To The Moon

1. Can Intel justify further upside with earnings execution? Yes — but only if results materially beat and guidance is constructive. The market appears to be pricing in a scenario where: CPU revenue comp outperforms consensus Gross margins expand meaningfully Free cash flow improves And capital allocation is disciplined If Intel delivers just in line with consensus, the stock — already up sharply — could struggle to extend gains. At this elevated valuation relative to history, the bar for positive surprise is higher. What the market wants to see: Better client and data-centre CPU demand than feared ASP stability or mild growth Inventory digestion nearing an end Clear signs that spending discipline and execution are real If earnings arrive with visible beat and raise characteristics, there

$Intel(INTC)$ Intel's shares are on fire, blasting up 47% year-to-date, claiming the bronze medal among S&P 500 stars! 📈 Just yesterday, the stock leaped 11.7% to seal at $54.25, its peak since early 2022. This wild rally screams excitement, powered by blockbuster CPU demand that's got investors buzzing like bees around honey. 🐝 But with earnings dropping today, the big question hangs: Can this chip giant keep the momentum, or is it time for a reality check? Let's dive into the juice fueling this surge. Stronger-than-expected hunger for CPUs is the star of the show, with server capacity nearly sold out through the year ahead. 😲 Analysts are cheering, pointing to agentic AI workloads exploding demand—think autonomous systems that plan and execu

 Add and the reasons below:  • I believe Intel can deliver better than expected results, particularly in data-center and AI segments, therefore, the momentum sentiment is that Intel could run further. • Also, there is a possible turnaround in manufacturing and server dominance, hence, at the current prices, it's an opportunity to add more. 

$Intel (INTC) $The fourth quarter "report card" will be handed over after the market closes on Thursday. The current expectations given by Wall Street are not amazing: Q4 EPS is only US $0.08, and revenue is about US $13.39 billion, down 6% year-on-year. But what the market is really staring at is not these cold figures, but a bigger question-whether Intel's "turnaround" is real. Look at the stock price first, the answer has been written in the K-line. Intel almost emerged from the "disliked" corner: the stock price will soar by more than 80% in 2024, leaving the S&P 500 far behind; At the beginning of 2026, it has risen by about 35%, and the cumulative increase in the past 12 months is as high as 149%. The day before the financial report, the st

Intel's impressive 47% year-to-date surge has been fueled by optimism surrounding stronger-than-expected CPU demand and early signs of a manufacturing recovery. To sustain this rally and justify further upside, several factors beyond CPU strength alone would likely need to materialize, particularly clear progress in its foundry business. Here's a breakdown of factors that could justify further upside for Intel, and why CPU strength alone might not be sufficient: Factors Justifying Further Upside for Intel: Strong Execution in Core CPU Business: Continued Market Share Gains: Demonstrating consistent market share gains in both client computing (PC) and data center CPU segments against competitors like AMD. This would indicate successful product launches and competitive pricing. Robust Demand

$60 pls , To cover I'm lose in Metal 🤘 

Based on the provided data and market context, the upcoming Q4 2025 earnings report for Intel Corporation (INTC.US) presents a critical test of its recent stock momentum against underlying financial performance and long-term strategic narrative. Conclusion Summary The SHIELD defense contract is a significant positive development, but it is unlikely to single-handedly overhaul Intel's long-term revenue narrative in the near term. The immediate stock price action around the $50 level will be primarily driven by the Q4 2025 results and, more importantly, the company's guidance for 2026 regarding demand, margins, and execution of its foundry and product roadmaps.  Detailed Analysis 1. Q4 2025 Earnings Context and Market Expectations The market consensus anticipates a challe

