To The Moon

In the history, the Bank of Japan has often been ambiguous in its attitude towards policy shifts, allowing the market to digest expectations on its own but without providing a clear timetable. Policy shifts are often "unexpected yet reasonable." $Japanese Yen - Mar 2024(JPY2403)$ $Japanese Yen - main 2406(JPYmain)$ $iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ)$ The long-term loose policy has led to the monetization of the fiscal deficit, distortion of government bond prices, and depreciation of the yen. In recent years, as the growth momentum of the Japanese economy gradually recovers and inflation levels warm up, the subjective and objective conditions for the Bank of J

This week, investors will be looking for answer to the number of rate cuts for this year. The current expectation from both the Fed and market is 3 cuts. Things may and could change on Wed as Fed release its latest monetary policy decision. This is especially so when recent inflation reports came in hotter than expected. ==== Check out my latest YouTube video on market analysis: Warning: Hot Inflation + FOMC Meeting https://youtu.be/rJNqShqb7Aw $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$$Apple(AAPL)$  $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ 

Earnings Calendar (18 Mar 2024) In the coming week, we have some earnings of interest that include Micron, FedEx and Factset. Let us look at the recent performance of Micron. For Micron, the EPS TTM is -6.28 (that implies making a loss) in the 12 months trailing. The stock price has surged 64.58% from one year ago. The rating of the stock (from investing) is “NEUTRAL”. From the annual income statement, we have the following observations: Total revenue TTM has fallen to $16.18B compared to the recent peak of $30.75B (30 Aug 2022). The operating income has fallen from $9.7B (30 Aug 2022) to -$6.63B (TTM). The TTM operating income is expected to be worse. The Free Cash flow was negative for the last 2 years. Though TTM has a worse Operating income, the Free Cash Flow is improving compared to

Public Holidays No holidays for Singapore, China, the USA, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (18 Mar 2024) Notable Highlights FOMC interest rate decision should be the most watched economic data this coming week. We are not expecting the interest rate cut to begin. With the recent inflation data, we should also cater for potential interest rate hikes in the coming months should inflation worsen. Fed Chair Powell is speaking at the end of the week. His speech can move the market as they await updates of a hopeful fed pivot. Manufacturing data. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI provide an outlook of the manufacturing and we are expecting the sector to expand as per the forecast given. S&P Global Services PMI provides an outlook on the demand for U

Energy stocks will rise and take the lead over most

Quadruple witching day refers to the expiration settlement day of derivative financial products in the US stock market on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December each year. 四巫The last trading hour of the day is called the Quadruple witching hour, from 3 p.m. to 4 p.m. New York time. There are four types of products for expiration settlement, hence called Quadruple witching day: stock index futures $SP500 index 2403 (ES2403)$, stock index options, stock options, and individual stock futures. Individual stock futures trading in the US market started on November 8, 2002, before that it was referred to as Triple witching day or Triple witching hour. The main impact of Quadruple witching day is a significant increase in trading volum

U.S. CPI data for February slightly exceeded expectations, and core inflation exceeded expectations for two consecutive months, further supporting the Federal Reserve's caution in cutting interest rates.Housing and gasoline costs continue to hold back inflation.After the data was released, the $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ rose first and then fell. S&P 500 index futures $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2406(ESmain)$ and $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2406(NQmain)$ first fell and then rose to daily highs. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$

AI boom is undeniably an opportunity for companies like Nvidia, AMD and Microsoft. But it is also quite evident that over the last few weeks, Apple and Google have been quite unloved in the latest AI rally. It has been a while since Apple innovated or came out with something fantastic. Their Vision Pro hasn’t been lifting off, at least for now. At the same time, we don’t see lots of AI plays in their business - both products and services. Recently, they have also pulled the plug on Apple cars. As for Google, they have been a little late in entering the AI field - late in introducing Bard to rival ChatGPT, late in introducing Gemini to rival other generative AI platforms. To make things worse, they had 2 rounds of bloopers for both of these platforms. Rushed products? Probably. They haven

