The stock market began the fourth quarter on a weak note. Expectations for consolidation activity grew after a strong third quarter. Initial reports suggested the White House was concerned about a potential Iranian strike on Israel. This concern materialized, but subsequent reports indicated that most of Iran's missiles were destroyed by Israel's defense system. We saw major indexes closed lower on 01 Oct (Tuesday), retreating from recent record highs as technology stocks tumbled, while crude oil prices jumped on concerns about escalating tensions in the Middle East. The DJIA fell 0.41%, while the S&P 500 and NASDAQ dropped 0.93% and 1.53%, respectively. The major indexes were giving back the gains from 30 Sep (Monday), when the DJIA and S&P 500 hit record closing highs to cap off
I believe the upcoming delivery data will surprise investors, particularly given the strong performance of competitors who have recently reported increased deliveries. This trend indicates a robust demand for electric vehicles across the market, which could position Tesla favorably if their numbers reflect similar growth. The Robotaxi event on October 10 will be pivotal for Tesla’s future. As the company showcases its latest advances in self-driving and AI technologies, I expect significant buzz around its potential applications, especially in self-driving internet car services. If Tesla can effectively communicate the advancements and practicality of their Robotaxi concept, it could reignite investor confidence and enthusiasm. Overall, I see the Robotaxi initiative as a crucial factor for
I believe that it is crucial to select strong companies at favorable prices when making stock investments. To identify good companies, one should thoroughly analyze their financial performance, including key metrics such as revenue growth, profitability, and return on equity. Additionally, it is essential to assess whether the companies' products or services occupy a niche market and have a consistent demand. A company's competitive advantage can greatly influence its long-term success. Equally important is the concept of acquiring shares at a good price. Investors should always strive to buy low and sell high, which requires a keen understanding of market trends and valuations. This approach ensures that the investments made are not only sound but also poised for potential growth. Moreove
Wall Street stocks fell as risk aversion increased with the escalation of the Middle East conflict; the Nikkei index has rebounded after recent sell-offs. 🇺🇸 S&P 500 Index: -0.93% 🇺🇸 Nasdaq Index: -1.53% 🇪🇺 Stoxx 600 Index: -0.38% 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225 Index: +1.93% 🇭🇰 Hang Seng Index: Market Closed 🇨🇳 CSI 300 Index: Market Closed 🇸🇬 Straits Times Index: -0.12% U.S. stock markets declined, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dropping -0.9% and -1.5% respectively, due to renewed investor concerns about the unrest in the Middle East triggered by Iran's missile attack on Israel, which has persisted for a long time. The U.S. Labor Department's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed that job openings increased by 329,000 in August, rising from a revised 7.71 million in Ju
Alphabet is cheap and set to outperform big tech rivals
Investing isn’t just about finding the best companies to own; it’s about paying an attractive price for them. Today, I have a hard time not seeing $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ as the best of all the big tech stocks.You can see below that it’s the cheapest for the Mag 7 stocks on a price-to-earnings basis (GOOG is in red).Alphabet is also growing more quickly than $Apple(AAPL)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ (I removed $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ because its recent growth made the chart unreadable).The narrative since artificial
Doesn't rule out chance NIO will seek primary listing status in HK
The big news on $NIO Inc.(NIO)$$NIO-SW(09866)$ today is the RMB 3bn ($470m) investment by strategic investors (including Anhui govt affiliated firms) for a 3.8% stake (post dilution) in Nio China. Timing coincides with planned ramp-up of ONVO production to meet strong demand for the company's low-priced EV. Eases funding pressure on the company.Nio China holds all of NIO's business and assets in China, including vehicle R&D, supply chain, sales & service, and NIO Power. Post-deal, NIO will have an 88.3% stake in Nio China, while strategic investors hold the remaining 11.7%. It also values Nio China at RMB 78.6bn or $11.2bn.Not included in Nio China are the company's AI & Autonomous Driving di
The current rate-cutting cycle by the Fed is noticeably distinct from those in the past.Typically, the Fed has cut rates during a period of declining earnings, but presently, we appear to be experiencing an earnings recovery.Bullish? No recession? $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ImageQ: Are we on the brink of a recession and bearmarket? Or are we going for a blow off top? Is QE coming back?A: The Sahm Rule is a very specific indicator
