Initial Investment Context On July 5, 2024, I made an investment in Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. $Stanley Black & Decker(SWK)$ at the price of USD 79.06 per share. This decision was made amidst a backdrop of mixed sentiment and market evaluations concerning the company’s recent performance and future prospects. Current Market Sentiment and Challenges Barclays downgraded SWK to Equal Weight in June 2024, setting a price target of $86. The downgrade reflected concerns over weak consumer demand and reduced enthusiasm from DIY (Do-It-Yourself) enthusiasts, who are significant contributors to the company's revenue streams. Barclays also suggested that Stanley Black & Decker would need to significantly ramp up its earnings per share (EP
July is historically a great month for U.S. stocks, this year might be different.
The stock market logged a gangbusters first half of the year. Can it last?The S&P 500 index gained a whopping 14.5% to close the first six months of 2024. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.8% and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 18.1%.Much of the S&P 500’s gains were concentrated in the Magnificent Seven big tech names, while other stocks lagged behind. Nvidia (NVDA), the leader of the pack, has pulled even further ahead. Shares of the chipmaker jumped 149% this year. Its valuation topped $3 trillion for the first time in June, when Nvidia was briefly the world’s largest public company.Now, investors expect the Fed will cut rates up to three times in 2024, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, though the central bank has only penciled in one.July is historically a great month for U
Earnings of Delta Air Lines and Options Expiry Date July 12, 2024: What to Expect
$Delta Air Lines(DAL)$ is set to release its second-quarter earnings on July 11, 2024. As one of the major players in the airline industry, Delta's earnings report will be closely watched by investors, especially given the backdrop of a post-pandemic recovery in travel demand. With the options expiry date set for July 12, this article provides an in-depth analysis of Delta's upcoming earnings, options data, and potential stock movements. Revenue and Earnings Projections Analysts are anticipating a strong earnings report from Delta, with consensus estimates predicting earnings per share (EPS) of $2.37 and quarterly revenue of $15.5 billion (Delta Air Lines) (Benzinga). This would represent significant growth compared to last year's period, when
PepsiCo Earnings Preview: What to Expect Ahead of the July 11 Report and Options Expiry on July 12
As $Pepsi(PEP)$ prepares to release its second-quarter earnings on July 11, 2024, investors and traders are keenly anticipating the results. With an options expiry date set for July 12, the data and projections surrounding PepsiCo's performance can provide significant insights into potential stock movements. This article delves into the expected earnings, market sentiment, and options data to offer a comprehensive analysis for stakeholders. Revenue and Earnings Projections Analysts forecast solid earnings for PepsiCo in the second quarter of 2024, with consensus estimates predicting earnings per share (EPS) of $2.16 and quarterly revenue of $22.69 billion. This would represent a notable improvement compared to the first quarter of 2024, where Pepsi
All these years in the stock market, I have seen many life changing events. There are millionaires made and also many lives ruined. Penny stocks are one of the reasons for these extreme life changing events. Before we begin, let me introduce what Penny stocks are. Penny stocks are small companies whose shares trade for a relatively low price. They may look cheap compared to popular stocks such as Amazon or Apple, but often they're much more expensive, despite their lower price tag. Penny stocks are among the market's most dangerous stocks, so you may pay a much greater price than you first expect, including potentially losing all of your investment. Here's what a penny stock is and why it's so risky to investors looking to grow their wealth. •What is a penny stock? The exact def
Top Sectors for Investment Based on Quality Growth Metrics
What are the best sectors to invest in?I just calculated the 10-year averages for a range of quality growth metrics.The highest and most predictable share price growth is found in tech and healthcare, while utilities and materials have the lowest.The highest and most predictable FCF growth is found in tech and communication.The highest returns on capital are found in tech and consumer discretionary.Real estate, utilities and materials have high payout ratios (not good for long term compounding). Tech is typically low.The lowest CAPEX is found in tech and financials, the highest are found in utilities.The lowest SBC is found in utilities and materials, the highest is tech.The highest buybacks are found in industrials. Energy and real estate are quite dilutive.Imagehttps://x.com/long_equity/
JPMorgan Chase & Co.: Analyzing Options Data Ahead of Q2 2024 Earnings (Options Expiry Date: July 12, 2024)
As we approach $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ second-quarter earnings release scheduled for July 12, 2024, investors and analysts closely monitor the options data to gauge market sentiment and potential stock movement. JPMorgan Chase is a leading global financial services firm with significant influence in the banking and financial sectors, boasting assets of $4.1 trillion and stockholders’ equity of $337 billion as of March 31, 2024 (Home | JPMorganChase) (Home | JPMorganChase). Here’s an in-depth look at the options data and what it might indicate for the stock’s performance. Implied Movement and Stock Price The current implied movement for JPMorgan Chase is 3.17%. With the stock trading at $204.79, the market expects the stock to move within the rang
Wells Fargo & Co.: Analyzing Options Data Ahead of Q2 2024 Earnings (Options Expiry Date: July 12, 2024)
As $Wells Fargo(WFC)$ approaches its Q2 2024 earnings report scheduled for July 12, 2024, investors and market watchers closely monitor the stock’s performance and options activity. The upcoming earnings report and the expiration date of the associated options are pivotal for stakeholders. This analysis delves into the key metrics and market sentiment, leveraging the latest options data and financial indicators. Financial Performance Snapshot Wells Fargo reported a net income of $4.6 billion for Q1 2024, equating to $1.20 per diluted share earnings. This surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.10, reflecting strong performance amidst a challenging economic landscape. The company’s revenue for the quarter was $20.86 billion, slightly above the $20.19
