To The Moon

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 29Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend and there is a setup for a potential reversal in the common days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the line moves toward the “0” line. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. St

The market experienced a tech-driven bounce, but the $DJIA(.DJI)$ remains weak. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed the week with a rejection at $5,110 and the 20-day moving average.The previous SPX post shows those lines, if these resistance levels for the #SP500 hold true, it might indicate the beginning of a second leg down.This chart highlights in blue arrows the initial bounce. The green arrows point to the actual market bottom.The Question: December 2022 Redux or August 2023 Repeat?The key question is whether this situation will unfold similarly to August 2023, where a bounce preceded a deeper decline, or if it will resemble December 2022, where the bounce marked a more sustained recovery.Both cases befo

WARNING! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has now reached the 5110 target with a corrective ABC up structure to validate completion of the B-Wave.If price trades below 5050, that would confirm completion of B-Wave rally.If so, that should lead to 5015 in the short term, but ultimately 4820-4800 for [W4]ImageHere are my previous predictions:Further rally for the B-Wave is expected as SPX likely terminated its short-term correction at today's 4990 low.Therefore, price should begin the final corrective leg up targeting 5110-5130-5150.Loss of 4953 would favor the C-Wave already beginning, however, targeting that 4820 [W4] termination range.ImageImagehttps://twitter.com/TriggerTrades/status

Kimly was top picked in food service sector in SGX by RHB on 24/04/2024. Coffee shop was more defensive than fast food restaurant. CDC voucher will benefit the coffee shop. Kimly halal food was expanding.  $Kimly(1D0.SI)$  PE 10, dividend 6%, good price.

[Smart]Hello fellow investors,I hope this message finds you well amidst the dynamic shifts in the market.By Founder & CEO Ciovacco Capital Management.ImageAs of the snapshot from Chris Ciovacco, the founder of Ciovacco Capital shared on X platform”$VIX top panel. S&P 500 bottom panel. $SPX”The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$, often referred to as the "fear index," is sitting at a level of 16.94.The chart shows that whenever the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ primary MA moves, it will pull back, which happens to be a signal for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index to rebound.Do you think that with the rebound in semiconductor stocks on Monday, do you think that the stan

After a 10% decline in $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ and 5% in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , the market will?Vote please.Let’s keep this one simple; we have a quick 10% decline that’s nothing to sneeze at, also I thrown a piece of data I shared from another chart which is 75% of Nasdaq stocks are above their respective 50MA’s wish coincides generally with washout signals. MACD is at a former area of support.This decline terminated right at the previous S/R flip area (support/resistance), and stock market 101 is former resistance being turned to support- the Q’s have a chance do that technical support off of that TA level by using fundamentals from earnings to turn that into said support to launch from.One other additive I thr

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ MELDOWN! I will stand by this statement, "We are in a bull market and we are currently seeing a short term correction. Fear is a buy" • RSI falling under 50 and Bears keeping the bear gap open for over the week, both cues worked out perfectly to judge the weekly break down on SPX • Looking at the RSI we are definitely at an over sold level, but it is not a cue to buy the dip for short term trading. • Long term strategy remains on elevated $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ (CSPs) • MACD and RSI currently are in full control of the bears.• This market leaders are Semis, and when the leaders are selling the sentiment in the market cannot stay opposite. • I understand everyone is looking for tha

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ decreased 3.1% last week, $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ plummeted 5.5%, causing market attention. TMaybe it’s not a bad thing to fall at this position. It can not only digest its overly strong expectations, but also help to restart the interest rate cut trade.Liquidity IssuesThe turning point of financial liquidity in the second quarter will put pressure on U.S. stocks.The difference between the Federal Reserve's balance sheet rule - TGA account - reverse repos is used to measure liquidity within the financial system, which is approximately equal to the scale of reserves in the commercial banking system. Recent changes are that the Fed's monthly balance sheet reduction is still ongoing, but the tax

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ thoughts: I like to think that the most effective corrections often involve a phase where the majority of participants are convinced it has reached its conclusion. In the short term (1 - 2 weeks) a relief rally that progresses towards the range of 5050 - 5150 would have this effect.ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!https://twitter.com/tomthetrader1

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 22Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend from the past week and this should continue into the coming week. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the volume trend seems to be changing direction. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration

Given the current market environment, including the ongoing conflict and concerns about potential retaliation from Israel, the S&P 500 could face significant volatility in the short term. The market selloff was also influenced by expectations of interest rate hikes, adding to the bearish sentiment. Monitoring developments closely and staying adaptable to changing conditions will be key for investors. @TigerGPT how do you think about the movement for S&P 500?

