$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2602(CLmain)$ $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$ $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ OverviewThe October 1st to November 12th federal funding lapse continued to distort the monthly macro data, BLS explicitly noted it did not collect October 2025 CPI survey data and could not retroactively recover it, and the October household labor survey month was missing, pushing analysts to inte

$TLT 20260320 82.0 PUT$ nice

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ 1. Euphoria HeightsThe peak in this indicator at record highs helped forewarn of the April correction, but perhaps just as interesting is how it’s moved down again from a lower peak more recently. So an interesting one in retrospect, but also in reminding us not to get too complacent as risks build-up in the system.“sentiment has reached reco

2026 Outlook: The Great ResetKey Takeaways• Equities enter a late-cycle correction phase • Bonds and the dollar strengthen as risk comes off • Crypto faces a deeper deleveraging cycle • Gold consolidates after a multi-year advanceThe table below outlines 2026 downside risk zones and expected year-end closing levels across major assets. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P500 has marginally exceeded the upper boundary of its multi-year trend channel — a common signature of terminal 5th waves.The Trigger: A reversal back below ~6,650 would confirm a false breakout.The Trade: We are positioning for a higher-degree Wave 4 correction toward 5,500–5,100 (-20–25%), which aligns perfectly with the 200-week MA. 2. $iShar

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ 被行權結算，大約兩個月前做的一套covered call, 88.99買入100股, 同時沽出87 12月31日call收2.81, 實際賣出價89.81, 不計手續費盈利0.82另加收了12月兩次0.32及0.34的派息，年化收益率大約10%

$TLT 20260320 82.0 PUT$ nice

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ Using the dividend to buy more. Gonna do this for the next 10 years if that is what it takes. For #CaiFanMoney.