285
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10-23
Trump Victory Set? Strategies for Asset Allocation Ahead
As October rolls on, the U.S. presidential race is heading in a new direction. The once-booming “Trump Trade” from July is resurfacing, with polls showing Trump taking a clear lead. Markets are already starting to price in the possibility of his victory.So, if Trump wins, what will happen to global capital markets, commodities, bonds, and especially Hong Kong and mainland Chinese stocks?Trump and Harris have sharply different views on critical issues such as inflation, energy, manufacturing, taxation, immigration, and foreign policy. Let's dive into the key sectors:1.Oil PricesOn energy, Trump wants to scrap Biden’s electric vehicle policy and ease regulations on oil and gas. He sees the climate change debate as exaggerated by environmentalists. Harris advocates for stricter regulations on
625
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10-23
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
503
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10-23
$TSLA - Still at the Volume Shelf
$.SPX(.SPX)$ - Still at the Volume Shelf8th indecision candle in a row, 5 DMA continues taming this beast that has changed its personality during the last year: Aggressive moves are expected, but lately after days of consolidation, last time it was all May until mid June as highlighted, enough to desperate both bulls and bears.Yesterday we studied the gap that may act as a magnet, also the volume shelf that is supporting price symmetrically. Today let's study the Money Flow Index:The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the strength and weakness of buying and selling pressure over a specific period. It is based on the assumption that money flow, rather than just price action, is a more accurate indicator of market trends.A
2.82K
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10-23
Is E.coli Outbreak A Fatal Blow to McDonald's?
$McDonald's(MCD)$ plunged 6% after hours after an outbreak of E. coli poisoning linked to its Quarter Pounder burger was named in a warning issued by the US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).The outbreak primarily affected customers in Colorado and Nebraska.The Incredible E. coli Outbreak?INITIAL REPORT: The first case was documented on 27 September, and as the number of cases increased, the CDC issued a warning on 22 October 2024, noting that there had been occurrences at McDonald's shops in multiple states associated with McDonald's Quarter Pounder burgers.CASE STATISTICS: To date, 49 people have been sickened by Quarter Pounder, 10 have been hospitalised, and one elderly person has died as a result of the infection.The CDC has sta
691
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10-23
Why Is $PDD Such a Beast?
Three easy-to-understand charts as to why $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ is such a beast and explains why $BlackRock(BLK)$ upped its stake to 33m ADR shares from 29m in 2Q24. In hindsight, that snafu by management during the 2Q24 earnings call created a buying opportunity that we may not see again. ImageImageImageWow! 🤩 More stock market support from China’s government institutions. Like I said, China is looking at the stock market differently this time around and taking into consideration the market when announcing policies to boost overall confidence.
174
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10-23
Stocks to Consider Amid New US Market Highs & Election
$.SPX(.SPX)$ continues to reach new heights. With the U.S. presidential election coming up on November 5, historically, election years tend to be favorable for the stock market. Since 1960, the S&P 500 has generally risen in election years, with only the exceptions being 2000 and 2008 due to the tech bubble burst and the financial crisis, respectively.Despite polls showing a neck-and-neck race, investor uncertainty hasn't dampened enthusiasm. This year, the S&P 500 has seen modest gains, with 47 new highs recorded in 2024. Following the election, the market might receive another boost, just like in past instances.Understanding Market TrendsMelt-up signifies a situation where various factors converge, pushing the market to unsustainable hig
2.83K
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10-23
Tesla Earnings Ahead: Short Strangle Strategy
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is set to release its earnings report after-hour trading on October 23. Analysts expect Q3 2024 revenue to reach $25.674 billion, a year-over-year increase of 9.95%. However, earnings per share are projected at $0.50, down 5.96% compared to last year.In Q2, Tesla's revenue grew about 2.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations and showing a return to positive growth. Still, disappointing actual sales revenue and the delayed Robotaxi announcement led to a downturn, with shares dropping over 12% post-earnings.During the recent Robotaxi event, despite Elon Musk's ambitious promises, the lack of critical data left investors unsatisfied, resulting in nearly a 9% decline in stock price on that day.What to Watch in Q3For the
233
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10-23
How Phillip Morris become top of the peers?
$Philip Morris(PM)$ shares jumped more than 10% after a strong third-quarter 2024 performance that beat market expectations and lifted guidance for the full year.It also had the most successful turnaround of any of the many giants in the tobacco industry.Q3 overall resultsTotal sales: $198.6 billion, up 2.4 per cent year-on-year, beating expectations of 2.3 per cent.Revenue: revenues increased 8.4% year-over-year to approximately $9.91 billion, beating market expectations of $9.66 billion, theProfit: adjusted EPS increased 18% to $1.91.Gross margin: Gross margin also improved due to a higher proportion of high margin smokeless products.Operating income: Adjusted operating income increased by 13.8% year-on-year, demonstrating the effectiveness of the
738
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10-23
Option Movers | This Microsoft Call Soars 627%; DJT Stock Surges As Bets Rise on Trump Election Odds, Options Pop
U.S. stocks ended little changed on Tuesday (Oct. 22), but the Nasdaq eked out a modest gain while investors kept an eye on Treasuries yields and awaited more earnings to assess the health of American companies.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 35,672,157 contracts was traded on Tuesday.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: $Nvidia(NVDA)$; $Tesla(TSLA)$; $Microsoft(MSFT)$; $Apple(AAPL)$; $Amazon(AMZN)$; $AMD(AMD)$; $Super Micro Computer(SMCI)$; $General
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10-23
Earnings Preview: Google at the Edge of a Breakthrough
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ is set to report its Q3 earnings on October 29 after the market closes. Analysts expect revenues of around $86.2 billion and operating profit of $27.4 billion, marking year-over-year growth of 12% and 14%, respectively. These estimates seem reasonable given the broader positive advertising trends, positioning Google to meet expectations.Investor concerns about Google losing its search monopoly seem largely exaggerated. In Q3, Google actually gained market share in search, while ChatGPT’s traffic was a mere fraction—less than 5%—of Google Search’s. On valuation, Google’s stock looks cheap, trading at around 17 times its expected EV/EBIT for 2025.Google's stock has underp
1.69K
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10-23
Best Option Strategy For Slightly Declining Market?
