Heading into FED tomorrow, SPY & PLTR is looking strong
1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Heading into FED tomorrow, SPY is looking strong.🔹 3.7 years of backtested data🔹 Net performance: +176.8% 📈🔹 Win rate: 63% with an average win of 2.30%🔹 Max drawdown: -5.8%, showing strong risk control🔹 Reward-to-risk ratio: 3.56, highlighting solid trade efficiency🔥 Momentum is favoring the bulls—let’s see how it reacts tomorrow.ImageImage2.THT Trend Tracker is signaling a high-probability move on $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ .🔹 3.9 years of backtested data🔹 Net performance: +8,198.2% 📈🔹 Win rate: 68% with an average win of 13.25%🔹 Max drawdown: -24.7%, maintaining solid risk control🔹 Reward-to-risk ratio: 5.49, highlighting strong upside potential📈 Entry spotted
Weekly Insights: Improving Inflation Data, Weakening Consumer Confidence—Is the U.S. Market Rebounding or Just a Bear Market Rally?
Performance of Global Equity Indices(in US Dollar) Last week, global equity markets showed overall weakness, yet market sentiment was polarized. In Greater China, the tech sector experienced a slight pullback, but the consumer sector took the lead, driving notable gains in the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300. In the U.S., the stock market temporarily stabilized, ending its streak of consecutive declines. Although the Nasdaq surged on Friday, it still closed the week down by more than 2%. Key Events to Watch This Week: Macro Focus → The FOMC meeting will be the primary event. Sector Focus → The NVIDIA GTC Conference for AI industry updates. Stock Focus → A wave of Chinese company earnings, with special attention to Tencent, Xiaomi, and their AI outlooks. Key Market Themes Improving
Fall -50% In 5 Trading Day, Can Affirm Recover From Walmart Loss?
$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ (NASDAQ: AFRM) is a leading Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) financial technology company that provides point-of-sale financing solutions. The company generates revenue primarily through merchant fees, consumer interest income, and servicing fees. Following the earnings release In Feb 25, Affirm's stock surged by 30% to $83 Analysts from Mizuho Securities and J.P. Morgan expressed optimism, raising price targets and maintaining strong ratings. Affirm Holdingsfaces new competition as Klarna announced a partnership with OnePay to offer installment loans at Walmart Inc. (NYSE: $Wal-Mart(WMT)$). With this exclusive agreement, Affirm will no longer provide installment loan services for Wa
$AML3D LTD(AL3.AU)$ This is supposedly about silver, but I will probably leave that for the next article. Why so?@CaptainTiger There is a critical price point for this company stock price that I have been following for the past few days. As I have shared AML3D a couple of times before, I felt compelled to highlight this. I have zoomed into the primary chart. I mentioned previously about watching 11.5 cents. I was surprised that it broke through last week. One week on, that concern proved unfounded. It now appears as a false break. However, AML3D is not entirely out of the woods. Nevertheless, promising shoots have emerged. The downtrend appears to have finally arrested. After forming lower h
HSI – Another month of sustained relative strength.
$HSI(HSI)$ Hang Seng Futures (Update) – Another month of sustained relative strength. When filtering trading ideas, relative strength must take priority, as price action is objective and factual, whereas technical analysis of your favorite setups are merely a reflection of your perceived risk-reward projections, making it susceptible to bias.Even on the US side, look at the relative strength of $CVS Health(CVS)$ and $Root, Inc.(ROOT)$ since my last post. I never expected to be interested in those names, but you have to listen to and follow the market first, before your intuition. ImageImage
Tencent Q4 Earning Boosts, Still Cheaper Than AAPL?
