Jobs Report Revised Down! Will it Reinforce September Curse?

The non-farm payrolls for June and July were revised down from 179,000 to 118,000; and 114,000 to 89,000 respectively. After the revisions, the combined number of new jobs added in June and July is 86,000 lower than previously reported. Traders have increased their bets on a 50 basis point rate cut by Fed in September. The September Effect is a supposed market anomaly whereby stock market returns are relatively weak during the month of September. -------------------- Is September Curse coming true? Will there be more declines or rebound on Friday?

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09-02

August EV Sales Review: NIO Sales Soar to New Heights!

Major EV manufacturers released their August delivery numbers yesterday, and the results were a mixed bag.NIO, XPeng & Li AutoStarting with $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ , they delivered 20,176 units in August, a 4.4% increase year-over-year, marking their fourth consecutive month with over 20,000 units. This is solid for NIO, especially since they haven’t launched any new models recently and are relying on their existing lineup. For a company focusing solely on EV, maintaining monthly sales above 20,000 units is impressive.NIO also celebrated the launch of its new brand, ONVO, which kicked off with a “100 Stores Opening” event. ONVO L60 model will be available in 105 stores across 55 cities and 23
August EV Sales Review: NIO Sales Soar to New Heights!

August Economic and Market Review - Stocks have largely recovered

$DJIA(.DJI)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2410(CLmain)$ OverviewStocks have largely recovered from the almost 10% correction seen early in August, which was the worst start to a month since 2002. However, in just 11 trading days the market had recovered and even came near its record July highs.While the Fed has begun to telegraph it will likely cut before the year is out, the market may be jumping the gun, pricing in an aggressive 100bps cut by the end of the year. For September, 63% expect a 25bps cut, and 37% exp
August Economic and Market Review - Stocks have largely recovered

Rate Cut Predictions: What They Mean for the US Economy and Your Investments

The current state of the United States economy is at the center of the market's disagreement over the "rate-cutting cycle".Some participants believe that the U.S. is on the verge of a recession, while others emphasize the resilience of the economy and continued growth.Rate cuts and recession?Current market expectations for rate cuts stem from two main directions:If the U.S. economy falls into recession, the Fed may be forced to cut rates quickly (the first 50 basis points to start) to ease economic downward pressure;If the economy continues to be resilient, the Fed may also take precautionary rate cuts (starting at 25 basis points for the first time) to ensure that the economy achieves a soft landing.More than 70 common U.S. economic data indicators are divided into core, auxiliary and for
Rate Cut Predictions: What They Mean for the US Economy and Your Investments

Why 25bps is still the top option for Sep. FOMC meeting?

The market is highly focused on the last non-farm payrolls data ahead of the upcoming September FOMC meeting, as this data will have a decisive impact on the risk of a future recession and the magnitude of the Fed's rate cut.The market is discussing whether the Fed will cut rates by 25 bps or 50 bps, especially after Powell reiterated the importance of the job market to policy decisions at the Jackson Hole meeting, the possibility of a rate cut is in the spotlight.However, the market's reaction did not form a unified trend, and the performance of various asset classes is not the same.As of now, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September reflected in CME interest rate futures has risen to 71%, while the 50 basis point rate cut is expected to fall back to 29%.Meanwhile, the 10
Why 25bps is still the top option for Sep. FOMC meeting?

Taylor Swift Matter That Much!

I didn't realize that the U.S. General Election Debate could attract the attention of top streamer Taylor Swift, but if it were in the entertainment industry, Trump would already be dead.At this juncture to do such a large section of justified publicity, obviously also brokers together to discuss the results, after all, the people in this industry know the most about the flow, but also the most understanding of "The Crowd", and even in this contrast, Elon Musk's counter-attacks also seem a little "furious!".At the end of the day, Trump's debates are really bad, but not that bad compared to his past performances - after all, he's not a "reasonable" (in the purely literal sense of the word) person - so Kamala Harris hits him on a couple of key points, and they're right on the money:Trump can
Taylor Swift Matter That Much!

