Market bets on Trump’s win? Early rally coming back?

$Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ hit $30 per share during intraday session, and closed at $29.95. The stock has risen 86% in this month. The huge rally was prompted by the betting odds change as Trump took the lead over Harris in the betting odds for the first time since the debate.

Harris's poll numbers have been steadily declining since October. On October 10, wall Street traders bought $9.47 million worth of call options on DJT, with an expiration date of November 15.

Besides DJT, Bitcoin exceptionally active, hitting $66,000 in the past two days. At the same time, Harris has pledged to support a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ has surpassed its previous high of $200, reaching $227.

Meanwhile, the bankrupt Mt. Gox cryptocurrency exchange postponed the repayment deadline for its remaining assets (estimated at around $2.9 billion by Arkham Intelligence) by one year to October 31, 2025.

Elliott Wave technical analysis suggests that Bitcoin’s Wave IV decline is likely nearing completion, and the price is re-entering an uptrend.

Yesterday, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ hit $139 during intraday trading. Do you get the feeling that the early-year rally is coming back?

At the start of the year, Bitcoin and Nvidia led the market rally, heating up the market significantly.

Will it be the same two sectors leading the rally by the end of the year?

Is now a good time to get in?

Would you invest in DJT or BTC?

Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

# MSTR Drops After Earnings: Is It a Buy Below 300?

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  • Cadi Poon
    ·2024-10-15
    自10月份以來,哈里斯的民調數字一直在穩步下降。10月10日,華爾街交易員在DJT買入了價值947萬美元的看漲期權期權,到期日爲11月15日。

    除了DJT之外,比特幣也異常活躍,過去兩天觸及66,000美元。與此同時,哈里斯承諾支持加密貨幣的監管框架。$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$已超過此前200美元的高點,達到227美元。

    與此同時,破產的Mt.Gox加密貨幣交易所將其剩餘資產(Arkham Intelligence估計約爲29億美元)的還款期限推遲了一年,至2025年10月31日。

    艾略特波浪技術分析表明,比特幣第四波下跌可能已接近完成,價格正在重新進入上升趨勢。

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  • TimothyX
    ·2024-10-15
    昨天,$英偉達公司(NVDA)$盤中觸及139美元。您是否感覺年初的反彈正在捲土重來?

    年初,比特幣和英偉達引領市場上漲,大幅升溫市場。

    到年底,這兩個板塊會引領反彈嗎?

    現在是入場的好時機嗎?

    你會投資DJT還是BTC?

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  • TheStrategist
    ·2024-10-15
    He's definitely winning, Kamala is gone. Remember this???
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  • MHh
    ·2024-10-15
    TOP
    BTC is too expensive with the surge. I don’t think it is a good time to get in now though I still think there is a good chance of further rally. DJT is too speculative for me and so I wouldn’t touch it.
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  • icycrystal
    ·2024-10-16
    TOP
    at the moment, I won't want to invest in either DJT or BTC.

    bitcoin is too volatile for my liking...

    @HelenJanet @LMSunshine @koolgal @Shyon @Aqa @Universe宇宙 @rL @GoodLife99 @TigerGPT @SPACE ROCKET

    Will it be the same two sectors leading the rally by the end of the year?

    Is now a good time to get in?

    Would you invest in DJT or BTC?

    Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

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    • Shyon
      Thanks for sharing hehe
      2024-10-16
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    • TigerAI

      对于BTC(比特币)和DJT(特朗普媒体科技集团)的投资分析如下:

      比特币(BTC):  

      公司名称:Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust  

      股票代码:BTC  

      股价:2024-10-16为5.92美元  

      支撑价格:2024-10-14为5.54美元  

      阻力价格:2024-10-14为5.85美元  

      平均成本:2024-10-14为5.36美元  

      近期资金流向:过去5天的资金流向表现不稳定,有正有负,最新一天的资金流入为2675.47万,流出为2649.31万。大单买入为351.93万,大单卖出为393.14万。  

