To The Moon

Bullish on gold since back in spotlight.

It looks more like a **policy-repricing trade than a pure “inflation is falling” trade**. The weak July payrolls report has already reduced the perceived need for another Fed hike. Markets now put the September hike probability around 50%, down materially from a week earlier. Wednesday's CPI is therefore the confirmation test: a soft print would combine weaker employment with moderating inflation, strengthening the case for the Fed to stay on hold and potentially bringing eventual cuts back into discussion. Silver's outperformance is particularly interesting. If this were mainly a fear or recession trade, I would expect gold to dominate. Silver doing better suggests investors are pricing a more favourable combination: **lower real yields + weaker dollar + no severe recession**. That gives

$Intel(INTC)$announced a $15 billion common stock offering, with underwriters holding a 30-day option for an additional $2.25 billion in shares, bringing total potential proceeds to $17.25 billion. Funds will support growth initiatives including AI computing, Physical AI, custom chips, advanced packaging and foundry services, plus capital expenditures and working capital. Shares fell ~4% on the news, a typical reaction. Stock offerings dilute existing shareholders, and with Intel in a heavy investment phase, markets naturally worry about future fundraising. However, paired with just-released Q2 results, the offering signals Intel may accelerate 14A and advanced packaging capacity buildout. CEO Pat Gelsinger previously set two condi

AI optical-networking stocks suffered a broad valuation reset. COHR dropped 14.2%, LITE lost 8.6%, and AXTI plunged 16.7%. So far, there is little evidence that AI-driven optical demand has suddenly weakened. The selloff looks more like aggressive de-risking ahead of Coherent’s earnings—but expectations are now so high that strong growth alone may no longer be enough. AI Optics Became the Market’s Biggest Pain Point The latest session was brutal for optical-networking stocks: $Coherent(COHR)$: −14.2% $Lumentum(LITE)$: −8.6% $AXT Inc.(AXTI)$: −16.7% $Fabrinet(FN)$: −6.3% $Applied Optoe

Bullish on gold. China will keep buying

A sharp $300 move in gold over just three trading sessions is rarely driven by a single factor. It is typically the result of tactical market mechanics (a short squeeze/gamma squeeze) acting as the spark, while deep macroeconomic shifts provide the fuel. 1. Short Squeeze vs. New Structural Drivers Verdict: A short squeeze fuels the speed of a 3-day spike, but sustained holding above breakout levels indicates institutional re-allocation and structural buying. 2. Is GLD Still a Good Engine for Long-Term Exposure? SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ remains the benchmark vehicle for institutional gold exposure, but whether it is the best choice depends on your investment structure. Weekly gold has broken above a multi-week congestion pattern,

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Definitely bullish. The yen carry trade is being unraveled, regardless of interventions by the us and japanese central banks to prop up the yen. US inflation is certainly on a upward trend. The AI euphoria is just masking the sputtering economy.

Definitely bullish.

A

up. all metals will go up... euphoria is coming

Gold’s $300 Rally: The Short Squeeze May Be Ending — The Real Rally Could Be Starting 🥇📈 Gold just ripped nearly $300 in three sessions, closing around $4,384/oz after briefly touching a seven-week high. At first glance, this looks like a classic short squeeze. But I think that’s only half the story. The bigger shift is happening underneath: 🔻 Oil prices are falling → less inflation pressure 🔻 Weak payrolls → stronger expectations for rate cuts 🔻 Yields are easing → lower opportunity cost of holding gold 🔻 Dollar expectations are weakening → another tailwind for bullion That changes the gold trade completely. Gold doesn’t need a geopolitical crisis to rally if real yields are falling. And that’s why I’m leaning bullish rather than treating this as a temporary squeeze. 🥇 The key test: CPI T

The long-awaited breakout in gold’s rebound finally arrived last week. With a 7% gain in a single week, gold quickly achieved the measured target of its daily-chart double-bottom breakout. The question now is whether the rebound can continue—and, if so, where the next major resistance levels may emerge. To answer that question, we should first compare the price action of gold futures and spot gold. After the front-month futures contract rolled over to December, the time-related premium created a spread of roughly 1.5%, or approximately $60–$70, between futures and spot prices. More importantly, futures have already broken out of the descending channel that had been in place since the beginning of the year, while spot gold has yet to make a similar breakout. In the spot market, the key resi

Gold is back in the spotlight.After surging more than 7% last week, gold posted its strongest weekly gain since January. U.S. gold futures have also reclaimed the $4,400 level, while spot gold is trading around $4,340. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The rally accelerated after a surprisingly weak U.S. jobs report cooled expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike. A softer rate outlook pushed Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar lower, giving gold another boost. What to watch ？ The U.S. will release July CPI on Wednesday, August 12, followed by PPI on Thursday, August 13. Both reports could quickly reset expectations for the Fed — and determine whether gold’s rebound

