190
·
09-15
Ford's Electric Strategy Shift: Investment Opportunities
Overview of the Market: Ford’s $Ford(F)$
932
·
09-15
TSMC's 2nm Breakthrough: Investment Opportunities Amidst the Semiconductor Race
Overview of the Market: TSMC's $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$
211
·
09-15
Recession similarity
Four days until the #FOMC meeting, where Powell will likely cut by .25 (odds are currently 50% for .25 and 50% for .50). The similarities between 2007 and 2024 are wild! Charts in comments: Fed's First Rate Cut: Sept 18, 2007 Sept 18, 2024 (high probability) Unemployment Rate Sept 2007: 4.7 Sept 2024: 4.2 US Inflation Rate YoY Sept 2007: 2.5 Sept 2024: 2.5 US Housing Starts: Sept 2007: 1.238 Sept 2024: 1.235 US Leading Economic Activity Sept 2007: 100.4 Sept 2024: 100.4 US Existing Home Sales Sept 2007: 4.5 Million Sept 2024: 3.95 Million (This post is not calling for a 2007 crash. I am simply pointing out the intriguing similarities in timing and economic indicators.$S&P 500(.SPX)$
278
·
09-16
Earnings for coming week starting 16Sep24 - what does FedEx's earnings say about the market outlook?
Earnings Calendar (16Sep24) Q3/2024 has started and a few interesting earnings are coming in the coming week. These include Factset, FedEx and Lennar. Let us look into FedEx. Observations of recent performances: Revenue grew from $47.4 billion in 2015 to 87.6 billion in 2024. This is a decline compared to the $93.5 billion in 2022 and $90.1 billion in 2023. The gross profit margin for the 10-year median stands at 21.3%. The free cash flow for the 10-year median margin stands at 2.0% And the 10-year CAGR is 15.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) has grown from $3.65 in 2015 to $17.21 in 2024. This shows good cost management. However, the best year for earnings per share is 2021 which clocked $19.45 for EPS. The current P/E ratio is 16.2 is attractive. More importantly, the outlook of FedEx can be
324
·
09-16
S&P500 outlook for week starting 16Sep24
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 16Sep24 Observations: The MACD indicator is about to complete a top crossover which implies a coming uptrend. However, there is a forming of a “double top” which suggests that a reverse is not far away. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. Both MA50 and MA200 lines are below the last candle. Thus, it could be read as bullish for both the mid and the long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines have completed their crossover. This implies an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend but there seems to be more selling volume than buying. Thus, the line may have started to trend downward. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar
206
·
09-16
News and my thoughts from last week (16Sep24) - strike, dollar dominance,
News and my thoughts from last week (16Sep24) Russia at the United Nations: If the decision is made to lift restrictions allowing Ukraine to strike inside Russia, it will mean war between NATO countries and Russia. Is funding the defense industry more important than the peace of the continent? A pen can be mightier than a bullet - please continue to pursue peace through negotiations. The End of U.S. Dollar Dominance? Experts believe that an impending collapse of the Bretton Woods system—established post-WWII to tie the U.S. dollar to gold and stabilize global trade—has set the stage for seismic shifts in global finance. With Nixon’s 1971 gold exit, unchecked money printing began, leading to the U.S.'s spiraling debt and weakening global power. Now, BRICS nations are pushing for a
546
·
09-16
My investing muse - layoffs, bankruptcies and USA election
My Investing Muse (16Sep24) Layoffs & Closure news KPMG leases 100,000 square feet in downtown San Francisco, will depart KPMG building after two decades - BizJournals PWC is planning to lay off 2000 staff. What is going on? - WSJ Shell, the oil and gas giant, is planning to cut down its workforce by 20%. The job cuts are anticipated to affect the oil and gas exploration staff, per a report by Reuters. Oaktree Capital Management has reproached private equity groups Advent and Silver Lake over the bankruptcy this year of Thrasio, an e-commerce start-up once valued at $6bn that all three had backed. - FT Image The Trucking Industry is losing over 400 Carriers Per Week! The Average Net Change in Trucking Authorities has been negative every week outside of just a few since Nov of 2022
288
·
09-16
Will a U.S. Fed Rate Cut Bring Relief to Australian Borrowers?
