137
General
Long_Equity
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09-19

Understanding Value Creation and Competitive Barriers

Here's my mental model for understanding how value creation, pricing power, barriers to entry and switching costs all come together.VALUE CREATION: Profit growth requires selling more, raising prices and cutting costs.PRICING POWER: Raising prices requires pricing power. Customers only put up with price hikes if there is no alternative (unique product), if the alternative is lower quality (superior product), if the alternative is a higher price (cheaper product) or if using the alternative is inconvenient (switching cost).BARRIERS TO ENTRY AND BARRIERS TO SCALE: There is only no alternative if companies can't replicate their competitors. Competitors can't replicate if they don't know how (knowledge barrier), don't have the capability (capability barrier), don't have the resource (resource
Understanding Value Creation and Competitive Barriers
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99
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SmartReversals
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09-19

Fed Cuts Rates: Labor Market Focused Pivot

The Federal Reserve has decreased interest rates by 50 basis points, marking their first rate cut since March 2020. The long-anticipated Fed pivot has officially begun. By initiating their monetary policy easing cycle with a substantial 50 basis point reduction, it appears the FED has chosen to prioritize the labor market aspect of their dual mandate over inflation.Here’s a summary of the FED's decision:1. The Fed cuts interest rates by 50 bps for the first time since 2020.2. The Fed anticipates two additional 25 basis point cuts in 2024.3. Fed Governor Miki Bowman dissented, advocating for a smaller 25 bps cut, marking the first governor dissent since 2005.4. The Fed has gained "greater confidence" that inflation is trending towards 2%.5. The Fed will "carefully assess incoming data" and
Fed Cuts Rates: Labor Market Focused Pivot
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107
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SmartReversals
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09-19

The Power of Synergy: Combining Fundamental and Technical Analysis

The art of successful investing lies in finding the right balance between fundamental and technical analysis. While each approach offers unique insights, their combined application can significantly enhance investment decision-making.Fundamental analysis focuses on the underlying economic factors that influence a company's value. This involves assessing a company's financial statements, industry trends, competitive landscape, management quality, and overall economic conditions. By understanding these factors, investors can evaluate a company's intrinsic worth and determine whether its stock price is overvalued or undervalued.Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on studying historical price data and market trends to identify patterns and potential future price movements. This invo
The Power of Synergy: Combining Fundamental and Technical Analysis
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364
General
SmartReversals
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09-19

Stochastic RSI Signals Bearish Divergence in $NDX

$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ - The Stochastic RSI shows a bearish crossover, and price action aligns with a top formation.Different from previous occurrences highlighted, the Money Flow Index is not overbought as in previous tops.Is this a bear trap? or just a bearish divergence in the MFI.This index, with the StochRSI was studied in the latest educational content, where Fundamental and Technical analysis are combined. Get access in bio! or check your email if subscribed already. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$
Stochastic RSI Signals Bearish Divergence in $NDX
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343
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TopdownCharts
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09-19

Chart of the Week - Tops and Bottoms

Earlier this year I wrote a series of educational notes on using valuation signals to help navigate market cycles, and after a couple of conversations and comments I got to wondering what it would look like if you showed the average path the stock market took around valuation-extreme tops and bottoms.As a point of clarity, first I want to compare and contrast two market peaks.The August 2000 peak was a classic valuation-extreme top, a bubble; clear excess and extreme expensive valuations… just waiting to be popped (by rising interest rates).The October 2007 peak by contrast was *not* a valuation-extreme top. Across a number of valuation metrics the market looked reasonable, even cheap e.g. on a forward PE basis. Instead, that peak was the product of rising rates triggering an economic down
Chart of the Week - Tops and Bottoms
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130
General
Michane
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09-19
Comment
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482
General
Value_investing
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09-18

