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Year-end rally that catapulted the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq 100 to record highs earlier this week is likely to extend into next week. This is because the stock market has a strong tendency to rise during: The last 5 trading days of the year. The first two trading days of the new year. This is commonly referred to as the Santa Claus rally. The phenomenon was discovered in 1972 by Yale Hirsch, creator of the "Stock Trader's Almanac". When is Santa Claus rally in 2023 ? This year, the Santa Claus trading window begins on 22 Dec 2023 and ends on 03 Jan 2024. What history says about Santa rally? According to historical data dating back to 1950, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$: Posted an average return of 1.3%. Is positive 79% of the time dur

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$Bank of America(BAC)$  Bullish on Bank of America due to the follow The Fed held interest rates steady at its December meeting, keeping the target range for the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.50%. This was the fourth consecutive meeting where rates remained unchanged. This pause follows a period of aggressive rate hikes throughout 2023, aimed at curbing high inflation. The Fed raised rates by a total of seven times this year, with the last increase occurring in July. As interest rate stabilize meaning most of the corporate businesses willing to invest and R&D new product. This will increase demand on borrowing.  @TigerEvents 

As the DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ composite indices flirt with their all-time highs, hopes are running high that the US stock markets will end this year on a high note. In the coming holiday-shortened trading week, I'm hopeful that Santa Claus will bring more cheers to the markets. The drum beats are hastening as the cryptocurrency market watches closely for approval by the Securities and Exchange Commission of the inaugural spot price-based bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund. Blackrock, which is among fund managers that have submitted applications for the bitcoin ETF on spot pricing, has just amended its application to conform with SEC's requirements as the parties continue to engage in discussions to bridge the gaps. The stars appear to be aligning on an eventual approval, while the cryptocu

SPX $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has favorably terminated, or is about to, its rally from the 10/27 low.The loss of 4697 would confirm such, which should lead to the 4675-4642 range, but ultimately 4520-4575.If price were to produce a new high, it should fail at 4810-4840 to then terminate the rally. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ Imagehttps://twitter.com/TriggerTrades/status/1738008319300690351

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[Miser]Hello Tigers[Smile]2023 is an extremely unusual year.Welcome to read: Remember what happened in 2023? Review the Top 10 Keywords!In 2024, markets, economies, and currencies are likely to experience the same ups and downs.Santa Claus RallyThe following are some institutions’ predictions on the factors and trends impacting US stock fundamentals, the US dollar, US bonds, gold, silver, bitcoin, and other asset prices.Key words：2024 US Stocks: Cool Inflation, Rate Cuts, & Election Pop!2024 Treasury Forecast Shimmers.USD Fades in 2024! Set to Weaken, with Second Half DiveBitcoin : Blasts Off in 2024? Buckle Up for a Wild Ride!Gold Glimmer & Silver Surge in 2024!Oil in 2024: Tightrope WalkSpecial Notes: This art

[Nvidia might be the cheapest chip stock even after monster run] The 'Fast Money' traders talk how to play Nvidia and measuring value in the chip space. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$

BofA: Last 10 days of December even higher positivity rate when first 10 days of December are unusually positive, like they were this year!Image $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ $SPDR DJIA ETF(DIA)$ $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2403(RTYmain)$

Mergers and acquisitions have always been one of the special event-driven transactions, and in times of high market uncertainty, they tend to spread risks more easily. Some recent mergers and acquisitions cases include:U.S. SteelOn December 18th, Japan's Nippon Steel Corporation (NPSCY) announced that it would acquire U.S. Steel (X) for $55 per share, totaling $14.9 billion in cash. This represents a 142% premium based on the previous price and a 10.9% premium based on the closing price on December 18th. Four months earlier, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) had initially proposed an acquisition price of $35 per share, which was later increased to $40 per share.Investment Highlights1. The valuation of 7.3 times EBITDA is very generous for Nippon Steel shareholders, but the synergistic effects ma

[Russell 2000 small and mid-cap stocks have a lot of catch-up coming, says Dynamic Funds' Blackstein] Noah Blackstein, senior portfolio manager at Dynamic Funds, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss whether the S&P 500 will get to new highs before the end of the year, how multiples will perform, and what the Federal Reserve would do if the economy stays strong. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$