The first week of each month is usually the most important, as the latest non-farm payrolls data are released during this period. These figures often set the tone for the market throughout the rest of the month. This is particularly true when the market is highly sensitive to interest-rate expectations, as the release can quickly shift investor preferences. For this reason, I usually adopt a relatively cautious stance during the first week of the month. The non-farm payrolls report released this month significantly exceeded market expectations. While the market had expected an increase of 80,000 jobs, the actual figure showed a decline of 23,000 jobs. This dealt a blow to expectations of a stronger US economy. Meanwhile, the probability of a rate hike in September fell directly from 60% to

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Wall Street has just given the bulls another reason to celebrate. J.P. Morgan raised its 2026 year-end target for the S&P 500 from 7,800 to 8,000. Based on Friday’s close of 7,757.64, however, that leaves only about 3.1% of upside. At least seven Wall Street brokerages now expect the index to reach the 8,000 level by year-end. Reuters The headline sounds extremely bullish. But the more important question is not whether the S&P 500 can gain another 3%. It is why J.P. Morgan became more confident after the index had already reached a record high. This Rally Is Finally Getting More Earnings Support Of the 436 S&P 500 companies that had reported second-quarter results through Friday morning, 85.1% beat analyst expectations. That is well above the long-term average of 68%. J.P. Morg

Hello. Friday's payrolls report was genuinely bad: July payrolls fell by 23,000, the May and June gains were revised down by a combined 103,000, and hourly earnings rose just 3.2 per cent year on year. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 0.62 per cent to a record close. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ rose 1.30 per cent and $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ 0.28 per cent. Data that bad turned out to be good news, because the market immediately cut the odds of a September rate rise to about 44 per cent. Loosen the rate outlook and valuations get room to breathe: $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ ros

The rally can extend, but after a roughly $300 three-session move, I would expect the pace to slow. The initial trigger was macro, with weak employment data, a softer dollar and falling oil reducing expectations for further Fed tightening. But the size and speed of the move appear to have been amplified by short covering and CTA positioning. The key question now is whether **fundamental buyers replace the shorts who were forced to cover**. If CPI reinforces the disinflation story, Treasury real yields and the dollar could fall further. In that scenario, gold could hold above the breakout area and make another run higher. That would turn what began as a squeeze into a more durable rates-driven rally. Conversely, a hot CPI is probably the greatest near-term threat. If inflation surprises upw

$Intel(INTC)$announced a $15 billion common stock offering, with underwriters holding a 30-day option for an additional $2.25 billion in shares, bringing total potential proceeds to $17.25 billion. Funds will support growth initiatives including AI computing, Physical AI, custom chips, advanced packaging and foundry services, plus capital expenditures and working capital. Shares fell ~4% on the news, a typical reaction. Stock offerings dilute existing shareholders, and with Intel in a heavy investment phase, markets naturally worry about future fundraising. However, paired with just-released Q2 results, the offering signals Intel may accelerate 14A and advanced packaging capacity buildout. CEO Pat Gelsinger previously set two condi

AI optical-networking stocks suffered a broad valuation reset. COHR dropped 14.2%, LITE lost 8.6%, and AXTI plunged 16.7%. So far, there is little evidence that AI-driven optical demand has suddenly weakened. The selloff looks more like aggressive de-risking ahead of Coherent’s earnings—but expectations are now so high that strong growth alone may no longer be enough. AI Optics Became the Market’s Biggest Pain Point The latest session was brutal for optical-networking stocks: $Coherent(COHR)$: −14.2% $Lumentum(LITE)$: −8.6% $AXT Inc.(AXTI)$: −16.7% $Fabrinet(FN)$: −6.3% $Applied Optoe

A sharp $300 move in gold over just three trading sessions is rarely driven by a single factor. It is typically the result of tactical market mechanics (a short squeeze/gamma squeeze) acting as the spark, while deep macroeconomic shifts provide the fuel. 1. Short Squeeze vs. New Structural Drivers Verdict: A short squeeze fuels the speed of a 3-day spike, but sustained holding above breakout levels indicates institutional re-allocation and structural buying. 2. Is GLD Still a Good Engine for Long-Term Exposure? SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ remains the benchmark vehicle for institutional gold exposure, but whether it is the best choice depends on your investment structure. Weekly gold has broken above a multi-week congestion pattern,

It looks more like a **policy-repricing trade than a pure “inflation is falling” trade**. The weak July payrolls report has already reduced the perceived need for another Fed hike. Markets now put the September hike probability around 50%, down materially from a week earlier. Wednesday's CPI is therefore the confirmation test: a soft print would combine weaker employment with moderating inflation, strengthening the case for the Fed to stay on hold and potentially bringing eventual cuts back into discussion. Silver's outperformance is particularly interesting. If this were mainly a fear or recession trade, I would expect gold to dominate. Silver doing better suggests investors are pricing a more favourable combination: **lower real yields + weaker dollar + no severe recession**. That gives