Markets standing tall The markets have held up pretty well going into March and this is where I have to add that the markets that are doing well are doing so on narrow leadership.  The magnificent seven have been pulling the markets along as they ploughed through the bears. However, they have all been taking turns to fall back. Tesla was first and not surprisingly so being more of an EV story and much more affected by high rates. Then Apple and Google were next both not making new highs. Microsoft followed thereafter just recently which leaves only Nvidia, Meta and Amazon to hold the fort. Now that everyones' technicals seem to paint a complete pattern upon a five wave pattern, it seems only a matter of time before they pull back. So as much as the bulls would like the party to c

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 11 Mar 2024 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend having completed another top crossover. Chaikin Money Flow advises an uptrend though the momentum is thinning. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long-term and mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines are moving in a fanned-out pattern, thus implying an uptrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar with Stochastic being “more active” and more capable for “false” signals. From investing, it recommends a “Strong Buy” fo

With rising awareness of global climate change, geopolitical conflicts affecting crude oil prices, and tightening emission controls, adoption of electric vehicles is expected to increase over time, even if the EV industry may be encountering softening demands temporarily due to economic slowdown, escalated borrowing costs and expiring subsidies. Availability of charging infrastructure may have deterred buyers too. However, I believe that the EV market is poised to resume growth as the Fed is expected to commence rate cuts this year after taming the inflation and being confident that it is falling back sustainably to the Fed's 2% target, so as to avoid tipping the US economy into a recession. With $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 

Let's look into history of typical March year in year out, generally stock market don't perform well in this month, especially at the moment where we have strong US economic data which will prolong Fed of cutting interest rates sooner than expected, and with the stronger than expected US economy, business are suffering from extremely high borrowing cost and with stocks valuations at all time high levels, potential of stocks doing price correction to reflect the actual situation has a higher chance of stocks moving higher. Please trade with care fellow traders. @TigerCommunity @Tiger_Insights @TigerTrade

Costco misses quarterly revenue expectation despite strong online presence so what does that mean? It means slowing down is in the game otherwise talk of interest rate cut will not be in the picture by the Fed. So what does it mean from now till then? Economy slowdown? It has to because in order for inflation to go down to 2%, something must give!

This a great algorithm to pump your financial

You never know who's gonna be the big winner or the big loser in March. Either way, it's gonna be a wild ride, it's gonna be an exciting month!People miss the move up and then get upset because "the market is irrational". Yeah, maybe so, but learn from history. The market generally moves up.Step out and you're risking missing a big move. Timing the market is really, really hard. It could drop 20% or 50% sometime soon, but no one knows. Be prepared for all circumstances best you can and according to your risk tolerances. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$

March is here and my emotions about the stock market are all over the place, I am nervous, worried about potential losses.I simply point out that valuation risk exists and that, if you open a 5/10/15-year window every time the sp500 has traded above 25x earnings, the returns were not promising.So a portfolio consisting of American index funds or high-multiple names carries a risk that I have no interest in bearing.I don't have that problem, since I don't invest in funds and, if I hold a high-multiple name (like $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ ), it is simply because the multiple has expanded and there a trailing stop attached: the risk/reward becomes worse and worse the higher the shares trade and there are better uses for the funds.

March is always a crazy time for the stock market, isn't it? It's like March Madness for investors! Enjoy free capital gains without working. No need to work in a real job anymore. Just buy the US Stocks with your food money and wait for the FED to Pump the stock prices big time every single day, Despite Tanking Corporate Revenues and Collapsing Economy. Worse fundamentals do not matter. It is a Free Money ATM, Get Quick Rich Scheme. There is no risk anymore, No Correction, not even red day anymore. Only green days, only free capital gains without risk every single day forever. Even Bankrupt company stocks are getting Pumped by 500-600% per year... NO risk of losing money! The FED gives away trillions of dollars in the form of capital gains every single day, by Pumping the US Stock prices

