313
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10-07
Economic and Market Review September 2024
Economic and Market Review September 2024• Equity markets have strong year-to-date returns, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ having its first positive September in 5 years.• $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ and $Silver - main 2412(SImain)$ surge amid continued economic uncertainty and global conflict fears.OverviewThe Fed cut rates by 50bps. The market rallied on the news but flattened out as the month progressed, with the S&P ending the month up 2.8%. However, the last time the Fed cut rates by 50bps with markets at all time highs was in October 2007 – what followed in 2008 came to be known as the ‘great recession’.As a refences, at the time Debt to GDP
410
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10-07
Is Apple’s growth engine stalling?
$Apple(AAPL)$ ’s relatively weak position in the AI industry, combined with concerns over market saturation and innovation risks, might leave the company vulnerable in a potentially weakening macroeconomic environment. Moreover, it’s one of the most highly valued companies among the “Mag Seven,” yet shows no clear signs that it deserves this valuation based on future growth projections.Four Key Factors The iPhone remains Apple’s main growth driver, but the sales expansion expected with the iPhone 16 and iPhone 16 Plus, fueled by AI hype, hasn’t delivered as anticipated. This isn’t a good sign, but it’s mainly because the new AI features haven’t been fully activated yet. That’s probably why the much-anticipated upgrade supercycle hasn’t fully kicke
599
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10-07
Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm -Important resistance levels remain un-cleared
Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$ $GLOBAL X DOW 30® COVERED CALL ETF(DJIA)$ Financial conditions have un-eased.Important resistance levels remain un-cleared.October seasonality is bearish during election years.Investors are all-in on stocks (and valuations are high).We’ve never seen Fed rate cuts when valuations are this high.Overall, there still seems to be a l
711
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10-07
Daily Charts - Big Rotation for Small Caps?
1.Big Rotation for Small Caps?Small cap relative valuations are turning up from multi-decade lows, and it sure seems that history rhymes: a long-term cycle is observable... $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image 2.Heavy Lifting...Stocks whose CEO lifts heavy weights outperform the index -- likely a few other factors at play, but it's easy to see why this could work (improved health, sleep, cognition, decision making)Image3.The Euphoriameter ticked up to another new record high in September. Very simply the consensus is bullish and the stock market is highly vulnerable to any type of disappointment or adverse shocks/surprises.Imagehttps://x.com/jessefelder/status/1842958197562429643
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10-07
04 Oct Market Slightly Higher Driven By Rally After September Employment Situation Report.
There were profit-taking activities last week following a strong third quarter and geopolitical tensions after Iran's missile attack on Israel. The stock market saw a decline throughout most of the week, only to see the major indices closed slightly higher, driven by a rally following the September Employment Situation Report. The report indicated stronger-than-expected hiring, a decrease in unemployment, and an increase in average hourly earnings. This supported the market's soft landing narrative and reduced expectations for aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This incident increased oil prices, with WTI crude oil futures rising from $68.15 per barrel last Friday to $74.40 per barrel this Friday. This surge boosted the S&P 500 energy sector, which saw a 6.87% increase over
TOPTaurus Pink: [Bared teeth] [Bared teeth] [Bared teeth]
6.94K
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10-06
Would You Let Your Child Learn About Investing at Early Age?
Recently a Chinese blogger taught her daughter to understand the stock market - “good target + good price + risk management”. The blogger asked her daughter, “Which company do you want to invest in?” She said $Alphabet(GOOG)$ because Google is a very good company, its search is the best. Then the influencer asked her whether she should buy something expensive or cheap?She said we should buy expensive because cheap things are not good quality.Then another question: if the same Google, buy at 10 dollars or 8 dollars?She said if the same thing, then certainly willing to buy cheap. Some people feel that teaching children to invest is a waste of their children's time. Some recognized it, while others questioned the blogger's investing ability. Not only
TOP@nomadic_m @Shyon @koolgal @NightMorph @Kiwi_G @Happiness. @SPACE ROCKET @SPOT_ON please join me for this awesome topic by @Tiger_comments for a chance to win Tiger coins! Cheers, BC 🍀
8.97K
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10-06
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Well, my very first paycheck was mowing my grandmothers 1/4 acre section with a push mower. Took me over four hours but i got $10. That was 43 years ago, but $2.50 per hour back then was pretty fantastic for an 11yo. Oh wait, i had to weed her garden too, would have taken me 30 mins max, but each weed required approval from grandma to confirm it was a weed, so it took 2 hours. Funny the things you remember. And compulsory hot tea breaks, with snacks also reduced my hourly rate. But grandma was happy cause i spent the day with her, and mum was even happier cause i didn't spend the day with her, and i was happy, because i had $10 cold hard cash. But what did i spend my loot on... well four lollies back then was 1 cent, so
TOPmy first job was renovating a college for 1 week. made $250. spent it on my first computer. an cheap old Duron desktop PC with integrated video and 30 GB HD. but it was the first computer I bought with my own money.