At the end of 2023, US stocks rose again to get rid of the gravity of the earth, which surprised everyone.In fact, throughout 2023, the U. S. stock market has been beating the face predicted by Wall Street investment banks at the beginning of the year, from the first half to the second half of the year to the end of the year.The direct driving force behind the rally at the end of the year was brought by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.After the last Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the year on December 13, the Fed announced a third interest rate hold and signaled that tightening monetary policy was over, with three rate cuts likely in 2024.All three major U.S. stock indexes, $S&P 500(.SPX)$

$DJIA(.DJI)$  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$  It’s mid-December, and everyone wants to know if stocks—and by extension high-yield closed-end funds (CEFs)—are poised to roar into ’24 in a so-called “Santa Claus rally.” I’ll venture a prediction, but before I do, I should tell you that I come at the whole idea of a Santa Claus rally from a bit of a different angle than most folks in the business media or on Wall Street. I actually dislike Christmas cheer in the markets. Not because I’m a Grinch. Rather, it’s because I think Santa rallies are not a good sign for stocks going forward. Take 2021, a year in which market sentiment whipsawed. But in

Year-end rally that catapulted the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq 100 to record highs earlier this week is likely to extend into next week. This is because the stock market has a strong tendency to rise during: The last 5 trading days of the year. The first two trading days of the new year. This is commonly referred to as the Santa Claus rally. The phenomenon was discovered in 1972 by Yale Hirsch, creator of the "Stock Trader's Almanac". When is Santa Claus rally in 2023 ? This year, the Santa Claus trading window begins on 22 Dec 2023 and ends on 03 Jan 2024. What history says about Santa rally? According to historical data dating back to 1950, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$: Posted an average return of 1.3%. Is positive 79% of the time dur

At the end of 2023, US stocks rose again to get rid of the gravity of the earth, which surprised everyone.In fact, throughout 2023, the U. S. stock market has been beating the face predicted by Wall Street investment banks at the beginning of the year, from the first half to the second half of the year to the end of the year.The direct driving force behind the rally at the end of the year was brought by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.After the last Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the year on December 13, the Fed announced a third interest rate hold and signaled that tightening monetary policy was over, with three rate cuts likely in 2024.All three major U.S. stock indexes, $S&P 500(.SPX)$

[Miser]Hello Tigers[Smile]2023 is an extremely unusual year.Welcome to read: Remember what happened in 2023? Review the Top 10 Keywords!In 2024, markets, economies, and currencies are likely to experience the same ups and downs.Santa Claus RallyThe following are some institutions’ predictions on the factors and trends impacting US stock fundamentals, the US dollar, US bonds, gold, silver, bitcoin, and other asset prices.Key words：2024 US Stocks: Cool Inflation, Rate Cuts, & Election Pop!2024 Treasury Forecast Shimmers.USD Fades in 2024! Set to Weaken, with Second Half DiveBitcoin : Blasts Off in 2024? Buckle Up for a Wild Ride!Gold Glimmer & Silver Surge in 2024!Oil in 2024: Tightrope WalkSpecial Notes: This art

Big-Tech’s PerformanceFinally Fed pivot came in December FOMC, with treasury yields and dollar index plunge. Rate cut benefits interest-rate-sensitive sectors and innovative stocks. But big techs’ trading are also active, with Apple reaching a new historical high after Microsoft.As of the close on December 14th, the performance in the past week: $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ +3.76%, followed by a rebound $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ +3.47%, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ at +2.01%, $Apple(AAPL)$ at +1.98%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ at +0.37%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ at

As the DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ composite indices flirt with their all-time highs, hopes are running high that the US stock markets will end this year on a high note. In the coming holiday-shortened trading week, I'm hopeful that Santa Claus will bring more cheers to the markets. The drum beats are hastening as the cryptocurrency market watches closely for approval by the Securities and Exchange Commission of the inaugural spot price-based bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund. Blackrock, which is among fund managers that have submitted applications for the bitcoin ETF on spot pricing, has just amended its application to conform with SEC's requirements as the parties continue to engage in discussions to bridge the gaps. The stars appear to be aligning on an eventual approval, while the cryptocu

