Alibaba Nears $120! Sell the Fact or Short Squeeze May Follow the Partnership Buzz?

On February 11, Jack Ma was spotted at $Alibaba(BABA)$ campus, and Alibaba's stock hit a new recent high after the market opened, surpassing its pre-National Day high from 2024. Positive news has been pouring in for Alibaba lately.

Alibaba Confirms $Apple(AAPL)$ Partnership: Will Stock Keep Rising After a 39% Surge or Face a Pullback?

On February 13, during the World Governments Summit 2025 in Dubai, Alibaba co-founder and Chairman Joseph C. Tsai responded to rumors about a potential collaboration between Alibaba and Apple. Reports suggest that Apple, after evaluating several Chinese tech giants like Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance, ultimately chose Alibaba as its partner.

Even before the official confirmation, speculation about the partnership had already driven Alibaba's price higher. In fact, BABA had surged 39% YTD. Its rally started even before Apple rumors surfaced.

Alibaba’s valuation had been at historically low levels following a prolonged downturn. As the market began hyping the DeepSeek AI concept, investors also started to reassess Alibaba’s AI assets.

However, some caution that this could be a classic "sell the fact" scenario, where the stock stalls or pulls back after the news is confirmed, especially after such a rapid increase.

Morgan Stanley and UBS Remain Bullish on China's Tech Revaluation

Morgan Stanley reported that global investors are rethinking China's investment potential in the tech and AI sectors, leading to more fundamental-driven inflows. The firm highlighted that DeepSeek recently launched a cost-effective large language model (LLM) that rivals those from Google, OpenAI, and Meta in performance but at significantly lower costs—an achievement seen as a major factor behind the recent rally in Chinese equities.

UBS echoed this sentiment, stating that China's AI-driven stock market surge may only be halfway through its potential run. The bank noted that favorable liquidity conditions and low interest rates could continue fueling revaluation for AI-related stocks.

"Based on past trends during the 4G, 5G, and cloud computing booms, such uptrends often last one to two years. We believe AI-related stocks could outperform the broader market by 50% to 100% during this cycle," UBS commented.

Questions to discuss:

Will you take profit of $Alibaba(BABA)$?

How much higher would Alibaba go in this bullish trend?

Are you confident in China asset revaluation?

Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

# AI + Policy Stimulus: Will Alibaba Head For $170?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • icycrystal
    ·2025-02-14
    TOP
    probably sell half keep half...

    Alibaba’s valuation had been at historically low levels following a prolonged downturn. As the market began hyping the DeepSeek AI concept, investors also started to reassess Alibaba’s AI assets.

    However, some caution that this could be a classic "sell the fact" scenario, where the stock stalls or pulls back after the news is confirmed, especially after such a rapid increase.

    @Universe宇宙 @koolgal @LMSunshine @Shyon @Aqa @GoodLife99 @rL @SPACE ROCKET @HelenJanet @TigerGPT

    Will you take profit of $Alibaba(BABA)$?

    How much higher would Alibaba go in this bullish trend?

    Are you confident in China asset revaluation?

    Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

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  • Aqa
    ·2025-02-15
    TOP
    [Happy] Take profit is never wrong. $Alibaba(BABA)$ has a good run up this round for more than a month. It is still going strong although I am not sure it can hit $140. Lets take some profit and wait to let the rest of profits run higher. Must remember to do due diligence before each trade. Good luck and cheers! 🥂 Thanks @icycrystal @Tiger_comments @TigerGPT
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    • SPACE ROCKET
      Agree!! 🙌 Good to take profits!!
      2025-02-16
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    • TigerAI

      Please find below the analysis of Alibaba stock (BABA):

      Business and Industry: Alibaba is a leading technology company in China, providing e-commerce, cloud computing, digital media, and entertainment services. With a strong market position in China, Alibaba has significant growth potential as the e-commerce industry continues to expand and digital transformation accelerates.

        

      Latest Earnings and Forecast: The latest earnings forecast for Alibaba indicates a positive outlook for the company. For the fiscal year 2025, the forecasted EPS is 7.86 CNY, forecasted gross income is 999.40 billion CNY, and forecasted EBIT is 161.00 billion CNY. The forecasted earnings for the fiscal year 2026 and 2027 also show steady growth.

        

      Recent Trends:

        

      Capital Flow Data (5-day): The recent capital flow data shows fluctuating inflows and outflows. On February 13, there was an inflow of 495.03 million shares. This data suggests varying investor sentiment and trading activity in the stock.  

      Support and Resistance Price: As of February 13, the support price for Alibaba was 115.25 HKD, and the resistance price was 116.75 HKD. These levels indicate potential key areas of buying and selling interest respectively.  

        Analyst Viewpoints: According to analysts, there is an optimistic outlook for Alibaba. Out of the analysts surveyed, 13 recommend, 15 buy, 2 hold, and 1 underperform the stock. The target price estimates range from 83.0 HKD to 140.0 HKD, with a mean target price of 115.55 HKD.

          

        Bullish News: Positive news, such as the confirmation of a potential partnership between Alibaba and Apple, the bullish sentiment towards China's tech and AI sectors, and the belief that AI-related stocks could outperform the broader market, have contributed to the recent increase in Alibaba's stock price.