March is here and I'm wondering if the stock market is gonna give us a thrill or a chill! It's like a rollercoaster ride every day, up and down, my heart can't take it! But hey, that's the thrill of it, isn't it? I'm just hoping my portfolio doesn't take a nose dive this month.Rising interest rates drew trillions of dollars into money-market funds and other cash-like investments in the past two years, with more than $8.8 trillion parked in money funds and CDs as of the third quarter of 2023. Investors are optimistic that with rates poised to fall, people will redirect that money and fuel markets’ next leg higher. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

Marching into March feels like stepping into a cloud of uncertainty. The stock market? Who knows what it'll do? One day it's up, the next it's down. I'm like a kid in a candy store, just waiting to see which sweet treat the market will give me. But seriously, this month is shaping up to be a real test of nerves. It looks like the FED does not want any US Company below $2 Trillion market value. Even the company has $0 revenue, it should trade at minimum $2 Trillion market value. Having a ticker in the US Stock Market is sufficient reason to have a $2 Trillion market value, fundamentals, financials, numbers do not matter at all.I'm just curious as to where all the money is coming from to fund this ralley? $S&P 500(.SPX)$

Public Holidays No holidays for Singapore, China, the USA, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (18 Mar 2024) Notable Highlights FOMC interest rate decision should be the most watched economic data this coming week. We are not expecting the interest rate cut to begin. With the recent inflation data, we should also cater for potential interest rate hikes in the coming months should inflation worsen. Fed Chair Powell is speaking at the end of the week. His speech can move the market as they await updates of a hopeful fed pivot. Manufacturing data. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI provide an outlook of the manufacturing and we are expecting the sector to expand as per the forecast given. S&P Global Services PMI provides an outlook on the demand for U

This week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend a congressional hearing to present the semi-annual monetary policy report, followed by the release of the February non-farm payroll report by the U.S. Department of Labor. March 6th to March 7th, Chairman Powell will testify before Congresswhere the focus is expected to be on the Fed's handling of inflation and its monetary policy stance. With January's CPI exceeding expectations, a rebound in core PCE, and strong service sector inflation, Powell is likely to emphasize the need to remain patient with rate cuts given the overall performance of the U.S. economy, signaling a hawkish stance.However, there is increasing pressure from the U.S. government for rate cuts, which Powell will have to address. Sustaining high interest rates may tig

🌟🌟🌟What an amazing start to March as the Nasdaq 100 Index surged more than 1% to an all time high at 16,274.94 on Friday  as bullish sentiments on Big Tech led the way!  The S&P500 added 0.80% to close at 5137.08, the first close above the 5100 threshold. Even the Dow Jones Index also gained 0.23%to close at 39,087.38. The Star Performer was undoubtedly $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  which had led the tech rally by surging more than 260% for the last 12 months and was up 4% to hit a USD 2 Trillion in market capitalisation.  $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  was up 2.4%. The key event in March would be the FOMC meeting scheduled i

In the history, the Bank of Japan has often been ambiguous in its attitude towards policy shifts, allowing the market to digest expectations on its own but without providing a clear timetable. Policy shifts are often "unexpected yet reasonable." $Japanese Yen - Mar 2024(JPY2403)$ $Japanese Yen - main 2406(JPYmain)$ $iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ)$ The long-term loose policy has led to the monetization of the fiscal deficit, distortion of government bond prices, and depreciation of the yen. In recent years, as the growth momentum of the Japanese economy gradually recovers and inflation levels warm up, the subjective and objective conditions for the Bank of J

With rising awareness of global climate change, geopolitical conflicts affecting crude oil prices, and tightening emission controls, adoption of electric vehicles is expected to increase over time, even if the EV industry may be encountering softening demands temporarily due to economic slowdown, escalated borrowing costs and expiring subsidies. Availability of charging infrastructure may have deterred buyers too. However, I believe that the EV market is poised to resume growth as the Fed is expected to commence rate cuts this year after taming the inflation and being confident that it is falling back sustainably to the Fed's 2% target, so as to avoid tipping the US economy into a recession. With $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 