$Intel(INTC)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Thursday, January 22, 2026, after the market close. Following a volatile but transformative 2025, Intel is at a pivot point. The stock has seen a massive "turnaround" rally over the last 12 months, fueled by federal funding and strategic shifts under new leadership. However, the Q4 report will be the "proof of concept" for its ambitious foundry roadmap. Financial Estimates Intel’s fiscal Q3 2025 earnings, reported in October 2025, were widely viewed as a "watershed moment" for the company. After years of struggling with market share losses and manufacturing delays, the results signaled that the "Turnaround" was finally taking hold. Q3 2025 Financial Summary Intel delivered a massi

In a previous post dated Fri, 16 Jan 2026 on Intel’s subsidiary $Mobileye Global Inc.(MBLY)$ (click here ! to read & Repost) - I have concluded that I rather bet on INTC, instead of MBLY. Below is my why $Intel(INTC)$ proposition. As INTC prepares to release its Q4 2025 earnings on Thu, 22 Jan 2026, the market is witnessing a profound shift in narrative. Long dismissed as a legacy titan struggling to keep pace, Intel has transformed into a high-conviction turnaround play - thanks to ‘latest’ CEO, Lip-Bu Tan (?). Let’s dive deep into both technical and fundamental layers of INTC’s impending earnings forecast. Earnings Forecast. As

Big boys positioning themselves on weakness?

Comprehensive Analysis of Intel (INTC) Stock Price and Performance Intel (INTC) stock closed at $46.96 on January 16, 2026, with a daily change of -1.36 (-2.81%). The stock has a 52-week high of $50.39 and a 52-week low of $17.665. In the first few trading days of 2026, Intel's stock was up an impressive 31%, significantly outpacing the broader market. Over the last year, Intel has delivered 145.6% returns. The stock gained 7.33% on a Tuesday, closing at $47.29, driven by KeyBanc's comments on strong AI server demand. Another surge of nearly 7% occurred after investor approval of its new product lineup unveiled at CES, including a gaming-focused processor and platform. Financial Performance Intel is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on Thursday, Ja

gg

b. range bound +/-5%

Intel Earnings: Can the "Chip Shortage" Narrative and 18A Progress Sustain the Rally? Chip giant $Intel(INTC)$   reports Q4 earnings after Thursday's close. Street eyes management's outlook update amid 18A product debut and server CPU shortage speculation. Three Things to Watch How will management address the recent "Server CPU Shortage" narrative? The market has begun to focus on the explosion in demand for CPUs driven by the AI inference era, potentially leading to "memory-cycle style" shortages for server CPUs. Last week, this narrative gained significant traction on Wall Street. Major investment bank KeyBanc released a report predicting that server CPU capacity for both 

🌟🌟🌟Intel $Intel(INTC)$  path for this week, ahead of its earnings report, is a high stakes gamble.  The momentum points towardds a jump on further earnings surprise. This is driven by massive AI catalysts but the stock's already frenzied run makes it vulnerable to a sell the news correction if expectations are not perfectly met. Intel has surged almost 30% in January.  This is driven by a powerful narrative of an imminent comeback.  This momentum is intoxicating but also sets a high bar. The Bull Case for Intel - A Jump on Surprise Earnings  Options data is largely skewed to the upside, implying a potential move north of USD 50 immediately after the report.  Analysts like KeyBanc's John

🟡 B. Range-bound (-5% to +5%)

🟡 B. Range-bound (-5% to +5%)

What’s Driving the Stock Now Mixed sentiment ahead of earnings: INTC shares recently dipped pre-earnings, suggesting investor caution and positioning for volatility.