          

        Based on the analysis, Alibaba has shown a strong performance and there is potential for further growth. However, it's important to remember that investing in the stock market carries inherent risks and stock prices can fluctuate. It is advisable to conduct your due diligence and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

        (Note: The analysis provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.)

      2025-02-15
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  • MHh
    ·2025-02-13
    TOP
    自从中国政府打击阿里巴巴以来,我一直不敢买它。与苹果的合作肯定对两家公司都有利,我确实认为阿里巴巴-SW有增长的空间。然而,我不会在这一点上进入,因为可能会结束作为一个包持有人。中国股市通常比美国股市波动更大,并且由于投资者相对缺乏信心而被低估。从根本上说,中国资产应该会上涨,因为越来越多的投资者现在对它们更有信心,也受到额外潜力的提振。我宁愿交易而不是投资中国股票。除了人工智能增长之外,还有贸易战、特朗普对中国加征关税以及中国政府会出台什么政策的风险。我怀疑中国政府会在试图监管牛市之前允许牛市出现,牛市应该会再次下跌。
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  • Shyon
    ·2025-02-13
    TOP
    I’ve been closely following Alibaba’s $Alibaba(09988)$ recent surge, and  I believe there’s still room for further upside. The confirmation of a partnership with Apple is a strong catalyst, but what excites me even more is the broader AI-driven revaluation of Chinese tech stocks.

    However, after such a rapid run-up, a short-term pullback is possible due to profit-taking. If liquidity conditions remain favorable and China continues its AI push, Alibaba could still have significant upside from here.

    As for China’s asset revaluation, I believe we’re still in the early stages. The market had been overly pessimistic on Chinese tech, but now, with renewed investor confidence and improving fundamentals, the sector is catching up. AI is a global game-changer, and China’s key players, including Alibaba, are well-positioned to capitalize on this transformation.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerGPT

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    • TigerAIReplying toShyon

      You're welcome! If you have any more questions or need further assistance, feel free to ask. Happy investing!

      2025-02-14
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    • ShyonReplying toTigerAI
      Thanks for the detailed sharing
      2025-02-14
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    • TigerAI

      The recent surge in Alibaba's stock price can be attributed to several factors:

      Partnership with Apple: The confirmation of a partnership with Apple has acted as a strong catalyst for Alibaba's stock. This collaboration has the potential to drive growth and enhance Alibaba's presence in the market.

        

      AI-driven revaluation of Chinese tech stocks: The broader AI-driven revaluation of Chinese tech stocks has also contributed to the upward movement of Alibaba's stock. The market is recognizing the potential of AI technology and its impact on the tech sector, leading to increased investor interest in Chinese tech stocks.

        

      Positive investor sentiment and improving fundamentals: With renewed investor confidence and improving fundamentals, the sector is catching up. Investors are rethinking China's investment potential in the tech and AI sectors, leading to more fundamental-driven inflows.

        

      Favorable liquidity conditions and low interest rates: Favorable liquidity conditions and low interest rates in China are fueling the revaluation of AI-related stocks. This trend is expected to continue, providing further support to Alibaba's stock price.

        

      It is important to note that after a rapid run-up, a short-term pullback is possible due to profit-taking. However, if liquidity conditions remain favorable and China continues its AI push, Alibaba could still have significant upside potential.

      Regarding the specific questions:

      Taking profit on Alibaba's stock is a personal decision based on individual investment goals and risk tolerance. It is recommended to consult with a financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.  

      The future upside potential of Alibaba in this bullish trend is difficult to determine with certainty. It will depend on various factors such as market conditions, company performance, and regulatory environment.  

      Confidence in China's asset revaluation is subjective and based on individual analysis. The positive sentiment and improving fundamentals in the Chinese tech sector indicate that there is potential for further revaluation.  

      Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. It is always recommended to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

      2025-02-13
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  • Apocalypse85
    ·2025-02-14
    阿里巴巴-SW等中国互联网科技股在经历了长时间的估值停滞后,开始出现估值重估的迹象。
    在阿里巴巴-SW定于2月20日发布的财报中,AI和云计算Capex的投资规模将成为市场关注的焦点,这意味着阿里巴巴-SW管理层计划如何使用资金可能会影响中国科技股的走向。
    很难预测阿里巴巴-SW能走高多少,提前获利了结可能会让你错过收益。就我个人而言,我投资于阿里巴巴-SW。我确实相信,中国不可投资的说法将在适当的时候改变。
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  • highhand
    ·2025-02-13
    if I had Baba and made a profit now, I would sell and invest in US. BUT I DON'T. SO I DO NOTHING. [Happy]
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  • SPACE ROCKET
    ·2025-02-16
    Previously, I took profits. Now, I've decided to trade options on my holdings instead of taking profits on them.
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  • ECLC
    ·2025-02-14
    Aware of the potential to rally but just did not want to invest.
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  • Success88
    ·2025-02-13
    我觉得不会到140。很快它又会下来。
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  • SPACE ROCKET
    ·2025-02-14
    Don't own BABA...
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  • Portgas D Ace
    ·2025-02-19

    Great

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