Recently, a lot of users posting short orders of $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ , but the strong stock price has made them swallow their losses after NVIDIA continues to make new highs.Whether it's a game of "short-term pullbacks" or the anticipation of an "inflection point," options can often be used to make gains while reducing losses.Compared to naked shorting, buying Put and selling Call on a single leg, a combination of option strategies is often more suitable for investors with limited risk appetite.In the case of PUT, for example, is there a strategy that can satisfy both:Being bearish and short, with the opportunity to eat profits on retracements;The ability to minimise losses and even still make a profit if things don't go as planned and the stock m
TOPBellaFaraday: Awesome strategies for a slightly declining market
737
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10-23
The prices of Keppel REIT and Mapletree Logistics Trust have declined recently, but in my view, they remain elevated when compared to their respective 52-week lows. Given this, I am hesitant to make any quick purchasing decisions at this time. While the dip may appear attractive to some investors, I believe the current market conditions warrant a more cautious approach. One of the key reasons I am holding back is the prevailing high interest rate environment. With interest rates at elevated levels, real estate investment trusts (REITs) like Keppel REIT and Mapletree Logistics Trust often face greater challenges. Higher interest rates typically increase borrowing costs, which can put pressure on REITs that rely heavily on debt to finance their property acquisitions and expansions. This, in
1.94K
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10-22
I opened $VRT 20241115 115.0 PUT$ ,📈 Noted lotsa whales picking up bullish option premium at strike level $120 for the 11/15 expiration terms. Seems to be gearing up for some upward moves post earnings announcement! Wagering a bet
VRT PUT
10-22 21:37
US20241115 115.0
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 9.40 | +30.86% Holding |
1.91K
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10-22
I closed $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ ,Closing out my most recent position to free up funds for an opportunity on the horizon. Still believe that LULU will be breaking out of its range soon albeit hindered by rate cut uncertainties.
LULU
10-22 21:42
USLululemon Athletica
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Close | 297.50 | -20.68% Closed |
TOPYour dedication to value investing and swing trading is impressive. Wishing you a prosperous journey ahead with the added boost of your Cashboost account. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
1.45K
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10-22
I closed 2.0 unit(s) $TLT CALENDAR 250131/241025 PUT 95.0/PUT 95.0$ ,Rolling the position further into 2025 as I may be assigned the put option for this week. Long term position remain intact and interest rate cut would be gradual.
TLT Calendar
10-22 22:10
US95.0/95.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Close | -1.94 2 | -- Closed |
TOPAppreciate the detailed share of your trading plan. Your focus on value and timing is spot on. May your investment journey continue to be fruitful and rewarding. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
2.38K
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10-22
I opened $AMZN VERTICAL 241108 CALL 195.0/CALL 205.0$ ,Thought of entering a bet in Amzn price to go up during earnings announcement. Risking less than 1% of my capital. There is potential of risk reward 1:2.
AMZN Vertical
10-22 22:47
US195.0/205.0
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Debit Open | 3.04 | -- Holding |
TOPMuch appreciation on your openness of your trading strategies and Best of luck with your future trades! Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
6.10K
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10-22
I opened 4 lot(s) $BABA 20241220 87.5 PUT$ ,Baba prices seem to be starting to stagnant. About time to replace my previous baba stock position. Using short puts in lieu of stocks for lesser margin and higher versatility
BABA PUT
10-22 23:31
US20241220 87.5
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 1.36 4Lot(s) | -49.26% Holding |
1.58K
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10-23
I opened $SolarEdge(SEDG)$ ,Trying my bet with solar edge. Pretty oversold and earnings on the way in 2 weeks. Any upbeats news and forecast even when still losing money might be a reversal on the way.
2.34K
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10-23
I opened $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ,Bought some iwm to dollar cost average as I believe the fed cutting rates will be bullish on small caps because small caps need to borrow money to grow and if interest rates are high they need to pay higher interest which will negatively affect their earnings. Price bounce off the 20 sma which is at $220. Next support is at the 50 sma $218
IWM
10-23 01:49
USiShares Russell 2000 ETF
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Open | 221.45 | -1.44% Holding |
12.36K
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10-23
I opened $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ ,Nubank is the largest Fintech bank in Latin America with over 93 million customers in Brazil and 8 million between Mexico and Colombia. Nubank's share price has been on a tear as it is up 78% year todate. Wall Street Analysts are Bullish on Nubank with a Buy rating, Target Price ranging between USD 17.00 and USD 13.50 according to Tipranks. Nubank is scheduled to report its Q3 24 Earnings on November 13 which could possibly send the stock higher!
TOPGreat growth! Nubank is soaring! [Allin]
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