To The Moon

$SPX defended the W4 triangle low while $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$ swept its June low, creating a bullish SMT divergence. The key trigger now is a breakout above the bearish FVG resistance — a daily close above that level could confirm a new move toward all-time highs. Meanwhile, $MSFT’s Elliott Wave setup hit the 402 target, validating the bullish thesis. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Do or die for $SPX. Price held the W4 triangle low. $NQ swept its June low. SPX didn't. Bullish SMT — DIVERGENCE PRINTED. A new bearish FVG is now the last thing standing between us and new all-time highs. Daily close above the FVG resistance = BUY SIGNAL. Lean stays bullish. Below the triangle → local top warning

There’s a new open weights model out this week many are talking about - Kimi K3. It’s not technically open weights YET, but on their launch blog, they said" “The full model weights will be released by July 27, 2026.” At first pass, what stood out initially is the size of the model. K3 is a 2.8 trillion parameter MoE (16 of 896 experts active per token), which makes it the largest open model ever released (I think this is true, but haven’t fully fact checked everywhere). It’s ahead of DeepSeek V4-Pro at 1.6T (which I believe was the largest before K3). It has a 1M token context window, native multimodality, and seems to be built for agentic work. A lot of the launch materials / demos focused more on things like long-horizon coding, demos where it navigated massive repos, multi-hour autonomo

AI can't run without 3 things: compute, memory, energy. One stock sits at the center of all 3: Its actually $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and 3 reasons here: 1. Compute — it is the compute. When the world says "AI compute," it means NVIDIA. GPUs are the industry standard for training and inference, with an estimated 80–90%+ share of AI accelerators. Everyone else is building around their stack (CUDA, NVLink, the rack). 2. Memory — $NVDA is why HBM is a bottleneck. They don't fab a single DRAM die, yet every HBM stack $SK hynix(SKHY)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ and Samsung can produce is effectively pre-sold to feed their roadmap. $NVDA doesn't supply the memory it sets the demand cu

President Trump said to buy $Intel(INTC)$ at $20. This year it hit $140+ Now it reports earnings Thursday down to ~$97. Here's the full earnings analysis: $Intel(INTC)$ — Thurs, after close Guidance: ~$13.8–14.8B rev, 39% margin, $0.20 EPS all sequential declines. Trades ~147x fwd. Street PT: $96. 31 of 48 analysts on Hold. Govt + $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ($5B) + SoftBank ($2B) = a floor, not a launchpad. 🔴 Bearish into the print. Priced for perfection after a 278% run; Foundry losses are the swing factor. $GE Vernova Inc.(GEV)$ — Wed, before open The clean Wednesday-daytime story (no mega-cap noise til the close). AI-datacenter po

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The tech selloff has pushed the index below its 20 and 50 daily moving averages. Considering the bearish crossover in the oscillator, this suggests further declines ahead. The previous two bounces occurred with a more reset oscillator, which is not the case today. The 20 daily moving average was breached and the oscillator is falling from overbought conditions, with a lot of space before getting oversold. Losing this moving average is usually concerning.

$Pepsi(PEP)$ $PepsiCo, Inc.(PEP) Rebounds +2.98%: Dividend Giant Defends Support, $140 Level in Focus 📈 Latest Close Data Closed at $139.43 on 2026-07-17, up +2.98% (+$4.03). Currently 18.8% below its 52-week high of $171.48. 📅 Core Market Drivers The stock gained alongside a strong day for the broader soft drinks sector. 🥤 Persistent inflation concerns and a recent downgrade by Citi (to Neutral, target $145) continue to weigh on the near-term sentiment, capping upside momentum. 📉 Technical Analysis Volume of 7.8M shares was below average (Volume Ratio: 0.76), suggesting the rally lacked strong conviction. The 6-day RSI jumped to 52.0 from oversold levels, showing a sharp rebound. However, the MACD remains in negative territory (DIF