Keep shorting the market when fear is at the max I have been buying puts on S&P. All my puts are giving me gains but calls are taking away my money.  I will keep buying puts till the market turned against me.  It is fine to be wrong in the direction you are aiming for. Just quickly liquidate and run away. Find the next moves will do

- Markets lost the 50 DAY MA this week - VIX reversing upward - US OIL hit a 6 month high this week - GOLD & SILVER have moved parabolic - MEGA Caps are starting to decline - US 10 YR exploded higher this week - Israel V Iran - Russia V Ukraine - Inflation coming in hot - Nikki plunges -3% - Bitcoin halving event tomorrow - Earnings season has just started All of this happened at the start of Q2 and we are only 18 days in. $SPY $QQQ $BTC

More than half of the 224 global asset managers surveyed by BofA expect a "soft landing" over the next 12 months. This is down by 15% from January when 71% of fund managers projected a soft landing. Now, more than a third of global asset managers anticipate a hard landing. As higher for longer returns, the risk of entering a recession appears to be growing. The market is currently pricing less than 2 Fed rate cuts in 2024, down from 7 in December. Soft landing expectations are quickly disappearing.

Given the futures price action, this morning's key levels for staying bullish (above) or bearish (below) were identified, with a reminder that a broken resistance level becomes new support. Unfortunately, support for $ES_F was lost. Filling the gap (for good) at $4983 seems the next move for $SPX. Stochastic and Williams%R are curling up. A technical bounce is due, with $5035 acting as the nearest resistance to overcome and $4983 as the closest support level. For a more updated and detailed analysis of the SPX across different timeframes, and expectations updated for the current price action, check out today's educational content, the first segment is extensive and OPEN for everyone (link in bio).Image

Bank of America (BAC) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2024/04/16/bank-of-america-bac-q1-2024-earnings-call-transcri/

With the rise in risk sentiment, the market's heavyweight stocks have also begun to pull back. Although the performance of the seven tech giants this week has not been too different (except for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ), investors have significantly different expectations.Among them, the IVs of $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ have reached a historical high for the past year, which means that investors expect a large volatility to occur next (usually negative).And the tech giants' earnings reports are in two weeks. Theoretically, the IV level is quite high, but reaching the historical highest level directly indicates that the volatility expected by investors may n

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  great opportunity for Amazon with consumer sentiment positive this quarter 

I think US markets fell enough and quick  It might give some deaD cat bounce here for 1 to 2 percent but it might fall again frpm there Bu5 in short term i guess over sold So there might be some temp bounce

it is important to uphold the market as the turmoil in the world can create instability to the economy. Despite many companies laying off staff, especially white collar jobs, most hiring are non professionals; and with the debt forgiven for student loans lately, it continues to jack up spending! how stable is the market when Singapore itself is experiencing low exports in latest data. US has to lead whereas UK unemployment is up. Hm, something doesn't measure up?? 

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 29Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend and there is a setup for a potential reversal in the common days. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the line moves toward the “0” line. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. St

The market experienced a tech-driven bounce, but the $DJIA(.DJI)$ remains weak. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed the week with a rejection at $5,110 and the 20-day moving average.The previous SPX post shows those lines, if these resistance levels for the #SP500 hold true, it might indicate the beginning of a second leg down.This chart highlights in blue arrows the initial bounce. The green arrows point to the actual market bottom.The Question: December 2022 Redux or August 2023 Repeat?The key question is whether this situation will unfold similarly to August 2023, where a bounce preceded a deeper decline, or if it will resemble December 2022, where the bounce marked a more sustained recovery.Both cases befo

WARNING! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has now reached the 5110 target with a corrective ABC up structure to validate completion of the B-Wave.If price trades below 5050, that would confirm completion of B-Wave rally.If so, that should lead to 5015 in the short term, but ultimately 4820-4800 for [W4]ImageHere are my previous predictions:Further rally for the B-Wave is expected as SPX likely terminated its short-term correction at today's 4990 low.Therefore, price should begin the final corrective leg up targeting 5110-5130-5150.Loss of 4953 would favor the C-Wave already beginning, however, targeting that 4820 [W4] termination range.ImageImagehttps://twitter.com/TriggerTrades/status

Kimly was top picked in food service sector in SGX by RHB on 24/04/2024. Coffee shop was more defensive than fast food restaurant. CDC voucher will benefit the coffee shop. Kimly halal food was expanding.  $Kimly(1D0.SI)$  PE 10, dividend 6%, good price.

