To The Moon

What deserves the most attention in the U.S. equity market this week is not the movement of the S&P 500 Index itself, but rather the structural changes taking place within the index. From a valuation perspective, the S&P 500’s overall price-to-earnings ratio remains at a relatively elevated level. Valuations in information technology, real estate, industrials, health care, and other sectors are all materially above the broader market, indicating that U.S. equities as a whole still lack a clear valuation cushion. From a fund-flow perspective, SPY has recorded cumulative net inflows of approximately USD 21.6 billion since July, but fund-flow divergence across sectors has become increasingly pronounced. Capital is not simply leaving the equity market; rather, it is being reallocated a

Hello hope your doing well 

Societe Generale's newly launched 5x Long and -5x Short DLCs on the individual Magnificent 7 U.S. stocks have started trading on Wednesday, 12 August. This expansion to 5x U.S. Stock DLCs complements the existing 3x U.S. Stock DLCs range to offer investors more choices in terms of leverage factors. With up to 5x leveraged and inverse exposure to the individual Magnificent 7 stocks' daily percentage performance, investors can express their bullish or bearish views to capture opportunities in both directions of the market. Similar to all the U.S. underlying DLCs, the new 5x DLCs on the Magnificent 7 stocks offer investors a new trading window during SGX market hours when the US market is closed, allowing them to respond to market-moving news during Asian hours. However, investors should note

NVIDIA's $500B AI Deal: The Market May Be Reading It Backwards $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ came under pressure after announcing MOUs with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to mobilize $500 billion+ of third-party capital for AI infrastructure. The headline sounds like NVIDIA is taking on another huge financing commitment, and Nvidia's 5Y CDS jumps by almost 6 bps after the news. The $500B Is Mainly Someone Else's Capital The key distinction is between stimulating demand and funding demand with NVIDIA’s own balance sheet. NVIDIA has already invested heavily across its ecosystem, including AI labs, neoclouds and infrastructure partners. That raised a legitimate concern: if NVIDIA increasingly has to finance its own customers, AI demand becomes more circular and more of

$GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL)$ call got assigned. Would have gotten higher if sell voluntarily. But oh well. Premium did provided some profit too

Avoided the Avalanche in July to maintain 60% return this year. Thanks to $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$  

The divergence between $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Nvidia (NVDA) and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD during recent semiconductor market swings highlights how Wall Street is treating the primary AI market leader versus its closest challenger. Market Dynamics: Leader Search vs. Margin Corrections 1. The Market Is Re-Affirming Nvidia’s Dominant Leadership Hyperscaler CapEx Concentration: Earnings reports from big tech cloud providers (Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon) re-confirmed that AI capital expenditure remains aggressive. Nvidia continues to capture the vast majority of this infrastructure spending due to its integrated hardware-software ecosystem (CUDA) and sold-out 2026 Blackwell GPU capacity. The "Whisper Bar" Diffe

Better than $Western Digital(WDC)$

Sandisk’s FY2026 Q4 results were exceptional. The stock still fell about 3% after hours because FY2027 Q1 revenue guidance missed elevated expectations. How's Q4? Q4 revenue reached $8.97B, up 51% QoQ and 372% YoY. It beat the $8.71B consensus and Goldman Sachs’ $8.84B estimate. Non-GAAP gross margin was 84.6%, versus 83.6% consensus, while adjusted EPS of $39.25 beat consensus by 10.7%. The operating leverage was unusually strong. Revenue rose from roughly $1.9B a year ago to almost $9B, while cost of revenue stayed near $1.38B. Operating expenses increased only about 20%, driving operating income above $7B. Adjusted free cash flow reached $5.04B, equal to 56% of revenue. Data centre demand drove the quarter. Segment revenue reached $2.98B, about 14 times the prior-year level. Edge remain

Just this past Monday, the S&P 500 index successfully broke through its 20-day moving average, while the Nasdaq index solidly reclaimed its 20-week moving average. According to the technical rules I outlined previously, when these two critical indicators are breached simultaneously, we should pivot our stance to the upside in alignment with the trend. Sure enough, within just one day, both major indices surged another few percentage points, and the S&P 500 even came close to returning to its previous high, right where the initial drop began. Looking at this price action, I believe many are already declaring "the return of the king" for US equities, assuming the market has completely finished its shakeout and re-entered a primary uptrend. However, I must issue a warning: the current

