One of the challenges when valuing companies is projecting the future performance. My trick to do this is to assumed that the future = the past. Based on my understanding of the company and sector, I then judge whether the future is the same, better or worse. I then use the past 10 years performance to value the business. If I get a margin of safety based on this, I would consider it very safe if I had judged that the future is either the same or better than the past. Of course if there is no margin of safety, I look for another company. If you found the above useful, I have other such hacks in my 500 pages value investing e-book, “Do You really want to master value investing”. I am looking for feedback/review on the book. I am prepared to provide a pdf version free in return for the fee
Option Movers | AMC Option Skyrockets 4600%; Alibaba Shows 73% Call Ratio Ahead of Earnings
The S&P 500 closed very slightly lower on Monday as investors took a breather after three weekly gains while they awaited key inflation readings and earnings reports due this week while a survey showed consumers concerned about inflation.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 36,719,859 contracts was traded.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ ; $Tesla(TSLA)$ ; $Apple(AAPL)$ ; $Nvidia(NVDA)$; $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$; $GameStop(GME)$; $Alibaba(BABA)$ ;
Selling covered call options (sell covered call) is a strategy adopted by many large funds. It can also be used by retail investors in the US stock market.You can get income while holding it. This strategy is very suitable for stocks that have long-term positions, but they have not moved but they are not in a bearish position recently or are in a bearish position recently. It can be a good strategy for mature investors to roll over when holding some targets for a long time. Income comparison Assume that investors hold 200 shares of Amazon from January 1 to December 17, 2021 If there is no operation during the holding period, the final total assets will be USD 675,484 If the covered call strategy is carried out, it will be operated once a week; if 100 shares are sold after the exercise, ano
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some positively technical analysis with you! Hope it can help you!1. $Blink Charging(BLNK)$ The last time this had a monthly Williams % range uptick above this level was back in November 2021. Now it also has the monthly MACD upside cross. There was an 87% move from the low to high during this move in 2021.Image2. $Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$ Volume gap above. Could be a very quick and aggressive move through this area of low liquidity.Image3. $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2406(RTYmain)$ If there is any pullback into CPI, the VWAP anchored from the March 31st pivot would be the main level to watch as potential support.Image3. <
$ThaiBev(Y92.SI)$ Thai Beverage (Y92) daily chart - bullish divergence - trend resist breakout with good volume 1st TP along $0.525 or even $0.545 if volume stays strong
Brace yourselves, investors, because the meme stock madness has returned with a vengeance! Just when you thought the chaos had subsided, the legendary "Roaring Kitty" himself, Keith Gill, has ignited a firestorm across the Reddit realm with a single enigmatic post. His resurgence after a three-year absence was like a rallying cry for the meme stock warriors, with one enthusiast exclaiming, "Holy moly, it's him, the icon has risen once more!" Cryptic Chaos: Meme Stock Madness Unleashed The impact? Swift and seismic. GameStop (GME) shares went utterly berserk, soaring to $55.83 in early premarket trade following Roaring Kitty's post, leaving Wall Street's elite bewildered while retail traders uncork the champagne. While analysts remain skeptical of another GME-level short squeeze frenzy, wit
🔥Tell us your tricks for creating wealth on the market!
Hi, Tigers!Welcome to Daily Discussion! This is the place for you to share your trading ideas and win coins!Click here to join the Topic & Win coins >>[Rewards]We will reward you with 50 Tiger Coins when you share your knowledge about stocks and markets here, depending on quality and originality.[Winners Announcement:14 May]1.Here are the 10 Tigers whose post has the best quality & interaction yesterday:Congratulations on being offered 50 Tiger Coins!yinn ya
🌟🌟🌟What an exciting start to the week with Meme Stock Mania back! After 3 years of silence, Keith Gill aka Roaring Kitty is back in action! Just a short video on X formerly Twitter kick-start the meme stock craze on Monday. $GameStop(GME)$ jumped 74% on Monday and those who shorted the stock are in damage control with Short Squeeze in action. A short squeeze is defined as a phenomenon where traders who sold short are forced to close their position due to rising price of the underlying asset. The strong buying pressure squeezes the short sellers out of the markets. Fundamentally Gamestop was in a slow decline and it has cut back on staff and expenses. Gamestop closed 300 stores since 2023. Another meme stock
Why SoFi Potential Upside Seen From TA (MACD, KDJ, MA)
We have seen $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ experience some stock decline trading over the past few weeks after its earnings. I would like to review some of the factors that might affect the near-term performance of the stock. I will also be sharing on how I will be using Technical Analysis to look at this stock after reviewing the factors, though some of the factors might pose some challenges to its stock price. SoFi’s Future Direction SOFI has given guidance that assumed lending revenue would be 92% to 95% of the year prior's level when they reported their second-quarter earnings in April. If we looked at the increase in capital levels from the recent transactions, but SOFI has not changed its direction on ramping up its loan growth. This is one
Upside Opens Up Ahead of CPI, Downside Risk Diminishes
Previous U.S. data releases showed persistently elevated inflation, leading markets to price in a slower pace of Fed rate cuts this year. Meanwhile, comments from Fed Chair Powell later on became the focus.Options market data suggested a more positive view on the S&P 500, with institutional positioning for the index to hold above 520 through June 14 expiration. Upside room continued to open up in QQQ. For the small-cap Russell 2000, there was room left for a 2.4% rally this week, while expectations capped downside below 2.4% by June 21.Details:The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ saw open call interest decline -0.3% over the past 5 days. Open put contracts rose 0.6% over the same period.For call options, investors sold the most