$QQQ(QQQ)$  The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 also paints a picture of extraordinary resilience. It surpassed the 18,000-point mark and closed the month at an all-time high. The surge in the Nasdaq 100, up 28% since late October, offers a testament to the unwavering appetite for tech-oriented investments. The S&P 500 index, a bellwether for the U.S. stock market, ends February with a 5.3% surge, marking its fourth consecutive month of gains. Since the tumultuous days of late October, the broader stock market rally now nears an impressive 25% increase. ⚠️ Trading tips: Almost everything will likely gap up today from the Federal Reserve’s favored price gauge, the personal consumption expenditures index, was in line wit

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 11 Mar 2024 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend having completed another top crossover. Chaikin Money Flow advises an uptrend though the momentum is thinning. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long-term and mid-term. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines are moving in a fanned-out pattern, thus implying an uptrend. I have replaced Stochastic with CMF to incorporate consideration of volume. Stochastic and MACD are similar with Stochastic being “more active” and more capable for “false” signals. From investing, it recommends a “Strong Buy” fo

Earnings Calendar (18 Mar 2024) In the coming week, we have some earnings of interest that include Micron, FedEx and Factset. Let us look at the recent performance of Micron. For Micron, the EPS TTM is -6.28 (that implies making a loss) in the 12 months trailing. The stock price has surged 64.58% from one year ago. The rating of the stock (from investing) is “NEUTRAL”. From the annual income statement, we have the following observations: Total revenue TTM has fallen to $16.18B compared to the recent peak of $30.75B (30 Aug 2022). The operating income has fallen from $9.7B (30 Aug 2022) to -$6.63B (TTM). The TTM operating income is expected to be worse. The Free Cash flow was negative for the last 2 years. Though TTM has a worse Operating income, the Free Cash Flow is improving compared to

Markets standing tall The markets have held up pretty well going into March and this is where I have to add that the markets that are doing well are doing so on narrow leadership.  The magnificent seven have been pulling the markets along as they ploughed through the bears. However, they have all been taking turns to fall back. Tesla was first and not surprisingly so being more of an EV story and much more affected by high rates. Then Apple and Google were next both not making new highs. Microsoft followed thereafter just recently which leaves only Nvidia, Meta and Amazon to hold the fort. Now that everyones' technicals seem to paint a complete pattern upon a five wave pattern, it seems only a matter of time before they pull back. So as much as the bulls would like the party to c

I'M BULLISH FOR MARCH $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$   Here's why.  Hi, I am Daniel. I am a retail trader learning to trade with the hope of eventually leaving my day job.  February 2024 has been a good month for many of us, I managed a 50% return to my capital. How did you do?  MARCH HOW?  Looking at ampircal data and trend, the general U.S. stock performance in March has been positive over the past five years, with the S&P 500 index averaging a return of around 3.5%. (However, it's important to remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and individual years can vary significantly) . As we know, by and large market sentiments drive market direction,

Quadruple witching day refers to the expiration settlement day of derivative financial products in the US stock market on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December each year. 四巫The last trading hour of the day is called the Quadruple witching hour, from 3 p.m. to 4 p.m. New York time. There are four types of products for expiration settlement, hence called Quadruple witching day: stock index futures $SP500 index 2403 (ES2403)$, stock index options, stock options, and individual stock futures. Individual stock futures trading in the US market started on November 8, 2002, before that it was referred to as Triple witching day or Triple witching hour. The main impact of Quadruple witching day is a significant increase in trading volum

PCT: If Only Earnings Call Is Monthly v10.0 : PCT = Pandas Coffee Talk. Me RickPANDA really hate post-earnings blues. Just a passing thought. What if NVDA or TSM do monthly earnings calls. Not quarterly earnings calls? Stock markets will confirmed up & up every month. Because company CEO like NVDA CEO really know how to do his company things & sell his pitches. NVDA is just killed by post-earnings blues basically. You really think me RickPANDA don't want more tickers options each month basis. Must only consider 1Option now which is BTC Halving Hype. Many options have values in shares investings.