Michele Bullock, The RBA governor As the U.S. Federal Reserve moves closer to cutting interest rates, Australian borrowers might wonder what this means for them. Historically, economic moves in the U.S. tend to ripple across the globe, influencing policies in nations like Australia. While U.S. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals rate cuts aimed at easing inflation and stimulating the economy, Australians hoping for similar relief might be disappointed. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), led by Governor Michele Bullock, has made it clear that rate cuts are unlikely in the near future. The Global Trend of Rate Cuts The U.S. is poised to join other major economies, including the UK, Canada, China, and New Zealand, in reducing interest rates. These cuts reflect a global trend toward easing mone
9.32K
·
09-16
The Most Undervalued Bitcoin Miner, CLSK, has Target Price Maintained at $27
$CleanSpark, Inc.(CLSK)$
TOPBarcode: I’m already in and HODL Sis! Great pump, analysis and insights! Thanks for the 🏷️! Let’s go BTC and $CleanSpark, Inc.(CLSK)$ Huat! 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥Cheers, BC 🍀
1.31K
·
09-16
Stocks to Watch in the coming week (16 - 20 Sept)
$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$
TOPIt's definitely an exciting time for the crypto space
3.16K
·
09-16
Nvidia's Surge: Can It Break Through Resistance and Head Towards $130?
A New Rally in the Making On September 11, Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang set off a significant rally in the U.S. stock market with his remarks at a Goldman Sachs technology conference. Citing "massive AI chip demand" and "customer tensions," Huang’s comments helped erase earlier losses, culminating in a V-shaped rebound with technology and chip stocks like Nvidia $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ leading the charge. The question now is whether this rally represents the end of the recent selloff or if it is merely a temporary resurgence. Technical Analysis: Signs of a Bullish Reversal A closer look at Nvidia’s daily trading chart shows promising signs of a bullish reversal. The stock has formed a bullish triangle pattern, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergenc
1.03K
·
09-16
$SPX Dips: Buy Opportunities to 5651
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ dips should keep getting bought up quickly until we cross at least 5651. Watch the 5601-5560 zone for support, with 5601-5584 being the sweet spot for a strong bounce on the next dip.Once 5651 is taken out, expect a 2nd wave pullback, but it’ll likely be another buy-the-dip opportunity, pushing price to 5880-5935, or even 6080 for the final leg up $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
194
·
09-16
Daily Charts - The Stockmarket is an Anticipation machine
1.The Stockmarket is an Anticipation machine -- yes sometimes, it over-reacts and slips in fear of the worst, but coming out of recessions it bottoms well in advance..Price moves Faster than Fundamentals: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Image2.Developed vs US Equities performance-cyclical decline?-or structural decline?-or just a big dinosaur shape?Image3.The Monetary Wall-largest tightening in recent years-recession avoided for nowImage4.This week: tech technicals, tech stock value, investment manager sentiment, Fed vs markets, bull market stats, earnings trends, y
119
·
09-16
Bullish Rally Potential and Key Support Levels
The weekly candle's formation closely resembles the patterns that have historically preceded bullish rallies, as illustrated in the chart. While I anticipated further declines on Monday before a rebound, the market actually bounced due to oversold breadth as indicated by the McClellan Oscillator. Price remained in consolidation on Tuesday, and the anticipated additional dip occurred on Wednesday, followed by the expected bounce.Beyond the weekly levels, the 20-week moving average provided robust support, reinforced by its confluence with the lower edge of volume shelf “A”. This expanding shelf is likely to offer support during any short-term volatility related to interest rate cuts. Additionally, the annual support level indicated in the chart proved effective in bolstering prices.The Fede
557
·
09-16
What’s coming after the rate cuts? - An abyss? or a bullish context?