MSFT: $60B Buyback, 10% Dividend Boost

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ announced a new $60 billion stock buyback plan, replacing the previous plan announced in 2021. This buyback plan has no set end date. Alongside this, the tech giant is raising its quarterly dividend by 10%, from $0.75 to $0.83 per share. The new dividend will be paid on December 12, 2024, to shareholders on record as of November 21, 2024.As the world’s second-largest company by market value, Microsoft has benefited significantly from the AI investment boom in recent years. The company has integrated AI technology from its partner OpenAI into its products, claiming these tools enhance its business applications like Teams, Word, and Outlook. Earlier on Monday, Microsoft also launched a suite of new AI tools.After the buyback announ
MSFT: $60B Buyback, 10% Dividend Boost
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3.26K
General
BrianTycangco鄭彥渊
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09-19

Surge in BABA Ownership Despite Trading Halt

The reporting on Southbound Stock Connect ownership of $Alibaba(BABA)$ $BABA-W(09988)$ is a little funky. As of 9/13 (Friday) the ownership was 141.96m shares.China's markets were closed on 9/16 and 9/17 for the Mid Autumn Festival. So, no Stock Connect trading.But on 9/16 the ownership jumped to 184.05m shares.Then on 9/17, it jumped again to 199.78m shares.How could ownership increase when the Stock Connect was halted due to the holiday?If there's a lag in reporting cross-border purchases, then the first four days of Alibaba's inclusion effectively saw mainland investors scooping up 50m shares, on average, per day.That's equivalent to 46% of the average daily trading volume in Hong Kong for the first f
Surge in BABA Ownership Despite Trading Halt
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364
General
Shyon
·
09-18

Market Highlights 💡 - 18 September 2024

U.S. stock market reaches historic highs ahead of FOMC decision 🇺🇸 S&P 500: 0.03% 🇺🇸 Nasdaq: 0.21% 🇪🇺 STOXX 600: 0.40% 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225: -1.03% 🇭🇰 Hang Seng Index: 1.37% 🇨🇳 CSI 300: Market closed The U.S. stock market closed higher, with the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$   and Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  rising 0.03% and 0.21%, respectively, ahead of the critical interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve tonight. The Nikkei 225 fell 1.03%, pressured by concerns over a stronger currency. The Hang Seng Index rose 1.4%, as investors optimistically bet on a significant rate cut in the U.S. this week. Upcoming Events: U.S. core
Market Highlights 💡 - 18 September 2024
TOPTigerGPT: I apologize, but I couldn't find any specific news articles or analytical reports related to Boeing in the supplemental information. However, I can provide you with some general information about Boeing and the recent strike by its factory workers. Boeing has been facing challenges due to a strike by more than 30,000 factory workers in Washington and Oregon. The strike began last week, and in response, Boeing has implemented several cost-cutting measures. These measures include a hiring freeze, a pause on nonessential staff travel, and a reduction in supplier spending to save money. Negotiations between Boeing and its largest union are ongoing, with the aim of reaching a labor contract agreement. The negotiations will resume on Wednesday with the presence of federal mediators. Key issues being discussed include wages and pensions. It is important to note that labor disputes and strikes can have an impact on a company's operations and financial performance. Investors and stakeholders closely monitor these developments as they can influence the company's future prospects. If you require more specific information or updates on the situation, I recommend checking reliable financial news sources or visiting Boeing's stock quote page for the latest news and updates regarding the company. Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, and it is important to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before making any investment decisions.
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nerdbull1669
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09-19

Amazon's Prime Big Deal Days In October To Trigger Stock Move

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ ‘s Prime Big Deal Days returns on 8-9 October 2024, this followed previous record-breaking prior Prime Day. In 2023, brand participation held steady, with more deals It was not a good idea to opt out of Prime Day as about as many brands participated in the event in 2023, according to Acadia. with 80% of its clients running deals – nearly identical to last year’s participation rate. In 2023, participation had increased 11% over 2022. This shows that a near-saturation point of participation have been reached, where the brands with products that make sense to discount nearly always participate, while a small minority of clients sit out the holiday due to their category or other brand preferences not to participate. Very few (roughl
Amazon's Prime Big Deal Days In October To Trigger Stock Move
TOPTiger_Contra: Thank you for your sharing and Welcome SG Tigers to open trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account to give wings to your mutiple strategies. Open a CBA today and Enjoy SGD 20,000 for unlimited and 0 Commision trading upcoming on SGX, HK Stocks, US Equities and ETFS. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA: link here. How to link your CDP account: link here. Other FAQs on CBA: link here. Cash Boost Account Website: link here.
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5.44K
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JC888
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09-18

Nvidia : Is there life after Stock Split ?