US stocks rallied to close out the best February for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and Nasdaq Composite $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ in nearly a decade as investors digested a crucial inflation reading.Both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 had their best February's since 2015.As a result, several tickers also ended the month on record highs. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Chipotle Mexican Grill(CMG)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ $Lennar(LEN)$

AI boom is undeniably an opportunity for companies like Nvidia, AMD and Microsoft. But it is also quite evident that over the last few weeks, Apple and Google have been quite unloved in the latest AI rally. It has been a while since Apple innovated or came out with something fantastic. Their Vision Pro hasn’t been lifting off, at least for now. At the same time, we don’t see lots of AI plays in their business - both products and services. Recently, they have also pulled the plug on Apple cars. As for Google, they have been a little late in entering the AI field - late in introducing Bard to rival ChatGPT, late in introducing Gemini to rival other generative AI platforms. To make things worse, they had 2 rounds of bloopers for both of these platforms. Rushed products? Probably. They haven

March is always a crazy time for the stock market, isn't it? It's like March Madness for investors! Enjoy free capital gains without working. No need to work in a real job anymore. Just buy the US Stocks with your food money and wait for the FED to Pump the stock prices big time every single day, Despite Tanking Corporate Revenues and Collapsing Economy. Worse fundamentals do not matter. It is a Free Money ATM, Get Quick Rich Scheme. There is no risk anymore, No Correction, not even red day anymore. Only green days, only free capital gains without risk every single day forever. Even Bankrupt company stocks are getting Pumped by 500-600% per year... NO risk of losing money! The FED gives away trillions of dollars in the form of capital gains every single day, by Pumping the US Stock prices

BYD has just slashed prices on the updated versions of its Han and Tang EV models that come with upgraded driver-assist features among other tech upgrades, after similar cuts across other models previously, while its closest competitor Tesla has further discounted its selling price of Model Y after earlier cuts in that model as well as Model 3 in the Chinese market. These moves are taking the price war into both ends of the EV market: budget and mid-to-high end, so that no market segment is now spared from the prevailing price war that has been raging for the past 1-2 years. After strong results and optimistic outlook from $LI AUTO-W(02015)$   this week, $NIO-SW(0986

U.S. CPI data for February slightly exceeded expectations, and core inflation exceeded expectations for two consecutive months, further supporting the Federal Reserve's caution in cutting interest rates.Housing and gasoline costs continue to hold back inflation.After the data was released, the $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ rose first and then fell. S&P 500 index futures $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2406(ESmain)$ and $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2406(NQmain)$ first fell and then rose to daily highs. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$

Today is Leap Day. February 29th, a date that only occurs once every four years. Its origin goes back over 2000 years to when Julius Caesar fixed the calendar in 45 BCE, acknowledging a year is a bit longer than 365 days.How will market perform on this special day?It's worth noting that $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has risen for 4 consecutive months. As of now, the monthly gain for February stands at 4.62%!Historical data suggests that both the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $DJIA(.DJI)$ tend to underperform. Since 1950, Leap Day has experienced gains only 38.5% and 30.8% of the time. It's noteworthy that US stock indices have declined on each of the past three Leap Days.Source:

March is here and my emotions about the stock market are all over the place, I am nervous, worried about potential losses.I simply point out that valuation risk exists and that, if you open a 5/10/15-year window every time the sp500 has traded above 25x earnings, the returns were not promising.So a portfolio consisting of American index funds or high-multiple names carries a risk that I have no interest in bearing.I don't have that problem, since I don't invest in funds and, if I hold a high-multiple name (like $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ ), it is simply because the multiple has expanded and there a trailing stop attached: the risk/reward becomes worse and worse the higher the shares trade and there are better uses for the funds.

Marching into March feels like stepping into a cloud of uncertainty. The stock market? Who knows what it'll do? One day it's up, the next it's down. I'm like a kid in a candy store, just waiting to see which sweet treat the market will give me. But seriously, this month is shaping up to be a real test of nerves. It looks like the FED does not want any US Company below $2 Trillion market value. Even the company has $0 revenue, it should trade at minimum $2 Trillion market value. Having a ticker in the US Stock Market is sufficient reason to have a $2 Trillion market value, fundamentals, financials, numbers do not matter at all.I'm just curious as to where all the money is coming from to fund this ralley? $S&P 500(.SPX)$