Replying to @Shyon:I fully support this rationale.//@Shyon:TSM’s $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ blowout quarter pretty much reset the bar for the entire semiconductor space. With margins expanding, AI-driven demand proving real, and capex leaning heavily toward advanced nodes, the market is clearly rewarding execution and visibility — not just a good story. That’s why Intel $Intel(INTC)$ feels like a tougher test. The stock is already up around 30% YTD, expectations on manufacturing progress have been pulled forward, and yet consensus still points to year-over-year declines in both

$Intel(INTC)$ Intel's gearing up for its Q4 2025 earnings showdown after market close on January 22, and the buzz is electric! 📈 With shares already blasting up 27% year-to-date in 2026—trading around $47 after Friday's close—the big question is: Will we see a massive jump on killer surprises, or a classic "sell the news" dip? 😎 Let's dive deep into the intel (pun intended) that's got Wall Street fired up. First off, analysts are dialing in expectations with a consensus EPS of $0.08 on $13.38 billion in revenue. That's down from last year's $0.13 EPS and a 6.2% sales dip, but don't sleep on the upside potential—estimates range from $0.06 to $0.11 for EPS and $12.84B to $13.79B for revenue. 🤑 Some outliers like KeyCorp are calling for a slight miss

1. Can Intel justify further upside with earnings execution? Yes — but only if results materially beat and guidance is constructive. The market appears to be pricing in a scenario where: CPU revenue comp outperforms consensus Gross margins expand meaningfully Free cash flow improves And capital allocation is disciplined If Intel delivers just in line with consensus, the stock — already up sharply — could struggle to extend gains. At this elevated valuation relative to history, the bar for positive surprise is higher. What the market wants to see: Better client and data-centre CPU demand than feared ASP stability or mild growth Inventory digestion nearing an end Clear signs that spending discipline and execution are real If earnings arrive with visible beat and raise characteristics, there

$Intel(INTC)$ Intel's shares are on fire, blasting up 47% year-to-date, claiming the bronze medal among S&P 500 stars! 📈 Just yesterday, the stock leaped 11.7% to seal at $54.25, its peak since early 2022. This wild rally screams excitement, powered by blockbuster CPU demand that's got investors buzzing like bees around honey. 🐝 But with earnings dropping today, the big question hangs: Can this chip giant keep the momentum, or is it time for a reality check? Let's dive into the juice fueling this surge. Stronger-than-expected hunger for CPUs is the star of the show, with server capacity nearly sold out through the year ahead. 😲 Analysts are cheering, pointing to agentic AI workloads exploding demand—think autonomous systems that plan and execu

$Intel (INTC) $The fourth quarter "report card" will be handed over after the market closes on Thursday. The current expectations given by Wall Street are not amazing: Q4 EPS is only US $0.08, and revenue is about US $13.39 billion, down 6% year-on-year. But what the market is really staring at is not these cold figures, but a bigger question-whether Intel's "turnaround" is real. Look at the stock price first, the answer has been written in the K-line. Intel almost emerged from the "disliked" corner: the stock price will soar by more than 80% in 2024, leaving the S&P 500 far behind; At the beginning of 2026, it has risen by about 35%, and the cumulative increase in the past 12 months is as high as 149%. The day before the financial report, the st

Intel's impressive 47% year-to-date surge has been fueled by optimism surrounding stronger-than-expected CPU demand and early signs of a manufacturing recovery. To sustain this rally and justify further upside, several factors beyond CPU strength alone would likely need to materialize, particularly clear progress in its foundry business. Here's a breakdown of factors that could justify further upside for Intel, and why CPU strength alone might not be sufficient: Factors Justifying Further Upside for Intel: Strong Execution in Core CPU Business: Continued Market Share Gains: Demonstrating consistent market share gains in both client computing (PC) and data center CPU segments against competitors like AMD. This would indicate successful product launches and competitive pricing. Robust Demand

In a previous post dated Fri, 16 Jan 2026 on Intel’s subsidiary $Mobileye Global Inc.(MBLY)$ (click here ! to read & Repost) - I have concluded that I rather bet on INTC, instead of MBLY. Below is my why $Intel(INTC)$ proposition. As INTC prepares to release its Q4 2025 earnings on Thu, 22 Jan 2026, the market is witnessing a profound shift in narrative. Long dismissed as a legacy titan struggling to keep pace, Intel has transformed into a high-conviction turnaround play - thanks to ‘latest’ CEO, Lip-Bu Tan (?). Let’s dive deep into both technical and fundamental layers of INTC’s impending earnings forecast. Earnings Forecast. As

 Add and the reasons below:  • I believe Intel can deliver better than expected results, particularly in data-center and AI segments, therefore, the momentum sentiment is that Intel could run further. • Also, there is a possible turnaround in manufacturing and server dominance, hence, at the current prices, it's an opportunity to add more. 