Market Sentiment Sours as Fed Rate Cuts Loom Amid Economic Slowdown Fears

Financial markets are grappling with a new wave of uncertainty as economic indicators point towards a slowing labor market and a potential economic slowdown. Despite expectations for Fed rate cuts, the mood among investors has turned cautious, as the prospect of rate reductions is overshadowed by fears of a more pronounced downturn. The most recent jobs report, which showed weaker-than-expected growth, has fueled concerns that the Fed’s efforts to tame inflation may have gone too far, potentially cooling the economy beyond desired levels. This analysis provides a recap of the latest market movements, explores potential future market scenarios, and outlines key catalysts that will shape market sentiment in the coming weeks. Labor Market Slows as Fed Rate Cuts Near The U.S. labor market show
Market Sentiment Sours as Fed Rate Cuts Loom Amid Economic Slowdown Fears
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09-04
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  🎯💥 🚨 Caution: Market Storm Brewing! Brace for NVIDIA’s Next Move!💥🎯 🚨 Tēnā koe i tēnei ahiahi everyone, Barcode here with the latest on the broader market action for 4th of September 2024! Now,  if today’s market drop felt like getting whacked by a wet fish ~ don’t worry, we saw this one coming from a mile away! And guess what? The show’s  just getting started. 🎬 📊 NVIDIA: The Drama Queen of the Market Let’s start with NVIDIA, the star of my charts. She’s throwing a bit of a tantrum and is heading for a retest at the $100 mark. But don’t grab your popcorn just yet ~ this isn’t the kind of bounce you want to ride to the moon. 🚀 Nope, after the bounce, I’m expecting a perfect shorting opportunity as we head into t

A Dive into U.S. Q2 Earnings with Smart Investment Moves Amid Market Swing

Since July this year, weak economic data from the United States has further exacerbated market fears of a recession and led to greater volatility.However, as the market gradually stabilized, investors' expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September became clearer and the market has fully priced in the possibility of a rate cut.From a macro perspective, economic data have been erratic, related to the different stages of the current economic cycle and the "green-tinged" policy environment.Currently, corporate earnings data provides a more micro perspective to help further understand market sentiment.9-5_EI InfographicOverall trend: Q2 earnings performance exceeded expectations, revenue growth and cost control to drive up net profit marginsAt the overall level, U.S. corporate
A Dive into U.S. Q2 Earnings with Smart Investment Moves Amid Market Swing

Made $12 Million in Two Days! Strategy to Bet on VIX Again!

The calm in the U.S. stock market was shattered on Tuesday, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ plunging over 2% and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ soaring. This volatility spike netted an options trader around $12 million in profits by Friday night.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ jumped due to a tech stock sell-off dragging down the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ gapped down 2.8% and continued to slide, ending 9.5% lower at a three-week low of $108, shrinking its market cap by $279 billion.On Friday night, an investor spent nearly $9 million buying 350,000
Made $12 Million in Two Days! Strategy to Bet on VIX Again!

The Likely Direction of Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls Data and Its Stock Market Impact

#JOLTS #Non-Farm Payrolls As investors eagerly await the release of Friday’s non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, there is growing speculation about the state of the U.S. labour market and its potential impact on the stock market. Recent job openings, quits, and services activity data suggest a complex picture of the labour market that could guide expectations for the NFP report. With job openings dropping to their lowest level since January 2021 and quits rates edging higher from 2020 lows, there are clear signs of moderation in the labour market that could influence Friday’s report and, in turn, stock market movements. Key Labor Market Indicators The latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that job openings fell by 237,000 in July to 7.673 million, below market expectation
The Likely Direction of Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls Data and Its Stock Market Impact
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09-01
$Costco(COST)$  📈🎯💡 August's Market Mosaic: Winners, Losers, and Surprising Twists!💡🎯📈 Kia ora Tiger traders! August was a whirlwind for the S&P 500, with a market performance as colorful as a stock trader's dream chart! While tech titans either soared or stumbled, some unexpected pairings emerged as the month’s power couples. Let’s break down the heatmap highlights and find out who led, who lagged, and where the surprises lurked! 🎢 Tech vs. Communication Services: A Tale of Two Sectors 🎢 📉 Google's Red Day: GOOG (Google) saw its share price drop by -4.26%, thanks to the ongoing antitrust investigation that's got them feeling like they're on the Monopoly board's 'Go to Jail' square. Meanwhile, over in the tech corner, AAPL (Apple) +4.87%

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Will Apple Events Surprise Market?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThe U.S. stock market was divided this week, with the $DJIA(.DJI)$ Dow Jones reaching record highs in a row while the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ slowly retraced its steps.Obviously, the interest rate cut market is more favorable to growth stocks, why growth companies instead of performance is weaker?In fact, the main thing that caused the Nasdaq to pull back was the highs and lows of the big tech companies that are heavyweights.Nvidia's earnings this week attracted the attention of the whole market, but in the almost impeccable financial results after there are still 6 points of decline, nothing more than to prove that the current market on its performance statement is expected to be full of s
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Will Apple Events Surprise Market?