As presented in previous editions, probabilities after breadth signals and historical studies about rate cuts periods suggest new all time highs are coming, and technicals presented last week like Volume Shelves and the McClellan Oscillator suggested that a bounce was around the corner. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ bounced from a higher level than expected, $DJIA(.DJI)$ and Small Caps $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ were the ones reaching the first weekly support and they bounced rapidly on Wednesday. Technical analysis is about probabilities and the S/R Levels are the rapid validators, so once $5,478 and $18,
184
·
09-16
$SPX - Percentage of Time up PER SECTOR
1.Percentage of Time up PER SECTOR from Labor Day Through Election Day and Election Day Through Year End.Watch financials and materials 👀 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ $Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLB)$ $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ $Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF(VTI)$ Image2.Average Sectors Returns for Sep - Oct and Nov - Dec in Presidential Election YearsThe S&P 500 may
198
·
09-16
$NDX - A bounce around the corner
$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ This analysis was published last week in the Weekly Compass:The confluence of the 40-week average and the Point of Control on the current volume shelf indicated a bounce around the corner.Also the oversold McClellan Oscillator shared for everyone via email.The updated analysis, including support and resistance levels is out!l 👇Image $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ - Bullish Crossover Imminent?The 20 Daily Average is about to cross the 50 DMA; that is a bullish signal as recent history shows, suggesting that the price is likely to continue moving upward.Conversely, when the 20-day moving average crosses below the 50-day moving average, it's often seen as a bearish signal, suggesting that the
126
·
09-16
The Part-Time Economy
Full-time jobs are going away and that may not be a disaster for the economy.The U.S. is losing jobs at an alarming rate. Full-time jobs, that is.Part-time jobs, on the other hand, are booming.Is this a sign of a weakening economy or a new normal? I’m going to examine that below. But first, this was your week on Wall Street.The New Part-Time EconomyThere’s been a lot of prognostication about the state of the economy on Wall Street lately. I wrote last week about the yield curve un-inverting, the Sahm Rule, and a weakening job market as signs a recession may be coming.The theory behind each of these red flags makes sense because economists are worried about a downward economic tailspin:Layoffs begin.Consumers pull back spending.Businesses worry about consumer spending, so they lay off more
217
·
09-16
The Dollar is Dying; Long Live the Stablecoin?
Over the past 12 months, $19.9 trillion in stablecoin transactions have settled on the blockchain over 3.5 billion total transactions. That’s not according to some crypto enthusiast, that’s according to Visa.The volume may seem crazy if you haven’t made a blockchain transaction for yourself, but if you have, it seems obvious. The gatekeeper banks and credit card companies are slow and costly compared to the blockchain. They’re outdated in a digital world.The last time you used your phone to buy groceries, did you ask why a credit card company built on physical cards with magnetic strips took 3% of the entirely digital transaction? Of course, you didn’t because this is how things work.Is there a better way?The blockchain provides a better way, and the financial world seems to be catching on
358
·
09-16
The strategy is to get in at exact bottom of SPY SPX after a massive sell-off and SWING
The strategy is to get in at exact bottom of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ after a massive sell-off and SWING.The hard part is to wait for the bottom to come in after selling.$540 on SPY chart is a major level where buyers step in to hold support.ImageKnowing this we called out the exact bottom of the market on Sept 11 with our trading community LIVE and it was alerted here.You should REVIEW the time and the post to understand what is happening:ImageThe SECRET to the reversal for SPY SPX options is to watch for buyers step into market on the 5min and longer time frames like 15min or 1HR ImageThis is 1 more scenario where you see SELLERS leave the market and then the market rips upwa
Most Discussed
Terms and Conditions·Privacy Policy
Company: TTMF Limited. Tech supported by Xiangshang Yixin.
Email：uservice@ttm.financial