[Smart]Hello fellow investors,I hope this message finds you well amidst the dynamic shifts in the market.By Founder & CEO Ciovacco Capital Management.ImageAs of the snapshot from Chris Ciovacco, the founder of Ciovacco Capital shared on X platform”$VIX top panel. S&P 500 bottom panel. $SPX”The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$, often referred to as the "fear index," is sitting at a level of 16.94.The chart shows that whenever the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ primary MA moves, it will pull back, which happens to be a signal for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index to rebound.Do you think that with the rebound in semiconductor stocks on Monday, do you think that the stan

Six Too-Big-To-Fail US banks have all released Q1 2024 financial reports.With the macro still tight, but economic activity strong, all of them beat without surprise, business department in divergence.Interest margin keeps narrowing but improved, the interest income has noticeably dropped, but the overall market expectation is not high. JPMorgan and Wells Fargo's partial interest income did not meet expectations, and the market had already priced this in.CPI strong, short-term interest rate cut expectations fell, and it is still difficult to see growth in the interest margin.Investment banking business as a whole is recovering, among which the growth of fixed-income underwriting business is the most noticeable. Wealth management business is growing steadily overall, and active market tradin

Iran and Israel conflict It started with the “arrest” of MSC Aries at the Straits of Hormuz. BREAKING: IRAN BANS ALL SHIPS LINKED TO ISRAEL “Starting today, all vessels linked to the Zionist regime are banned from operating in the Oman Sea and the Persian Gulf.Any such vessels found in these waters will be confiscated.” This thread means that all Israeli-linked vessels would not be able to travel past the Oman Sea and the Persian Gulf. This would be taken seriously by the shipping industry, causing further disruptions to the regional supply chain. Vessels will be forced to divert, leading to an increase in supply chain lead time and cost. Missiles and Drones were launched The screenshot was taken from the NBC news report. Iran launched its retaliation after Israel bombed its embassy in

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ decreased 3.1% last week, $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ plummeted 5.5%, causing market attention. TMaybe it’s not a bad thing to fall at this position. It can not only digest its overly strong expectations, but also help to restart the interest rate cut trade.Liquidity IssuesThe turning point of financial liquidity in the second quarter will put pressure on U.S. stocks.The difference between the Federal Reserve's balance sheet rule - TGA account - reverse repos is used to measure liquidity within the financial system, which is approximately equal to the scale of reserves in the commercial banking system. Recent changes are that the Fed's monthly balance sheet reduction is still ongoing, but the tax

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 22Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend from the past week and this should continue into the coming week. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Note that there may be a reversal in this coming up as the volume trend seems to be changing direction. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above the MA 200 line and below the MA 50 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and bearish for the mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines have converged and started a downtrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration

Yesterday saw a continuation of the reevaluation of interest-rate expectations for 2024, driven by comments from Federal Reserve officials and market reactions to economic data. Here's a breakdown of the key events and market movements: DJIA: +0.17% to 37,798.97 ; $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.21% to 5,051.41 ; $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -0.12% to 15,865.25 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Stocks Interest Rate Expectations Fed Remarks: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the need for greater confidence in sustained inflation decli

Buckle up folks, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is finally experiencing a pullback! After a stellar run so far in 2024, the index is seeing some long-awaited correction. For some investors, this pullback might be a chance to jump in and buy at a discount. Historically, pullbacks are often seen as opportunities to snag stocks at reduced prices. For others, it might be a wake-up call to rebalance their portfolios. If your holdings have become too heavily weighted in stocks, a pullback can be a good time to trim positions or diversify further. Let's not sugarcoat it - a pullback can also signal a shift in the market sentiment. Investors should stay informed about any underlying factors causing the dip. The market is reacting to Iran’s attack on Israel by se

2."Is US Inflation Making a Comeback?"Certainly, the biggest variable regarding interest rate cuts is inflation. This year's inflation data has put the Federal Reserve in a somewhat awkward position. Firstly, energy prices have been steadily rising. Crude oil prices have reached $86, noticeably impacting Americans at the gas station.Gold prices have recently surged, breaking the $2300 mark and hitting historic highs, signaling market expectations of further inflation. While the Fed may attribute the rise in oil prices to Middle East tensions, financial markets find this hard to accept. Looking at the real estate market, the overall US housing market price index has risen by about 4% this year, and rents have increased. Consequently, the equivalent rent weight within the CPI is bound to con