Nvda now consolidation. This can take months for the next boomz. Growth looks strong so eventually PE will be so undervalued until stock price needs to go up

Nvidia holding up while much of the memory sector sells off is an interesting signal. SK Hynix delivered strong profits, but the market focused on the revenue miss and supply outlook instead. Despite that, Nvidia still showed relative strength, which suggests investors remain confident in long-term AI demand. Short-term sentiment may fluctuate, but execution and earnings will matter more than headlines.

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s recent trading action highlights a tug-of-war between strong underlying AI chip demand and growing structural concerns surrounding market valuation, financing, and macroeconomic headwinds. 1. Top Market Cap Spot: Apple Reclaims #1 $Apple(AAPL)$ recently overtook Nvidia for the world’s most valuable public company. The CapEx Divergence: Apple’s strategy of leveraging light capital expenditure—renting cloud compute and utilizing its massive installed device base—is being rewarded as high-margin free cash flow. Valuation Pressure on NVDA: While Apple is up roughly 24% year-to-date, Nvidia has lagged with modest mid-single-digit gains. Investors have grown uneasy over reports regarding Nvidia

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   Nvidia maintains its AI chip dominance, with robust and sustainable growth rates, while expanding opportunities beyond hyperscalers. NVDA's Vera CPU presents a $20 billion annualized opportunity, but GPUs and integrated systems will continue driving the bulk of future growth. Despite underperformance versus peers and market skepticism, NVDA trades at just above 20x forward earnings, with EPS CAGR projected above 40% for three years. NVDA's broadening customer base, deep integration, and VC-style investments underpin a strong moat.

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s proposed involvement in financing an enormous OpenAI data centre represents a significant change in its risk profile. Supplying AI chips is highly profitable; guaranteeing financing that enables customers to purchase those chips potentially exposes Nvidia to the financial risk behind the demand. The Wall Street Journal reported on July 26 that Nvidia was discussing approximately $250 billion of financing guarantees for an OpenAI-led, 10-gigawatt data-centre project in Ohio. Nvidia was also reportedly considering financing as much as $350 billion of OpenAI chip purchases. The entire project could cost more than $500 billion. Neither arrangement had been finalized at the research cut-off. Reuters’ report on the financing discussions

Following last week's historic sell-off, the U.S. stock market—particularly the semiconductor sector—is standing at an extremely critical crossroads. It is no exaggeration to say that if the market takes even one more step downward, it will likely trigger a substantial, weekly-level decline. However, if the market can hold its ground against the current downtrend and stabilize, a phased recovery is not far out of reach, especially if tensions in the US-Iran conflict continue to cool. Therefore, this week's price action is of paramount importance to U.S. equities. At this critical juncture, since we cannot precisely forecast geopolitical developments, relying on technical analysis and real capital flow data to gauge market sentiment becomes essential. Today, Owen's analysis will delve deep

Time to accumulate over the next 3-4 weeks & build a position 

Nvidia has pulled back to around $203 after trading above $206 during the session. For most companies, a drop would immediately raise questions about whether the business is weakening. With Nvidia, the question is different. The company is still producing enormous growth, dominating AI infrastructure and reporting numbers that most businesses could only dream of. The real question is whether even outstanding performance is enough when investors already expect near perfection. Nvidia’s latest quarterly revenue reached a record $81.6 billion, up 85% from a year earlier. Data Centre revenue climbed to $75.2 billion, an increase of 92%. The company also maintained a gross margin of roughly 75%, showing that its growth is still highly profitable. Those numbers suggest the AI investment boom is

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) Soars +4.06%: AI Giant Reclaims $210 Zone, Bullish Momentum Intact Latest Close Data 📈 Closed at $211.80 (USD) on 2026-07-15, up +4.06% ($8.27). Now ~$24.74 below its 52-week high of $236.54. Core Market Drivers 🚀 Positive momentum driven by reports of U.S. granting licenses for NVIDIA and AMD AI chip sales to certain Chinese companies (e.g., ZTE), easing some geopolitical supply concerns. The stock continues to benefit from the sustained AI infrastructure investment cycle. Technical Analysis 📊 Volume was solid at 124M shares. The MACD histogram has turned positive (latest value: 3.34), signaling strengthening bullish momentum as DIF crosses above DEA. RSI(6) at 65.55 indicates strong buying press