GameStop (GME)On Monday, GME options ranked #9 in total trading volume across all stocks/ETFs with 689k contracts traded, up 74%. Notably, while call open interest grew just 8.4%, put OI spiked 84.3%!The trading data suggests Monday's premarket pop was driven by the underlying stock, as call options traded very cautiously - clearly failing to meet market makers' expectations. While put volume surged, there wasn't major initiation from a strike perspective.Top 3 calls opened:$GME 20240517 34 CALL$ +17,397$GME 20240621 40 CALL$ +4,727$GME 20240524 34 CALL$ +3,379While new strikes aren't capture
Missed the GME frenzy? No need to panic, there are plenty of stable money-making opportunities this week.Despite being monthly options expiration, the overall tech market is exhibiting the same lackluster choppy action as last week - presenting excellent opportunities to sell puts or covered calls. Why not harvest some premium during these rangebound periods?Of course, some may want to go all-in on meme stocks like GME and AMC. No issues there - at this pivotal juncture, any risk warnings pale in comparison to the potential upside. I'll provide an update on GME and AMC option positioning in the next post.Nvidia (NVDA)Nvidia is likely to remain rangebound between $850-920 this week. Consider selling the $NVDA 20240517 850 PUT$ <
World’s #1 Semiconductor stock. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ stock investors have a trillion reasons to celebrate. As of Mon, 13 May 2024 US market closing, YTD Nvidia has gained +87.67%. It is only 13% shy of a 100% return on investment, not even 6 months into 2024. Only in the US market. Surprisingly, owners of two S&P 500 utility stocks have done even better in 2024. According to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSurge, shares of S&P 500’s two utilities stocks have outperformed or is as-closed as Nvidia’s +88% YTD gain. (see bottom) They are: $Vistra Energy Corp.(VST)$. $Constellation Energy Corp(CEG)$. For those who have been readingmy p
Will NVDA Stock Soar Again After a 215% Rise in the Past Year?
Even though $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ stock price has skyrocketed by two times in the past year, investors are still underestimating this GPU king. Since the beginning of last year, AI has sparked a paradigm shift in tech, and no company has benefited more than Nvidia.Nvidia's GPUs are the gold standard in AI, but some are worried about increasing competition. Toshiya Hari, an analyst from Goldman Sachs, has kept Nvidia on their "Strong buy list," maintaining a buy rating and bumping up the target price to $1,100.That's a potential 22% gain for investors in the next year, compared to last Wednesday's closing price. This analyst believes Nvidia's processors will remain the industry standard for the foreseeable future.He's got a point. Competitors have be
Moderna + OpenA: Is it just a PR stunt or real AI innovation?
$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ , the global mRNA giant, has partnered with artificial intelligence (AI) company OpenAI to embed GPT across all aspects of the company's business, including legal, research, manufacturing, and commercialization.But in this AI frenzy, collaborations between life sciences and AI often blur the lines between reality and hype. Let's dive deeper and see what's really cooking.The partnership kicked off in 2023 with the launch of mChat, powered by OpenAI's API. So far, 80% of Moderna's employees are already using ChatGPT's iterations. They've even got over 750 customized GPTs running on their internal ecosystem. One notable example is the Dose ID GPT, helping researchers pinpoint the right vaccine dose for clinical trials.Selecting
SEA Limited Q1 One Pager! Have you used any of $SEA services?
$Sea Ltd(SE)$ Limited Q1 One Pager! $SE -1% First Reaction Massive GMV growth, but no profits +36% GMV +33% E-Commerce Revenue +21% Financial Revenue +22.8% Revenue -22.6% OCF -126% Net Income $3.7B Revenue -$23M Net Income $468M OCF Here is $SE Bull Case in sentences! Asian economies are the fastest-growing region! Strong network effects drive both sellers and customers to their ecosystem! Financial services enable more and more people to purchase SEA products! Upselling services to the existing active user base should support revenue growth and improve margins! Have you used any of $SEA services?
Besides GME & AMC, Most Shorted Stocks on 0513: FFIE, NKLA, NVAX
$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ common position up 200% +🥱Dream back to January 2021 $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$$GameStop(GME)$ 1. Short selling is very dangerous, no matter how bad the company is, because there is no limit to how much money you can lose!2. Be cautious in last fools’ games. After the excitement, there will usually be a pile of chicken feathers on the ground!3. By observing the changes during this period, you can learn what is fear and greed in the short-term market!Short Squeeze: Definition, Causes, and ExamplesSome other most shorted stocks: NASDAQ Top 3 most-shorted Stocks (based on Shorted Share Volume not Dollar Value):
Is 2024 Seeing the Resurgence of Meme Stock Mania?
If you woke up this morning feeling like it was 2021 instead of 2024, you weren't alone. The frenzy surrounding meme stocks has returned, with $GameStop(GME)$ and $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$, and other heavily shorted stocks skyrocketing, fueling traders' hopes for another surge reminiscent of the pandemic era.Some investors seized the opportunity to make significant gains intraday.How did they achieve it? Let's delve deeper.Congratulations to @Lord Tan for achieving a remarkable $1743 return with $GameStop(GME)$. [Applaud][Applaud][Applaud]Congratulations to @Bibo
GameStop short sellers lost almost $1 billion in Monday’s monster rally.
$GameStop(GME)$ +110% in pre-market. ImageYesterday, $GameStop(GME)$ short sellers lost almost $1 billion in Monday’s monster rally.The jaw-dropping rally in GameStop on Monday caused losses approaching $1billion for short sellers, according to data from S3 Partners.With GameStop soaring 74%, short-selling hedge funds suffered a mark-to-market loss of $838 million in the brick-and-mortar video game retailer, data firm S3 Partners said.“Expect short covering in this stock as it already had a 100/100 squeeze score prior to today’s trading,” said Ihor Dusaniwsky, S3 managing director of predictive analytics. Managing Director of Predictive Analytics. S3 Partners LLC, Financial Analytics Firm