$Coca-Cola(KO)$ $The Coca-Cola Company (KO) Soared +3.00%: Defensive Giant Breaks $84, $98 Target in Sight Latest Close Data 📈 Closed at $84.92 on 2026-07-17, up +3.00% (+$2.47). Now just $0.76 shy of its 52-week high of $85.68. Core Market Drivers 💡 Multiple Wall Street banks, including UBS and Citi, have raised their price targets (up to $98), citing confidence in the company's growth strategy. The company recently announced a maintained quarterly dividend of $0.53/share, reinforcing its income appeal. Its Indian bottling subsidiary's planned IPO signals aggressive expansion in a key growth market. Technical Analysis 🔍 Volume was elevated at 1.26x the average, confirming the breakout move. The 6-day RSI jumped to 64.8, indicating s

$MasterCard(MA)$ $Mastercard (MA) Surges +3.05%: Bullish Momentum Reclaims $550 Zone 🚀 Latest Close Data 📊 MA closed at $551.54 (+3.05% | +$16.33) on July 17, 2026. The stock is now 8.35% below its 52-week high of $601.77. Core Market Drivers ⚙️ The rally was fueled by strong capital inflows, with a net inflow of $16.14 million on the day. The stock is also rebounding from a recent dip, with the broader tech sector showing mixed signals. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume was 2.93M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.06), indicating healthy participation. Key indicators are bullish: RSI(6) at 78.4 suggests overbought conditions, signaling strong short-term momentum. MACD shows DIF (12.18) > DEA (9.33) with a positive histogram (5.69), confirming the

$Lowe's(LOW)$ $Lowe's Companies, Inc.(LOW) Rebounds +3.10%: Strong Buy Momentum, Key Resistance at $242.56 🛠️📈 📊 Latest Close Data As of July 17, 2026, LOW closed at $216.16, up +3.10% (+$6.50). The stock is trading -26.2% below its 52-week high of $293.06, showing significant recovery room. Volume was robust at 4.23M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.49). 💡 Core Market Drivers The home improvement sector is showing resilience amid stable consumer spending on housing. Recent market volatility in broader tech has driven some rotation into value/retail names like LOW. The company maintains a strong operational and financial outlook. 📈 Technical Analysis The surge was backed by above-average volume, confirming buying interest. RSI(6) jumped shar

$Starbucks(SBUX)$ $Starbucks Corp.(SBUX) Surges +3.10%: AI-Driven Cost Cuts & Bullish Upgrades Fuel Rally, $108.88 High in Sight ☕📈 Latest Close Data 📊 Closed at $108.37 on 2026-07-17, up +3.10% (+$3.26). The stock is now just $0.51 away from its 52-week high of $108.88. Core Market Drivers 🚀 AI Cost Savings: The company announced plans to use internal AI tools to replace some Microsoft/IBM applications, targeting ~$400M in annual IT savings. Analyst Optimism: Multiple banks, including Morgan Stanley (target: $111) and Citi (target: $108), have recently raised their price targets, citing improved fundamentals. Technical Analysis 📉 Volume: Trading volume was 6.23M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.12), indicating healthy participation in

$McDonald's(MCD)$ $McDonald's Corp (MCD) Rallies +3.21%: Bulls Defend Key Support, Eyeing $300+ Zone 🍔📈 Latest Close Data MCD closed at $273.46 on 2026-07-17, up +3.21% (+$8.51). It's currently ~20% below its 52-week high of $341.75. Core Market Drivers Despite recent target price cuts by several Wall Street banks (e.g., Citi to $335, Deutsche to $325), all maintained their Buy/Overweight ratings, providing underlying confidence. 📊 The stock found a strong footing near its recent low, with upcoming Q2 earnings (expected Aug 4) acting as a potential catalyst. 🗓️ Technical Analysis Volume was solid at 4.81M shares (Volume Ratio 1.17). The RSI(6) rebounded sharply from oversold territory to 51.27, indicating renewed buying momentum. Ho