After the Hong Kong stock market closed on March 19th, $TENCENT(00700)$ announced its Q4 '24 and full-year financial results. $Tencent Holding Ltd.(TCEHY)$ Looking over the first three quarters of 24 earnings, Tencent complete show the recovery rebound cycle in the new atmosphere of the big technology companies, on the one hand, the revenue side of the open source to further accelerate, at the same time the cost side of the cost side is not restrained, restarted to invest in the cycle, in particular, Q3 mentioned to increase the investment in capital expenditures (AI direction), and on the other hand, the profit side of the run, not only after the first few years of cost-cutting and efficiency gainsrate
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla's Decline in 2025 Tesla is down nearly 50% from All Time High in 2025, and I don't think many investors should be surprised by this. It's widely accepted that Tesla's stock was overvalued, even among its biggest supporters. While they may have acknowledged the overvaluation, they were still willing to hold onto Tesla shares due to the positive momentum surrounding the company, especially boosted by Tesla's CEO’s relationship with President Donald Trump, which generated even more enthusiasm. It became more about momentum than actual business fundamentals. Now that the stock has corrected by 42%year-to-date, this drop shouldn’t come as a shock. Weak Business Fundamentals The company’s business fundamentals haven’t been gre
Elliott Wave Analysis Suggests a Strong Bullish Cycle as PEL Completes Wave II Correction Piramal Enterprises Ltd (PEL) has completed its Wave II correction. Now, the stock is in the early stages of a strong bullish cycle. The Elliott Wave count suggests that the stock has formed a significant bottom and is set to advance in an impulsive Wave III. The invalidation level remains at 333 INR. As long as the price stays above this mark, the bullish outlook remains intact. The right-side tag further confirms that the stock favors higher prices in the long term. Wave Structure and Market Outlook: Previously, PEL completed a five-wave advance, marking the end of a higher-degree Wave I. A corrective Wave II followed, pushing prices lower. Now, the market has started a fresh impulse, wit
Gold Miners ETF (GDX) shows incomplete bullish sequence from 30 December 2024 low favoring more upside. Up from 30 December, wave (1) ended at 43 and pullback in wave (2) ended at 38.58. Wave (3) higher is in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 42.31 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 40.2 as the 30 minutes chart below shows. Wave 3 higher is in progress as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 41.22 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 40.71. The ETF then nested higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 42.04 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 41.22. Wave (iii) higher ended at 43.87 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 43.21. Final leg wave (v) ended at 45.65
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) New Buying Opportunity
The world’s largest dedicated semiconductor foundry Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM) is down 25% from January peak. However, we’ll be looking at the Elliott Wave structure within the weekly daily cycles and we’ll explain why we believe it’s the right time to buy the stock. Looking at the weekly chart for TSM, It is showing an impulsive 3 waves move into new all-time highs. Wave I peak was in 2021 followed a 3 waves Flat structure in wave II ending in 2022. After that, the stock started the current rally in progress within wave (III) which is still looking for wave V before seeing a larger degree correction in wave (IV). Moreover, we consider the rally from all time lows as an incomplete bullish sequence missing 2 more swings before ending the entire cycle. TSM
🎁What the Tigers Say | Nvidia Dips at GTC 2025: Buy the Dip?
Nvidia’s highly anticipated AI summit, GTC 2025, is set to take place in San Jose, showcasing breakthroughs in AI, robotics, healthcare, and more. While excitement builds, NVDA stock is dipping—could this be another buying opportunity, or will we see a "sell the fact" reaction?Will Nvidia hold above $120 this week, or is more downside ahead?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.Click titles to read the full analysis:1. @nerdbull1669: Why Nvidia GTC 2025 Matters For Tech, AI and Quantum StocksKey Points:Stocks to WatchDirect Beneficiaries: NVD
Forrest Li of Sea Runs for FAS Chief: Can He Lead Lions to New Heights?