$Intel(INTC)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Thursday, January 22, 2026, after the market close. Following a volatile but transformative 2025, Intel is at a pivot point. The stock has seen a massive "turnaround" rally over the last 12 months, fueled by federal funding and strategic shifts under new leadership. However, the Q4 report will be the "proof of concept" for its ambitious foundry roadmap. Financial Estimates Intel’s fiscal Q3 2025 earnings, reported in October 2025, were widely viewed as a "watershed moment" for the company. After years of struggling with market share losses and manufacturing delays, the results signaled that the "Turnaround" was finally taking hold. Q3 2025 Financial Summary Intel delivered a massi

Based on the provided data and market context, the upcoming Q4 2025 earnings report for Intel Corporation (INTC.US) presents a critical test of its recent stock momentum against underlying financial performance and long-term strategic narrative. Conclusion Summary The SHIELD defense contract is a significant positive development, but it is unlikely to single-handedly overhaul Intel's long-term revenue narrative in the near term. The immediate stock price action around the $50 level will be primarily driven by the Q4 2025 results and, more importantly, the company's guidance for 2026 regarding demand, margins, and execution of its foundry and product roadmaps.  Detailed Analysis 1. Q4 2025 Earnings Context and Market Expectations The market consensus anticipates a challe

Comprehensive Analysis of Intel (INTC) Stock Price and Performance Intel (INTC) stock closed at $46.96 on January 16, 2026, with a daily change of -1.36 (-2.81%). The stock has a 52-week high of $50.39 and a 52-week low of $17.665. In the first few trading days of 2026, Intel's stock was up an impressive 31%, significantly outpacing the broader market. Over the last year, Intel has delivered 145.6% returns. The stock gained 7.33% on a Tuesday, closing at $47.29, driven by KeyBanc's comments on strong AI server demand. Another surge of nearly 7% occurred after investor approval of its new product lineup unveiled at CES, including a gaming-focused processor and platform. Financial Performance Intel is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on Thursday, Ja

Intel Earnings: Can the "Chip Shortage" Narrative and 18A Progress Sustain the Rally? Chip giant $Intel(INTC)$   reports Q4 earnings after Thursday's close. Street eyes management's outlook update amid 18A product debut and server CPU shortage speculation. Three Things to Watch How will management address the recent "Server CPU Shortage" narrative? The market has begun to focus on the explosion in demand for CPUs driven by the AI inference era, potentially leading to "memory-cycle style" shortages for server CPUs. Last week, this narrative gained significant traction on Wall Street. Major investment bank KeyBanc released a report predicting that server CPU capacity for both 

$Intel(INTC)$ Intel's gearing up for its Q4 2025 earnings showdown after market close on January 22, and the buzz is electric! 📈 With shares already blasting up 27% year-to-date in 2026—trading around $47 after Friday's close—the big question is: Will we see a massive jump on killer surprises, or a classic "sell the news" dip? 😎 Let's dive deep into the intel (pun intended) that's got Wall Street fired up. First off, analysts are dialing in expectations with a consensus EPS of $0.08 on $13.38 billion in revenue. That's down from last year's $0.13 EPS and a 6.2% sales dip, but don't sleep on the upside potential—estimates range from $0.06 to $0.11 for EPS and $12.84B to $13.79B for revenue. 🤑 Some outliers like KeyCorp are calling for a slight miss