Top performers at the end of September 2024: $FICO $MSFT
Portfolio at the end of September 2024.September performance: -1.1%YTD: 16.6% Top performers: $Fair Isaac(FICO)$$Microsoft(MSFT)$ FCF ROC = 36% FCF per share CAGR (5yr) = 24% FCF Linearity (5yr) = 0.93 FCF Margin Expansion (5yr) = 6% FCF Yield = 3.03%ImageThere were no outright sales or purchases. The top contributors to performance were Fair Isaac and Microsoft. The top detractors from performance were $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$$KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$.FICO has such a strong moat and leading margins, It’s the definition of asset light and epitomises what it means to have pricing powerhttps://twitter.com/long_equity/status/1840
$NIO is a player in a massively competitive market
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$$NIO-SW(09866)$ has one of the highest cost to borrow shares (borrow fee) for short-sellers at 2.29% annualized.ImageThe recent investment by strategic investors in Nio China ($470B for 3.8%) does not dilute NIO shareholders' ownership in the listed company. But it does slightly dilute their indirect ownership in Nio China, which contains all the assets and businesses of the company on the mainland. The agreement, however, allows NIO to subscribe to RMB 20B ($2.8B) in additional Nio China shares at the same price by December 2025, which will more than restore its ownership in the China business.https://twitter.com/BrianTycangco/status/1840723819994267710
China stock markets' trading volume hit a record high
China stock markets' trading volume hit a record high of RMB 2.59 TRILLION today. That's equivalent to $370 billion. To put it into context, the US trading volume on 9/27 was $285 billion. Talk about a hot market. $KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF(KBA)$$iShares MSCI China ETF(MCHI)$$iShares China Large-Cap ETF(FXI)$ Profit taking (and new short selling?) in CN ADRs happening now. Taking cue from tomorrow’s double holiday in HK & China markets. Stocks significantly off day’s highs and trading well below HK close. BUT don’t rule out more policy announcements from Beijing tomorrow. Taking some profits off the table I totally get. But going sh
Listen up, folks. This is a very important data point and development.The ETF market has been instrumental to the success of the US equities markets. They hold about 13% of the US equity assets - the largest share of any mature market. Passive ETFs have a huge impact on the demand for shares of the largest listed firms (i.e. Mag 7).Even at RMB 3 trillion ($428B), ETFs account for just 3% to 4% of China's total equity assets. As this penetration grows, so will mainland investors' ability to partake more effectively in the growth and success of the domestic market. $iShares MSCI China ETF(MCHI)$$KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF(KBA)$$KraneShares Ha
$FIGS, Inc.(FIGS)$ is at an inflection point that could drive 10x returns.Today’s deep dive is on Figs. Started in 2013, Figs is a direct-to-consumer healthcare apparel company specializing in scrubs and other apparel for healthcare workers.Why Figs? In ~100 WordsFigs is the leading specialized retail company in healthcare, starting with scrubs and beginning to extend to all parts of the healthcare industry.Figs’ potential isn’t as large as bigger retailers like $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ or $Shopify(SHOP)$ and the company is almost all direct to consumer today (a few retail outlets opening) so this is a specialized company. Still, I think Figs can grow the business 10x
$VIX has typically risen in the weeks leading up to election day
$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ - In the past eight US presidential elections, market volatility, as measured by the VIX, has typically risen in the weeks leading up to election day regardless of the outcome.The VIX often declines in the immediate period following the election, but it tends to rise again within 45 to 70 days. This has occurred in 75% of cases over the past eight elections.Blue: RepublicanOrange; DemocratDark Blue: Total Average $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$GLOBAL X DOW 30® COVERED CALL ETF(DJIA)$ Imagehttps://twitter.com/SmartReversals/status/1840848594003276064
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ - That was an interesting intra-day bounceThe candle is a bullish engulfing one, price action looks positive, the only potential element to be cautious about is the Bollinger breached in the 2H timeframe. (It's good to be vigilant after the fake breakout on August 30th)5DMA continued holding price by the close. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$ ImageThat candle today look exactly like 8/30 candle 👀The 5DMA has not been breached by the close, so nothing has happened here, but being cautious is a good idea.https://twitter.com/SmartReversals/status/184085393