$Merck(MRK)$ $Merck & Co., Inc.(MRK) Rallied +3.25%: Keytruda Partner's Positive Data Fuels Rebound, Eyes $130+ Zone 🚀 Latest Close Data Closed at $127.63 on 2026-07-17, up +3.25% (+$4.02). This puts it just -2.0% from its 52-week high of $130.29. Core Market Drivers The rally was primarily driven by positive clinical trial results from its Chinese partner Kelun-Bota for Keytruda in lung cancer (released on 07-15), reigniting optimism for the flagship drug's growth. The broader market sell-off in tech may have also prompted a rotation into defensive healthcare names. Technical Analysis Volume was strong at 13.0M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.65), confirming the bullish move. The 6-day RSI surged to 61.42, moving out of neutral territo

$Salesforce.com(CRM)$ $Salesforce (CRM) Rallies +3.40%: AI Cloud Leader Breaks Resistance on Analyst Upgrade, Eyes $175+ Zone 💹 📈 Latest Close Data: Closed at $172.68 on July 17, 2026, up +3.40% (+$5.68). This puts the stock ~37% below its 52-week high of $274.00, showing significant recovery potential. 🚀 Core Market Drivers: The rally is fueled by a bullish analyst upgrade from Guggenheim to "Buy" with a $228 target, highlighting confidence in Salesforce's AI and cloud integration strategy. Additionally, broader market attention on AI agents at the World AI Conference (WAIC 2026) is bolstering sentiment for tech leaders. 📊 Technical Analysis: Volume was healthy at 12.06M shares (Volume Ratio 0.96), supporting the breakout. The 6-da

$Amgen(AMGN)$ $Amgen Inc. (AMGN) Rises +3.70%: Biotech Giant Breaks $371, Analyst Bullishness Intensifies 🚀 Latest Close (07/17/2026): $371.58 (+$13.26, +3.70%). Trading just 5% below its 52-week high of $391.29. Core Market Drivers: Multiple investment banks (UBS, BofA, Truist) raised their price targets, citing strong fundamentals and a promising pipeline. The broader biotech sector is performing well, with peers like AbbVie also up. Recent court victory in Colorado regarding Enbrel pricing provides revenue stability. Technical Analysis: Volume surged to 2.36M shares (Volume Ratio 1.29), confirming breakout strength. 📈 RSI(6) jumped to 68.1, showing strong momentum but approaching overbought. MACD histogram turned less negative (

$IBM(IBM)$ $International Business Machines(IBM) Plunged -25%: Tech Giant's Q2 Warning Sparks Panic, Key Support at $204 🚨 Latest Close Data: 📉 IBM closed at $219.05 on July 17th, 2026, a sharp -3.72% drop. The stock is now -34.1% below its 52-week high of $332.46. Core Market Drivers: 💥 The primary driver was the company's self-initiated Q2 earnings warning, with the CEO admitting to operational missteps. Analyst sentiment turned sharply negative, with Oppenheimer downgrading the stock and citing challenges in achieving double-digit software growth through 2027. Technical Analysis: 📊 The sell-off was on elevated volume (22.5M shares). The RSI(6) at 22.19 indicates the stock is deeply oversold, suggesting a potential for a short-ter

$United Parcel Service Inc(UPS)$ $United Parcel Service (UPS) Jumps +3.75%: Parcel Giant Breaks Consolidation, Eyes $120 Zone Latest Close Data 📊 As of July 17th, UPS closed at $117.18, surging +3.75% (or +$4.24). The stock is now ~4.3% away from its 52-week high of $122.41. Core Market Drivers 🚚 The broader market showed mixed signals, with the S&P 500 down 0.51% and tech stocks under pressure. Key industry news: Amazon's expansion of its trucking services to external businesses continues to pressure the freight/logistics sector, but UPS demonstrated resilience. Strong intraday action, opening at the day's low ($113.25) and rallying to a high of $117.32. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume was robust at 5.06M shares, with a Volume Rati