Tech billionaire Forrest Li, the founder of $Sea Ltd(SE)$ and chairman of the Lion City Sailors, has officially announced his candidacy for the presidency of the Football Association of Singapore (FAS).With the FAS election fast approaching on April 28, the question on everyone’s mind is:Can Forrest Li, a seasoned entrepreneur known for his success with Shopee, lead Singapore’s football team to greater achievements?Forrest Li’s leadership is already well-established in the tech world.Shopee, founded by Li in 2015, quickly grew into Southeast Asia’s largest e-commerce platform, revolutionizing online shopping with its mobile-first approach and innovative logistics solutions.His ability to identify market gaps and create user-centric p
Is the Pullback Over? Review of SPX’s >5% Corrections Since 2009
Recently, the sentiment in the US stock market has experienced significant pullbacks.The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ experienced a rebound over two days but then fell again on Tuesday.Despite this, investors continue to capitalize on lower prices, as evidenced by the third-largest weekly inflow into equities ever recorded by $Bank of America(BAC)$ from its private clients.1. Has the recent pullback in the U.S. stock market come to an end?According to CNN’s Fear and Greed Index, investor sentiment plunged into the “extreme fear” zone in February and early March. However, as the market digests some of the negative factors, some investors are beginning to turn cautiously optimistic.The
Bitcoin ETF Inflows Finally Turning Green Again 🌱📈
$BlackRock(BLK)$ buys 2660 $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ , largest inflow in six weeks. Big players like Fidelity and ARK Invest just scooped over $40M in BTC@thomas_fahrer$BTC ETF see inflow of $274,600,000 on Tuesday, adding to a $350M two-day streak—a notable reversal from last week’s weak momentum. @bitwardinvestSeems $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ volume has trickled to a virtual halt, and net inflows were positive for the first time in a while.Have Bitcoin ETF outflows finally reversed? After weeks of sustained outflows, totaling over $5b, the largest since the ETFs launched, Bitcoin ETF flows are showing signs of a turnaround. Inflows this week are already over
$LG Display(LPL)$ Earning Overview In the fourth quarter of 2024, LG Display reported revenues of approximately KRW 7,832.9 billion, a 15% increase compared to the previous quarter and a 6% year-over-year growth. This rise was primarily driven by a significant expansion in smartphone panel shipments. The company achieved an operating profit of KRW 83.1 billion, marking a notable turnaround from the operating loss of KRW 469 billion in Q1 2024. This improvement is attributed to a strategic focus on OLED-centric business upgrades and rigorous cost-saving measures. For the full year of 2024, LG Display experienced a substantial profit improvement of approximately KRW 2 trillion, despite facing mid-KRW 100 billion one-off expenses in both Q3 and Q4. T
Markets Tumble and Gold Shines: What’s Driving the Global Investment Shift on March 18, 2025? Introduction On March 18, 2025, the U.S. stock market took a hit, with major indices sliding amid growing economic uncertainty. The S&P 500 dropped 1.07% to 5,614.66, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.62% to 41,581.31, and the Nasdaq Composite slumped 1.71% to 17,504.12. Meanwhile, global investors are pivoting toward safe-haven assets like gold—now at $2,948.50 per ounce, up 0.94%—and bonds, with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hovering at 4.282%. What’s behind this turbulence, and where are global investment trends heading? This article dives into the data, unpacks the economic forces at play, and explores what it all means for investors. U.S. Markets: A Sea of Red Today’s market actio
Market Trends Ahead of the Federal Reserve Meeting
This Thursday at 2:00 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will hold its interest rate setting meeting, which receives significant market attention, especially during quarterly meetings. Previously, there were pessimistic expectations about the Fed cutting rates twice this year. If the post-meeting press conference does not convey a sufficiently hawkish stance, the market might become more optimistic, potentially boosting indices further. Therefore, stock index trends might change around Wednesday this week. If there's a significant rebound on Monday and Tuesday, investors should be cautious about potential peak rebounds on Wednesday, as the market's fear index (VIX) is relatively high, and a double bottom is quite common.Wind Direction: Will the Federal Reserve Remain Cautious This Month,
Mag 7 Valuations Dip But Still Expensive: How Do Analysts Expect FOMC?
US stocks are once again caught in a sell-off.Rhys Williams, Chief Investment Officer of Wayve Capital, stated that the market will remain volatile until April 2nd. The April 2nd date he refers to marks the implementation of Trump's so-called "reciprocal tariffs," with tariffs on agricultural products also taking effect on the same day.The market is awaiting the FOMC decision, but it seems unlikely there will be any positive news.Probability of Rate Cut Only 1%?Tiger US Securties Analysts believe:Powell is likely to continue with data-driven statements.Currently, the trend of economic weakness is not yet obvious, and combined with the uncertainty of the tariff policies' impact on inflation, the Fed has no reason to cut rates at this point. Therefore, tomorrow's market focus will be on the
Wednesday Focus: FOMC Would be Neutral But Equity Remain Expensive
1. Market Commentary on Wednesday’s FOMCAfter two consecutive days of rebound, the market resumed its decline today. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ gained a total of 2.78% over Friday and Monday, slightly above the historical average rebound of +2.45% following a 10% correction, making it a relatively normal occurrence (see last Thursday Commentary).The most important macro event this week is Wendesday’s FOMC meeting. Based on interest rate futures pricing, the probability of a rate cut tomorrow is only 1%. We believe this pricing is reasonable—economic weakness is not yet evident enough, and uncertainty surrounding the inflationary impact of tariff policies gives the Fed no reason to cut rates at this moment. Therefore, the market's focus will be on the