      收益率:2024-10-14收益率为0.9946  

      请注意,由于比特币市场的高度波动性,投资比特币存在较大的风险。在考虑投资比特币时,需要谨慎评估风险和自身承受能力。

        特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT):  

        公司名称:特朗普媒体科技集团  

        股票代码:DJT  

        股价:2024-10-16为32.2937美元  

        支撑价格:2024-10-14为20.75美元  

        阻力价格:2024-10-14为39.25美元  

        平均成本:2024-10-14为29.32美元  

        近期资金流向:过去5天的资金流向较为波动,最新一天的资金流入为6.77亿,流出为7.17亿。大单买入为1.55亿,大单卖出为1.62亿。  

        收益率:2024-10-14收益率为0.6994  

        特朗普媒体科技集团的股价表现相对稳定,但投资股票仍然存在风险。在考虑投资特朗普媒体科技集团时,需要充分了解该公司的业务和行业前景,并谨慎评估个人风险承受能力。

        总体而言,比特币市场的波动性较大,特朗普媒体科技集团的股价相对稳定。投资BTC是否合适取决于个人风险偏好和投资目标。非专业投资者应慎重考虑,建议在投资之前充分了解相关风险,并谨慎评估自身的财务状况和风险承受能力。

        请注意以上内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。股市投资存在风险,股价可能会波动,投资者需要自行判断和决策。

      2024-10-16
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  • SPACE ROCKET
    ·2024-10-16
    Was tempted to buy DJT when it was $14+ but didn't. What a pity haha
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  • highhand
    ·2024-10-16
    as you saw, yesterday market dip... but you know why... market preparing for big big big rally to year-end... all sectors will go up, not just tech and I'm talking about healthcare, financials, consumer discretionary, and probably others. maybe not energy and oil because No War... but we don't like war... [Comfort] ✌️ peace
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  • Universe宇宙
    ·2024-10-16
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    • TigerAI

      Apologies, but I couldn't find any relevant data for the technical analysis of "Trump Media & Technology (DJT)" or "Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust (BTC)". It is important to note that "Trump Media & Technology (DJT)" is not a publicly traded company, and therefore there might be limited information available for analysis.

      Regarding the market's bets on Trump's win and the possibility of an early rally, it is essential to consider multiple factors beyond stock prices and betting odds. Political outcomes and their influence on the financial markets are complex and uncertain. It is advised to approach such predictions with caution and not solely rely on them for investment decisions.

      As for Bitcoin and the overall market rally, it is crucial to conduct a comprehensive analysis considering various indicators and trends. The recent increase in Bitcoin's price and the positive sentiment around the market could be influenced by factors such as institutional adoption and regulatory developments.

      Investing in specific stocks or cryptocurrencies involves risks, and it is important to carefully evaluate your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Consulting with a financial advisor would be prudent to assess your individual circumstances and make informed investment choices.

      Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

      2024-10-16
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  • Shyon
    ·2024-10-16
    TOP
    The recent surge in Trump Media & Technology $TRUMP MEDIA & TECHNOLOGY GROUP CORP(DJT)$ , rising 86% this month due to shifting betting odds, highlights the impact of political events on stock prices. Whether DJT and Bitcoin (BTC) will continue to lead the market rally by year-end remains uncertain. DJT could benefit from political developments, while Bitcoin may gain from increased institutional adoption and favorable regulations.

    As for timing, it depends on your risk tolerance. DJT’s volatility may attract those seeking high-risk, high-reward opportunities, but caution is advised given its speculative nature. On the other hand, Bitcoin might offer a more stable investment, especially if the broader crypto market recovers.

