To The Moon

Palantir has released its financial results for Q2 of fiscal year 2025. This report not only beat market expectations across the board, but also showcased strong growth momentum and impressive forward guidance.

Boosted by the positive earnings news, Palantir's stock price rose over 7.85%, hitting a new high of $176.33. Although the company’s revenue guidance tends to be conservative, its actual performance often significantly exceeds market expectations.

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Click titles to read the full analysis:

1. @Lanceljx:

Key Points:

✅ Strengths

Consistently beats conservative guidance, leveraging a wide moat with government and commercial contracts.

Capitalizing on AI momentum: Government deals (including a $10B U.S. Army contract) and growing adoption of its AIP platform underscore powerful tailwinds .

Strong fundamentals: Rare for a growth-stage company, Palantir exhibits robust cash flow, improving margins, and discipline.

⚠️ Risks

Premium valuation means any misstep in future growth or execution could trigger sharp downside.

Competitive threat intensifies as tech giants like Microsoft and Google push AI solutions.

Concentration risks: Heavy reliance on U.S. government contracts could make Palantir vulnerable to political or budget shifts.

Maintaining 40–50%+ growth over many years is difficult; execution needs to stay flawless.

📌 Final Thoughts

Palantir’s Q2 performance and upgraded guidance reaffirm that it remains one of the most compelling AI‑driven software stories, delivering extraordinary growth, widening profits, and consistently over-delivering.

However, its valuation leaves no margin for error. To justify holding this stock indefinitely requires unwavering confidence in Palantir’s ability to sustain high growth, extend beyond U.S.-centric contracts, and fend off major competitors.

If you believe Palantir can lead AI adoption long-term, then it may deserve a place in your portfolio—but consider it a high-conviction, high-volatility holding, not a passive "set-and-forget" bet.

2. @xc__:

Key Points:

Trading and Investment Strategies

Short-Term Plays

• Buy on Dip: Enter at $150-$155 post-earnings, target $170-$180, stop at $145. A 10-15% gain if Q3 guidance is strong.

• Options Straddle: Buy $157 calls/puts (September expiry) for volatility, targeting 200-300% gains on a 10%+ move. High implied volatility (120%) increases costs, so time carefully.

• Scalp Pullback: Buy at $150-$152, sell at $160-$165, with a 5% stop at $145. A 6-10% gain if support holds.

Long-Term Investments

• Hold PLTR: Buy at $150-$155, target $200-$250 by 2026, for 28-61% upside with AI growth. Stop at $140 to limit losses.

• Diversify with Tech ETF (XLK): Buy at $200, target $220, stop at $190, for broad tech exposure.

• Hold Microsoft (MSFT): Buy at $430-$435, target $500-$550 by 2026, for 15-26% upside with cloud/AI strength.

• Defensive Play: Buy Procter & Gamble (PG) at $165-$170, target $180-$190, for 6-12% upside with stability.

Hedge Strategies

• VIXY ETF: Buy at $15, target $18, stop at $13, to hedge tariff or market volatility.

• SPY ETF Puts: Use puts at $614 to protect against a 5-10% S&P 500 pullback.

• Gold ETF (GLD): Buy at $200, target $220, stop at $190, as a safe-haven hedge.

My Trading Plan

I’m bullish on Palantir’s AI leadership, seeing $170-$180 as achievable by mid-September if Q3 guidance and AI contract wins impress. I’ll buy PLTR at $150-$155, targeting $170-$180, with a $145 stop, and use a $157 call/put straddle (September expiry) for volatility. For diversification, I’ll add XLK at $200, targeting $220, with a $190 stop, and PG at $165-$170, targeting $180, with a $160 stop. I’m hedging with VIXY at $15, targeting $18, and keeping 20% cash for dips if tariffs, geopolitical tensions, or a Q3 earnings miss escalate. I’ll monitor Palantir’s earnings call, AI adoption updates, and tariff developments for cues.

3. @HuliSher:

Key Points:

I'm predicting there may be a pull back to 100 before it explodes to 200. Earlier it touched 120 and corrected to 75 before reaching current high of 175.

4. @mster:

Key Points:

I sell covered call option to make some side income on almost all my underlying shares in hand. However there's 1 stock that I have rarely do that now is PLTR. Used to sell covered call on PLTR before as we know the stock price just kept going up, some of the shares were called away due to the option got into the money and too deep to roll them. Thus decided not to sell anymore CC against the remaining PLTR, in fact will be looking for opportunity to enter some more PLTR when there's any market pull back.