🌟🌟🌟Intel $Intel(INTC)$  path for this week, ahead of its earnings report, is a high stakes gamble.  The momentum points towardds a jump on further earnings surprise. This is driven by massive AI catalysts but the stock's already frenzied run makes it vulnerable to a sell the news correction if expectations are not perfectly met. Intel has surged almost 30% in January.  This is driven by a powerful narrative of an imminent comeback.  This momentum is intoxicating but also sets a high bar. The Bull Case for Intel - A Jump on Surprise Earnings  Options data is largely skewed to the upside, implying a potential move north of USD 50 immediately after the report.  Analysts like KeyBanc's John

$60 pls , To cover I'm lose in Metal 🤘 

INTC Up 30% YTD: The "Turnaround of the Decade" or a Trap for Late Buyers? 🐯🚨 The Setup: A Dangerous Amount of Optimism We are witnessing one of the most violent sentiment shifts in recent memory. Intel is up ~30% in just the first 18 days of 2026, currently hovering near $47. For a stock that was arguably the most hated name in semis for years, this vertical move before earnings (Jan 22) is terrifyingly bullish—but also incredibly risky. The market isn't just betting on a "good quarter"; it is pricing in a complete structural resurrection. With institutional targets raised to $50–$60 and AMD sitting high at $231, the "Value vs. Growth" rotation is in full swing. But the big question for traders is simple: Have we already seen the move, or is this just the ignition phase? 1️⃣ The "Priced f

Here is a realistic, evidence-based assessment of how Intel might behave after it reports its Q4 2025 results after market close on 22 January 2026: What the market is currently pricing in • The stock is up sharply in 2026, rallying ~30 per cent year-to-date and extending gains from an exceptional 2025.  • Analyst price targets range roughly from US$50 to US$60, with some recent upgrades tied to foundry momentum and strong server CPU demand.  • Despite the rally, broad Wall Street sentiment remains more mixed than uniformly bullish, with the consensus rating tilted to “Hold” rather than Buy and a wide dispersion of targets.  Two plausible post-earnings scenarios 1. Continued upside (“jump on further earnings surprise”) This is credible if Intel delivers not just a beat but f

Hi Tigers, Welcome to “What the Tigers say.”This is a weekly column planned to share the great opinions from Tigers on a specific topic, and today our Theme is $Intel(INTC)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$.🔥Semiconductor sector surges, with the AI computing power dividend opening an investment window! $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ 's Q4 earnings wowed the market: gross profit margin topped 62% for the first time, net profit hit $16B (YoY +35%, beating expectations). It also announced a record $56B 2026 capex (+37% YoY), confirming booming AI chip demand and lifting the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index over 3% in a day—proof of the industry's strong mo

Big boys positioning themselves on weakness?

Here are the key factors that could influence Intel's stock performance after its upcoming earnings report: 1. Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Beat/Miss: Actual vs. Estimated: The most immediate impact comes from whether Intel's reported EPS and revenue figures beat, meet, or miss analyst expectations. A significant beat often leads to a positive stock reaction, while a miss can cause a decline. Guidance: Future guidance for the next quarter and the full year is often more impactful than past results. Strong, optimistic guidance can drive the stock higher, even if current results are just in line. Conversely, weak guidance can lead to a sell-off. 2. Data Center and AI Segment Performance: Growth in Data Center Group (DCG): Intel's traditional strength lies in its data center business.

1. Current context ahead of earnings Intel shares have rallied sharply in early 2026, up roughly 30% year-to-date, driven by positive analyst commentary on AI demand, foundry progress and product launches like Panther Lake CPUs.  Analysts at some brokerages have lifted price targets into the $50-$60 range, reflecting improving sentiment on server CPU demand and foundry potential.  Other analysts remain cautious, with many rating the stock as hold and consensus longer-term targets nearer $36-$40, suggesting the rally may have outpaced fundamentals.  2. Earnings expectations and earnings beat probability Consensus forecasts for the 22 Jan report suggest modest earnings per share (EPS) ahead of the release.  Models that incorporate Earnings ESP metrics indicate a probabili

b. range bound +/-5%