For many investors, Nvidia (NVDA -0.03%) has emerged as the quintessential artificial intelligence (AI) stock. That is because the company's graphics processing units (GPUs) are the industry standard in accelerating complex data center tasks, such as training machine learning models and running AI applications. Its shares have surged +780% since the generative AI application ChatGPT went viral in November 2022. That event triggered a tidal wave of AI infrastructure spending that is still building momentum. Nvidia has been one of the biggest beneficiaries. In turn, the stock has become a staple of the AI trade. Nvidia reset its soaring share price in June by conducting a forward 10-for-1 stock split. Shares have since tumbled about -2%, and History says Nvidia stock may have further to
Nvidia : Is there life after Stock Split ?
TOPTaurus Pink: [Grin], [Grin], [Grin]
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4.49K
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JC888
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09-18

Unleash AI's potentials, Buy NEE, DUK, XLU ?

Knights of the Round Table. On Thu, 12 Sep 2024, top tech executives gathered at the White House to discuss the significant energy consumption of their artificial intelligence technologies. Among those present were: OpenAI, Chief executive - Sam Altman,. Anthropic, Chief executive - Dario Amodei. Google, President - Ruth Porat. Nvidia, Chief executive - Jensen Huang. Amazon’s AWS, Chief executive - Matt Garman. Amazon’s Data centre planning & deliver, VP - Kerry Person. Also “several” power and utility companies… Discussion Topics. The focused meeting covered several fronts: How public & private sectors can collaborate to sustainably support AI's intense energy consumption. Other topics also included data center capacity and semiconductor manufacturing. As tech giants race to devel
Unleash AI's potentials, Buy NEE, DUK, XLU ?
TOPTaurus Pink: [Grin], [Grin], [Grin]
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3.85K
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OptionsDelta
·
09-18

Whether a 50bps or 25bps rate hike, it's immaterial for Nvidia's near-term trading.

A bold claim: Nvidia's trading dynamics will remain essentially unchanged after the September FOMC decision, be it a 25bps or 50bps rate hike.Coming out of the Mid-Autumn Festival break, rate hike expectations abruptly shifted, with 50bps becoming the higher probability scenario over 25bps. Historically, a 50bps hike was viewed as a negative catalyst that could drive Nvidia down towards $90.But the options market seems to disagree this time around.Looking at the three trading days since last Friday, including Monday and Tuesday this week, there haven't been any glaring shifts in Nvidia's open interest profiles that would align with a hawkish 50bps re-pricing.As the chart shows, this week's call open interest remains firmly elevated, with $120 strikes leading after stripping out a few outli
Whether a 50bps or 25bps rate hike, it's immaterial for Nvidia's near-term trading.
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6.43K
General
Tiger_Chart
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09-18

💰After Fed's Decision, Who will be the King Winners among MAG7 Stocks?

As the Federal Reserve prepares to announce its interest rate decision on September 18th, investors are keenly watching for any signs of how the MAG7 stocks might respond. Historical data from the last Fed rate cut cycle in 2019, as illustrated in the provided image, can offer some insights.The data also highlights the performance of these stocks in the periods following the first, second, and third rate cuts, with some stocks showing impressive gains, such as $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ with a surge of +169.26%. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$<
💰After Fed's Decision, Who will be the King Winners among MAG7 Stocks?
TOPTiger_Contra: Welcome SG Tigers to open trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account to give wings to your mutiple strategies. Open a CBA today and Enjoy SGD 20,000 for unlimited and 0 Commision trading upcoming on SGX, HK Stocks, US Equities and ETFS. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA: link here. How to link your CDP account: link here. Other FAQs on CBA: link here. Cash Boost Account Website: link here.
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4.53K
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ETF Tracker
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09-18

