed as a "watershed moment" for the company. After years of struggling with market share losses and manufacturing delays, the results signaled that the "Turnaround" was finally taking hold. Q3 2025 Financial Summary Intel delivered a massi

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Intel(INTC)$  I’m tracking $AMD approaching its longest consecutive daily win streak in nearly 20 years, pressing into territory last seen in 2005. This is not short-term momentum noise. This reflects relative-strength leadership driven by execution credibility, competitive displacement, institutional accumulation, and sustained capital migration inside semiconductors. Over the past decade, capital allocation outcomes have been decisive. $NVDA +27,378%, $AMD +11,320%, $INTC +58%. That performance gap reflects execution discipline, roadmap delivery

Intel Plunges 16%. Why Nvidia, AMD and Micron Didn't Care? After  $Intel(INTC)$  reported Q4 earnings and its shares plunged 16%, the semiconductor sector did not come under broad pressure. Instead, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  , and $Micron Technology(MU)$   moved higher. The market response suggests investors saw Intel's results as a company-specific issue rather than a sign of weakening industry demand, while reinforcing the divergence in

[Miser]Thank you for @Value_investing's insightful sharing. He highlighted Korea's market position in memory chips and four ETFs worth watching. Fellow investors are welcome to read the content in depth, and if interested in these targets, you can add the ETFs to your watchlist.1. $iShares MSCI South Korea ETF(EWY)$2. $Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF(FLKR)$3. $PLUS Korea Defense Industry Index ETF(KDEF)$4. $Direxion Daily MSCI South Korea Bull 3x Shares(KORU)$Core Investment Thesis: Memory Chip Super-CycleMarket Structure: The memory chip market is a highly concentrated

In a previous post dated Fri, 16 Jan 2026 on Intel’s subsidiary $Mobileye Global Inc.(MBLY)$ (click here ! to read & Repost) - I have concluded that I rather bet on INTC, instead of MBLY. Below is my why $Intel(INTC)$ proposition. As INTC prepares to release its Q4 2025 earnings on Thu, 22 Jan 2026, the market is witnessing a profound shift in narrative. Long dismissed as a legacy titan struggling to keep pace, Intel has transformed into a high-conviction turnaround play - thanks to ‘latest’ CEO, Lip-Bu Tan (?). Let’s dive deep into both technical and fundamental layers of INTC’s impending earnings forecast. Earnings Forecast. As

$Intel(INTC)$ Intel's shares are on fire, blasting up 47% year-to-date, claiming the bronze medal among S&P 500 stars! 📈 Just yesterday, the stock leaped 11.7% to seal at $54.25, its peak since early 2022. This wild rally screams excitement, powered by blockbuster CPU demand that's got investors buzzing like bees around honey. 🐝 But with earnings dropping today, the big question hangs: Can this chip giant keep the momentum, or is it time for a reality check? Let's dive into the juice fueling this surge. Stronger-than-expected hunger for CPUs is the star of the show, with server capacity nearly sold out through the year ahead. 😲 Analysts are cheering, pointing to agentic AI workloads exploding demand—think autonomous systems that plan and execu

$Intel (INTC) $The fourth quarter "report card" will be handed over after the market closes on Thursday. The current expectations given by Wall Street are not amazing: Q4 EPS is only US $0.08, and revenue is about US $13.39 billion, down 6% year-on-year. But what the market is really staring at is not these cold figures, but a bigger question-whether Intel's "turnaround" is real. Look at the stock price first, the answer has been written in the K-line. Intel almost emerged from the "disliked" corner: the stock price will soar by more than 80% in 2024, leaving the S&P 500 far behind; At the beginning of 2026, it has risen by about 35%, and the cumulative increase in the past 12 months is as high as 149%. The day before the financial report, the st

1. Can Intel justify further upside with earnings execution? Yes — but only if results materially beat and guidance is constructive. The market appears to be pricing in a scenario where: CPU revenue comp outperforms consensus Gross margins expand meaningfully Free cash flow improves And capital allocation is disciplined If Intel delivers just in line with consensus, the stock — already up sharply — could struggle to extend gains. At this elevated valuation relative to history, the bar for positive surprise is higher. What the market wants to see: Better client and data-centre CPU demand than feared ASP stability or mild growth Inventory digestion nearing an end Clear signs that spending discipline and execution are real If earnings arrive with visible beat and raise characteristics, there

short call

Intel's impressive 47% year-to-date surge has been fueled by optimism surrounding stronger-than-expected CPU demand and early signs of a manufacturing recovery. To sustain this rally and justify further upside, several factors beyond CPU strength alone would likely need to materialize, particularly clear progress in its foundry business. Here's a breakdown of factors that could justify further upside for Intel, and why CPU strength alone might not be sufficient: Factors Justifying Further Upside for Intel: Strong Execution in Core CPU Business: Continued Market Share Gains: Demonstrating consistent market share gains in both client computing (PC) and data center CPU segments against competitors like AMD. This would indicate successful product launches and competitive pricing. Robust Demand

