as the fed ends its rate hike cycle, the market gets excited, the market being 6 months forward looking. now the market is ahead of itself pricing in rate cuts as early as Mar. the fed officials however are looking at end 2024.  $US2Y(US2Y.BOND)$ is the leading indicator of fed interest rates. it is very sensitive to the economic and inflation data.  we shall overlay us2y on three important charts: $FTSE 100(.UKX.UK)$ , $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  and $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$  .  ukx is the leading indicator of spy. hence it is important to know the effects

Friday's Rebound:  $S&P 500(.SPX)$  ended a four-day losing streak, and the  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ halted its five-day slide on Friday. Week's Outcome: Despite the day's gains, the week concluded with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and  $DJIA(.DJI)$  giving back between 0.6% (for the Dow) and 3.2% (for the Nasdaq). - Portfolio Reassessment: Investors reassessed portfolios and gains from 2023, leading to losses for tech stocks (e.g.,  $Apple(AAPL)$  down 5.9%) and gains for defensive names like  $Verizon(VZ)$  (up 6.6%). Key Events and Out

Public Holidays There are no public holidays for Singapore, Hong Kong, China and the USA in the coming week. Economic Calendar (08 Jan 2024) Notable Highlights CPI data should be hogging the headlines in the coming week as a key consideration for the Fed coming interest rate. CPI is a reflection of inflation in the economy. If the inflation proves to be stubborn, the plans for a Fed pivot can be delayed. Initial Jobless Claims - This reflects the impact of unemployment, a data point for the Fed’s interest rate decision. Crude Oil Inventories can be seen as forward indicators of market demand and consumption. If the trend of excess inventories continues, this is demand erosion that can lead to reduced production & weakening consumer spending. PPI can be seen as a prequel of inflation

The Week AheadMacro Factors - Inflation Data and Bank Earnings on focusAfter a tough start of the year, the week highlight of the release of crucial inflation data, followed by the unofficial kickoff of earnings season on Friday.The December consumer price index (CPI) that’s set for release Thursday is expected to confirm the recent trend of easing inflation. Economists polled by FactSet expect headline CPI increase 3.2% year over year, and a 0.1% more than in November. But core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 3.8%, compared with a 4% gain previously.The CES technology event kicks off in Las Vegas, Nev. The trade show runs through Friday.One of the most highly anticipated in cryptocurrency history: the week the U.S. could finally green light a

Yesterday's Session -Positive Start: Monday saw a positive start to the week for U.S. stocks, with the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ leading the gains by closing 2.2% higher. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 1.4%, while the $DJIA(.DJI)$ increased by 0.6%. However, $Boeing(BA)$ 's 8% decline, triggered by the FAA grounding 737 Max 9 planes, limited the Dow's performance. Index Perf $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ just got done announcing its mid-generation refresh of its graphics cards, but to say that's all the tech company had in store for CES 2024 wouldn't even be telling half the story.

since oct 2023 the houthis have been attacking ships using the red sea route. this has resulted in ships taking the longer cape of good hope route. how will this global supply disruption affect the dec cpi? $US10Y(US10Y.BOND)$ is on a downtrend as cpi cools. $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ is on the same downtrend as us10y. you can see this clearly when both charts are overlaid on each other.  the fed officials remarked that interest rates will be kept high for longer till end of 2024. this caused a rally of us10y and usdindex.  sino-us trade war has been worsening with Taiwan presidential election looming. the surprised 3 way fight is causing jitters in the Chinese and Hong K

SummaryElliott Investment Management, known for activist investing, increased its stake in $Match(MTCH)$ , urging proactive measures to boost stock value. Match, the parent company of Tinder and Hinge, faces scrutiny due to slowing Tinder growth and executive turnover.Facts💼 Elliott Investment Management revealed a 3.30% stake in Match, pushing for performance changes, with specific demands undisclosed.💰 Match's market value sits around $10 billion, with its stock closing at $37.89 per share.📉 Pandemic-driven peak valued Match over $400 billion, but subsequent user decline led to stock depreciation.🌐 Tinder dominates with the most users globally, generating $1.8 billion in 2022, while Hinge soared with a 44% revenue growth.🔄 Concerns arise over Ti

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$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ Here are possible explanations to excessive rally:1) Despite all time highs against a new QT era of competitive fixed-income rates/yields, a shrinking M2 supply, exorbitant Fed and Consumer debt, etc., we really are in a New Bull Market...and last week's relatively minimal sell off will prove to be a dip that should be bought.2) All extended bull markets die on euphoria...and we've arguably had some of that this past year as well. So

Spending... Drop drop drop... cut cut cut... What to do... [Helpless]  [Helpless]  [Helpless]  every cent count... Everything so expensive.... If only salary, bonuses, stocks, dividends, [USD]  [USD]  [USD]  rises like these expensive things wouldn't that  be awesome!  @GoodLife99  @koolgal  @Shyon  @Aqa  @xXxZealandxXx  @Universe宇宙  

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2403(NQmain)$ The biggest trap will come when there is a meaningful correction this year (who knows when) and, at the bottom, all the CHUMPS like Brian, Andrew, Yucheng, whatever, pile on to the tech stonks and AI particularly rather than commodities and industrials. The Mag7 have seen, or will see in the coming month, all time highs that will never be revisited because of macro issues, antitrust enforcement, etc. Mark this post.[Cry][Cry][Cry]Federal Reserve Inflation GIF by eToro