"Buy the rumor, sell the news" describes a trading adage where stock prices climb based on speculation before an event, then drop once the official news breaks. Because markets are forward looking, investors buy early on anticipation. When the announcement happens, these buyers take their profits, causing the price to fall as selling outweighs new demand. With that let me share the rumours on $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ for your considerations. The Peak. NVDA hit an all-time high (ATH) on 14 May 2026 at $235.74 per share. Since then, it has lost roughly $1 trillion in market value. (see below) The stock is down about -10.92% from that peak, trading around $210 (as of Fri, 10 Jul 2026), while the broader market has mostly moved higher. For investors who bought

What deserves the most attention in the U.S. equity market this week is not the movement of the S&P 500 Index itself, but rather the structural changes taking place within the index. From a valuation perspective, the S&P 500’s overall price-to-earnings ratio remains at a relatively elevated level. Valuations in information technology, real estate, industrials, health care, and other sectors are all materially above the broader market, indicating that U.S. equities as a whole still lack a clear valuation cushion. From a fund-flow perspective, SPY has recorded cumulative net inflows of approximately USD 21.6 billion since July, but fund-flow divergence across sectors has become increasingly pronounced. Capital is not simply leaving the equity market; rather, it is being reallocated a

NVIDIA's $500B AI Deal: The Market May Be Reading It Backwards $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ came under pressure after announcing MOUs with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to mobilize $500 billion+ of third-party capital for AI infrastructure. The headline sounds like NVIDIA is taking on another huge financing commitment, and Nvidia's 5Y CDS jumps by almost 6 bps after the news. The $500B Is Mainly Someone Else's Capital The key distinction is between stimulating demand and funding demand with NVIDIA’s own balance sheet. NVIDIA has already invested heavily across its ecosystem, including AI labs, neoclouds and infrastructure partners. That raised a legitimate concern: if NVIDIA increasingly has to finance its own customers, AI demand becomes more circular and more of

Societe Generale's newly launched 5x Long and -5x Short DLCs on the individual Magnificent 7 U.S. stocks have started trading on Wednesday, 12 August. This expansion to 5x U.S. Stock DLCs complements the existing 3x U.S. Stock DLCs range to offer investors more choices in terms of leverage factors. With up to 5x leveraged and inverse exposure to the individual Magnificent 7 stocks' daily percentage performance, investors can express their bullish or bearish views to capture opportunities in both directions of the market. Similar to all the U.S. underlying DLCs, the new 5x DLCs on the Magnificent 7 stocks offer investors a new trading window during SGX market hours when the US market is closed, allowing them to respond to market-moving news during Asian hours. However, investors should note

Hello hope your doing well 

The divergence between $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Nvidia (NVDA) and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD during recent semiconductor market swings highlights how Wall Street is treating the primary AI market leader versus its closest challenger. Market Dynamics: Leader Search vs. Margin Corrections 1. The Market Is Re-Affirming Nvidia’s Dominant Leadership Hyperscaler CapEx Concentration: Earnings reports from big tech cloud providers (Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon) re-confirmed that AI capital expenditure remains aggressive. Nvidia continues to capture the vast majority of this infrastructure spending due to its integrated hardware-software ecosystem (CUDA) and sold-out 2026 Blackwell GPU capacity. The "Whisper Bar" Diffe

Just this past Monday, the S&P 500 index successfully broke through its 20-day moving average, while the Nasdaq index solidly reclaimed its 20-week moving average. According to the technical rules I outlined previously, when these two critical indicators are breached simultaneously, we should pivot our stance to the upside in alignment with the trend. Sure enough, within just one day, both major indices surged another few percentage points, and the S&P 500 even came close to returning to its previous high, right where the initial drop began. Looking at this price action, I believe many are already declaring "the return of the king" for US equities, assuming the market has completely finished its shakeout and re-entered a primary uptrend. However, I must issue a warning: the current

