Alibaba Nears $120! Sell the Fact or Short Squeeze May Follow the Partnership Buzz?

On February 11, Jack Ma was spotted at $Alibaba(BABA)$ campus, and Alibaba's stock hit a new recent high after the market opened, surpassing its pre-National Day high from 2024. Positive news has been pouring in for Alibaba lately.

Alibaba Confirms $Apple(AAPL)$ Partnership: Will Stock Keep Rising After a 39% Surge or Face a Pullback?

On February 13, during the World Governments Summit 2025 in Dubai, Alibaba co-founder and Chairman Joseph C. Tsai responded to rumors about a potential collaboration between Alibaba and Apple. Reports suggest that Apple, after evaluating several Chinese tech giants like Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance, ultimately chose Alibaba as its partner.

Even before the official confirmation, speculation about the partnership had already driven Alibaba's price higher. In fact, BABA had surged 39% YTD. Its rally started even before Apple rumors surfaced.

Alibaba’s valuation had been at historically low levels following a prolonged downturn. As the market began hyping the DeepSeek AI concept, investors also started to reassess Alibaba’s AI assets.

However, some caution that this could be a classic "sell the fact" scenario, where the stock stalls or pulls back after the news is confirmed, especially after such a rapid increase.

Morgan Stanley and UBS Remain Bullish on China's Tech Revaluation

Morgan Stanley reported that global investors are rethinking China's investment potential in the tech and AI sectors, leading to more fundamental-driven inflows. The firm highlighted that DeepSeek recently launched a cost-effective large language model (LLM) that rivals those from Google, OpenAI, and Meta in performance but at significantly lower costs—an achievement seen as a major factor behind the recent rally in Chinese equities.

UBS echoed this sentiment, stating that China's AI-driven stock market surge may only be halfway through its potential run. The bank noted that favorable liquidity conditions and low interest rates could continue fueling revaluation for AI-related stocks.

"Based on past trends during the 4G, 5G, and cloud computing booms, such uptrends often last one to two years. We believe AI-related stocks could outperform the broader market by 50% to 100% during this cycle," UBS commented.

Questions to discuss:

Will you take profit of $Alibaba(BABA)$?

How much higher would Alibaba go in this bullish trend?

Are you confident in China asset revaluation?

Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

# AI + Policy Stimulus: Will Alibaba Head For $170?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • icycrystal
    ·2025-02-14
    TOP
    probably sell half keep half...

    Alibaba’s valuation had been at historically low levels following a prolonged downturn. As the market began hyping the DeepSeek AI concept, investors also started to reassess Alibaba’s AI assets.

    However, some caution that this could be a classic "sell the fact" scenario, where the stock stalls or pulls back after the news is confirmed, especially after such a rapid increase.

    @Universe宇宙 @koolgal @LMSunshine @Shyon @Aqa @GoodLife99 @rL @SPACE ROCKET @HelenJanet @TigerGPT

    Will you take profit of $Alibaba(BABA)$?

    How much higher would Alibaba go in this bullish trend?

    Are you confident in China asset revaluation?

    Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

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  • Aqa
    ·2025-02-15
    TOP
    [Happy] Take profit is never wrong. $Alibaba(BABA)$ has a good run up this round for more than a month. It is still going strong although I am not sure it can hit $140. Lets take some profit and wait to let the rest of profits run higher. Must remember to do due diligence before each trade. Good luck and cheers! 🥂 Thanks @icycrystal @Tiger_comments @TigerGPT
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    • SPACE ROCKET
      Agree!! 🙌 Good to take profits!!
      2025-02-16
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    • TigerAI

      Please find below the analysis of Alibaba stock (BABA):

      Business and Industry: Alibaba is a leading technology company in China, providing e-commerce, cloud computing, digital media, and entertainment services. With a strong market position in China, Alibaba has significant growth potential as the e-commerce industry continues to expand and digital transformation accelerates.

        

      Latest Earnings and Forecast: The latest earnings forecast for Alibaba indicates a positive outlook for the company. For the fiscal year 2025, the forecasted EPS is 7.86 CNY, forecasted gross income is 999.40 billion CNY, and forecasted EBIT is 161.00 billion CNY. The forecasted earnings for the fiscal year 2026 and 2027 also show steady growth.

        

      Recent Trends:

        

      Capital Flow Data (5-day): The recent capital flow data shows fluctuating inflows and outflows. On February 13, there was an inflow of 495.03 million shares. This data suggests varying investor sentiment and trading activity in the stock.  

      Support and Resistance Price: As of February 13, the support price for Alibaba was 115.25 HKD, and the resistance price was 116.75 HKD. These levels indicate potential key areas of buying and selling interest respectively.  

        Analyst Viewpoints: According to analysts, there is an optimistic outlook for Alibaba. Out of the analysts surveyed, 13 recommend, 15 buy, 2 hold, and 1 underperform the stock. The target price estimates range from 83.0 HKD to 140.0 HKD, with a mean target price of 115.55 HKD.

          

        Bullish News: Positive news, such as the confirmation of a potential partnership between Alibaba and Apple, the bullish sentiment towards China's tech and AI sectors, and the belief that AI-related stocks could outperform the broader market, have contributed to the recent increase in Alibaba's stock price.