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10-06
Tiger Brokers Is My Best Performing Chinese Stock!
🌟🌟🌟UP Fintech Holding $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ more popularly known as Tiger Brokers is like a rocket to the moon! Its share price is up 34.8% on Friday trading and in the past 5 days it has jumped a whopping 127%! On Tuesday September 24, the Chinese authorities announced a blitz of stimulus measures which sparked bullish optimism among investors. This was just after the Feds announced a jumbo 50 basis points rate cut. Double Happiness! Since then there was a massive rally in Chinese stocks which was unprecedented! Tiger Brokers have gained 127% in the past 5 trading sessions with more than 38 million shares traded. In contrast its 100 day average is 1.595 million. It has hit a 52 week high of USD 12.42
TOPVery well done! I took profit a little too early (cost price close to yours) but still happy 😄
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10-05
I closed $SOFI 20241004 8.5 CALL$ ,SoFI: collected full premium when these covered calls expired worthless on 4th Oct. SoFI had a bullish run on Fri and close at $8.36 within close range to my strike at $8.5. The stocks had been showing signs of bullish and potentially might break out. In the meanwhile, I’ll just keep selling both cash secured puts when it’s lower and covered calls when it’s high like now.
SOFI CALL
10-05 14:10
US20241004 8.5
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Close | 0.00 | +100.00% Closed |
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10-05
I closed $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ ,With Palantir’s (PLTR) current resistance at $40.40, the stock has seen a continued bullish move. Here’s a revised technical analysis based on this updated resistance: Resistance at $40.40: Palantir is now facing strong resistance around $40.40, which represents a key psychological and technical level. This price point marks a crucial barrier where sellers might step in, and it could lead to consolidation or a pullback if the stock fails to break through convincingly. If it breaches this resistance, the next potential target could be $45, where further upside momentum could drive the stock higher. Support Levels: On the downside, if the stock pulls back from the $40.40 resistance, the $35 level sh
PLTR
10-05 14:12
USPalantir Technologies Inc.
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Close | 36.00 | +21.95% Closed |
TOPPalantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Poised for Growth with AI Infrastructure Demand Surge and S&P 500 Inclusion; Bank of America Raises Price Target to $50
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10-05
VGT a Better Investment Bet than SPY ?
What does the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ market index signify? It reflects the overall health of the American stock market, with a quality filter based on market capitalization. Investing in this market tracker through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) like the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ gives investors a ton of diversification and sets any investor up for robust long-term returns. Statistically, it has been shown that if a person has invested $1,000 in the SPDR fund 10 years ago and set the position up to reinvest dividend payments in more shares, he / she would have $3,500 today. That's a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of +13.2%, leaving inflation rates far behind. Many investors get started in a popular
TOPThis ETF has been the foundation of my IRA since its inception. With AI becoming more mainstream this fund will continue to grow.
20.97K
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10-05
I closed $Alibaba(BABA)$ ,BABA: sold this batch off at breakeven at $90 after the covered call goes deep in the money. Forsaken the upside on BABA by up to $24/share based on closing at $114. Have collected premium for a while now so I’m at peace for letting this goes and some other covered call too. Chinese stocks were boosted these past weeks from Chinese stimulus so have to observe how much it might temporary corrects.
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10-05
Is It Time To Buy EWH iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF?