$Intel(INTC)$ 🧠 Intel (INTC) — Inflection Analysis Intel’s existential risk is gone — but the stock is now running ahead of the fundamentals. Backed by government funding and strategic equity from NVIDIA & SoftBank, Intel has established a hard strategic floor. The market is now pricing in execution perfection. 📈 Inflection status: CONFIRMED POSITIVE (structural) Balance sheet stabilized, narrative reset to IDM 2.0. Atomic evidence: • ~$7B NVIDIA/SoftBank investment at ~$23 (Q3’25) • Gross margin trough passed: 34.8% vs 32.7% in 2024 • Impairments down to $950M from $3.3B • Inventory reserves +$878M tied to early 18A ramp • Share count +16% YoY → dilution drag ⚠️ Bottleneck: Intel 18A HVM yield and external foundry customer ramp

Based on Intel's Q4 results and forward guidance, the current selloff appears driven primarily by near-term execution risks and supply constraints, though structural turnaround catalysts (18A/14A nodes) remain pivotal for long-term recovery. Key factors: 1. Q1 Guidance Weakness: Near-Term Execution Headwinds. Revenue Guidance (11.7B–12.7B) missed consensus ($12.6B), citing supply constraints limiting Data Center/AI chip shipments. Gross Margin Guidance (34.5%) fell sharply from Q4's 37.9%, reflecting yield issues and higher startup costs for 18A production. EPS Guidance ($0.00) implies profitability pressure despite cost-cutting efforts. 2. Long-Term Catalysts: 18A Momentum vs. 14A Uncertainty  18A Progress: Mass production underway (first U.S.-

[Cool]  [Cool]  [Cool]  

Mostly conservative guidance, but it is “conservative for a reason”. The -11% reaction is the market punishing visibility risk (GM, yields, ramp costs) more than questioning the long-term 18A narrative. 1) What’s driving the sell-off: execution or guidance? ~60% guidance / ~40% execution. Guidance shock: weak Q1 revenue, EPS and gross margin tells investors the trough is not done, and that the ramp is still expensive. Markets hate “air pockets” in the next quarter. Execution overhang: the key fear is not demand, it’s manufacturing discipline (yield learning curve, mix, cost per wafer, and how quickly GM can stabilise). So this is less “Intel is broken” and more “the timeline is messy”. 2) If supply and yields improve after Q1, can 18A/14A re-anchor the story? Yes, but only if Intel proves

$Intel(INTC)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Thursday, January 22, 2026, after the market close. Following a volatile but transformative 2025, Intel is at a pivot point. The stock has seen a massive "turnaround" rally over the last 12 months, fueled by federal funding and strategic shifts under new leadership. However, the Q4 report will be the "proof of concept" for its ambitious foundry roadmap. Financial Estimates Intel’s fiscal Q3 2025 earnings, reported in October 2025, were widely viewed as a "watershed moment" for the company. After years of struggling with market share losses and manufacturing delays, the results signaled that the "Turnaround" was finally taking hold. Q3 2025 Financial Summary Intel delivered a massi

Intel's 47% YTD surge is legit fire, pushing the stock to a 4‑year high at $54.25 and making it the third‑best performer in the S&P 500. The rally's driven by stronger‑than‑expected CPU demand and early signs of a manufacturing turnaround, which is sparking a sharp re‑rating. 1. Can Intel justify further upside with earnings execution? The key will be delivering solid earnings that validate the manufacturing recovery and show sustainable margin improvement. If the upcoming results beat expectations and guide aggressively on foundry progress, the stock could keep climbing; otherwise, a post‑earnings dip is possible. 2. Is CPU strength enough, or does Intel need clear foundry progress? CPU momentum is a good start, but long‑term upside hinges on tangible foundry advancements—new process

Based on the provided data and market context, the upcoming Q4 2025 earnings report for Intel Corporation (INTC.US) presents a critical test of its recent stock momentum against underlying financial performance and long-term strategic narrative. Conclusion Summary The SHIELD defense contract is a significant positive development, but it is unlikely to single-handedly overhaul Intel's long-term revenue narrative in the near term. The immediate stock price action around the $50 level will be primarily driven by the Q4 2025 results and, more importantly, the company's guidance for 2026 regarding demand, margins, and execution of its foundry and product roadmaps.  Detailed Analysis 1. Q4 2025 Earnings Context and Market Expectations The market consensus anticipates a challe

Buy when is dip, will load more if dip further next week. Target between 0.40 to 0.43

intel is just in a sandwich position right now. you just got to double down on those dips and wait for its rise when trump announce subsidies and funding for local american manufacturers 

Good time to buy on the dip 😅

Comprehensive Analysis of Intel (INTC) Stock Price and Performance Intel (INTC) stock closed at $46.96 on January 16, 2026, with a daily change of -1.36 (-2.81%). The stock has a 52-week high of $50.39 and a 52-week low of $17.665. In the first few trading days of 2026, Intel's stock was up an impressive 31%, significantly outpacing the broader market. Over the last year, Intel has delivered 145.6% returns. The stock gained 7.33% on a Tuesday, closing at $47.29, driven by KeyBanc's comments on strong AI server demand. Another surge of nearly 7% occurred after investor approval of its new product lineup unveiled at CES, including a gaming-focused processor and platform. Financial Performance Intel is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on Thursday, Ja