SPY Options Expiry: Strategic Insights Leading Up to 2024–07–08
The financial markets are abuzz with speculation and analysis as we approach the options expiry date for the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ on 2024–07–08. The options data leading up to this critical date provides information that can help investors and traders make informed decisions. In this article, we delve into the options metrics for SPY, analyze the implications, and provide insights that could influence stock movements. Options Expiration Date and Implied Movement The SPY options expire on 2024–07–08. The implied movement for SPY options is currently 0.25%. With SPY trading at $554.64, the market expects the stock price to fluctuate between $553.28 and $556 by expiration. Stock Price Analysis As of the latest data fetch on 2024–07–07, SP
Everyone knows that growth as declined across the board over the last couple years. But by how much? I wanted to share a couple charts. The chart below shows the median NTM growth rate of the software basket I track. I add companies to this basket as they go public, and remove them as they get acquired. Outside of the obvious macro conditions, another reason for the median declining is that we haven’t had many new higher growth IPOs. As you can from the chart below, the median growth rate has fallen by ~50% in the last 2 years from ~25% to ~12%The below scatter plots show the multiple vs growth rate scatter from 1 year ago (top) to today (bottom). One year ago there were 8 companies with NTM growth >30%. Today there are zeroTop 10 EV / NTM Revenue Multiples
The AI Arena: C3.ai vs. BigBear.ai - A Showdown for Investor Affection
The booming artificial intelligence (AI) industry is a battleground, teeming with contenders jostling for dominance. Today, we're diving into the intriguing clash between $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ and $BigBear.ai Holdings(BBAI)$. Both companies harness AI for enterprise solutions, but a closer examination reveals striking differences in their financial health, market positioning, and future prospects. Let's unpack the critical metrics to guide your investment decisions. The rapid evolution of the AI industry Revenue Growth & Efficiency: A Tale of Two Approaches C3.ai has been on an impressive revenue trajectory, raking in $310.58 million over the past year—a 16% increase. Meanwhile, BigBear.ai is punching abov
$Micron Technology(MU)$ may challenge the support of $125 and $115 downwards. Should we exit in the short term?“ $Micron Technology(MU)$ just completed market bias expansion. Typically, this leads to losing steam and a support retest. I'd hold off until we see more strength or a retrace to $115.” By Quant Trader Peter DiCarloImage
Delta Air Lines (DAL) Better Outlook For 2024 Can Help Push Price Post Earnings
$Delta Air Lines(DAL)$ is scheduled to disclose its second-quarter earnings report before market open on 11 July (Thursday). Market analysts has expected on average Delta to report earnings of $2.36 per share, this is 11.7% down from same period last year. Revenue is forecast to come in at $15.5 billion with a 5.8% increase year-on-year. Morgan Stanley analyst have been upbeat about Delta's outsized exposure to corporate travel vs its peers. Consensus recommendation of the 21 analysts following the stock tracked by S&P Global Market Intelligence stands at Strong Buy echoing Morgan Stanley analyst. Analyst Price Target For Delta Air Lines (DAL) Based on 17 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Delta Air Lines in the last 3 mon
05 Jul 2024 - Mega Cap Strong Gains Help The Indices All-Time Highs
End of 1st Week of third quarter - 05 July 2024 have seen strong gains in mega-cap stocks. This has helped the S&P 500 and NASDAQ to reach all-time highs on Friday with +0.5% and +0.9% respectively. But we are still seeing negative bias continue to surface following the June Employment Situation Report. June Employment Situation Report Align With Market Rate Cut Expectation The June Employment Situation Report aligned with what the market expect for a rate cut but concerns have been seen raised regarding lower earnings growth if weakening labor market leads to reduced consumer spending. Here are the Key Employment released, the Private sector payrolls increased by 136,000 while the average hourly earnings growth slowed to 3.9% YoY from 4.1% Unemployment rate was seen to have rose from
$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ Sentiment Bullish on RIVN so that I can sell my stocks from covered calls and sell cash secured puts without being assigned Options $RIVN 20240705 15.0 CALL$ $RIVN 20240705 14.5 PUT$ Managed to collect premiums from covered calls and cash secured puts Portfolio My portfolio consists of Cash, Stocks, T bills and crypto. Below, I will talk about my actions going forward. Cash My cash is in 2 bank accounts, Maribank and DBS.A huge chunk of my cash is in Maribank paying me 2.7% with no strings attached. Cash in DBS is for my living
🌟🌟🌟The word "meme" is derived from the ancient Greek word "mimema". It means imitation. So meme stocks are shared investing ideas imitated by other investors. Since Keith Gill aka Roaring Kitty resurfaced in May after a 3 years' absence, Meme stocks are back in the spotlight. However not all meme stocks are created equal. Some are better investments than others. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ is a meme stock that has done well due to its focus on big data analytics and AI software that helps companies update their operations in alignment with our digital era. It has won many government contracts but it is now gaining more customers in the private sector. Performance wise Palant
Few events in the U.K. affect the markets, and this time the Conservative Party, led by "Indian" Prime Minister Sunak, is facing the worst election defeat in its history, and is being heavily criticized from both inside and outside the country.On the other hand, the Communist Party, founded by former Prime Minister Tony Blair, who has a "platonic" relationship with Wendy Deng, won the election by a landslide and is in power for the first time in 16 years, which will have a significant impact on the UK's future economic policy.Economic Policy ShiftFiscal policy: Labor is likely to adopt a more aggressive fiscal policy, increasing public spending and investment.It is expected to raise the corporate tax rate and increase taxes on high-income groups.Energy and environmental policy: Labor is co