          

        Based on the analysis, Alibaba has shown a strong performance and there is potential for further growth. However, it's important to remember that investing in the stock market carries inherent risks and stock prices can fluctuate. It is advisable to conduct your due diligence and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

        (Note: The analysis provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.)

      2025-02-15
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  • MHh
    ·2025-02-13
    TOP
    I have not dared to buy BABA since the Chinese government cracked down on it. Collaboration with Apple is definitely beneficial for both companies and I do think Alibaba has room to surge. However, I would not enter at this point as might end up as a bag holder. The Chinese stocks has typically been more volatile than US stocks and undervalued due to relative lack of confidence by investors. Fundamentally, China assets should rise as more investors will now be more confident in them and also boosted by additional potential. I would prefer to trade rather than invest in Chinese stocks. Besides AI growth, there is still the risk of trade war, additional tariffs by Trump on China and what policies the Chinese government would introduce. I suspect the Chinese government will allow a bull run before trying to regulate it which should see a fall again.
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  • Shyon
    ·2025-02-13
    TOP
    我一直在密切關注阿里巴巴-SW的 $阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 最近飆升,我相信仍有進一步上漲的空間。與蘋果合作伙伴關係的確認是一個強大的催化劑,但更讓我興奮的是人工智能驅動的中國科技股更廣泛的重估。

    然而,在如此快速的上漲之後,由於獲利了結,短期回調是可能的。如果流動性條件保持有利並且中國繼續推進人工智能,阿里巴巴-SW仍可能有顯着的上漲空間。

    至於中國的資產重估,我相信我們還處於早期階段。市場一直對中國科技過於悲觀,但現在,隨着投資者信心的恢復和基本面的改善,該行業正在迎頭趕上。人工智能是全球遊戲規則的改變者,包括阿里巴巴-SW在內的中國主要參與者處於有利地位,可以利用這一轉變。

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerGPT

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    • TigerAIReplying toShyon

      不客氣!如果您還有任何問題或需要進一步的幫助,請隨時提問。投資愉快!

      2025-02-14
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    • ShyonReplying toTigerAI
      感謝詳細的分享
      2025-02-14
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    • TigerAI

      近期阿里巴巴-SW股價大漲可歸結爲幾個因素:

      與蘋果的合作伙伴關係:與蘋果合作伙伴關係的確認對阿里巴巴-SW的股價起到了強大的催化劑作用。此次合作有可能推動增長並增強阿里巴巴-SW在市場上的影響力。

      人工智能驅動的中國科技股重估:人工智能驅動的中國科技股更廣泛的重估也推動了阿里巴巴-SW股價的上漲。市場正在認識到人工智能技術的潛力及其對科技行業的影響,導致投資者對中國科技股的興趣增加。

      投資者情緒積極,基本面改善:隨着投資者信心恢復,基本面改善,該行業正在迎頭趕上。投資者正在重新思考中國在科技和人工智能領域的投資潛力,導致更多基本面驅動的資金流入。

      有利的流動性條件和低利率:中國有利的流動性條件和低利率正在推動人工智能相關股票的重估。這一趨勢有望持續,爲阿里巴巴-SW股價提供進一步支撐。

      需要注意的是,在快速上漲後,由於獲利了結,短期回調是可能的。然而,如果流動性條件保持有利,並且中國繼續推進人工智能,阿里巴巴-SW仍可能具有巨大的上漲潛力。

      關於具體問題:

      在阿里巴巴-SW股票上獲利了結是基於個人投資目標和風險承受能力的個人決定。建議在做出任何投資決定之前諮詢財務顧問或進行徹底的研究。

      在這種看漲趨勢中,阿里巴巴-SW未來的上漲潛力很難確定。這將取決於市場狀況、公司業績和監管環境等各種因素。

      對中國資產重估的信心是主觀的,基於個體分析。中國科技行業的積極情緒和基本面的改善表明存在進一步重估的潛力。

      請注意,所提供的信息僅供參考,不構成投資建議。在做出任何投資決定之前,始終建議進行徹底的研究和分析。

      2025-02-13
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  • Apocalypse85
    ·2025-02-14
    Chinese internet technology stocks like Alibaba are beginning to show signs of revaluation after a prolonged period of valuation stagnation.
    In the financial report that Alibaba is set to release on February 20, the scale of investment in AI and cloud computing Capex will become the focus of market attention, which means how Alibaba's management plans to use funds may influence the direction of Chinese tech stocks.
    It is hard to predict how much higer can Alibaba go, taking profits early might cause you to miss out on the gains. Personally I am invested in Alibaba. I do believe the narrative that China is uninvestable will change in due course.
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  • highhand
    ·2025-02-13
    if I had Baba and made a profit now, I would sell and invest in US. BUT I DON'T. SO I DO NOTHING. [Happy]
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  • SPACE ROCKET
    ·2025-02-16
    Previously, I took profits. Now, I've decided to trade options on my holdings instead of taking profits on them.
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  • ECLC
    ·2025-02-14
    Aware of the potential to rally but just did not want to invest.
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  • Success88
    ·2025-02-13
    I think it won't hit 140. Soon it will come down again.
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  • SPACE ROCKET
    ·2025-02-14
    Don't own BABA...
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  • Portgas D Ace
    ·2025-02-19

    Great

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