💰Fed Cuts & S&P 500 11 Sectors: A Historical Review

[Heart]Hello, Tigers, are you also anxiously waiting for the Fed’s interest rate meeting?Last week, Tiger community posted 💰5 Charts to Know the Historical Fed Rate Cuts Impact & Strategic Insights,hope it has some help to you to know better about the Rate Cut Cycle.Today, We have compiled the performance data of the 11 major sectors of the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months after the 8 rounds of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve since 1984.See the chart below:Combining the data, we know that the S&P 500 index consists of 11 industries, and each industry has different sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations.Assuming that the Federal Re
💰Fed Cuts & S&P 500 11 Sectors: A Historical Review
TOPTiger_Contra: Welcome SG Tigers to open trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account to give wings to your mutiple strategies. Open a CBA today and Enjoy SGD 20,000 for unlimited and 0 Commision trading upcoming on SGX, HK Stocks, US Equities and ETFS. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA: link here. How to link your CDP account: link here. Other FAQs on CBA: link here. Cash Boost Account Website: link here.
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TigerEvents
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09-18

[Events] Share Your Trading Mark & Win Tiger Coins 🏆💹

The saying goes, "Buy when others are fearful, sell when others are greedy." In the world of investing, we have all experienced those moments of excellent buy or sell decisions.Whether it's nailing the bottom or timing the top, we want to hear about your best trading moves! Please share your trading mark with us along with a brief explanation of your reasoning. Is it based on fundamental analysis, news, or technical signals? How to Participate 👇Comment below with your buy or sell points, or share a screenshot of your portfolio performance along with a brief explanation of your trading decision. 📊Examples Fundamental Analysis: Buy Point: Buy $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ at __Reason: Long-term potential in e-commerce and cloud computing, so I chose to hold it
[Events] Share Your Trading Mark & Win Tiger Coins 🏆💹
TOPkoolgal: 🌟🌟🌟With the much anticipated rate cut by the Feds this week, SReits have been breaking 52 week high records. I bought $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ 3 years ago and held it till now. It was exciting to see CICT hit new 52 week high this week. CICT is the largest SReit and part of the Top 10 holdings in $STI ETF(ES3.SI)$ As Warren Buffett likes to say "It's Time in the markets that counts, not timing the market". @TigerEvents @TigerStars @Tiger_comments
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1.11K
General
Value_investing
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09-18

To the moon? LUNR clinches $4.8 billion contract from NASA

$Intuitive Machines(LUNR)$ said it has bagged a navigation and communication services contract of up to $4.82 billion from NASA for missions in the near space region.Shares of the space exploration company rose 52% to $8.21 in aftermarket trading and have more than doubled so far this year.As part of the contract, which has a base period of five years with an additional five-year option period, Intuitive will deploy lunar relay satellites and provide communication and navigation services to aid NASA's Artemis campaign.The contract would see Intuitive debut its lunar satellite constellations that will enable enhanced data and transmission services as well as autonomous operations."We see the win today as significant validation towards Intuitive's o
To the moon? LUNR clinches $4.8 billion contract from NASA
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1.05K
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NAI500
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09-18

PFE: High Dividend, High Payout

$Pfizer(PFE)$ , a major player in the pharmaceutical sector, currently boasts a dividend yield of 5.7%, one of the highest in the healthcare sector. However, its payout ratio has soared to a staggering 436%.When assessing dividend stocks, the payout ratio is a crucial metric. If it exceeds 75%, the sustainability of the dividend comes into question, potentially leading to cuts and a drop in stock price.Stock Price SlumpPfizer, a global pharmaceutical giant with over 350 marketed drugs and 113 candidates in clinical trials, operates in over 200 countries. Despite its prominent market position, the stock has dropped 52% from its three-year high due to declining sales from its once-booming COVID-19 business. The forward P/E ratio for 2026 is now 9.6,
PFE: High Dividend, High Payout
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