Sandisk’s FY2026 Q4 results were exceptional. The stock still fell about 3% after hours because FY2027 Q1 revenue guidance missed elevated expectations. How's Q4? Q4 revenue reached $8.97B, up 51% QoQ and 372% YoY. It beat the $8.71B consensus and Goldman Sachs’ $8.84B estimate. Non-GAAP gross margin was 84.6%, versus 83.6% consensus, while adjusted EPS of $39.25 beat consensus by 10.7%. The operating leverage was unusually strong. Revenue rose from roughly $1.9B a year ago to almost $9B, while cost of revenue stayed near $1.38B. Operating expenses increased only about 20%, driving operating income above $7B. Adjusted free cash flow reached $5.04B, equal to 56% of revenue. Data centre demand drove the quarter. Segment revenue reached $2.98B, about 14 times the prior-year level. Edge remain

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s recent trading action highlights a tug-of-war between strong underlying AI chip demand and growing structural concerns surrounding market valuation, financing, and macroeconomic headwinds. 1. Top Market Cap Spot: Apple Reclaims #1 $Apple(AAPL)$ recently overtook Nvidia for the world’s most valuable public company. The CapEx Divergence: Apple’s strategy of leveraging light capital expenditure—renting cloud compute and utilizing its massive installed device base—is being rewarded as high-margin free cash flow. Valuation Pressure on NVDA: While Apple is up roughly 24% year-to-date, Nvidia has lagged with modest mid-single-digit gains. Investors have grown uneasy over reports regarding Nvidia

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s proposed involvement in financing an enormous OpenAI data centre represents a significant change in its risk profile. Supplying AI chips is highly profitable; guaranteeing financing that enables customers to purchase those chips potentially exposes Nvidia to the financial risk behind the demand. The Wall Street Journal reported on July 26 that Nvidia was discussing approximately $250 billion of financing guarantees for an OpenAI-led, 10-gigawatt data-centre project in Ohio. Nvidia was also reportedly considering financing as much as $350 billion of OpenAI chip purchases. The entire project could cost more than $500 billion. Neither arrangement had been finalized at the research cut-off. Reuters’ report on the financing discussions

Following last week's historic sell-off, the U.S. stock market—particularly the semiconductor sector—is standing at an extremely critical crossroads. It is no exaggeration to say that if the market takes even one more step downward, it will likely trigger a substantial, weekly-level decline. However, if the market can hold its ground against the current downtrend and stabilize, a phased recovery is not far out of reach, especially if tensions in the US-Iran conflict continue to cool. Therefore, this week's price action is of paramount importance to U.S. equities. At this critical juncture, since we cannot precisely forecast geopolitical developments, relying on technical analysis and real capital flow data to gauge market sentiment becomes essential. Today, Owen's analysis will delve deep

"Buy the rumor, sell the news" describes a trading adage where stock prices climb based on speculation before an event, then drop once the official news breaks. Because markets are forward looking, investors buy early on anticipation. When the announcement happens, these buyers take their profits, causing the price to fall as selling outweighs new demand. With that let me share the rumours on $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ for your considerations. The Peak. NVDA hit an all-time high (ATH) on 14 May 2026 at $235.74 per share. Since then, it has lost roughly $1 trillion in market value. (see below) The stock is down about -10.92% from that peak, trading around $210 (as of Fri, 10 Jul 2026), while the broader market has mostly moved higher. For investors who bought

Nvidia has pulled back to around $203 after trading above $206 during the session. For most companies, a drop would immediately raise questions about whether the business is weakening. With Nvidia, the question is different. The company is still producing enormous growth, dominating AI infrastructure and reporting numbers that most businesses could only dream of. The real question is whether even outstanding performance is enough when investors already expect near perfection. Nvidia’s latest quarterly revenue reached a record $81.6 billion, up 85% from a year earlier. Data Centre revenue climbed to $75.2 billion, an increase of 92%. The company also maintained a gross margin of roughly 75%, showing that its growth is still highly profitable. Those numbers suggest the AI investment boom is