    Ultimately, choosing between DJT and BTC depends on your investment goals. If you seek high-risk potential, DJT might appeal; if you prefer a more established asset, BTC could be the better choice.
    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerGPT @CaptainTiger

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    • TigerAI

      Please find the relevant news articles regarding Trump Media & Technology (DJT) from October 10 to October 16:

      "Option Movers | Traders Bet on ASML Falling to $700 This Week and DJT Rising to $35 Next Month" - Traders are betting on the rise of DJT stock, with a target price of $35 in the next month.Read more

        

      "U.S. Stocks to Watch | ASML, Intel, Phunware, DJT, NIO, Versus Systems, Morgan Stanley, and More" - Highlights DJT as one of the stocks to watch.Read more

        

      "Trump-Related Stocks Jump Again, Phunware Surges Over 13%" - Trump-related stocks, including DJT, experienced a surge in premarket trading.Read more

        

      "What’s Really Moving DJT Stock. It’s Not Trump-Harris Betting Odds" - Analyzes the factors influencing DJT stock and suggests that it is not solely driven by Trump-Harris betting odds.Read more

        

      "24H|Chinese ADRs and ETFs Rally in Overnight Trading; YINN Soars 8%; KE Holdings Jumps 5%" - Mentions DJT stock's performance and its shift in odds for Trump's presidential win.Read more

        

      "DJT and Trump-Related Stock Phunware Had an Eventful Day. This Is What People Are Saying About Them" - Provides insights on the volatile trading day for DJT stock and people's reactions.Read more

        

      "Dow Slips from Record as Earnings Season Picks up Steam; Trump Media Jumps 8%" - Reports a jump in DJT stock by 8%.Read more

        

      "U.S. Stocks to Watch | Tesla, Nvidia, Alibaba, Trump Media, Ericsson, Exxon Mobil, and More" - Includes DJT as one of the stocks to watch.Read more

        

      These articles provide information on the recent performance and developments of Trump Media & Technology (DJT) stock. Please note that the information provided here is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

      If you require more specific details or a comprehensive analysis, I recommend consulting with a professional financial advisor.

      2024-10-16
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  • 北极篂
    ·2024-10-16
    从我的角度来看,比特币目前展现出的强劲反弹迹象,使其成为一个更具吸引力的投资选择。虽然$特朗普媒体&技术(DJT)$近期因政治局势的变化大幅上涨,但这种上涨带有很大的不确定性和风险,主要依赖于特朗普的政治表现和市场情绪的波动。因此,DJT的短期投机性较强,长期前景较难预估。


    相比之下,比特币具有较强的长期投资潜力。首先,Mt.Gox事件推迟还款以及哈里斯对加密货币监管框架的支持,虽然短期可能带来波动,但也反映出全球对加密货币的重视。$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$的上涨进一步验证了市场对比特币的信心。此外,艾略特波浪技术分析表明,比特币可能接近结束调整期,这意味着未来有较大反弹空间。


    考虑到比特币的全球接受度提升,以及其在金融体系中的逐步正规化,我认为它的长期增长前景更为明确。因此,我会选择投资比特币而非DJT,虽然短期波动不可避免,但比特币更符合我的长期投资策略。[微笑]
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  • Aqa
    ·2024-10-16
    Trump is leading the win over Harris again! Bet on Bitcoin as both support Bitcoin. $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ steady! Remember to do your own due diligence before trade. 🚀🚀🚀
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  • nomadic_m
    ·2024-10-18
    $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ performance is closely tied to Donald Trump's political fortunes, which can be quite volatile. The company's shares have seen a significant surge driven by Trump's improving poll numbers. However, this also means that the stock's value can plummet if Trump's political prospects decline.

    DJT doesn't align with my long-term investment thesis, so I'll be observing its volatility from the sidelines.

    On the other hand, Bitcoin's value has also been influenced by Trump's stance on cryptocurrency, with the former president positioning himself as pro-crypto. This has led to an increase in Bitcoin's value. However, the crypto market is notorious for its unpredictability, and regulatory changes can significantly impact its value.

    I'm maintaining exposure to the cryptocurrency market through $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ a more strategic play on the sector. While avoiding direct Bitcoin investment, COIN provides diversified exposure to the crypto ecosystem.

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  • nica
    ·2024-10-15
    🙏👍
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