🌟🌟🌟China's new stimulus package is sparking optimism in Hong Kong stocks with the Hang Seng Index surging 6.4% to 22,487.74, breaking above the 22,000 level for the first time since February 2023. $iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF(EWH)$ is up 2.8% on Friday, hitting a 52 week high. It has risen 5.8% for the week. EWH is now up 18.3% year todate. EWH seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of Hong Kong equities. In just 1 trade, I gain access to the best Hong Kong companies. The Top 10 holdings include AIA Group, Hong Kong Exchange, Techtronic Industries, Sun Hung Kai Properties, CK Hutchison Holdings, Link Real Estate Investment Trust, CLP Holdings, BOC Hong Kong Ho
TOPIt was much better to buy it in September🥲
14.89K
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10-05
I closed $PANW VERTICAL 241025 PUT 320.0/PUT 315.0$ ,Within 16 days, this trade manage to achieve ROI of 11% (risk $500), and I decided to close this trade. On a second thought, actually there is still a sufficient buffer and time left. I should have holder it longer. Anyway, I can re-open this trade again next week. Love option trading :)
PANW Vertical
10-04 23:01
US320.0/315.0
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Debit Close | 0.90 | -- Closed |
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10-05
I closed $SOFI CALENDAR 241011/241004 CALL 8.0/CALL 8.0$ ,Rolling over this position due to the sudden surge. This was a naked call and I have a put position on expiring today as well. On hindsight, many mistakes were made. I was looking at the stock when it dropped to 7.7 last 2 days and I should have bought the stock. But I didn’t. When it was at 7.96 today, I thought of buying the stock, and again I didn’t. Then when the call option premium was around 0.03 before the surge, I thought of closing the position and yet I didn’t again. So after many bad choices, I ended up rolling this position. Serves me right!
SOFI Calendar
10-05 01:49
US8.0/8.0
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Close | -0.07 | -- Closed |
TOPNFL Rams are playing at SOFI Stadium. Trades all ready for Monday a.m.
17.03K
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10-04
I opened $Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$ ,CELH: bought in some additional shares to average in my positions. I believe the counter is oversold and possibly rebound at the right timing. Also sold covered call on my positions to collect extra premiums.
CELH
10-04 22:26
USCelsius Holdings, Inc.
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Open | 30.00 | -- Closed |
TOPActually I saw it was going down hard on chart … what’s the big news on it ?? Do u know ? Cannot be nothing yet going down steep
7.10K
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10-04
US Market reels from Job Data. NVDA to the rescue?
On Thu, 03 Oct 2024 another jobs report- the US weekly jobless claims was published. It did little to restore calm to the US market. Instead, US market slipped lower (marginally) from Wednesday’s closing. By the time market closed : (see above) DJIA: -0.44% (-184.33 to 42,011.59). S&P 500: -0.17% (-9.60 to 5,699.94). Nasdaq: -0.04% (-17,918.48). US Weekly Jobless Claims. The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits rose marginally for the week ending 28 Sep 2024. Some analysts have attributed the rise to: Hurricane Helene’s rampage in the US Southeast. Strikes at (i) Boeing and (ii) ports, may have distorted the labour market picture in the near term. According to the Labour Department, US weekly initial jobless claims registered 225,000 applications, an in
TOPNVDA! AMZN! Meta! All good!
6.06K
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10-04
$Nanofilm(MZH.SI)$
4.51K
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10-04
$YZJ Fin Hldg(YF8.SI)$ P/B at 0.36. Asia equities performed exceptionally well. YZJ Finance expected to outperform during year end financial results announcement. Possible increase dividends payout. Should fly like YZJ shipbuilding 😃
4.58K
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10-04
Tourism Boom Sends Ctrip Group Soaring: Stock Poised to Hit HKD 600 as Holiday Demand Skyrockets!
Fuel Up for next Tuesday: Internet Chinese Giants will Surge as Mainland Investors Return. DON'T MISS THE NEXT BIG RALLY. $TRIP.COM-S(09961)$
TOPIt is going to be boom time for CTrip 🚀🚀🚀🌛🌛🌛💰💰💰
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