The bull isn't dead, but "AI must pay." In the tug-of-war between soft landing and bubble peak, cash flow quality > growth story, and defensive rotation > single-track conviction. As of June 30, 2026 | Data sourced from aggregated market data H1 in One Thread: A Seller's Market for AI Infrastructure Summing up the first half 2026, the rally can be traced along one clear thread: AI compute demand → Semiconductor/storage/equipment orders surge → Earnings beats → Valuation re-rating → Leveraged capital floods in → Positive feedback loop Semiconductors, storage, and the AI supply chain were the absolute core of H1, full stop; Concept themes (lidar, hydrogen, OLED) going parabolic shows market capital hunting for "the next AI" narrative beyond the main thread; High-beta growth style compr

Two memory-chip stories hit the market this week. On one side, SK hynix’s U.S. ADR offering reportedly drew demand more than 7x the available supply, with proceeds expected to support new facilities tied to AI memory demand. On the other side, China’s Changxin Memory Technologies, or CXMT, is moving ahead with its Shanghai IPO book-building, aiming to raise funds for production-line expansion and technology upgrades. Different markets, different paths, but the same underlying question: Is AI turning memory chips from a cyclical trade into a structural AI infrastructure story? For years, investors mainly watched memory stocks through the old cycle: When will DRAM prices bottom? When will inventories clear? When will the next upcycle arrive? Now the questions are changing: Can HBM demand sta

$GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL)$ call got assigned. Would have gotten higher if sell voluntarily. But oh well. Premium did provided some profit too

Avoided the Avalanche in July to maintain 60% return this year. Thanks to $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$  

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is sitting at one of those chart areas where the market has to make a decision. Not a tiny decision, either. This is not “one random candle in the middle of nowhere.” On the weekly chart, NVIDIA is testing the $191 to $195 support zone, which lines up closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement around $191.86 from the recent rally. At the time of the chart, NVDA is trading around $195.55, with a market cap near $4.77 trillion, a trailing P/E around 29.8, and EPS around $6.57. NVDA Weekly Chart The Technical Setup: Why $191 to $195 Matters The chart shows $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ pulling back from its recent high near $236.50 into the $191 to $195 zone. This area matters for three reasons. First, it

📚 Introduction One of my favourite options strategies is selling cash-secured put options on NVIDIA (NVDA). Instead of trying to predict the exact top or bottom of the market, I aim to collect option premium while managing risk carefully. In this case study, I sold one NVDA put option and later bought it back at a lower price, locking in a small but real profit. Although the profit from this trade was only US$20, I believe small gains can add up over time if risk is managed responsibly. A US$20 profit is enough to cover a simple meal for one person, showing that consistent trading habits may be more important than chasing large gains. ⸻ 💻 Understanding the Trade This trade involved one NVDA Put Option. * Underlying stock: NVIDIA (NVDA) * Strike price: US$190 * Expiry date: 21 August 2026 *

Nvidia Bucks the Chip Rout: Safe-Haven Capital Flees to AI's Dominant Leader Better Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Buy in June: AMD vs. Nvidia (The Winner Might Surprise You) The semiconductor sector suffered a massive blow as disappointing forward guidance from Samsung triggered a sweeping panic across the chip landscape. The damage was severe: Advanced Micro Devices ( $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ ) and Intel ( $Intel(INTC)$) absorbed heavy losses, while the popular 3x leveraged semiconductor ETF ($SOXL) cratered by 15%. Yet, amidst the sea of red, Nvidia ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ) did what it does best it bucked the trend. Nvidia edged up 0.71% to close at $196, de

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s recent struggle to hold the $200 level, despite posting an absolute blockbuster fiscal Q1 2027 report in May ($81.6B revenue, up 85% YoY), perfectly encapsulates the shift in the AI narrative. The market is moving away from the initial "hyperscaler land grab" phase and into a more mature, critical phase focused on infrastructure reality, capacity digestion, and return on investment (ROI). I am holding NVDA long-term in my tech portfolio, so I have been playing option to capture any potential upside. Whether Nvidia's second-half (H2) revenue can beat expectations depends on several structural moving parts within the hardware ecosystem. Why the AI Narrative is Fracturing (Chips vs. Memory) While Nvidia's core chip demand remains inc