The Week AheadMacro Factors - The final Fed meeting and inflation data is on deskThe last Federal Reserve meeting and the latest inflation data of 2023 is on deck in the week, and investors will be keen to look for signals on when the central bank may start to cut interest rates, as stocks try to finish the year off on a high note.The market is overwhelmingly expecting no change to rates. Fed officials' latest projections for the economy and interest rates will offer clues into the future path of monetary policy.On Wednesday, Powell is likely to signal his continued commitment to bringing down inflation in his press conference. Traders will also get clarity into the path of potential future easing from the dot plot, or the Fed’s projections for 2024. In fact, the CME Group’s FedWatch tool

S&P 500 (SPX) forecast 2024: $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ , $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ , $Deutsche Bank AG(DB)$…After a slump in 2022, the US stock market has soared in 2023, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ rising more than 20% and 50%, respectively. The driving forces for the stock market's strong performance this year include the economy's resilience, the decline in inflation, and the expectation of interest rate peaking. However, big question for investors now is whether the strong upward trend in the stock market will continue into 2024, or if the economy will start to sl

Is SPX and QQQ’s following only a matter of time?December FOMC was so unexpected. The market initially believed that Powell would continue to be cautious in order to prevent the market from celebrating prematurely due to a dovish tone. However, regardless of the Fed's hawkishness, the market was already planning to celebrate, so they decided to announce a more dovish outcome. This includes, but is not limited to:1. Interest rate hikes have been definitively halted.2. Rate cuts are officially on the radar of Fed officials.3. They will not wait for the target inflation rate (2%) before cutting rates (meaning they may do so earlier).Furthermore, the dot plot indicates that there will be three rate cuts (based on the median target rate) by the end of 2024, which is more than the market's expec

Mergers and acquisitions have always been one of the special event-driven transactions, and in times of high market uncertainty, they tend to spread risks more easily. Some recent mergers and acquisitions cases include:U.S. SteelOn December 18th, Japan's Nippon Steel Corporation (NPSCY) announced that it would acquire U.S. Steel (X) for $55 per share, totaling $14.9 billion in cash. This represents a 142% premium based on the previous price and a 10.9% premium based on the closing price on December 18th. Four months earlier, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) had initially proposed an acquisition price of $35 per share, which was later increased to $40 per share.Investment Highlights1. The valuation of 7.3 times EBITDA is very generous for Nippon Steel shareholders, but the synergistic effects ma

$Adobe(ADBE)$ tumbled 7% after hours due to the earnings. The conservative guidance for the FY2024, as well as the impact of an ongoing communication into its subscription business from FTC, made investors frightened.Is that a worry, or a dip to buy?Earnings Review23FYQ4 performance still slightly exceeded expectations. Revenue reached $5.05 billion, a 12% YoY increase, slightly surpassing the market's expectation of $5.02 billion. Digital media revenue grew by 13% YoY, reaching $3.72 billion, while creative revenue was $3 billion, and document revenue increased by 16% YoY to $721 million.ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) for digital media was $569 million, bringing Adobe's total net new ARR in that business area to $15.17 billion. Creative ARR incre

$DJIA(.DJI)$  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$  It’s mid-December, and everyone wants to know if stocks—and by extension high-yield closed-end funds (CEFs)—are poised to roar into ’24 in a so-called “Santa Claus rally.” I’ll venture a prediction, but before I do, I should tell you that I come at the whole idea of a Santa Claus rally from a bit of a different angle than most folks in the business media or on Wall Street. I actually dislike Christmas cheer in the markets. Not because I’m a Grinch. Rather, it’s because I think Santa rallies are not a good sign for stocks going forward. Take 2021, a year in which market sentiment whipsawed. But in

The December Rally Phenomenon in Stock Markets The final month of the year often brings about a distinctive trend in stock markets that market analysts and investors commonly refer to as the "Santa Rally" or "December Rally." This phenomenon describes the historical tendency for stock markets to experience a positive upswing during the month of December. While not a guaranteed occurrence, the Santa Rally has been observed in various financial markets over the years. This essay explores three key points related to this intriguing market phenomenon. 1. **Festive Optimism and Year-End Positioning:** One of the primary factors contributing to the December Rally is the festive optimism that tends to permeate financial markets as the year draws to a close. Investors and market participants of

The CPI for November was released last night, and it is clear that it slightly exceeded expectations (month-on-month growth rate increased to 0.1%, higher than the previous value and the expected 0%; core month-on-month growth rate rebounded from 0.2% to 0.3%). This also indicates that inflation is not returning to normal levels as quickly as anticipated.We believe that, in addition to changes in expectations for Federal Reserve policy, US stock investors should pay more attention to the "lag effect of CPI" and the impact of "different sector differentiations".Lagging indicator CPIIt must be said that the lag effect of CPI varies at different times. For example, the reaction to "housing" prices often lags behind by about 6 months, which is why the Federal Reserve has always emphasized the