5. @Barcode:

Key Points:

My Forecast Trajectory:

→ $177.50 by Aug 10

→ $188 by Aug 15

→ $200 by Q4 2025

Options flow shows firepower at 180c–200c, while ETF inflows into $QQQ, $ARKK, $XLK are absorbing dips. Unlike generic AI predictions, this is data-backed conviction.

Why this matters: Real-time chart mastery separates sovereign execution from speculative noise.

🌐 Palantir: The AI Sovereign Redefining Power

Palantir’s AIP platform isn’t just gaining traction; it’s redefining operational sovereignty.

• Embedded across U.S. intelligence, defense, aerospace, and healthcare

• Verticalized AI stacks replacing fragmented SaaS

• A trusted vendor in an increasingly untrustworthy world

With a $409.49B market cap, Palantir has surged past Home Depot, J&J, and P&G, now entering the Top 20 U.S. public companies.

Why this matters: This isn’t a stock. It’s a sovereign AI platform reshaping digital infrastructure.

⚖️ Valuation Debate Crushed: Premium Worth It

Yes, valuation is steep:

• 130x FCF, 70x CY26E sales, 103x CY25 revenue

But Palantir is one of the few AI names delivering:

• Profitable growth

• Expanding margin

• Deep institutional contracts

• Network effects across government and enterprise

Why this matters: This is the cost of dominance. Palantir earns its premium.

🎯 $200 Verdict: Lock In Gains Now!

With fundamentals locked in, technicals confirming, and sentiment aligned, the path to $200 is wide open.

✔️ Rule-of-94 confirmed

✔️ $10B Army contract secured

✔️ U.S. commercial growth +93%

✔️ Breakout chart structure intact

✔️ Sentiment nuclear, flow supportive

My answer to “Is $200 in sight?” ~ it’s already in range. I’m targeting:

→ $200 by Q4 2025

→ $250 by mid-2026 if this cadence holds

Unlike vague forecasts, this is backed by execution, data, and chart structure.

6. @highhand:

Key Points:

Don't stop an unstoppable train. All dips will be eaten up by buyers.

7. @nerdbull1669:

Key Points:

The Valuation Dilemma

Even with these stellar results, Palantir's valuation remains a point of contention for some. The stock has been on a phenomenal run, up over 500% in the past year and more than 100% year-to-date. This has pushed its valuation metrics to extremely high levels. While some fair value estimates peg the stock as overvalued, the market continues to reward the company's performance.

The high valuation is largely a bet on Palantir's future growth potential, especially in the AI space. Investors are essentially paying a premium for a company they believe will continue to dominate its niche and expand into new markets.

How Investors Should Look at Palantir

Given the current context, here's how investors should approach Palantir:

Growth-Oriented Mindset: Palantir is not a value stock. It is an investment in a high-growth, high-potential AI company. Investors should focus on key growth indicators like revenue growth, especially in the commercial sector, and customer acquisition.

Focus on the "Why": The most important question for investors is why Palantir is growing so fast. The company's AI platform and its ability to secure large, multi-year contracts with both government and commercial clients are the driving forces. The recent earnings report shows that this momentum is not slowing down.

Acknowledge the Risks: The high valuation does make the stock susceptible to significant pullbacks if the company fails to meet or exceed expectations in future quarters. Competition from other AI and software companies, as well as economic uncertainties affecting customer spending, are also factors to consider.

Long-Term Horizon: For investors who believe in Palantir's long-term vision and its role as a leader in AI software, the current valuation may be less of a concern. The company's growing profitability and massive total addressable market suggest that there could still be significant upside, even from these elevated levels. However, this is a stock for those with a high-risk tolerance and a long-term investment horizon, not for those seeking short-term stability.

Palantir just delivered a blockbuster Q2 2025 earnings beat—EPS of $0.16 vs. $0.14 expected, revenue topping $1B, and U.S. sales up 68% YoY. The stock surged 4.14% in after-hours, and options pricing implies a potential ±11% move by week’s end.

Final Note

While PLTR might be at a new highs, I always believe that there is still opportunities to take a trade, so I will continue to look at short-term trade while holding my long-term portfolio for Palantir.

Questions for you:

Is This the One AI Stock to Hold Forever?

Hold Tight or Hedge Smart?

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⏰Duration

• 13 Aug (24pm EDT)