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ MELDOWN! I will stand by this statement, "We are in a bull market and we are currently seeing a short term correction. Fear is a buy" • RSI falling under 50 and Bears keeping the bear gap open for over the week, both cues worked out perfectly to judge the weekly break down on SPX • Looking at the RSI we are definitely at an over sold level, but it is not a cue to buy the dip for short term trading. • Long term strategy remains on elevated $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ (CSPs) • MACD and RSI currently are in full control of the bears.• This market leaders are Semis, and when the leaders are selling the sentiment in the market cannot stay opposite. • I understand everyone is looking for tha

On Monday, all three major US stock indices gave up their intraday gains and closed in the red. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 1.2% and below 5,100 points, marking a 2.6% decline over two trading sessions - the steepest drop in more than a year.Additionally, the $DJIA(.DJI)$ dipped 0.7%, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ tumbled 1.8%, with large-cap tech stocks taking the lead in the sell-off. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ and $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ were among the top losers in the interest rate-sensitive tech sector.Almost all the stocks in the

With the rise in risk sentiment, the market's heavyweight stocks have also begun to pull back. Although the performance of the seven tech giants this week has not been too different (except for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ), investors have significantly different expectations.Among them, the IVs of $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ have reached a historical high for the past year, which means that investors expect a large volatility to occur next (usually negative).And the tech giants' earnings reports are in two weeks. Theoretically, the IV level is quite high, but reaching the historical highest level directly indicates that the volatility expected by investors may n

The "Fear and Greed" index has once again fallen back into the "Fear" rangeOrdinary investors may easily overlook the options of $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ , reflecting the volatility of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . It is a cost-effective "hedge" underlying.Remember the following points:- Index option trades are all cash settled, so there is no "stock acceptance" situation in Sell PUT trades.- VIX is the market's expectation of **future** volatility within 30 days, not a measure of current or past volatility.- VIX options have a "Rule Of 16", precisely 15.87, which is the square root of 252 (the number of trading days in a year). If VIX is at 16, SPX is expected to fluctuate 1% daily; if VIX is 24, daily fluctu

The market experienced its worst week in the past half year, except for the $Apple(AAPL)$ that rebounded last week, and the revalued $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ can barely support the market. Most other individual stocks have basically collapsed. Among the big tech stocks that fell the most in the past week is $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ but options activity indicates further actions by some large investors. As many tech stocks' IV Percentage has now returned to over 80%, it implies that the market is worried about further volatility. Sellers are hoping for higher IV, which might match the current trading conditions. In particular, the Call in June 2026 for META has seen

I think with high probability that S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$  is going to head towards the 5000 USD support in near term. If you look at the attached graph for S&P, the index drop below EMA50 for the first time since Nov 2023, which might signify a potential incoming deep correction.  As we can observe, the three major U.S. stock indexes $DJIA(.DJI)$  $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$    fell significantly in April due to sev

Ongoing war and Tense Times in the Middle East: How can markets react and how should investors plan? Rising tensions between Iran and Israel are worrying and keeping investors on the edge. earnings season starting now, until the bigtechs begin their results, markets may be less volatile due to banking forecast.Here's a breakdown of potential market reactions and how investors can navigate this uncertainty: Market Impact: Oil Prices: A major concern is a disruption in oil supplies from the Middle East. This could send crude prices soaring, pushing up inflation and potentially forcing central banks to raise interest rates. Stock markets, particularly those reliant on energy imports, could see a decline. Volatility: Increased uncertainty often leads to market volatility. Investors can expect

After a 10% decline in $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ and 5% in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , the market will?Vote please.Let’s keep this one simple; we have a quick 10% decline that’s nothing to sneeze at, also I thrown a piece of data I shared from another chart which is 75% of Nasdaq stocks are above their respective 50MA’s wish coincides generally with washout signals. MACD is at a former area of support.This decline terminated right at the previous S/R flip area (support/resistance), and stock market 101 is former resistance being turned to support- the Q’s have a chance do that technical support off of that TA level by using fundamentals from earnings to turn that into said support to launch from.One other additive I thr