Global financial markets experienced significant turbulence during the Spring Festival holiday period. The Trump administration's new tariff policies triggered a rollercoaster pattern in European and U.S. stock markets, with initial gains reversed, while Asian markets and international crude oil prices faced downward pressure. Notably, COMEX April gold futures hit a historic high of $2,872 per ounce on February 3. The critical question now is: How will gold prices evolve moving forward? Our analysis suggests that three fundamental bullish factors could propel gold to new highs if current conditions persist.I. Tariff Policies Amplify Market Volatility, Highlighting Gold's Safe-Haven Status1. Trump Policy Impact Exceeds ExpectationsThe February 1 executive order imposing 25% additional tarif

During the Spring Festival holiday, although the domestic market was closed, overseas products continued to trade as usual, and some varieties even reached new highs. This means that we need to re-evaluate these new changes, and adjust the incorrect calculations or judgments. Now, let's take a look at which varieties deserve special attention after the holiday.GoldFirst and foremost, gold has hit a new all-time high. Previously, I thought that gold had peaked at around $2,800. But now it seems that this judgment might have been hasty. Although the top area is still very close, there is still room for one last upward push in the current market. Clearly, the previous triangle consolidation has now disproven the top. It also indicates that the secondary low point, which started at around $2,6

Since our previous blog about Robinhood stock HOOD, the price tripled during a strong bullish upside move. Therefore, we’ll be looking at the daily Elliott Wave Structure and explain the current structure within the cycle. The recent daily rally started in August 2024, HOOD established an impulsive 5 waves structure to the upside within wave III. In addition, it exceeded the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level $41 which confirmed the strong momentum within the 3rd wave. The current advance from 12/20/2024 low is proposed to be wave ((5)) of III as long as it’s holding the divergence in RSI. Consequently, the stock will be looking for more upside to finish a series of 3rd & 4th waves toward $52 – $56 before ending that cycle. HOOD still has the potential of opening

January 20th marked the inauguration of the new U.S. President, Donald Trump, officially kicking off the "Trump 2.0" era. This inauguration was quite different from past ceremonies, breaking several long-standing American traditions. For instance, it was moved from the usual outdoor setting to indoors, foreign leaders were invited—a rare exception—and it set a new record for fundraising. These unique elements definitely made the event stand out.Now, when it comes to the financial markets, what really grabs my attention are the executive orders Trump might sign after taking office. There were plenty of expectations about his policies before, but the real question is whether there will be any surprises. These unexpected moves could shake up the markets, so it's best to tread carefully when t

In the past week, a lot of things have changed, and most of the changes are opposite to the main trend in the third and fourth quarters of 2024. With Trump officially starting his second term in the White House next week, does this "reverse" trend mean a new trend is coming or just the last correction?First of all, let's look at crude oil prices. The price has gone up for three weeks in a row, but it still hasn't helped the bulls get back to the central axis range or break through the downward trend line since 2023. But at least it's not as weak as it was before, hovering around 70. Since there isn't much direct news to drive the oil prices, it's hard to say how reliable this increase is during the semi-holiday period. Whether it can break through the trend line resistance this week or nex

2025 is a new year for every investors，but if the turmoil and conflicts increase in this year, it means that the "risk aversion" sentiment will exist for a long time, and it will have a long-term bullish effect on "risk aversion" assets. Of course, long-term bullish does not mean that there will be no major turmoil in the short term. It is just observed at the annual level that the price of gold has a certain increase every year, but the fluctuation in the middle of the year is not necessarily small.How long does the long-term bull market in gold prices last?According to the observation of the interest rate cut and depreciation cycle of the US dollar, the US dollar is in the interest rate cut stage, which usually causes inflationary sentiment; When the US dollar is in a volatile stage, it

$Apple(AAPL)$ Last warning to all US stock newbies and rookies who only go long: the incoming deep pullback has just begun, be careful not to get caught in your margin call  $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$  $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$  $.IXIC(.IXIC)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  

With the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in December last year and the landing of the dot plot, a recent Goldman Sachs report pointed out that gold prices are no longer expected to hit US $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, but need toArrival postponed until mid-2026,In other words, the newly revised view is about half a year later than the original judgment.In 2024, the price of gold will soar by 27.6%, outperforming most major asset classes except the pie and natural gas accident. Statistics in this area, I mentioned in the previous article, the market generally believes that this wave of rise in gold prices is affected by the loose monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, increased demand for safe havens, and continued gold purchases by global central banks.However, since the be

Entering the new year, it's time to update the forward-looking series of anticipation for this year's market overview. I have shared and discussed this series with you every January since 2019. It is obvious to all how accurate it is. Although the details are slightly biased, the general direction is generally correct. I suggest you keep it for later use and continue to review it later. Be prepared for more investment. As usual, let's start with the U.S. stock index.Recently, some domestic economists are discussing the situation of the U.S. stock market, believing that the U.S. stock index will burst and fall in the next 3-6 months. Although I am skeptical about whether the data listed in the report will burst within 3-6 months, I agree that there is a bubble in the US stock index.Looking

2025 is coming soon, and I wish all investors a successful start!!!Different from previous years, since January 2025, the financial market has ushered in an important drama. Trump, the "new emperor", will hold his inauguration ceremony on January 20th, and the policies and measures implemented after his inauguration will become the focus of the financial market in the future.Because Trump, a businessman, is good at negotiation and flexibility, before the policy is fully implemented, the variables are still large, so the financial market will also cause corresponding fluctuations due to this change. Of course, after the fluctuation, it is better to pay attention to the opportunity.Will U.S. stocks undergo deep adjustments?I have seen some analysis reports recently, and I am not very optimis

In the early morning of Thursday, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve held its last interest rate meeting at the end of this year. As in the past, the results of the meeting itself have been fully expected by the market. What is important is the dot plot after the meeting and the expectation of next year's interest rate path revealed by the Federal Reserve Chairman's speech, which is the core that affects market prices. After last week's meeting, gold prices in the stock market plummeted.It shows that the market has lowered its expectation of the number of interest rate cuts next year. I'm afraid this expectation will not change until the new president takes office and the next interest rate meeting, so I hope everyone will remain cautious about the market.Does it have any impact on the US s

I don't think it is necessary to emphasize the prospect of the medium-term trend of the market. From the short-term trend outlook, I mean the period from mid-December to the end of the month before New Year's Day. Whether there is still a red envelope market in the market, whether the level is large or not, the main external factor isTonight's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.It's quite simple,If tonight's Fed interest rate meeting is the result of a dovish interest rate cut, then we will usher in a big red envelope market; If tonight's Fed interest rate meeting is the result of hawkish interest rate cuts, then we will have a market, but it is expected to be structural, just like the shocks you saw in the past November-December.So, how do you determine whether it is a pigeon or an eag

This Thursday night is the last Federal Reserve interest rate meeting this year, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference after the meeting. The continued interest rate cut of 25 basis points at this meeting has been fully expected by the market, so the market focus will be on the wording of the Fed meeting announcement and the content of Powell's subsequent speech. As Trump will officially take office next year, how the chairman of the Federal Reserve deals with this "new" president is also one of the key points of this meeting. To put it simply, it may be difficult for the Federal Reserve to avoid "political" issues with a neutral position at this meeting. The media are happy to speculate whether the Federal Reserve is with the new president. " Whether to "do it o