September bearish fears spread:Buy VIX, Sell SPY

On Tuesday, $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ rose over 38%, with $W&T Offshore(WTI)$ dropped below $70 per barron for the first time since January and is now down 2% on the year.“$WTI continues to drop amid global demand weakness and particularly, continued worries about Chinese growth. On the supply side, the current shutdowns in Libya may be resolved soon and OPEC+ sources have touted production increases in October. Bounces may run into trouble around the broken $72/73 zone. “—@forexanalytix from X platformThe negative line of the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ on the first trading day of September does send a pessimistic signal. The Market wiped out $1 TRILLION
September bearish fears spread:Buy VIX, Sell SPY

Four Major Economic Events to Watch This Week (September 2-8, 2024)

As we enter the first week of September 2024, several significant economic events are set to shape market movements and investor sentiment. These events are closely tied to anticipated monetary policy changes and economic indicators, making them crucial for market participants to monitor. Here are the four major economic events to watch this week: 1. U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report (Friday, September 6) The most anticipated event of the week is the U.S. Department of Labor's release of the August non-farm payrolls report on Friday. The previous month's data showed an increase of 114,000 jobs, while the expectation for August is a gain of 165,000. This report is particularly significant because it will influence the Federal Reserve's decision at its upcoming policy meeting on September 17-18.
Four Major Economic Events to Watch This Week (September 2-8, 2024)
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08-31
$Kellanova(K)$ $Fortinet(FTNT)$ $Axon Enterprise, Inc.(AXON)$ $Starbucks(SBUX)$ $Clorox(CLX)$ 🎯 August Sizzlers: The Top S&P 500 Performers~Ready for Takeoff or Fizzling Out? 🎯 Kia ora Tiger traders! August zoomed by faster than a SpaceX rocket, but not without leaving some scorch marks on the S&P 500! 🌠 This month was like a good suspense thriller~plenty of twists, a couple of cliffhangers, and a few heroes who saved the day. So, who were the real stars of the show? Let’s dive into the stock market’s August blockbuster! 📊 Broader Market Update: The S&P 500 ha
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08-31
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC(SPX.UK)$  📊 Market Recap & Week Ahead: Your Essential Guide to Staying Ahead in Trading! 📅 🎯 Heat Map Recap: S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 Performance (31 August 2024) Kia ora Tiger traders! Let’s dive into today’s market performance, where the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 all strutted their stuff in the post-market limelight: 📊 S&P 500 ($SPX) - Performance: The S&P 500 held its ground, showing that tech is still the heavyweight champ. - Key Movers: - Nvidia ($NVDA): +1.51% — The AI darling keeps flexing its muscles. - Amazon ($AMZN): +3.71% — Shopping carts aren’t the only thing overflowing; AMZN's gains are too

29 August Market Mixed Performance As Nvidia Fell Sharply Despite Positive Earnings

Market saw major indices put in a mixed performance Thursday as shares of Nvidia decline sharply despite a positive earnings but investors are looking for high growth outlook. S&P 500 closed flat while NASDAQ fell by -0.23% with both indexes losing ground late in the day as the Nvidia selling intensified. Only DJIA managed to gain +0.59% to close at record high for the third time in four days. Other mega-cap tech stocks were mostly higher on Thursday, with Meta Platforms (META), Microsoft (MSFT), $Apple(AAPL)$ and Amazon (AMZN) gaining ground while Alphabet (GOOGL) finished lower. Economic Data Weekly jobless claims figures released early Thursday came in as expected, while the latest revision to gross domestic product numbers showed that the
29 August Market Mixed Performance As Nvidia Fell Sharply Despite Positive Earnings

What is the extraordinary sub-industry in volatile market?

With interest rate cuts on the horizon and increased market volatility ahead of economic data releases, overall volatility of the broader market has increased since August, and the $S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX)$ has moved up and down and has seen more frequent flows of capital between sectors.In addition to more inflows into interest rate-sensitive sectors such as REITs, more attention has been paid to defensive sectors, which have long been characterized as "high dividend paying, counter-cyclical" subsectors that are typically resilient to asset volatility.TobaccoUnconsciously, several giants of the tobacco sector, has hit no less than 30% rise in the year, and since August obviously all the way up.We believe the tobacco sector's strength has b
What is the extraordinary sub-industry in volatile market?
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08-29
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$  📊 Market Warning - 29 August 2024: NVIDIA’s Plunge Signals Danger Ahead—Extreme Short Term Caution Required! 📊 Kia ora Tiger traders! I’m a little late with my report today after a big nap this afternoon following a huge night last night watching the market and Nividia’s performance. Phew that’s done and dusted right! Strap in and hold tight~NVIDIA delivered a gut punch that could send shockwaves through the entire market! With a jaw-dropping 10% drop, this market leader’s performance is a flashing red warning

How To Beat The Market When A Correction Is looming?

As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates for the first time this year and the US election at the end of the year approaches, the recent trend of major assets has become increasingly lackluster. This opportunity, which seems to be brewing to break through the market, is actually not highly operable. Coupled with the lack of trading cost performance of several varieties with significant trends, we tend to see more and move less at this stage, which may be a better choice.First of all, on the three carriages mentioned earlier, gold is already very close to the target price expected at the beginning of the year (2575 +). If you get on the bus now to do long positions, it is easy to waste time at high positions or be washed away due to shocks. Although the trend of U.S. stocks is still good,
How To Beat The Market When A Correction Is looming?