The long-awaited breakout in gold’s rebound finally arrived last week. With a 7% gain in a single week, gold quickly achieved the measured target of its daily-chart double-bottom breakout. The question now is whether the rebound can continue—and, if so, where the next major resistance levels may emerge. To answer that question, we should first compare the price action of gold futures and spot gold. After the front-month futures contract rolled over to December, the time-related premium created a spread of roughly 1.5%, or approximately $60–$70, between futures and spot prices. More importantly, futures have already broken out of the descending channel that had been in place since the beginning of the year, while spot gold has yet to make a similar breakout. In the spot market, the key resi

The first week of each month is usually the most important, as the latest non-farm payrolls data are released during this period. These figures often set the tone for the market throughout the rest of the month. This is particularly true when the market is highly sensitive to interest-rate expectations, as the release can quickly shift investor preferences. For this reason, I usually adopt a relatively cautious stance during the first week of the month. The non-farm payrolls report released this month significantly exceeded market expectations. While the market had expected an increase of 80,000 jobs, the actual figure showed a decline of 23,000 jobs. This dealt a blow to expectations of a stronger US economy. Meanwhile, the probability of a rate hike in September fell directly from 60% to

Wall Street has just given the bulls another reason to celebrate. J.P. Morgan raised its 2026 year-end target for the S&P 500 from 7,800 to 8,000. Based on Friday’s close of 7,757.64, however, that leaves only about 3.1% of upside. At least seven Wall Street brokerages now expect the index to reach the 8,000 level by year-end. Reuters The headline sounds extremely bullish. But the more important question is not whether the S&P 500 can gain another 3%. It is why J.P. Morgan became more confident after the index had already reached a record high. This Rally Is Finally Getting More Earnings Support Of the 436 S&P 500 companies that had reported second-quarter results through Friday morning, 85.1% beat analyst expectations. That is well above the long-term average of 68%. J.P. Morg

Hello. Friday's payrolls report was genuinely bad: July payrolls fell by 23,000, the May and June gains were revised down by a combined 103,000, and hourly earnings rose just 3.2 per cent year on year. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 0.62 per cent to a record close. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ rose 1.30 per cent and $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ 0.28 per cent. Data that bad turned out to be good news, because the market immediately cut the odds of a September rate rise to about 44 per cent. Loosen the rate outlook and valuations get room to breathe: $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ ros

Bullish on gold since back in spotlight.

Bullish on gold. China will keep buying

Gold is back in the spotlight.After surging more than 7% last week, gold posted its strongest weekly gain since January. U.S. gold futures have also reclaimed the $4,400 level, while spot gold is trading around $4,340. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The rally accelerated after a surprisingly weak U.S. jobs report cooled expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike. A softer rate outlook pushed Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar lower, giving gold another boost. What to watch ？ The U.S. will release July CPI on Wednesday, August 12, followed by PPI on Thursday, August 13. Both reports could quickly reset expectations for the Fed — and determine whether gold’s rebound

Gold’s $300 Rally: The Short Squeeze May Be Ending — The Real Rally Could Be Starting 🥇📈 Gold just ripped nearly $300 in three sessions, closing around $4,384/oz after briefly touching a seven-week high. At first glance, this looks like a classic short squeeze. But I think that’s only half the story. The bigger shift is happening underneath: 🔻 Oil prices are falling → less inflation pressure 🔻 Weak payrolls → stronger expectations for rate cuts 🔻 Yields are easing → lower opportunity cost of holding gold 🔻 Dollar expectations are weakening → another tailwind for bullion That changes the gold trade completely. Gold doesn’t need a geopolitical crisis to rally if real yields are falling. And that’s why I’m leaning bullish rather than treating this as a temporary squeeze. 🥇 The key test: CPI T

BUY CAPITALAND CHINA FOR HIGH SUSTAINABLE YIELD $CapLand China T(AU8U.SI)$  

Find out more here:Tiger BOSS Debit Card Epic Rewards Refer More Earn More!

Definitely bullish. The yen carry trade is being unraveled, regardless of interventions by the us and japanese central banks to prop up the yen. US inflation is certainly on a upward trend. The AI euphoria is just masking the sputtering economy.

Definitely bullish.

A

The rally can extend, but after a roughly $300 three-session move, I would expect the pace to slow. The initial trigger was macro, with weak employment data, a softer dollar and falling oil reducing expectations for further Fed tightening. But the size and speed of the move appear to have been amplified by short covering and CTA positioning. The key question now is whether **fundamental buyers replace the shorts who were forced to cover**. If CPI reinforces the disinflation story, Treasury real yields and the dollar could fall further. In that scenario, gold could hold above the breakout area and make another run higher. That would turn what began as a squeeze into a more durable rates-driven rally. Conversely, a hot CPI is probably the greatest near-term threat. If inflation surprises upw

up. all metals will go up... euphoria is coming

a