Some said, $Alibaba(BABA)$ should learn from $Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$ . I believe the core is simplifying complexity and focusing on the core business. If you carefully track the financial reports of major companies, you can see that they have already started to change. With the price falling aroud $70 again, i believe it is time to buy.Valuationboth multiples and discounted cash flow (DCF) indicates significant underestimating.MultiplesHow could a leading internet company in the largest developing country has a PE ratio of only around 10 times. How much future multiple (P/E) risk expectation does this imply? This means, Chinese people no longer doing business, or Alibaba have to continuously share its market

December FOMC meeting is coming, with the last suspenseful suspense of the year being revealed. Rate hikes are definitely over, and the market is just betting on how much longer the Fed's "Higher For Longer" will last. According to CME interest rate trading, the market is betting on five rate cuts (25bps each time) throughout the year 2024, starting from March.And over the past month, the long-term US Treasury bond yield quickly dropped from 5% to 4.2%, becoming the main driving force behind the performance of assets including US bonds, stock markets, gold, and cryptocurrencies. So, what might be the stance of the Federal Reserve at the December FOMC meeting?We anticipate:1. No further interest rate hikes, maintaining the current level of rates, in line with market expectations.2. An upwar

$Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$  Investors are eagerly awaiting the official November jobs report set to release at 8:30 a.m. on Friday. ⚠️ Trading tips: looking at QQQ calls above 386.82 and puts below 384.67 on Thursday. Expecting a rebound from sell off Wednesday? This pivotal report comes just ahead of the critical Federal Open Market Committee meeting next week, adding to the high stakes for investors and policymakers alike. Up or down? Alarm bells started ringing with data releases this week showing weaker-than-expected figures on the labor market front. Job openings saw a drop from 9.35 million in September to 8.733 million in October, causing concerns among market participants about weakening labor market conditi

According to Wall Street Journal, private equity groups Arkhouse Management and Brigade Capital Management have proposed a $5.8 billion offer to take $Macy's(M)$ private, which means a $21 per share.Based on current information, these two private equity firms already hold some Macy's stock. Looking at the stock price trend over the past month, the increase after the financial report is far beyond other companies in the industry, such as $Nordstrom(JWN)$ $Wal-Mart(WMT)$, $Target(TGT)$ etc. This indicates that the private equity group had already established positions well in advance.It's no wonder that Macy's has been soaring a

On Monday, major stock indices recorded moderate gains, reflecting a day of cautious yet optimistic trading. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ advanced by 0.4%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.4%, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ showed a slight increase of 0.2%. US Treasury bond yields remained relatively stable throughout the day. US 10Y Market Scenario: The upcoming week is poised to be pivotal for financial markets, featuring several economic events and central bank decisions. The market exhibits a degree of confidence but remains attentive to key indicators such as November's Consumer Price Index (CPI) and anticipated retail sales data. The Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision alongs

Click to vote. Can you predict how will $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ close on Wednesday 13 December following FOMC? If you get the correct answer, you may divide 1000 Tiger Coins with other Tigers.This week is anticipated to be quite volatile for investors, who are preparing for two major economic events that are still to happen in 2023.The focus of the economic agenda is on Tuesday’s release of the U.S. consumer price inflation report for November. Predictions suggest that this report will indicate a continued deceleration in the annual CPI.In addition, Wednesday marks the Federal Reserve’s final meeting of the year, where it will declare its rate decision. The consensus among investors is that the central bank will likely maintain the s

As the clock ticks down on the upcoming FOMC review next week, the market is increasingly pricing in an eventual end to the monetary tightening cycle to rein in a sticky inflation not seen in decades. High borrowing costs have been weighing on high-growth stocks and depressed their valuations, as their incoming cash flows tend to be more distant. Hence, a halt to the rate hikes would bode well for stocks on high growth projectiles, and they may finally heave a sigh of relief. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ has been a stellar performer with a threefold boost in its share price year to date, amidst speculations of an eventual approval by the US Securities and Exchange Commission of an inaugural spot price-based bitcoin